Illinois vs Maryland Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

Illinois Fighting Illini logo

Illinois4-3 · 3-4 ATS
FINAL20 – 17
Maryland Terrapins logo

Maryland2-5 · 3-4 ATS

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · SECU Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Illinois 0 7 3 10 20
Maryland 7 0 7 3 17

How the bets settled

MoneylineIllinois wonFinished 20-17
SpreadIllinois coveredIllinois -2.5, by 0.5
TotalUnder 53.537 scored, 16.5 under

The last line we recorded before the start.

Game review

Illinois beat Maryland 20-17 on October 31, and the game turned in the fourth quarter. Maryland carried a 14-10 lead into the final period, but Illinois closed with a 10-3 edge to decide it after the teams were tied 7-7 at halftime.

Katin Houser led Illinois with 223 passing yards and a touchdown, Collin Dixon caught six passes for 103 yards, and Javari Barnett turned six carries into 80 yards and a score. Maryland got 190 passing yards from Malik Washington and a rushing touchdown from DeJuan Williams, while Chris Durr Jr. added 58 receiving yards and Lavain Scruggs made 10 tackles. Illinois controlled the game on the ground and in total yards, outgaining Maryland 407-288, rushing for 184 yards at 5.6 per carry, and forcing two turnovers while committing one.

The closing Maryland 3 spread was a push, so neither side covered. The 54.5 total went under by 17.5. StatsBench’s posted picks had Kaden Feagin’s over 5.5 receiving yards win with 40, while Ty Robinson’s over 4.5 receiving yards was void.

How our picks did

  • Kaden Feagin OVER 5.5 REC YDS (-120): WON (40)
  • Ty Robinson OVER 4.5 REC YDS (-125): VOID

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

MarylandIllinois
The score margin against the closing spread (Maryland +2.5). Blue: Maryland covering. Orange: Illinois covering.
+0.5Largest ILL cover
8%ILL covering
+9.5Largest MD cover
92%MD covering

Win probability

MarylandIllinois
Blue: Maryland favored. Orange: Illinois favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Illinois

  • Passing YardsKatin Houser18/32, 223 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsJavari Barnett6 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsCollin Dixon6 REC, 103 YDS
  • SacksDaniel Brown0.5
  • TacklesJames Kreutz7

Maryland

  • Passing YardsMalik Washington19/29, 190 YDS, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsDeJuan Williams19 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsChris Durr Jr.6 REC, 58 YDS
  • TacklesLavain Scruggs10

Team stats

IllinoisMaryland
407Total yards288
223Passing yards190
184Rushing yards98
20First downs17
4-11Third downs6-14
1Turnovers2
3-15Penalties1-5
29:46Possession30:14

Box score

Illinois Fighting Illini

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Katin Houser 18/32 223 7.0 1 1 53.6
Total 18/32 223 7.0 1 1 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Javari Barnett 6 80 13.3 1 64
Aidan Laughery 14 46 3.3 0 11
Jordan Anderson 9 45 5.0 0 12
Katin Houser 2 18 9.0 0 13
Team 2 -5 -2.5 0 0
Total 33 184 5.6 1 64

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Collin Dixon 6 103 17.2 0 34
Hudson Clement 5 49 9.8 0 15
Kaden Feagin 2 40 20.0 0 25
Brayden Trimble 2 21 10.5 1 16
Jordan Anderson 1 9 9.0 0 9
Aidan Laughery 2 1 0.5 0 2
Total 18 223 12.4 1 34

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
James Kreutz 7 3 0 0 0 0 0
Matthew Bailey 6 3 0 1.5 0 0 0
Juice Clarke 4 4 0 0 1 0 0
Tanner Heckel 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
Ismael Kante 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Xavier Scott 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Carter Janki 4 1 0 0.5 0 0 0
Jakwon Morris 3 3 0 0 1 0 0
Daniel Brown 3 2 0.5 0.5 0 0 0
Will Holmes 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 0
Pat Farrell 2 2 0 0 2 1 0
Deuce Fillmore 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Ethan Moczulski 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kaden Feagin 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Robert Edmonson 1 1 0 1 0 0 0
Jershaun Newton 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Tony Balanganayi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Joshua Davis 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Mason Muragin 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Joe Barna 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Parker Crim 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 55 33 1 5 4 1 0

Maryland Terrapins

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Malik Washington 19/29 190 6.6 0 1 64.0
Total 19/29 190 6.6 0 1 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
DeJuan Williams 19 57 3.0 1 17
Malik Washington 5 25 5.0 1 21
Iverson Howard 4 19 4.8 0 14
Na’eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 1 -3 -3.0 0 0
Total 29 98 3.4 2 21

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Chris Durr Jr. 6 58 9.7 0 18
Kaleb Webb 3 46 15.3 0 17
Na’eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 2 37 18.5 0 21
Dorian Fleming 1 19 19.0 0 19
Jayden Kitchens 2 15 7.5 0 10
Iverson Howard 1 8 8.0 0 8
Preston Howard 2 5 2.5 0 5
AJ Szymanski 1 1 1.0 0 1
DeJuan Williams 1 1 1.0 0 1
Total 19 190 10.0 0 21

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Lavain Scruggs 10 4 0 0.5 1 1 0
Sidney Stewart 7 1 0 0.5 0 1 0
Amari Jackson 6 6 0 0 0 0 0
Trey Reddick 5 2 0 0 0 0 0
Nahsir Taylor 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
Daniel Wingate 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Armon Parker 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Carlton Smith 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Eyan Thomas 3 2 0 0.5 0 0 0
Lavon Johnson 3 1 0 1.5 0 0 0
Judah Jenkins 2 2 0 1 0 0 0
Messiah Delhomme 2 2 0 0 1 0 0
Zion Elee 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kaleb Webb 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Bryce Jenkins 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Ricardo Cooper Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Durr Jr. 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Derrick LeBlanc 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DD Holmes 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jamare Glasker 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Total 60 32 0 4 3 2 0

Attendance 27,207

Recap: Illinois struggles but beats Maryland 20-17 on a 26-yard field goal by Ethan Moczulski (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Illinois vs Maryland pre-game preview

The Saturday noon ET matchup between Illinois and Maryland has Illinois as the -126 moneyline favorite, with Maryland at +2.5 on the spread and a total of 54.5, up from an opening 52.5. The last meeting went to Illinois, 24-6 at home on November 15, 2025, and Illinois is 2-0 in the last two head-to-head meetings.

Illinois is 4-3 straight up and 3-4 against the spread this season, with a 5-2 over/under; its last 10 are 6-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS and 5-3 O/U, most recently a 21-10 win over Oregon on October 24. Maryland is 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS with a 6-1 O/U; its last 10 are 2-8 SU, 3-5 ATS and 7-1 O/U, most recently a 30-37 loss to Rutgers on October 17.

The defensive ranks offer context: Illinois allows 25.3 points per game (79th of 136) and 241.4 passing yards (110th), while Maryland allows 33.3 points (126th) and 149.4 rushing yards (79th). On the prop side, Kaden Feagin’s over 5.5 receiving yards at -115 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and Ty Robinson’s over 5.5 receiving yards at -120 has also cleared 9 of 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Katin Houser QB251.7 pass yds · 1.9 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/10 @ MSU 20/29 194 1 1 14
10/3 vs PUR 21/37 225 2 1 42
9/26 @ OSU 21/37 263 1 0 14
9/19 vs SIU 23/29 305 2 1 3
9/12 vs DUKE 24/35 271 3 1 18
Splits Season Road 2025 vs MD
Pass yds 240.0 (6) 228.5 (2) 275.0 (12) –
Pass TD 2.0 (6) 1.0 (2) 1.6 (12) –

Aidan Laughery RB62.4 rush yds · 1.4 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 vs ORE 13 123 1 – –
10/10 @ MSU 17 70 0 4 24
10/3 vs PUR 12 49 0 1 -4
9/26 @ OSU 11 113 0 1 1
9/19 vs SIU 4 93 1 – –
Splits Season Road 2025 vs MD
Rush yds 73.4 (7) 91.5 (2) 42.4 (9) –
Rec 1.6 (5) 2.5 (2) 1.8 (5) –

Collin Dixon WR5.7 rec · 74.9 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 vs ORE – 6 65 1
10/10 @ MSU – 7 62 1
10/3 vs PUR – 10 116 1
9/26 @ OSU – 5 63 0
9/19 vs SIU – 8 131 2
Splits Season Road 2025 vs MD
Rec 7.6 (7) 6.0 (2) 2.7 (13) 1.0 (1)
1
Rec yds 96.1 (7) 62.5 (2) 42.2 (13) 1.0 (1)
1

Alex Perry WR4.4 rec · 68.6 yds per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs MD
Rec – – 4.3 (13) –
Rec yds – – 64.6 (13) –

Maryland Terrapins

Malik Washington QB236.9 pass yds · 1.3 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/17 vs RUTG 19/38 263 2 0 56
10/10 @ OSU 12/25 64 0 0 19
10/3 @ NEB 23/44 254 1 2 16
9/26 vs UCLA 18/38 142 0 4 -2
9/19 vs VT 30/43 359 3 0 16
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ILL
Pass yds 230.7 (7) 237.5 (4) 246.9 (12) 238.0 (1)
238
Pass TD 1.3 (7) 1.5 (4) 1.4 (12) 0.0 (1)
0

DeJuan Williams RB54.5 rush yds · 3.9 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/17 vs RUTG 9 39 0 4 41
10/10 @ OSU 16 48 0 1 11
10/3 @ NEB 10 78 1 2 0
9/12 @ CONN – – – – –
9/6 vs HAMP 3 116 2 2 35
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ILL
Rush yds 70.3 (4) 77.5 (2) 41.8 (12) 43.0 (1)
43
Rec 2.3 (4) 3.0 (2) 4.1 (11) 8.0 (1)
8

Chris Durr Jr. WR6.3 rec · 66.7 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/17 vs RUTG – 6 104 0
10/10 @ OSU – 4 15 0
10/3 @ NEB – 7 149 1
9/26 vs UCLA – 7 56 0
9/19 vs VT – 12 109 2
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ILL
Rec 7.4 (7) 7.8 (4) 4.5 (10) –
Rec yds 82.9 (7) 78.3 (4) 46.9 (10) –
Shaleak Knotts WR4.0 rec · 65.2 yds per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ILL
Rec – – 4.0 (11) 4.0 (1)
4
Rec yds – – 65.2 (11) 62.0 (1)
62

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Illinois 4-3 3-4 5-2 3-2 1-1
Maryland 2-5 3-4 6-1 1-3 1-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Illinois vs Maryland head-to-head

Illinois are 2-0 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Illinois won 24-6 on November 15, 2025.

Date Venue Illinois result ATS O/U
Nov 15, 25 Illinois home W 24-6 – –
Oct 14, 23 Maryland home W 27-24 – –

Recent form

Illinois Fighting Illini: last 10 (6-4, 3-4-1 ATS, O/U 5-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs ORE W 21-10 W +10.5 U 49.5
Oct 10, 26 @ MSU W 38-37 L -2.5 O 48.5
Oct 3, 26 vs PUR L 17-24 L -9.5 U 62.5
Sep 26, 26 @ OSU L 19-42 W +25.5 O 53.5
Sep 19, 26 vs SIU W 48-10 W -34.5 O 55.5
Sep 12, 26 vs DUKE L 27-31 L -6 O 51.5
Sep 3, 26 vs UAB W 42-23 L -25.5 O 53.5
Nov 29, 25 vs NU W 20-13 P -7 U 43.5
Nov 22, 25 @ WIS L 10-27 – –
Nov 15, 25 vs MD W 24-6 – –

Maryland Terrapins: last 10 (2-8, 3-5 ATS, O/U 7-1)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 17, 26 vs RUTG L 30-37 L -5.5 O 55.5
Oct 10, 26 @ OSU L 16-45 W +31.5 O 56.5
Oct 3, 26 @ NEB L 23-48 L +15.5 O 52.5
Sep 26, 26 vs UCLA L 3-54 L +2.5 O 55.5
Sep 19, 26 vs VT L 26-35 L +2.5 O 53.5
Sep 12, 26 @ CONN W 38-14 W -11.5 U 52.5
Sep 5, 26 vs HAMP W 62-0 W -45.5 O 56.5
Nov 29, 25 @ MSU L 28-38 L +4 O 49.5
Nov 22, 25 vs MICH L 20-45 – –
Nov 15, 25 @ ILL L 6-24 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:01 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Illinois defense Maryland defense
Points allowed per game 24.3 (65th of 136) 31.6 (119th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 235 (100th of 136) 218.5 (80th of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 128.4 (49th of 136) 153.8 (82nd of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 363.4 (70th of 136) 372.3 (81st of 136)

Venue and weather

SECU Stadium · College Park, MDOutdoor
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Line movement chart

Maryland spread +2.5 → +2.5
Total 54.5 → 53.5
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