How the bets settled
Match report
Werder Bremen beat TSG Hoffenheim 2-0, with second-half goals from N. Füllkrug and E. Dinkci deciding the match. Füllkrug scored on 57 minutes after K. Hein assisted, and Dinkci made it 2-0 on 82 minutes with M. Grull providing the assist.
Bremen edged the expected goals 1.28 to 1.09 despite holding 41% possession, and led total shots 17-16 and shots on target 4-2. Big chances were level at 1-1, while Bremen took 8 corners to Hoffenheim’s 4.
The clean sheet ran against Bremen’s 0% clean-sheet rate and the pre-match both-teams-to-score figures of 100% and 86%, with yes priced -300 and no +230. The two-goal total also fell below the over 2.5 rates of 86% and 100%. Bremen entered on WDDWD and Hoffenheim on WWLLW, and Füllkrug and Dinkci supplied the decisive player moments.
Goals
- 57′ N. Fullkrug, assist K. Hein Werder Bremen
- 82′ E. Dinkci, assist M. Grull Werder Bremen
| Match stats | Werder Bremen | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession | 41% | 59% |
| Total shots | 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 2 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 4 |
| Passes | 72% (268/370) | 82% (433/527) |
| Yellow cards | 3 | 0 |
How the key matchups went
- Weiser: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Daghim: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Grull: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Abraha: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Fullkrug: 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Kabak: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Machida: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Rots: 0 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Abraha: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Deman: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Daghim: 3 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Arthur: 1 foul committed, 5 tackles, 1 yellow card.
- Hlozek: 3 shots, 2 shots on target, 1 foul won. Pieper: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Friedl: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 1 yellow card.
- Asllani: 7 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Pieper: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Friedl: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 1 yellow card.
Box score
Werder Bremen
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0.50 | 3 | 16/29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 29/39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 33/36 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 26/32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.8 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 24/32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 5 | 23/29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | |
| 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 32/39 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 1 | 21/30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | |
| 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 21/29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 24/40 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7.6 | |
| Stalmach D. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Wojcik O. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Schmetgens M. | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Lynen S. | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2/8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Dinkci E. | 74 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 15/23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
Hoffenheim
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 39/45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 1 | 27/36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 56/63 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 22/36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 56/62 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 38/43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | |
| 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 49/55 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 87 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 22/28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | |
| 60 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 13/20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 60/68 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 3 | 39/55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | |
| Lenz C. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Lemperle T. | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 9/10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Zor Y. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Lassig V. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Fields J. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
StatsBench picks
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Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim pre-game preview
Werder Bremen host TSG Hoffenheim in Bundesliga action Saturday. Werder Bremen are the moneyline favorite at +145, with the draw at +300 and Hoffenheim at +185, and the total sits at 3.5.
The last meeting went to Hoffenheim 1-0 on May 9, 2026. Bremen enter with league form WDDWD (3-3-1, seventh, 12 points), while Hoffenheim’s form is WWLLW (3-0-4, tenth, nine points).
The matchup profiles as high-event: Bremen have seen both teams score in 100% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 86%, while Hoffenheim are at 86% both teams to score and 100% over 2.5. Niclas Füllkrug’s anytime goal prop is +105 after clearing in 6 of last 7; injuries include Keke Topp and Salim Musah out for Bremen and Patrick Wimmer, Albian Hajdari and Nathan De Cat out for Hoffenheim.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
TSG Hoffenheim 3-5-2
1 Hein
13 Arthur
5 Pieper
32 Friedl (C)
2 Deman
15 Reis
44 Regeer
8 Weiser
20 Chuki
17 Grull
10 Fullkrug
1 Baumann
5 Kabak
28 Machida
39 Rots
29 Abraha
27 Kramaric
7 Avdullahu
18 Burger
14 Daghim
10 Hlozek
11 AsllaniWerder Bremen missing: F. Agu (calf), S. Alvero (calf), P. Erevbenagie (ankle), S. Musah (muscle), M. N’Diaye (groin), J. Stage (muscle), N. Stark (muscle), K. Topp (knee)
TSG Hoffenheim missing: B. Conte (groin), V. Coufal (muscle), N. De Cat (knee), V. Gendrey (ankle), A. Hajdari (foot), A. Prass (red card), P. Wimmer (thigh)
Form and head to head
Werder Bremen7th in the tableWDDWD3W 3D 1L · 1.71 points a match
TSG Hoffenheim10th in the tableWWLLW3W 0D 4L · 1.29 points a match- May 2026TSG 1-0 SVW
- Jan 2026SVW 0-2 TSG
- Feb 2025SVW 1-3 TSG
- Sep 2024TSG 3-4 SVW
Clean sheets and goal trends
Werder Bremen
Clean sheet0/7
Failed to score0/7
Both scored7/7
Over 2.56/7
TSG Hoffenheim
Clean sheet1/7
Failed to score0/7
Both scored6/7
Over 2.57/7
Recent results
| Werder Bremen | WDDWD | W 3-2 at M05 · D 2-2 vs SC Paderborn 07 · D 2-2 at BVB · W 3-2 vs FCA · D 1-1 at KOE |
|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim | WWLLW | W 3-0 vs B04 · W 2-1 at BMG · L 2-3 vs HSV · L 1-3 at SC Paderborn 07 · W 2-1 vs VFB |
Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Werder Bremen | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 7 (12 pts) | 10 (9 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-3-1 | 3-0-4 |
| Home / away record | 2-1-0 (8-5) home | 1-0-2 (5-7) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Shots / on target per match | 12.57 / 7.00 | 13.29 / 5.43 |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 86% / 86% | 100% / 100% / 57% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.14 | 2.14 |
| Corners per match | 4.27 | 6.24 |
This season, 7 and 7 matches.
Injury report
Werder Bremen: none listed.
TSG Hoffenheim
- Albian Hajdari (D): Out, Meniscus Injury
- Nathan De Cat (M): Out, Meniscus Injury
- Vladimír Coufal (D): Day-To-Day, Physical Discomfort
- Valentin Gendrey (D): Out, Broken Ankle
- Bambasé Conté (M): Out, Muscle Injury
- Patrick Wimmer (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Robin Hranác (D): Out, Knee Injury
Line movement chart
More on these teams: All Bundesliga prop picks
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