Mavericks vs Heat Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Mavericks	23	30	30	30	113
Heat	27	25	32	25	109

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Dallas Mavericks beat Miami Heat 113-109, and the game was decided in the fourth quarter when Dallas outscored Miami 30-25. Miami led for most of the game and built a 12-point edge, but Dallas closed late to finish the comeback.

Cooper Flagg led Dallas with 29 points and 11 assists, while P.J. Washington grabbed 9 rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo paced Miami with 29 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists. Dallas won the glass 51-42, posted 31 assists to Miami’s 26 and blocked 10 shots to Miami’s 5. The free-throw line was the clearest separator: Dallas shot 93 percent, Miami 56 percent.

For bettors, Dallas covered the closing 7.5-point spread by 11.5 as a 113-109 winner. The closing total of 240.5 settled under by 18.5.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

MavericksHeat

46%FG%45%

30%3P%32%

93%FT%56%

51Rebounds42

31Assists26

44Points in the paint48

11Fast break points7

17Turnovers14

11Steals9

10Blocks5

8Biggest lead12

Box score

Dallas MavericksMiami Heat

Dallas Mavericks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Daniel Gafford F	26	8	4-5	0-0	0-0	9	3	1	1	2	3	6	6	+6
P.J. Washington F	41	20	6-15	4-11	4-4	9	2	3	2	1	3	6	2	+5
Cooper Flagg F	40	29	12-23	2-8	3-3	6	11	5	5	3	0	6	3	+8
Kyrie Irving G	33	18	7-17	2-11	2-2	6	6	2	2	0	3	3	1	-6
Max Christie G	26	11	3-6	3-6	2-2	5	3	2	0	0	0	5	2	+4
Bench
Morez Johnson Jr. F	15	6	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	4	-6
Zaccharie Risacher F	30	6	2-13	1-6	1-2	8	1	0	1	3	2	6	2	+9
Sergio de Larrea F	6	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-12
Marcus Sasser G	8	0	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	-10
Walter Clayton Jr. G	17	15	6-7	2-2	1-1	4	4	2	0	1	0	4	3	+22
Tobi Lawal	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Moussa Cisse	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jett Howard	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		113	43-94	14-46	13-14	51	31	16	11	10	13	38	23

Team shooting: FG 46% · 3PT 30% · FT 93%

Miami Heat

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Giannis Antetokounmpo F	39	29	12-23	2-4	3-7	14	11	5	0	1	4	10	0	-1
Andrew Wiggins F	34	12	6-12	0-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	2	-10
Bam Adebayo C	30	8	3-10	0-5	2-4	8	3	1	2	2	3	5	0	-8
Klay Thompson G	15	6	2-8	2-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	-5
Davion Mitchell G	33	21	9-15	2-5	1-2	0	2	4	3	0	0	0	2	-10
Bench
Bobby Portis F	24	10	3-11	3-6	1-2	12	2	3	0	2	2	10	2	+8
Tim Hardaway Jr. G	16	5	1-5	1-4	2-4	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	+7
Dru Smith G	15	6	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	2	+4
Pelle Larsson G	34	12	3-6	1-3	5-6	0	4	0	3	0	0	0	3	-5
Simone Fontecchio	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Myron Gardner	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Nikola Jovic	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Nick Richards	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Ryan Conwell	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		109	41-92	13-41	14-25	42	26	14	9	5	10	32	14

Team shooting: FG 45% · 3PT 32% · FT 56%

Attendance 19,611 · Officials: Josh Tiven, Kevin Scott, Chelisa Painter

Recap: Cooper Flagg dominates with 29 points, Dallas adds to winless Miami’s misery with 113-109 victory (ESPN)

Highlights

• Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Zaccharie Risacher with the massive stuff at the rim (ESPN)
• Giannis weaves through defense for powerful slam (ESPN)
• Giannis posterizes defender with early dunk-of-the-year candidate (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Heat have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
• Heat are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Mavericks vs Heat pre-game preview

Monday night’s Dallas at Miami matchup has Miami at -320 on the moneyline, laying 8.5 points with a 236.5 total; the opener was Miami -7.5 with a 235.5 total. The last meeting went to Dallas, 118-108 at home on December 3, 2025. Dallas is 1-2 straight up and 1-2 against the spread this season and 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS over its last 10; Miami is 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS this season and 4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS over its last 10. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Dallas is 4-2 SU and 2-0 ATS with the under going 2-0.

The pace angle stands out, as Dallas ranks third at 102.6 and Miami ranks first at 104.6. Both defenses allow points at bottom-tier rates, with Dallas at 119.6 (23rd) and Miami at 118.6 (22nd). Dallas also lists Santi Aldama, Dereck Lively II, Naji Marshall and Tarik Biberovic out, Caleb Martin doubtful and Cooper Flagg questionable. On the prop side, StatsBench projects Bobby Portis at 13.8 points against a 10.5 line after he cleared it in 9 of his last 10.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Mavericks	1-2	1-2	1-2	0-1	1-1
Heat	0-3	0-3	1-2	0-2	0-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Mavericks vs Heat head-to-head

Mavericks are 4-2, 2-0 ATS, O/U 0-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Mavericks won 118-108 on December 3, 2025.

Recent form

Dallas Mavericks: last 10 (3-7, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Miami Heat: last 10 (4-6, 3-7 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 4:14 PM ET.

Venue and weather

Mavericks vs Heat odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart