Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 24, 2026)

Pelicans0-2 · 1-1 ATS

10:00 PM ETSat, Oct 24

Nuggets0-1 · 0-1 ATS

NBA · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
New Orleans Pelicans	+426	+11.5 -110	O 237.5 -104
Denver Nuggets	-430	-11.5 +104	U 237.5 +100

Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges, updated 5:39 AM ET.

Table of Contents

Pelicans vs Nuggets preview

Denver is the -435 moneyline favorite and lays 11.5 points with a 237.5 total. The last meeting was January 13, 2026, a 116-122 New Orleans home loss.

New Orleans is 0-2 straight up and 1-1 against the spread this season, 1-9 and 3-7 against the spread over its last 10, and most recently lost 119-120 at Utah on October 23. Denver is 0-1 and 0-1 against the spread this season, 9-1 and 4-6 against the spread over its last 10, and most recently lost 84-96 at Oklahoma City on October 22.

Pace is one useful angle: New Orleans ranks 7th at 101.4, while Denver ranks 18th at 99.3. Denver is without Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther and Cameron Johnson, and Alpha Diallo is questionable; Yves Missi is day to day for New Orleans. StatsBench projects Nikola Jokic for 14 rebounds, above his 7.5 line after he cleared it in 9 of his last 10.

Top Pelicans vs Nuggets player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5	Projection
Trey Murphy III NOP	Over 3.5 rebounds	-141 888sport	100% (10/10)	100%	5.4
Dejounte Murray NOP	Over 0.5 steals	-325 Fanatics	100% (10/10)	100%	1.8
Derik Queen NOP	Over 0.5 steals	-250 888sport	90% (9/10)	100%	1.7
Nikola Jokic DEN	Over 0.5 double double	-1300 Fanatics	80% (8/10)	80%	–
Jeremiah Fears NOP	Over 15.5 points + assists	-110 888sport	70% (7/10)	60%	25.1

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:39 AM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.

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Pelicans vs Nuggets odds by sportsbook

Book	NO spread	DEN spread	NO ML	DEN ML	Over	Under
888sport	+11.5 -118	-11.5 -118	+350	-500	O 237.5 -118	U 237.5 -118
bet105	+11 -107	-11 -107	+359	-455	O 238 -106	U 238 -108
bet365	+11.5 -111	-11.5 -109	+400	-550	O 237.5 -111	U 237.5 -109
BetMGM	+11.5 -115	-11.5 -105	+375	-500	O 238.5 -110	U 238.5 -118
BetRivers	+11.5 -112	-11.5 -108	+340	-455	O 237.5 -110	U 237.5 -110
Caesars	+11 -110	-11 -110	+360	-480	O 238 -110	U 238 -110
Circa	+11.5 -110	-11.5 -110	+385	-485	O 237.5 -110	U 237.5 -110
Cloudbet	+11 -109	-11 -109	+355	-476	O 238 -109	U 238 -110
DraftKings	+11.5 -115	-11.5 -105	+370	-485	O 238.5 -108	U 238.5 -112
ESPN BET	+11.5 -115	-11.5 -105	+380	-550	O 237.5 -110	U 237.5 -110
Fanatics	+11 -110	-11 -110	+360	-475	O 238 -110	U 238 -110
FanDuel	+11.5 -110	-11.5 -110	+400	-520	O 237.5 -110	U 237.5 -110
Fliff	+11.5 -115	-11.5 -105	+375	-510	O 237.5 -115	U 237.5 -110
Kalshi	+11.5 -113	-11.5 +104	+426	-456	O 237.5 -104	U 237.5 +100
ProphetX	+11 -106	-11 -107	+410	-430	O 237.5 -105	U 237.5 +100
sportsbet	+10.5 -104	-10.5 -119	+350	-476	O 238.5 -109	U 238.5 -115

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:39 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this game (Sat 2:24 AM ET): Nuggets moneyline -435 → -430.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Pelicans	0-2	1-1	2-0	0-1	0-1
Nuggets	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Pelicans vs Nuggets head-to-head

Pelicans are 2-8, 0-1 ATS, O/U 1-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Pelicans lost 116-122 on January 13, 2026.

Date	Venue	Pelicans result	ATS	O/U
Jan 13, 26	Pelicans home	L 116-122	L +2.5	O 234.5
Nov 19, 25	Pelicans home	L 118-125	–	–
Oct 29, 25	Nuggets home	L 88-122	–	–
Feb 5, 25	Nuggets home	L 119-144	–	–
Feb 3, 25	Nuggets home	L 113-125	–	–
Dec 22, 24	Pelicans home	L 129-132	–	–
Nov 15, 24	Pelicans home	W 101-94	–	–
Jan 12, 24	Nuggets home	L 113-125	–	–
Nov 17, 23	Pelicans home	W 115-110	–	–
Nov 6, 23	Nuggets home	L 116-134	–	–

Recent form

New Orleans Pelicans: last 10 (1-9, 3-7 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 23, 26	@ UTAH	L 119-120	W +1.5	O 238.5
Oct 21, 26	vs IND	L 120-123	L +2.5	O 238.5
Apr 12, 26	@ MIN	L 126-132	L +3.5	O 239.5
Apr 10, 26	@ BOS	L 118-144	L +18.5	O 227.5
Apr 7, 26	vs UTAH	W 156-137	W -6.5	O 242.5
Apr 5, 26	vs ORL	L 108-112	W +6.5	U 236.5
Apr 3, 26	@ SAC	L 113-117	L -6.5	U 232.5
Apr 2, 26	@ POR	L 106-118	L +5.5	U 235.5
Mar 29, 26	vs HOU	L 102-134	L +5.5	O 226.5
Mar 27, 26	@ TOR	L 106-119	L +8.5	U 229.5

Denver Nuggets: last 10 (9-1, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 22, 26	@ OKC	L 84-96	L +7.5	U 236.5
Apr 12, 26	@ SA	W 128-118	W +9.5	O 235.5
Apr 10, 26	vs OKC	W 127-107	W -2.5	O 223.5
Apr 8, 26	vs MEM	W 136-119	L -23.5	O 247.5
Apr 6, 26	vs POR	W 137-132	L -6.5	O 235.5
Apr 4, 26	vs SA	W 136-134	W +1.5	O 244.5
Apr 1, 26	@ UTAH	W 130-117	L -17.5	U 249.5
Mar 29, 26	vs GS	W 116-93	W -11.5	U 238.5
Mar 27, 26	vs UTAH	W 135-129	L -19.5	O 247.5
Mar 25, 26	vs DAL	W 142-135	L -10.5	O 246.5

Injury report

New Orleans Pelicans

Yves Missi (C): Day-To-Day, Missi won’t return to Friday’s game against the Jazz due to a left knee injury

Denver Nuggets

Spencer Jones (SF): Out, Bilateral Hamstring Injury Management
Julian Strawther (SF): Out, Left Knee Sprain
Cameron Johnson (SF): Out, Right Ankle Sprain
Alpha Diallo (SF): Questionable, Right Wrist Sprain

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Pelicans defense	Nuggets defense
Points allowed per game	120 (24th of 30)	116.6 (20th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game	45.2 (25th of 30)	42.5 (12th of 30)
Assists allowed per game	27.7 (26th of 30)	26.9 (21st of 30)
Threes allowed per game	14 (28th of 30)	13.2 (16th of 30)
Pace (possessions)	101.4 (7th)	99.3 (18th)