Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Phoenix Suns logo

Suns1-1 · 0-2 ATS12th in the West
FINAL114 – 125
Oklahoma City Thunder logo

Thunder3-0 · 2-1 ATS5th in the West

NBA · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Paycom Center

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Suns 27 26 32 29 114
Thunder 33 34 32 26 125

How the bets settled

MoneylineThunder wonClosed at -325
SpreadThunder coveredThunder -8.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 221.5239 scored, 17.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Oklahoma City Thunder beat Phoenix Suns 125-114, with the game decided before halftime as the Thunder built a 67-53 lead and later stretched it to 22. Phoenix won the fourth quarter, but the comeback never got close enough to matter.

Ajay Mitchell led Oklahoma City with 30 points and five assists, and Isaiah Hartenstein pulled down 13 rebounds. Jalen Green scored 20 for Phoenix, Devin Booker had seven assists and Miles Bridges grabbed eight rebounds. The Thunder shot 51 percent from the field to Phoenix’s 43 percent, won the rebounds 48-38 and owned points in the paint 50-38, which explains the cushion.

For bettors, the Thunder covered the closing 8.5-point spread by 2.5, and the 221.5 total went over by 17.5. StatsBench’s posted pick on Cason Wallace over 1.5 steals was void.

How our picks did

  • Cason Wallace OVER 1.5 STL (-115): VOID

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

ThunderSuns
The score margin against the closing spread (Thunder -8.5). Blue: Thunder covering. Orange: Suns covering.
+9.5Largest PHX cover
41%PHX covering
+15.5Largest OKC cover
59%OKC covering

Win probability

ThunderSuns
Blue: Thunder favored. Orange: Suns favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Suns

  • PointsJalen Green20
  • AssistsDevin Booker7
  • ReboundsMiles Bridges8

Thunder

  • PointsAjay Mitchell30
  • AssistsAjay Mitchell5
  • ReboundsIsaiah Hartenstein13

Team stats

SunsThunder
43%FG%51%
36%3P%38%
72%FT%86%
38Rebounds48
29Assists24
38Points in the paint50
9Fast break points2
13Turnovers17
7Steals3
5Blocks7
1Biggest lead22

Box score

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Dillon Brooks F 33 19 4-14 3-10 8-12 5 5 0 3 1 1 4 3 -12
Miles Bridges F 32 17 7-17 2-10 1-2 8 4 3 1 0 4 4 2 -17
Khaman Maluach C 26 12 5-10 0-1 2-2 7 1 4 1 1 2 5 4 -2
Devin Booker G 34 3 1-7 0-2 1-1 2 7 0 0 0 1 1 3 -11
Jalen Green G 31 20 8-13 1-3 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 1 3 1 -10
Bench
Ryan Dunn F 14 6 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 +5
Koa Peat F 3 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7
Rasheer Fleming F 3 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 +7
Duop Reath C 7 5 1-1 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 +3
Luke Kennard G 16 9 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -6
Jordan Goodwin G 17 12 4-9 4-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 3 -10
Collin Gillespie G 23 9 3-9 3-8 0-0 1 2 2 2 0 0 1 3 -16
Jamaree Bouyea G 3 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7
CJ Huntley Did not play: Coach’s decision
Koby Brea Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 114 39-91 18-50 18-25 38 29 12 7 5 14 24 24

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 36% · FT 72%

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Isaiah Hartenstein C 26 15 6-7 0-0 3-3 13 3 1 0 0 6 7 2 -1
Kenrich Williams G 24 3 1-6 0-2 1-1 7 0 0 1 1 2 5 1 0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 30 26 11-18 1-5 3-4 3 3 4 0 2 0 3 5 +10
Jared McCain G 30 18 6-14 4-7 2-3 3 4 2 1 1 1 2 1 +6
Ajay Mitchell G 25 30 10-16 1-3 9-10 2 5 1 0 1 0 2 4 +18
Bench
Jaylin Williams F 26 6 2-5 2-4 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 0 6 0 +8
Brooks Barnhizer F 3 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7
Aday Mara C 20 11 4-6 0-0 3-4 10 2 4 0 2 3 7 5 +13
Alex Caruso G 9 9 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 +14
Josh Dix G 22 0 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -7
Bennett Stirtz G 25 7 1-6 1-4 4-4 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 +1
Otega Oweh Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 125 44-86 12-32 25-29 48 24 16 3 7 12 36 20

Team shooting: FG 51% · 3PT 38% · FT 86%

Attendance 18,203 · Officials: Eric Lewis, Tony Brothers, John Conley

Recap: Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead injury-riddled Thunder past Suns 125-114 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Suns vs Thunder pre-game preview

Oklahoma City is a 9.5-point favorite with a 218.5 total, unchanged from the DraftKings opener. The last meeting was April 12, 2026, when Phoenix won 135-103 on the road. Phoenix is 1-1 straight up and 0-2 against the spread this season; its last 10 is 5-5 straight up and 2-8 against the spread, most recently a 131-122 win over Golden State. Oklahoma City is 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread this season; its last 10 is 8-2 straight up and 6-4 against the spread, most recently a 108-101 win over the Clippers.

The defensive ranks are the main angle: Phoenix allows 123 points per game (23rd) and 18 threes (29th), while Oklahoma City allows 96.3 points (1st) and 8.7 threes (5th). Pace also differs, Phoenix 100.7 (19th) and Oklahoma City 84.7 (27th). Oklahoma City has several day-to-day injuries, including Jalen Williams after an apparent left ankle injury and Jaylin Williams with right wrist soreness. StatsBench projects Collin Gillespie at 1.3 steals against a 0.5 line; he cleared it in 9 of his last 10.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Suns 1-1 0-2 1-1 1-0 0-1
Thunder 3-0 2-1 0-3 2-0 1-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Suns vs Thunder head-to-head

Suns are 2-8, 3-2 ATS, O/U 4-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Suns won 135-103 on April 12, 2026.

Date Venue Suns result ATS O/U
Apr 12, 26 Thunder home W 135-103 W +7.5 O 213.5
Feb 11, 26 Suns home L 109-136 L +7.5 O 211.5
Jan 4, 26 Suns home W 108-105 W +10.5 U 229.5
Dec 10, 25 Thunder home L 89-138 L +15.5 O 221.5
Nov 28, 25 Thunder home L 119-123 W +14.5 O 223.5
Apr 9, 25 Suns home L 112-125 – –
Feb 5, 25 Thunder home L 109-140 – –
Nov 15, 24 Thunder home L 83-99 – –
Mar 29, 24 Thunder home L 103-128 – –
Mar 3, 24 Suns home L 110-118 – –

Recent form

Phoenix Suns: last 10 (5-5, 2-8 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs GS W 131-122 L -9.5 O 221.5
Oct 21, 26 @ POR L 83-124 L +3.5 U 232.5
Apr 12, 26 @ OKC W 135-103 W +7.5 O 213.5
Apr 10, 26 @ LAL L 73-101 L -2.5 U 217.5
Apr 8, 26 vs DAL W 112-107 L -12.5 U 234.5
Apr 7, 26 vs HOU L 105-119 L +1.5 O 221.5
Apr 5, 26 @ CHI W 120-110 L -11.5 U 243.5
Apr 2, 26 @ CHA L 107-127 L +5.5 O 227.5
Mar 31, 26 @ ORL L 111-115 L +2.5 O 225.5
Mar 30, 26 @ MEM W 131-105 W -12.5 O 228.5

Oklahoma City Thunder: last 10 (8-2, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 vs LAC W 108-101 L -16.5 U 223.5
Oct 22, 26 vs DEN W 96-84 W -7.5 U 236.5
Oct 20, 26 @ SA W 116-104 W -1.5 U 229.5
Apr 12, 26 vs PHX L 103-135 L -7.5 O 213.5
Apr 10, 26 @ DEN L 107-127 L +2.5 O 223.5
Apr 8, 26 @ LAC W 128-110 W -8.5 O 223.5
Apr 7, 26 @ LAL W 123-87 W -17.5 U 221.5
Apr 5, 26 vs UTAH W 146-111 W -24.5 O 239.5
Apr 2, 26 vs LAL W 139-96 W -9.5 O 233.5
Mar 30, 26 vs DET W 114-110 L -11.5 O 217.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 4:13 PM ET.

Venue and weather

Paycom Center · Oklahoma City, OKIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Suns vs Thunder odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Thunder spread -9.5 -8.5 +1
Total 218.5 221.5 +3
Suns moneyline +300 +260 +2.8% win chance
Thunder moneyline -380 -325 -2.7% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Thunder spread -9.5 → -8.5
Total 218.5 → 221.5
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More on these teams: Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Oct 30 · Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Oct 28 · LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Oct 25 · Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Oct 24 · All NBA prop picks

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