Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

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College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
Arizona Wildcats logo

Arizona6-1 · 3-4 ATSNo. 24 AP
FINAL26 – 34
Texas Tech Red Raiders logo

Texas Tech6-1 · 3-4 ATSNo. 13 AP

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · Galaxy Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Arizona 3 14 6 3 26
Texas Tech 7 3 14 10 34

How the bets settled

MoneylineTexas Tech wonClosed at -180
SpreadTexas Tech coveredTexas Tech -4, by 4
TotalOver 55.560 scored, 4.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Texas Tech beat Arizona 34-26 on Oct 31, turning the game in the third quarter by outscoring Arizona 14-6 and sealing it with a 10-3 fourth.

J’Koby Williams led Texas Tech with 175 rushing yards and a touchdown on 14 carries, and Thomas Castellanos threw for 144 yards and two scores. Noah Fifita threw for 417 yards and a touchdown for Arizona, with Isaiah Mizell catching seven passes for 182 yards and a score. The team stats explain the result: Texas Tech rushed for 328 yards at 7.0 per carry while Arizona managed 12 yards at 0.4.

Texas Tech covered the closing 4-point spread by 4, and the 55.5 total went over by 4.5. StatsBench’s posted Cameron Dickey OVER 3.5 receiving yards pick won with 15.

How our picks did

  • Cameron Dickey OVER 3.5 REC YDS (-120): WON (15)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

Texas TechArizona
The score margin against the closing spread (Texas Tech -4). Blue: Texas Tech covering. Orange: Arizona covering.
+14Largest ARIZ cover
55%ARIZ covering
+7Largest TTU cover
3%TTU covering

Win probability

Texas TechArizona
Blue: Texas Tech favored. Orange: Arizona favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Arizona

  • Passing YardsNoah Fifita33/45, 417 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rushing YardsKedrick Reescano9 CAR, 18 YDS, 2 TD
  • Receiving YardsIsaiah Mizell7 REC, 182 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksChase Kennedy1
  • TacklesMalcolm Hartzog Jr.10

Texas Tech

  • Passing YardsThomas Castellanos11/24, 144 YDS, 2 TD
  • Rushing YardsJ’Koby Williams14 CAR, 175 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsKenny Johnson4 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksA.J. Holmes Jr.1
  • TacklesAustin Romaine14

Team stats

ArizonaTexas Tech
429Total yards472
417Passing yards144
12Rushing yards328
18First downs20
8-19Third downs6-16
0Turnovers1
7-55Penalties6-74
33:20Possession26:40

Box score

Arizona WildcatsTexas Tech Red Raiders

Arizona Wildcats

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Noah Fifita 33/45 417 9.3 1 0 78.3
Total 33/45 417 9.3 1 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Kedrick Reescano 9 18 2.0 2 5
Antwan Roberts Jr. 5 12 2.4 0 8
Quincy Craig 3 9 3.0 0 5
Caleb Smith 1 3 3.0 0 3
Team 1 -1 -1.0 0 0
Giovanni Richardson 1 -4 -4.0 0 0
Noah Fifita 10 -25 -2.5 0 5
Total 30 12 0.4 2 8

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Isaiah Mizell 7 182 26.0 1 94
Giovanni Richardson 6 90 15.0 0 55
Chris Hunter III 4 52 13.0 0 22
Quincy Craig 4 31 7.8 0 15
Brandon Phelps 4 21 5.3 0 9
Kedrick Reescano 3 16 5.3 0 8
Tyler Powell 3 10 3.3 0 4
R.J. Mosley 1 8 8.0 0 8
Caleb Smith 1 7 7.0 0 7
Total 33 417 12.6 1 94

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Malcolm Hartzog Jr. 10 9 0 0 1 0 0
Dwight Bootle II 7 7 0 0 1 0 0
Cam Chapa 7 4 0 0 0 0 0
Lee Molette III 6 5 0 0 0 0 0
Taye Brown 5 4 0 2 1 0 0
Gavin Hunter 3 3 0 0 2 0 0
Chase Kennedy 3 2 1 1 0 0 0
Mays Pese 3 2 0 1 0 0 0
Myron Robinson 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Everett Roussaw Jr. 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Tyrese Boss 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Leroy Palu 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Tre Smith 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Dominic Lolesio 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Cooper Blomstrom 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Keytrin Harris 1 1 0 1 0 0 0
Caleb Smith 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Total 58 46 1 5 5 0 0

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Thomas Castellanos 11/24 144 6.0 2 0 77.8
Coy Eakin 0/1 0 0.0 0 0 —
Total 11/25 144 5.8 2 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
J’Koby Williams 14 175 12.5 1 64
Thomas Castellanos 19 117 6.2 1 25
Cameron Dickey 10 34 3.4 0 16
Chase Campbell 1 4 4.0 0 4
Quinten Joyner 2 2 1.0 0 4
Team 1 -4 -4.0 0 0
Total 47 328 7.0 2 64

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
Kenny Johnson 4 49 12.3 1 27
Terrance Carter Jr. 3 42 14.0 1 24
Micah Hudson 1 17 17.0 0 17
Cameron Dickey 1 15 15.0 0 15
J’Koby Williams 1 11 11.0 0 11
Chase Campbell 1 10 10.0 0 10
Total 11 144 13.1 2 27

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Austin Romaine 14 9 0.5 0.5 0 0 0
Ben Roberts 11 5 0 0 1 1 0
Brice Pollock 8 4 0 0 0 0 0
John Curry 7 6 1 3 0 0 0
Amier Boyd 6 5 0 1 0 0 0
Brenden Jordan 5 3 0 0 0 0 0
Mateen Ibirogba 5 2 0.5 0.5 0 2 0
Trey White 3 3 1 1 0 0 0
A.J. Holmes Jr. 2 2 1 1 0 2 0
LaDamion Guyton 2 2 1 1 0 0 0
Peyton Morgan 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Adam Trick 1 0 0 0 0 3 0
Charles Anderson Jr. 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bryce Butler 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Total 67 43 5 8 2 8 0

Attendance 59,131

Recap: Tommy Castellanos gets the start and helps No. 13 Texas Tech to 34-26 win over No. 22 Arizona (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

  • Arizona have covered the spread in 3 straight games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Arizona vs Texas Tech pre-game preview

The Saturday matchup pairs Arizona and Texas Tech, with Texas Tech favored by 3.5 and the total at 54.5 after opening at -7.5 and 52.5. Arizona is 6-1 overall and 3-4 against the spread this season, with a 9-1 straight-up and 4-4 ATS mark over its last 10; its most recent result was a 39-3 win over Iowa State. Texas Tech is also 6-1 and 3-4 ATS, with a 9-1 straight-up and 5-4 ATS last-10 record; it most recently lost 24-37 at Cincinnati. In the last meeting, Arizona lost 22-28 at home on October 5, 2024.

The defensive ranks give the main research angles. Arizona allows 16.7 points per game (22nd) and 207.7 passing yards (62nd), while Texas Tech allows 20.4 points (36th) and 262.1 passing yards (126th). Both run defenses rank in the top 27. A passing angle to monitor is Arizona’s Noah Fifita over 258.5 passing yards at -110, which cleared in 8 of his last 10, against a Texas Tech pass defense ranked 126th. Texas Tech’s J’Koby Williams over 19.5 longest rush at -110 cleared 9 of his last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Arizona Wildcats

Noah Fifita QB274.0 pass yds · 2.3 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/24 vs ISU 27/34 308 2 0 18
10/10 @ WVU 16/23 341 3 1 1
10/4 vs CIN 25/37 284 2 1 17
9/26 @ WSU 22/36 297 4 1 20
9/20 vs NIU 31/34 325 4 0 4
Splits Season Road 2025 vs TTU
Pass yds 292.4 (7) 289.3 (3) 248.3 (13) –
Pass TD 2.6 (7) 2.7 (3) 2.2 (13) –

Ismail Mahdi RB54.4 rush yds · 1.9 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
9/26 @ WSU 10 63 0 1 5
9/20 vs NIU 2 9 0 – –
Splits Season Road 2025 vs TTU
Rush yds 36.0 (2) 63.0 (1) 66.1 (13) –
Rec 1.0 (1) 1.0 (1) 1.9 (9) –
Kris Hutson WR5.5 rec · 69.5 yds per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs TTU
Rec – – 5.5 (11) –
Rec yds – – 69.5 (11) –

Isaiah Mizell WR3.7 rec · 64.2 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 vs ISU – 8 134 1
10/10 @ WVU – 6 183 2
10/4 vs CIN – 4 67 0
9/26 @ WSU – 2 21 1
9/20 vs NIU – 5 49 1
Splits Season Road 2025 vs TTU
Rec 4.5 (6) 4.0 (2) 1.3 (3) –
Rec yds 82.2 (6) 102.0 (2) 13.0 (3) –

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Behren Morton QB240.3 pass yds · 2.0 TD per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ARIZ
Pass yds – – 240.3 (11) –
Pass TD – – 2.0 (11) –

J’Koby Williams RB85.4 rush yds · 3.0 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/24 @ CIN 12 81 0 3 10
10/17 vs ASU 11 165 2 2 8
10/3 @ COLO 17 88 0 3 26
9/26 vs SHSU 6 36 0 3 24
9/19 vs HOU 7 62 1 3 14
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ARIZ
Rush yds 88.4 (7) 83.5 (4) 60.5 (13) –
Rec 3.4 (7) 4.0 (4) 2.5 (12) –
Caleb Douglas WR4.2 rec · 66.8 yds per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ARIZ
Rec – – 4.2 (13) –
Rec yds – – 65.1 (13) –

Kenny Johnson WR4.2 rec · 64.7 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/24 @ CIN – 7 81 0
10/17 vs ASU – 7 120 0
10/3 @ COLO – 1 8 0
9/26 vs SHSU – 3 60 0
9/19 vs HOU – 4 113 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ARIZ
Rec 4.4 (7) 4.5 (4) 4.0 (12) –
Rec yds 71.3 (7) 92.3 (4) 57.9 (12) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Arizona 6-1 3-4 3-4 4-0 2-1
Texas Tech 6-1 3-4 5-2 4-0 2-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Arizona vs Texas Tech head-to-head

Arizona are 0-1 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Arizona lost 22-28 on October 5, 2024.

Date Venue Arizona result ATS O/U
Oct 5, 24 Arizona home L 22-28 – –

Recent form

Arizona Wildcats: last 10 (9-1, 4-4 ATS, O/U 3-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs ISU W 39-3 W -11.5 U 51.5
Oct 10, 26 @ WVU W 52-31 W -3.5 O 61.5
Oct 3, 26 vs CIN W 34-7 W -7 U 56.5
Sep 26, 26 @ WSU W 34-24 L -11.5 O 47.5
Sep 19, 26 vs NIU W 42-17 L -34.5 O 50.5
Sep 12, 26 @ BYU L 17-28 L +6.5 U 49.5
Sep 5, 26 vs NAU W 35-7 L -33.5 U 59.5
Nov 28, 25 @ ASU W 23-7 W -2.5 U 48.5
Nov 22, 25 vs BAY W 41-17 – –
Nov 15, 25 @ CIN W 30-24 – –

Texas Tech Red Raiders: last 10 (9-1, 5-4 ATS, O/U 5-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 @ CIN L 24-37 L -10.5 O 57.5
Oct 17, 26 vs ASU W 53-25 W -16.5 O 50.5
Oct 3, 26 @ COLO W 29-7 W -13.5 U 50.5
Sep 26, 26 vs SHSU W 49-14 W -34.5 O 55.5
Sep 18, 26 vs HOU W 28-26 L -7.5 O 52.5
Sep 12, 26 @ ORST W 35-24 L -25.5 O 52.5
Sep 5, 26 vs ACU W 33-10 L -45.5 U 61.5
Dec 6, 25 vs BYU W 34-7 W -12.5 U 50.5
Nov 29, 25 @ WVU W 49-0 W -24.5 U 53.5
Nov 15, 25 vs UCF W 48-9 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:01 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Arizona defense Texas Tech defense
Points allowed per game 18.9 (26th of 136) 21.1 (42nd of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 199.8 (48th of 136) 281.5 (133rd of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 135.8 (61st of 136) 96.4 (15th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 335.5 (48th of 136) 377.9 (89th of 136)

Venue and weather

Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TXOutdoor
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Arizona vs Texas Tech odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Texas Tech spread -7.5 -4 +3.5
Total 52.5 55.5 +3
Arizona moneyline +235 +150 +10.1% win chance
Texas Tech moneyline -290 -180 -10.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Texas Tech spread -3.5 → -3.5
Total 54.5 → 55.5
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More on these teams: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats Oct 24 · All College Football prop picks

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