Islanders vs Wild Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 29, 2026)

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New York Islanders logo

Islanders6-6 · 7-5 ATS12th in the East
FINAL4 – 3
Minnesota Wild logo

Wild9-5 · 9-5 ATS2nd in the West

NHL · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Grand Casino Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 OT T
Islanders 1 1 1 1 4
Wild 1 1 1 0 3

How the bets settled

MoneylineIslanders wonClosed at +180
SpreadIslanders coveredIslanders +1.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 5.57 scored, 1.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The New York Islanders beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3, with the game decided in the fourth period after the teams traded goals through the first three. Matthew Schaefer led the Islanders with two goals and an assist, while Quinn Hughes had a goal and an assist for Minnesota.

The team stats explain the edge. The Islanders won 56.9 percent of faceoffs, converted one of two power plays, and protected the puck better, while Minnesota went 0 for 3 with the man advantage and gave it away more often. Shots were even, but New York’s special teams and faceoff control made the difference in a one-goal game.

For bettors, the Islanders covered the closing spread by 2.5 as Wild -1.5 failed, and the closing total of 5.5 went over by 1.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

WildIslanders
The score margin against the closing spread (Wild -1.5). Blue: Wild covering. Orange: Islanders covering.
+2.5Largest NYI cover
100%NYI covering
+0Largest MIN cover
0%MIN covering

Top performers

Islanders

  • GoalsMatthew Schaefer2
  • AssistsMatthew Schaefer1
  • PointsMatthew Schaefer3

Wild

  • GoalsQuinn Hughes1
  • AssistsQuinn Hughes1
  • PointsQuinn Hughes2

Team stats

IslandersWild
26Shots26
56.9%Faceoffs won43.1%
1Power play goals0
30Hits31
14Blocked shots12
4Takeaways6
16Giveaways23
6Penalty minutes4

Box score

New York IslandersMinnesota Wild

New York Islanders

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Mitchell Chaffee RW 0 0 0 0 -1 8:57 14 3 0 0 1 0 0.0
Casey Cizikas C 0 0 0 2 -1 11:02 18 1 0 0 0 0 80.0
Anthony Duclair LW 0 0 0 3 -1 14:07 21 0 0 1 0 0 0.0
Victor Eklund RW 0 1 0 0 1 12:52 18 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Emil Heineman LW 0 1 0 2 1 17:09 21 4 0 0 0 0 0.0
Simon Holmstrom RW 0 1 0 2 1 20:18 25 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Bo Horvat C 1 0 0 3 -1 20:57 28 2 2 1 0 0 64.7
Kyle MacLean C 0 0 0 0 0 9:02 14 5 0 0 1 0 0.0
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C 0 1 0 1 0 15:56 27 0 1 0 1 2 60.0
Ondrej Palat LW 0 0 0 0 -2 15:44 23 3 1 0 0 0 50.0
Kyle Palmieri C 0 0 0 2 0 17:03 25 3 1 0 1 2 0.0
Brayden Schenn C 0 0 0 1 2 14:18 19 2 1 1 3 0 45.5

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Tony DeAngelo D 0 0 0 0 1 21:26 29 1 1 1 1 0 0.0
Scott Mayfield D 0 0 0 1 0 15:51 21 1 1 0 3 0 0.0
Adam Pelech D 1 0 0 3 -1 23:49 32 1 2 0 1 2 0.0
Ryan Pulock D 0 0 0 0 0 0:51 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Matthew Schaefer D 2 1 0 6 0 30:01 35 1 2 0 4 0 0.0
Logan Stanley D 0 0 0 0 -1 26:16 31 0 2 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Ilya Sorokin G 3 26 0 0 23 .885 18 5 0 60:33 0 0

Minnesota Wild

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Matt Boldy LW 1 0 0 4 2 21:10 21 0 0 2 3 0 50.0
Bobby Brink RW 0 0 0 1 1 14:48 15 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Blake Coleman LW 0 0 0 1 1 16:16 16 3 1 0 1 0 50.0
Joel Eriksson Ek C 1 0 0 3 1 17:12 21 2 0 0 1 2 35.7
Ryan Hartman RW 0 1 0 2 1 13:09 16 1 2 0 2 0 45.5
Kirill Kaprizov LW 0 1 0 3 0 21:50 23 2 0 0 2 0 0.0
Michael McCarron C 0 0 0 3 -1 12:12 14 2 1 0 0 0 42.9
Tyler Pitlick C 0 0 0 0 0 6:41 11 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Maxim Shabanov RW 0 0 0 0 -1 17:49 15 1 1 1 3 0 0.0
Nico Sturm C 0 0 0 0 -1 10:04 13 5 0 0 1 0 100.0
Yakov Trenin C 0 0 0 0 -1 15:04 16 4 0 0 2 0 100.0
Danila Yurov RW 0 0 0 3 -1 18:02 16 1 0 1 0 0 33.3

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Zach Bogosian D 0 0 0 0 -1 16:05 23 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Jonas Brodin D 0 1 0 1 1 23:36 24 2 3 1 1 0 0.0
Quinn Hughes D 1 1 0 4 0 33:41 27 1 1 0 2 0 0.0
Matt Kiersted D 0 0 0 0 0 13:45 17 1 1 1 2 0 0.0
Olli Maatta D 0 0 0 1 0 16:58 23 0 1 0 2 2 0.0
David Spacek D 0 0 0 0 1 10:33 15 0 1 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Jesper Wallstedt G 4 26 0 0 22 .846 22 0 0 60:33 0 0

Attendance 18,155 · Officials: Chris Rooney, David Brisebois, Andrew Smith, Stephen Hiff

Recap: Schaefer scores his 2nd goal of the game in OT to lift Islanders past Wild, 4-3 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Wild have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 4 straight Wild games.
  • Wild are 3-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Islanders vs Wild on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Islanders vs Wild pre-game preview

The market lists Minnesota as a -184 moneyline favorite, with the Wild at -1.5 on the spread and a 5.5 total. New York’s last meeting with Minnesota was a 4-3 road win on January 10, 2026. In the last six head-to-heads, the Islanders are 2-4 straight up and 1-2 against the spread, with the over going 2-1.

Recent form favors Minnesota. The Wild are 9-5 straight up and 9-5 ATS this season, 7-3 and 6-4 ATS over their last 10, and most recently won 3-1 at Utah on October 27. The Islanders are 6-6 and 7-5 ATS this season, 5-5 and 5-5 ATS over their last 10, and most recently won 4-3 at Nashville on October 27.

A useful angle is the defensive matchup: Minnesota allows 2.21 goals per game (third fewest) and 25.07 shots per game (seventh fewest), while New York allows 2.58 goals (fifth fewest). Pace also splits, with Minnesota at 56.4 (rank 7) and New York at 52.4 (rank 26). Minnesota’s injury report includes Brock Faber, Filip Gustavsson, Nick Foligno, Marcus Foligno and Jared Spurgeon, a context worth monitoring alongside Kirill Kaprizov’s over 0.5 goals prop, which has cleared in 8 of his last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

New York Islanders

Bo Horvat C1.1 PTS · 3.2 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/27 @ NSH 26:04 1 0 2 2
10/25 @ DAL 19:18 0 2 2 0
10/22 vs LAK 21:33 0 0 5 0
10/20 vs ANA 21:35 0 1 3 1
10/17 @ TOR 24:21 1 1 2 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIN
PTS 1.1 (12) 1.2 (6) 0.8 (68) 1.0 (1)
1
SOG 3.2 (12) 2.7 (6) 3.3 (68) 4.0 (1)
4

Matthew Schaefer D0.9 PTS · 3.7 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/27 @ NSH 32:16 0 1 2 1
10/25 @ DAL 26:16 1 0 1 0
10/22 vs LAK 29:24 1 0 9 1
10/20 vs ANA 26:20 0 1 1 0
10/17 @ TOR 24:21 0 1 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIN
PTS 0.9 (12) 0.5 (6) 0.7 (82) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0
SOG 3.7 (12) 2.7 (6) 2.7 (82) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1

Brayden Schenn C0.8 PTS · 2.0 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/27 @ NSH 19:15 1 0 1 3
10/25 @ DAL 16:10 1 0 2 5
10/22 vs LAK 17:17 0 1 3 0
10/20 vs ANA 16:03 0 1 2 0
10/17 @ TOR 19:39 0 0 2 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIN
PTS 0.8 (12) 0.7 (6) 0.5 (80) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 2.0 (12) 1.5 (6) 1.5 (80) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1

Minnesota Wild

Kirill Kaprizov L1.6 PTS · 3.4 SOG · 1.0 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/27 @ UTA 24:36 1 1 4 2
10/25 @ VAN 21:53 1 1 2 1
10/24 @ SEA 17:54 1 1 4 0
10/22 @ CGY 24:54 0 0 4 2
10/20 @ EDM 21:49 1 1 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 1.6 (14) 1.8 (4) 1.2 (89) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2
SOG 3.4 (14) 4.5 (4) 3.3 (89) 4.0 (2)
7 · 1

Quinn Hughes D1.3 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/27 @ UTA 29:54 0 2 2 0
10/25 @ VAN 26:10 1 1 3 1
10/24 @ SEA 22:49 0 1 1 0
10/22 @ CGY 31:04 0 0 4 0
10/20 @ EDM 31:18 0 1 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 1.3 (14) 1.5 (4) 1.1 (85) 3.0 (1)
3
SOG 2.9 (14) 3.5 (4) 2.4 (85) 8.0 (1)
8

Matt Boldy L0.9 PTS · 4.4 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/27 @ UTA 22:04 0 1 2 1
10/25 @ VAN 22:40 0 1 3 1
10/24 @ SEA 17:14 0 1 5 0
10/22 @ CGY 25:05 0 0 7 1
10/20 @ EDM 22:31 0 2 3 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 0.9 (14) 1.3 (4) 1.1 (87) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 4.4 (14) 5.3 (4) 3.4 (87) 3.5 (2)
6 · 1

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Islanders 6-6 7-5 5-7 4-2 2-4
Wild 9-5 9-5 4-10 4-0 5-5

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Islanders vs Wild head-to-head

Islanders are 2-4, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Islanders won 4-3 on January 10, 2026.

Date Venue Islanders result ATS O/U
Jan 10, 26 Wild home W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Nov 7, 25 Islanders home L 2-5 – –
Apr 4, 25 Islanders home W 3-1 – –
Feb 8, 25 Wild home L 3-6 – –
Jan 15, 24 Wild home L 0-5 L +1.5 U 5.5
Nov 7, 23 Islanders home L 2-4 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

New York Islanders: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 27, 26 @ NSH W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 25, 26 @ DAL L 3-6 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs LA L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs ANA W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ TOR W 4-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ OTT L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 13, 26 vs VAN W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 10, 26 vs TB L 3-5 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 8, 26 vs CHI W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 6, 26 @ NYR L 2-5 L +1.5 O 5.5

Minnesota Wild: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 27, 26 @ UTA W 3-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 25, 26 @ VAN W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ SEA W 5-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ CGY L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ EDM L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 18, 26 vs CBJ W 2-1 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs STL W 5-4 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 13, 26 @ WPG L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 12, 26 vs VGK W 4-2 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 10, 26 @ FLA W 4-1 W +1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

New York Islanders

  • Calum Ritchie (C): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Mathew Barzal (C): Injured Reserve, Barzal
  • Alexander Romanov (D): Injured Reserve, Knee
  • Matias Maccelli (L): Injured Reserve, Maccelli

Minnesota Wild

  • Nick Foligno (L): Injured Reserve, Upper Body
  • Marcus Foligno (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Brock Faber (D): Injured Reserve, Faber
  • Jared Spurgeon (D): Injured Reserve, Undisclosed
  • Filip Gustavsson (G): Injured Reserve, Head coach John Hynes said Sunday that Gustavsson

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Islanders defense Wild defense
Goals allowed per game 2.71 (5th of 32) 2.25 (3rd of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 26.21 (11th of 32) 25.25 (8th of 32)
Points allowed per game 7.29 (6th of 32) 6 (3rd of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.5 (7th of 32) 1.56 (9th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 52.4 (26th) 56.4 (7th)

Venue and weather

Grand Casino Arena · Saint Paul, MNIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Islanders vs Wild odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Wild spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 5.5 5.5 –
Islanders moneyline +164 +180 -2.2% win chance
Wild moneyline -198 -218 +2.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Wild spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 5.5 → 5.5
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More on these teams: Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals Nov 1 · Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Oct 31 · Minnesota Wild vs Utah Mammoth Oct 27 · New York Islanders vs Nashville Predators Oct 27 · All NHL prop picks

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