How the bets settled
Match report
Manchester City lost 0-1 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion, with Y. Ayari scoring on 11 minutes from an M. De Cuyper assist. Brighton took the lead and held it, finishing with three yellow cards to City’s none.
The match stats showed City with 1.64 expected goals to Brighton’s 1.00, 21 shots to 7, 62% possession and 5 big chances to 4. City also had 6 shots on target to Brighton’s 3 and 8 corners to 2, but could not cancel out Ayari’s early goal.
Before the match both sides had identical LWWWW form, with City top on 21 points and Brighton third on 16. City’s 75% over 2.5 and 63% both-teams-to-score rates were higher than Brighton’s 63% and 25%, and the 0-1 result did not match those scoring lines, while Brighton’s 63% clean-sheet rate was borne out.
Goals
- 11′ Y. Ayari, assist M. De Cuyper Brighton & Hove Albion
| Match stats | Manchester City | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession | 62% | 38% |
| Total shots | 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 3 |
| Big chances | 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 2 |
| Passes | 85% (518/611) | 76% (285/373) |
| Yellow cards | 0 | 3 |
How the key matchups went
- Ndiaye: 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Boscagli: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Doku: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 3 fouls won. Costinha: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Haaland: 4 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Vuskovic: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Dunk: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Gomez: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Gvardiol: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- De Cuyper: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 3 fouls won. Nunes: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Kostoulas: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Khusanov: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Dias: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
Box score
Manchester City
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 24/27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.47 | 1 | 7/13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 2 | 25/32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.14 | 4 | 23/29 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 85/89 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | |
| 79 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 31/36 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 85/100 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 58/66 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 38/45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.6 | |
| 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 | 55/70 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 31/36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | |
| Foden P. | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 5/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Allan Elias | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 10/14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| O’Reilly N. | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 1 | 14/17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Cherki R. | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 2 | 27/32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
Brighton
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.24 | 2 | 15/23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.0 | |
| 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 20/28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 23/26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 84 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 18/29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 35/45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9.0 | |
| 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.52 | 1 | 16/23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | |
| 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 24/30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 17/24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 50/55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 36/43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 13/19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| Wieffer M. | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 7/10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Yalcouye M. | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3/4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Rutter G. | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 | 3/5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Hadjam J. | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Hinshelwood J. | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 1/3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Recap: In-form Brighton inflict back-to-back defeats on Man City (ESPN)
Highlights
StatsBench picks
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Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion pre-game preview
Manchester City host Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday in the Premier League. The three-way moneyline makes Manchester City the home favorite at -135, with the draw at +330 and Brighton at +350, and the total is 3.5. City sit first on 21 points from eight matches, while Brighton are third on 16. The last meeting ended 1-1 on Jan. 7, 2026, and both sides enter on LWWWW league form, though City are 4-0-0 at home and Brighton are 2-0-2 away.
Brighton have seven players out, including Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson, while City are without Antoine Semenyo. City have seen over 2.5 goals in 75% and both teams score in 63%, against Brighton’s 63% over 2.5 and 25% both teams score. For prop research, Erling Haaland’s over 0.5 anytime goal at -115 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and Olivier Boscagli’s over 0.5 fouls won at -160 has cleared in 9 of his last 10.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Manchester City 4-3-3
Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1
1 Donnarumma
27 Nunes
45 Khusanov
3 Dias (C)
24 Gvardiol
32 Bouaddi
5 Anderson
17 Fernandez
7 Ndiaye
9 Haaland
11 Doku
1 Verbruggen
20 Costinha
44 Vuskovic
5 Dunk (C)
21 Boscagli
13 Gross
14 Andres
25 Gomez
26 Ayari
29 De Cuyper
19 KostoulasManchester City missing: A. Semenyo (knee)
Brighton & Hove Albion missing: F. Azeez (abdominal strain), E. Ferguson (ankle), F. Kadioglu (hip), K. Mitoma (hamstring), P. Struijk (rest), S. Tzimas (knee), Z. Yohanna (injury)
Form and head to head
Manchester City1st in the tableLWWWW7W 0D 1L · 2.63 points a match
Brighton & Hove Albion3rd in the tableLWWWW5W 1D 2L · 2.00 points a match- Jan 2026MCI 1-1 BHA
- Aug 2025BHA 2-1 MCI
- Mar 2025MCI 2-2 BHA
- Nov 2024BHA 2-1 MCI
- Apr 2024BHA 0-4 MCI
- Oct 2023MCI 2-1 BHA
Clean sheets and goal trends
Manchester City
Clean sheet3/8
Failed to score0/8
Both scored5/8
Over 2.56/8
Brighton & Hove Albion
Clean sheet5/8
Failed to score1/8
Both scored2/8
Over 2.55/8
Recent results
| Manchester City | LWWWW | L 1-2 at AVL · W 3-2 vs IPS · W 3-0 at LIV · W 5-3 vs SUN · W 1-0 at MUN |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | LWWWW | L 0-2 at LIV · W 5-0 vs CRY · W 2-0 at SUN · W 3-0 vs ARS · W 5-0 at Coventry |
Last five Premier League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Manchester City | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 1 (21 pts) | 3 (16 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-0-1 | 5-1-2 |
| Home / away record | 4-0-0 (11-6) home | 2-0-2 (10-6) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.50 | 2.88 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Shots / on target per match | 11.63 / 5.50 | 15.38 / 5.38 |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 75% / 75% / 38% | 100% / 63% / 50% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 63% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 13% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Corners per match | 5.88 | 5.17 |
This season, 8 and 8 matches.
Referee
Craig Pawson averages 4.3 yellow cards and 25.2 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3).
Injury report
Manchester City
- Antoine Semenyo (M): Out, Leg Injury
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Zadok Yohanna (F): Out, Knock Injury
- Stefanos Tzimas (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Femi Azeez (M): Out, Muscle Injury
- Kaoru Mitoma (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Evan Ferguson (F): Out, Ankle Injury
- Pascal Struijk (D): Out, Lack of Fitness
- Ferdi Kadioglu (D): Out, Hip Injury
Line movement chart
More on these teams: All Premier League prop picks
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