Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

Manchester City logo

Manchester City2nd in the Premier League
FINAL0 – 1
Brighton & Hove Albion logo

Brighton & Hove Albion3rd in the Premier League

Premier League · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 11:00 AM ET

How the bets settled

ResultBrighton & Hove Albion winFinished 0-1
Total goalsUnder 3.51 goal, 2.5 under
Both teams to scoreNoManchester City 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1

Match report

Manchester City lost 0-1 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion, with Y. Ayari scoring on 11 minutes from an M. De Cuyper assist. Brighton took the lead and held it, finishing with three yellow cards to City’s none.

The match stats showed City with 1.64 expected goals to Brighton’s 1.00, 21 shots to 7, 62% possession and 5 big chances to 4. City also had 6 shots on target to Brighton’s 3 and 8 corners to 2, but could not cancel out Ayari’s early goal.

Before the match both sides had identical LWWWW form, with City top on 21 points and Brighton third on 16. City’s 75% over 2.5 and 63% both-teams-to-score rates were higher than Brighton’s 63% and 25%, and the 0-1 result did not match those scoring lines, while Brighton’s 63% clean-sheet rate was borne out.

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Goals

  • 11′ Y. Ayari, assist M. De Cuyper Brighton & Hove Albion
Match stats Manchester City Brighton & Hove Albion
Expected goals (xG) 1.64 1.00
Ball possession 62% 38%
Total shots 21 7
Shots on target 6 3
Big chances 5 4
Corner kicks 8 2
Passes 85% (518/611) 76% (285/373)
Yellow cards 0 3

How the key matchups went

  • Ndiaye: 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Boscagli: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • Doku: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 3 fouls won. Costinha: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • Haaland: 4 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Vuskovic: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Dunk: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • Gomez: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Gvardiol: 1 foul committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • De Cuyper: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 3 fouls won. Nunes: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
  • Kostoulas: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Khusanov: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Dias: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

Manchester City

Player MIN G A SH SOT xG KP PAS TKL FC FS YC SV RAT
Bouaddi A. 55 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 24/27 0 0 1 0 0 5.7
Haaland E. 90 0 0 4 1 0.47 1 7/13 0 0 0 0 0 6.8
Fernandez E. 64 0 0 2 0 0.12 2 25/32 0 0 0 0 0 6.7
Doku J. 90 0 0 3 1 0.14 4 23/29 3 0 3 0 0 8.0
Khusanov A. 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 1 85/89 2 1 0 0 0 7.7
Ndiaye I. 79 0 0 4 2 0.42 0 31/36 1 0 2 0 0 6.4
Dias R. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 85/100 1 0 1 0 0 6.2
Anderson E. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 3 58/66 4 4 2 0 0 7.4
Donnarumma G. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 38/45 0 0 0 0 2 6.6
Gvardiol J. 79 0 0 1 0 0.03 2 55/70 3 1 0 0 0 6.9
Nunes M. 90 0 0 1 1 0.15 1 31/36 1 1 1 0 0 5.9
Foden P. 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 5/5 0 0 0 0 0 6.5
Allan Elias 11 0 0 1 0 0.02 1 10/14 1 1 1 0 0 6.5
O’Reilly N. 26 0 0 2 0 0.18 1 14/17 3 1 1 0 0 7.0
Cherki R. 35 0 0 2 0 0.07 2 27/32 0 0 0 0 0 6.8

Brighton

Player MIN G A SH SOT xG KP PAS TKL FC FS YC SV RAT
De Cuyper M. 72 0 1 2 1 0.24 2 15/23 2 1 3 1 0 7.0
Boscagli O. 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 20/28 0 0 0 0 0 6.5
Gross P. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 23/26 1 1 0 1 0 6.1
Gomez D. 84 0 0 2 1 0.06 0 18/29 2 2 0 0 0 5.7
Verbruggen B. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 35/45 0 0 0 0 7 9.0
Ayari Y. 90 1 0 1 1 0.52 1 16/23 2 0 2 0 0 7.8
Andres C. 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 24/30 5 1 0 1 0 6.9
Costinha 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 17/24 3 1 0 0 0 6.4
Dunk L. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 50/55 0 0 1 0 0 6.4
Vuskovic L. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 36/43 0 0 0 0 0 6.9
Kostoulas C. 72 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 13/19 1 3 1 0 0 6.2
Wieffer M. 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 7/10 0 1 0 0 0 6.4
Yalcouye M. 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 3/4 3 0 1 0 0 6.8
Rutter G. 6 0 0 1 0 0.04 1 3/5 1 1 0 0 0 –
Hadjam J. 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 4/6 2 1 0 0 0 6.7
Hinshelwood J. 18 0 0 1 0 0.14 0 1/3 0 1 1 0 0 6.3

Recap: In-form Brighton inflict back-to-back defeats on Man City (ESPN)

Highlights

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion pre-game preview

Manchester City host Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday in the Premier League. The three-way moneyline makes Manchester City the home favorite at -135, with the draw at +330 and Brighton at +350, and the total is 3.5. City sit first on 21 points from eight matches, while Brighton are third on 16. The last meeting ended 1-1 on Jan. 7, 2026, and both sides enter on LWWWW league form, though City are 4-0-0 at home and Brighton are 2-0-2 away.

Brighton have seven players out, including Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson, while City are without Antoine Semenyo. City have seen over 2.5 goals in 75% and both teams score in 63%, against Brighton’s 63% over 2.5 and 25% both teams score. For prop research, Erling Haaland’s over 0.5 anytime goal at -115 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and Olivier Boscagli’s over 0.5 fouls won at -160 has cleared in 9 of his last 10.

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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Manchester City 4-3-3Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

1 Donnarumma
27 Nunes
45 Khusanov
3 Dias (C)
24 Gvardiol
32 Bouaddi
5 Anderson
17 Fernandez
7 Ndiaye
9 Haaland
11 Doku
1 Verbruggen
20 Costinha
44 Vuskovic
5 Dunk (C)
21 Boscagli
13 Gross
14 Andres
25 Gomez
26 Ayari
29 De Cuyper
19 Kostoulas

Manchester City missing: A. Semenyo (knee)

Brighton & Hove Albion missing: F. Azeez (abdominal strain), E. Ferguson (ankle), F. Kadioglu (hip), K. Mitoma (hamstring), P. Struijk (rest), S. Tzimas (knee), Z. Yohanna (injury)

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Form and head to head

Manchester City1st in the tableLWWWW7W 0D 1L · 2.63 points a match
6meetings

2 wins2 draws2 wins
Brighton & Hove Albion3rd in the tableLWWWW5W 1D 2L · 2.00 points a match
100%Over 1.56/6
83%Over 2.55/6
33%Over 3.52/6
83%Both scored5/6
  • Jan 2026MCI 1-1 BHA
  • Aug 2025BHA 2-1 MCI
  • Mar 2025MCI 2-2 BHA
  • Nov 2024BHA 2-1 MCI
  • Apr 2024BHA 0-4 MCI
  • Oct 2023MCI 2-1 BHA

Clean sheets and goal trends

Manchester City

38%

Clean sheet3/8

0%

Failed to score0/8

63%

Both scored5/8

75%

Over 2.56/8

Brighton & Hove Albion

63%

Clean sheet5/8

13%

Failed to score1/8

25%

Both scored2/8

63%

Over 2.55/8

Recent results

Manchester City LWWWW L 1-2 at AVL · W 3-2 vs IPS · W 3-0 at LIV · W 5-3 vs SUN · W 1-0 at MUN
Brighton & Hove Albion LWWWW L 0-2 at LIV · W 5-0 vs CRY · W 2-0 at SUN · W 3-0 vs ARS · W 5-0 at Coventry

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Manchester City Brighton & Hove Albion
Table 1 (21 pts) 3 (16 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 7-0-1 5-1-2
Home / away record 4-0-0 (11-6) home 2-0-2 (10-6) away
Goals scored per match 2.50 2.88
Goals conceded per match 1.13 0.88
Shots / on target per match 11.63 / 5.50 15.38 / 5.38
Both teams scored 63% 25%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 75% / 75% / 38% 100% / 63% / 50%
Clean sheets 38% 63%
Failed to score 0% 13%
Yellow cards per match 1.63 2.13
Corners per match 5.88 5.17

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Craig Pawson averages 4.3 yellow cards and 25.2 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3).

Injury report

Manchester City

  • Antoine Semenyo (M): Out, Leg Injury

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • Zadok Yohanna (F): Out, Knock Injury
  • Stefanos Tzimas (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Femi Azeez (M): Out, Muscle Injury
  • Kaoru Mitoma (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Evan Ferguson (F): Out, Ankle Injury
  • Pascal Struijk (D): Out, Lack of Fitness
  • Ferdi Kadioglu (D): Out, Hip Injury
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Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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