Troy vs James Madison Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 29, 2026)

Troy Trojans logo

Troy3-4 · 2-5 ATS
FINAL24 – 21
James Madison Dukes logo

James Madison7-1 · 6-2 ATS

College Football · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Bridgeforth Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 OT T
Troy 0 7 14 0 3 24
James Madison 14 7 0 0 0 21

How the bets settled

MoneylineTroy wonClosed at +675
SpreadTroy coveredTroy +17.5, by 20.5
TotalUnder 52.545 scored, 7.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Troy beat James Madison 24-21 in overtime, after a 14-0 Troy third quarter and a scoreless fourth set up a 3-0 extra period. The Trojans trailed 21-7 at halftime and then erased the deficit, with the game decided in overtime.

Camden Coleman threw for 175 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for James Madison, while Seth Cromwell ran for 135 yards and a score. Troy’s Jaheim Merriweather ran for 84 yards and a touchdown, and Keno Jones made 13 tackles. James Madison outgained Troy 408-349 but lost the turnover battle 5-1, with three interceptions and two lost fumbles, which helped Troy overcome the yardage gap.

On the closing line, Troy covered the 17.5-point spread by 20.5, and the game stayed under 52.5 by 7.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

James MadisonTroy
The score margin against the closing spread (James Madison -17.5). Blue: James Madison covering. Orange: Troy covering.
+20.5Largest TROY cover
100%TROY covering
+0Largest JMU cover
0%JMU covering

Win probability

James MadisonTroy
Blue: James Madison favored. Orange: Troy favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Troy

  • Passing YardsTucker Kilcrease15/31, 179 YDS
  • Rushing YardsJaheim Merriweather13 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsNoreel White3 REC, 64 YDS
  • SacksDelvin Whitaker1
  • TacklesKeno Jones13

James Madison

  • Passing YardsCamden Coleman14/25, 175 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing YardsSeth Cromwell23 CAR, 135 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsMichael Scott4 REC, 68 YDS
  • SacksAmar Thomas2
  • TacklesRasheed Lovelace7

Team stats

TroyJames Madison
349Total yards408
179Passing yards247
170Rushing yards161
17First downs17
4-15Third downs7-18
1Turnovers5
7-44Penalties10-71
32:35Possession27:25

Box score

Troy Trojans

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Tucker Kilcrease 15/31 179 5.8 0 0 20.8
Total 15/31 179 5.8 0 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Jaheim Merriweather 13 84 6.5 1 28
Tucker Kilcrease 17 40 2.4 0 18
Gavin Griffin 11 38 3.5 1 10
Jordan Lovett 4 8 2.0 0 5
Total 45 170 3.8 2 28

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Noreel White 3 64 21.3 0 28
Howard Kinchen 2 31 15.5 0 24
Jace Petty 1 28 28.0 0 28
Mojo Dortch 2 23 11.5 0 13
Jaheim Merriweather 3 12 4.0 0 5
Fabian Rogosch 1 9 9.0 0 9
TJ Lott 2 9 4.5 0 7
Jordan Lovett 1 3 3.0 0 3
Total 15 179 11.9 0 28

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Keno Jones 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
Justin Powe 7 6 0 0 2 0 1
Jordan Perry 7 4 0 0 0 0 0
TJ Thompson 7 2 0 0.5 0 0 0
Shemar Welch 6 4 0 0.5 0 0 0
Jonathan Pennix 5 5 0 1 1 0 0
Donnie Smith 5 4 1 1 1 1 0
RaKeem Davis 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Jon Bocchino 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
Delvin Whitaker 3 2 1 1 0 0 0
Jamarion Keyes 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Marcus Goree Jr. 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Doug Nelson 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Ty Clemons 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Bryce Steele 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Luke Hodge 1 1 0 0 1 0 0
Keyshawn Campbell 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kavion Henderson 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Miquon Merriweather 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jabari Strait 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Knai Cook 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kam Curry 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
Total 79 49 2 4 5 2 1

James Madison Dukes

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Camden Coleman 14/25 175 7.0 2 2 23.0
JC Evans 8/10 72 7.2 0 1 21.0
Total 22/35 247 7.1 2 3 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Seth Cromwell 23 135 5.9 1 25
Nick Herman 7 15 2.1 0 7
JC Evans 7 12 1.7 0 7
Camden Coleman 5 -1 -0.2 0 7
Total 42 161 3.8 1 25

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Michael Scott 4 68 17.0 0 43
Braeden Wisloski 4 62 15.5 1 31
Jeremiah Harrison 3 38 12.7 0 14
Noah Grevious 1 19 19.0 0 19
Seth Cromwell 2 19 9.5 0 14
Corey Scott 3 15 5.0 1 7
Cole Keller 2 13 6.5 0 9
Nick Herman 2 12 6.0 0 6
Jackson McCarter 1 1 1.0 0 1
Total 22 247 11.2 2 43

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Nakian Jackson 7 6 0 1.5 0 2 0
TJ McGill 7 4 0 0 0 0 0
Rasheed Lovelace 7 2 0 0 0 1 0
Amar Thomas 6 5 2 2 0 0 0
DJ Kelly 6 3 0 0 1 0 0
JT Hooten 6 3 0 1 0 0 0
Turner Schmidt 5 2 0 1 0 0 0
Gannon Weathersby 5 1 0 0.5 0 0 0
Kei’Trone Simpson 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
LaRon Dues 3 3 0 0 1 0 0
Kells Bush 3 1 1 1 0 0 0
Danny Royster 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Seth Gathers 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Mychal McMullin 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
KJ Flowe 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Ken Willis 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Ernest Willor Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
Chase Regan 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jakolbi Wilson 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Terrence Jones 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jamal Olford 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Total 74 40 3 7 4 4 0

Attendance 25,005

Recap: Hayden Wolfe’s field goal in OT lifts Troy to 24-21 victory over James Madison (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Troy vs James Madison on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Troy vs James Madison pre-game preview

The market lists James Madison as a -1050 moneyline favorite, with the spread at JMU -19.5 and the total at 49.5 after opening at JMU -17.5 and 52.5. The last meeting was December 5, 2025, when Troy lost 14-31 on the road. In the last two head-to-head meetings, Troy is 0-2 straight up, 1-0 against the spread, with the over/under at 0-1.

James Madison is 7-1 and 6-2 ATS this season, and 9-1 and 6-3 ATS over its last 10, most recently losing 31-34 at App State. Troy is 3-4 and 2-5 ATS this season, and 5-5 and 3-5 ATS over its last 10, most recently losing 14-21 to UL Monroe.

The defensive ranks offer a split: JMU allows 18.3 points per game (rank 24) but 242.5 passing yards (rank 110), while Troy allows 203 passing yards (rank 55) and 128.6 rushing yards (rank 52). TJ Lott over 18.5 receiving yards at -110 cleared in 5 of last 6, and Braeden Wisloski over 29.5 receiving yards at -112 cleared in 6 of last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Troy Trojans

Goose Crowder QB174.2 pass yds · 1.3 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/24 vs ULM 6/14 50 0 1 22
10/17 @ UL 9/16 65 0 0 25
10/7 vs USM 18/21 225 2 0 145
9/26 @ USU 25/49 226 1 3 48
9/19 @ MIZ 18/32 230 2 1 -11
Splits Season Road 2025 vs JMU
Pass yds 166.0 (7) 173.7 (3) 165.9 (8) 196.0 (1)
196
Pass TD 1.3 (7) 1.0 (3) 1.4 (8) 0.0 (1)
0

Gavin Griffin RB56.9 rush yds · 2.0 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 vs ULM 11 39 1 2 10
10/17 @ UL 7 22 0 – –
10/7 vs USM 15 78 1 2 20
9/26 @ USU 11 66 0 2 16
9/19 @ MIZ 17 56 0 – –
Splits Season Road 2025 vs JMU
Rush yds 56.9 (7) 48.0 (3) – –
Rec 2.0 (3) 2.0 (1) – –

TK Keyes WR2.6 rec · 56.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/17 @ UL – 1 12 0
9/26 @ USU – 3 20 0
9/19 @ MIZ – 2 83 1
9/12 vs ALST – 5 119 1
9/5 vs SHSU – 2 48 1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs JMU
Rec 2.6 (5) 2.0 (3) – –
Rec yds 56.4 (5) 38.3 (3) – –
RaRa Thomas WR3.2 rec · 51.8 yds per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs JMU
Rec – – 3.0 (13) 3.0 (1)
3
Rec yds – – 48.4 (13) 82.0 (1)
82

James Madison Dukes

Camden Coleman QB195.1 pass yds · 1.8 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/22 @ APP 21/37 225 1 1 11
10/17 vs GAST 13/19 185 2 0 26
10/11 @ GASO 16/27 171 1 0 -14
10/3 vs MRSH 21/32 263 3 0 45
9/26 @ ODU 24/42 243 4 1 17
Splits Season Home 2025 vs TROY
Pass yds 195.1 (8) 169.0 (4) – –
Pass TD 1.8 (8) 1.5 (4) – –

George Pettaway RB82.8 rush yds · 1.9 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/22 @ APP 15 57 1 2 13
10/17 vs GAST 14 119 1 – –
10/11 @ GASO 21 151 0 2 13
10/3 vs MRSH 14 206 2 – –
9/26 @ ODU 16 110 0 3 24
Splits Season Home 2025 vs TROY
Rush yds 101.5 (8) 103.0 (4) 24.1 (8) –
–
Rec 2.0 (4) – 1.4 (5) 1.0 (1)
1

Corey Scott WR3.3 rec · 52.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/22 @ APP – 1 31 0
10/17 vs GAST – 1 44 0
10/3 vs MRSH – 5 104 2
9/26 @ ODU – 4 57 1
9/20 @ SDSU – 5 55 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs TROY
Rec 3.3 (7) 3.3 (4) – –
Rec yds 52.0 (7) 55.3 (4) – –
Nick DeGennaro WR2.6 rec · 45.6 yds per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs TROY
Rec – – 2.6 (9) 2.0 (1)
2
Rec yds – – 45.6 (9) 24.0 (1)
24

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Troy 3-4 2-5 1-6 3-1 0-3
James Madison 7-1 6-2 5-3 4-0 3-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Troy vs James Madison head-to-head

Troy are 0-2, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Troy lost 14-31 on December 5, 2025.

Date Venue Troy result ATS O/U
Dec 5, 25 James Madison home L 14-31 W +24.5 U 47.5
Sep 16, 23 Troy home L 14-16 – –

Recent form

Troy Trojans: last 10 (5-5, 3-5 ATS, O/U 1-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs ULM L 14-21 L -13.5 U 50.5
Oct 17, 26 @ UL L 6-33 L +3 U 49.5
Oct 6, 26 vs USM W 55-34 W -9.5 O 51.5
Sep 26, 26 @ USU L 10-21 L +3 U 47.5
Sep 19, 26 @ MIZ L 17-27 W +26.5 U 49.5
Sep 12, 26 vs ALST W 34-17 L -23.5 U 52.5
Sep 5, 26 vs SHSU W 24-21 L -15.5 U 52.5
Dec 5, 25 @ JMU L 14-31 W +24.5 U 47.5
Nov 29, 25 @ USM W 28-18 – –
Nov 22, 25 vs GAST W 31-19 – –

James Madison Dukes: last 10 (9-1, 6-3 ATS, O/U 5-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 22, 26 @ APP L 31-34 L -12.5 O 56.5
Oct 17, 26 vs GAST W 49-22 W -7.5 O 57.5
Oct 10, 26 @ GASO W 27-24 L -7 U 51.5
Oct 3, 26 vs MRSH W 45-17 W -14.5 O 55.5
Sep 26, 26 @ ODU W 46-20 W -7 O 44.5
Sep 19, 26 @ SDSU W 26-13 W +3 U 46.5
Sep 12, 26 vs WAG W 87-3 W -46.5 O 56.5
Sep 5, 26 vs LIB W 20-13 W -6 U 50.5
Dec 5, 25 vs TROY W 31-14 L -24.5 U 47.5
Nov 29, 25 @ CCU W 59-10 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:19 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Troy defense James Madison defense
Points allowed per game 24.4 (67th of 136) 18.9 (28th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 206.8 (58th of 136) 235.4 (103rd of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 131.3 (53rd of 136) 115.1 (32nd of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 338 (50th of 136) 350.6 (62nd of 136)

Venue and weather

Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VAOutdoor
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Troy vs James Madison odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
James Madison spread -17.5 -17.5 –
Total 52.5 52.5 –
Troy moneyline +700 +675 +0.4% win chance
James Madison moneyline -1100 -1050 -0.4% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

James Madison spread -19.5 → -17.5
Total 49.5 → 52
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