Hawks vs Rockets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Atlanta Hawks logo

Hawks2-1 · 2-1 ATS7th in the East
FINAL110 – 120
Houston Rockets logo

Rockets3-0 · 3-0 ATS1st in the West

NBA · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston)

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Hawks 35 31 19 25 110
Rockets 32 31 28 29 120

How the bets settled

MoneylineRockets wonClosed at -192
SpreadRockets coveredRockets -4.5, by 5.5
TotalOver 228.5230 scored, 1.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Houston Rockets beat the Atlanta Hawks 120-110, taking control in the third quarter after a tight first half and holding on with a strong fourth. Alperen Sengun led Houston with 29 points and 9 assists, while Jabari Smith Jr. pulled down 12 rebounds. Jalen Johnson paced Atlanta with 21 points and 9 rebounds, and Jock Landale had 4 assists. Houston’s 53 percent shooting, 52-35 rebounding edge and 31-26 assist advantage explained much of the game’s outcome, with the Rockets also blocking 9 shots and leading by as many as 22.

For bettors, Houston covered the closing -4.5 spread by 5.5 points. The closing total of 228.5 went over by 1.5. StatsBench’s posted picks split: Sengun’s OVER 4.5 assists won with 9, Amen Thompson’s OVER 11.5 field-goal attempts lost with 8, and Tari Eason’s OVER 16.5 points plus rebounds won with 21.

How our picks did

  • Alperen Sengun OVER 4.5 AST (-125): WON (9)
  • Amen Thompson OVER 11.5 FGA (-125): LOST (8)
  • Tari Eason OVER 16.5 PTS+REB (-114): WON (21)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

RocketsHawks
The score margin against the closing spread (Rockets -4.5). Blue: Rockets covering. Orange: Hawks covering.
+10.5Largest ATL cover
67%ATL covering
+17.5Largest HOU cover
33%HOU covering

Win probability

RocketsHawks
Blue: Rockets favored. Orange: Hawks favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Hawks

  • PointsJalen Johnson21
  • AssistsJock Landale4
  • ReboundsJalen Johnson9

Rockets

  • PointsAlperen Sengun29
  • AssistsAlperen Sengun9
  • ReboundsJabari Smith Jr.12

Team stats

HawksRockets
43%FG%53%
28%3P%30%
71%FT%81%
35Rebounds52
26Assists31
56Points in the paint64
20Fast break points26
13Turnovers22
10Steals11
4Blocks9
6Biggest lead22

Box score

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Onyeka Okongwu F 29 11 5-10 1-4 0-0 9 1 1 2 1 5 4 2 0
Jalen Johnson F 36 21 5-14 1-5 10-12 9 3 4 1 2 1 8 5 -9
CJ McCollum G 30 20 8-16 4-7 0-0 1 3 1 4 0 0 1 2 -5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker G 29 12 5-13 2-7 0-2 2 3 3 1 0 1 1 4 -12
Dyson Daniels G 28 4 2-8 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1
Bench
Dorian Finney-Smith F 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7
Corey Kispert F 1 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7
Asa Newell F 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 +7
Zuby Ejiofor F 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7
Jock Landale C 18 8 3-8 0-2 2-3 6 4 0 0 1 4 2 3 -17
Luguentz Dort G 21 11 4-11 0-5 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 3 -17
Aaron Wiggins G 27 12 5-12 2-6 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 0 4 3 -12
Kingston Flemings G 18 6 3-4 0-1 0-1 1 4 4 0 0 0 1 2 -5
Total 110 42-98 11-39 15-21 35 26 13 10 4 13 22 25

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 28% · FT 71%

Houston Rockets

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Kevin Durant F 30 22 6-13 1-4 9-10 9 3 4 1 4 0 9 4 +9
Jabari Smith Jr. F 39 16 6-13 2-6 2-3 12 5 1 1 1 0 12 2 +12
Alperen Sengun C 37 29 11-15 1-1 6-8 9 9 6 6 1 5 4 4 +29
Fred VanVleet G 29 5 2-7 0-3 1-1 4 5 2 0 0 1 3 2 +15
Amen Thompson G 28 15 6-8 0-0 3-4 5 2 5 0 0 3 2 1 -3
Bench
Jae’Sean Tate F 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -7
Tari Eason F 33 13 4-8 1-3 4-5 8 2 1 0 3 1 7 2 +11
Isaiah Crawford F 1 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7
Clint Capela C 4 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 -5
Bogdan Bogdanovic G 13 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 +1
Reed Sheppard G 24 13 5-12 2-7 1-1 0 4 1 2 0 0 0 2 +2
Bruce Thornton G 1 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7
Sean Pedulla Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 120 43-81 8-27 26-32 52 31 21 11 9 12 40 22

Team shooting: FG 53% · 3PT 30% · FT 81%

Attendance 18,055 · Officials: Brent Barnaky, Ray Acosta, Mousa Dagher

Recap: Sengun has 29 points as Rockets stay unbeaten with 120-110 win over Hawks (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Hawks vs Rockets pre-game preview

The Monday matchup in Houston has the Rockets listed as a 5.5-point favorite with a 229.5 total, unchanged from the opening line. Houston also sits at -186 on the moneyline, with Atlanta at +180.

Houston won the most recent meeting 121-114 at Atlanta on October 24. The Rockets are 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread this season, and 9-1 straight up with a 7-3 ATS mark over their last 10. Atlanta is 2-1 straight up and ATS this season and 6-4 straight up and ATS over its last 10; in the last seven head-to-head meetings, Atlanta is 2-5 straight up and 0-3 ATS.

The pace contrast stands out: Atlanta plays at 102.4 possessions (rank 4) while Houston is at 97 (rank 27), and Houston’s defense allows 109.4 points (rank 5), 39.2 rebounds (rank 2) and 12 threes (rank 3). On the prop side, StatsBench projects Jabari Smith Jr. at 17.2 points against a 13.5 line, and Tari Eason at 21.3 points plus rebounds against a 16.5 line.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Hawks 2-1 2-1 2-1 0-1 2-0
Rockets 3-0 3-0 2-1 1-0 2-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Hawks vs Rockets head-to-head

Hawks are 2-5, 0-3 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Hawks lost 114-121 on October 24, 2026.

Date Venue Hawks result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 Hawks home L 114-121 L +1.5 O 227.5
Mar 20, 26 Rockets home L 95-117 L +2.5 U 227.5
Jan 29, 26 Hawks home L 86-104 L +6.5 U 224.5
Mar 25, 25 Rockets home L 114-121 – –
Jan 28, 25 Hawks home L 96-100 – –
Feb 10, 24 Hawks home W 122-113 – –
Dec 20, 23 Rockets home W 134-127 – –

Recent form

Atlanta Hawks: last 10 (6-4, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs HOU L 114-121 L +1.5 O 227.5
Oct 23, 26 @ CHA W 128-81 W -2.5 U 226.5
Oct 21, 26 @ ORL W 132-125 W +2.5 O 233.5
Apr 12, 26 @ MIA L 117-143 L +10.5 O 239.5
Apr 10, 26 vs CLE W 124-102 W -8.5 U 233.5
Apr 8, 26 @ CLE L 116-122 L +4.5 O 237.5
Apr 6, 26 vs NY L 105-108 L -1.5 U 226.5
Apr 3, 26 @ BKN W 141-107 W -16.5 O 225.5
Apr 1, 26 @ ORL W 130-101 W -2.5 U 235.5
Mar 30, 26 vs BOS W 112-102 W -2.5 U 225.5

Houston Rockets: last 10 (9-1, 7-3 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 @ ATL W 121-114 W -1.5 O 227.5
Oct 23, 26 @ SA W 114-110 W +4.5 U 224.5
Oct 21, 26 vs DAL W 128-110 W -9.5 O 230.5
Apr 12, 26 vs MEM W 132-101 W -14.5 O 230.5
Apr 10, 26 vs MIN L 132-136 L -9.5 O 227.5
Apr 9, 26 vs PHI W 113-102 W -6.5 U 226.5
Apr 7, 26 @ PHX W 119-105 W -1.5 O 221.5
Apr 5, 26 @ GS W 117-116 L -3.5 O 227.5
Apr 3, 26 vs UTAH W 140-106 W -18.5 O 231.5
Apr 1, 26 vs MIL W 119-113 L -19.5 O 216.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 4:13 PM ET.

Venue and weather

Toyota Center (Houston) · Houston, TXIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Hawks vs Rockets odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Rockets spread -5.5 -4.5 +1
Total 229.5 228.5 -1
Hawks moneyline +180 +160 +2.7% win chance
Rockets moneyline -218 -192 -2.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Rockets spread -5.5 → -4.5
Total 229.5 → 229.5
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More on these teams: Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Oct 28 · Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Oct 28 · Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Oct 24 · All NBA prop picks

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