How the bets settled
Match report
FC Cincinnati beat Philadelphia Union 1-0, with A. Jabbari scoring in the 70th minute.
The match stats were tilted toward Philadelphia: xG 1.08 to 1.02, shots 15 to 7, shots on target 6 to 2, big chances 4 to 1 and corners 12 to 3. Cincinnati had 51% possession and completed 79% of passes to Philadelphia’s 75%.
Before the match, Cincinnati’s form read DWWLL and Philadelphia’s DLDWW. Both teams to score had landed in 75% of Cincinnati’s matches and 69% of Philadelphia’s, with over 2.5 goals at 72% and 69%, while both teams to score yes was priced at -250. This match finished 1-0, so both teams to score did not land and over 2.5 did not land.
Goals
- 70′ A. Jabbari FC Cincinnati
| Match stats | FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession | 51% | 49% |
| Total shots | 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target | 2 | 6 |
| Big chances | 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 12 |
| Passes | 79% (341/429) | 75% (304/406) |
How the key matchups went
- Mboma: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Wagner: 0 fouls committed, 4 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Ramirez Leon: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Westfield: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Barlow: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Pierre: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Harriel: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Denkey: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Pierre: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Harriel: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Alladoh: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Smith: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Hagglund: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Hadebe: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Damiani: 3 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Smith: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Hagglund: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Hadebe: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
Box score
FC Cincinnati
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 5/7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 46/55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | |
| 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 9/13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 | 17/21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 48/59 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 33/50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | |
| 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 52/63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 17/28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 28/30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 40/46 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | |
| 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 12/15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | |
| Evander | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 18/20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jabbari A. | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 | 5/5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Powell A. | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2/5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Echenique E. | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 5/7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Anunga T. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 26/30 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 44/58 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.29 | 2 | 27/36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 26/37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 28/36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | |
| 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 35/49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 18/25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6.3 | |
| 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 19/22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | |
| 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 | 9/14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 60 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 2 | 16/22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.31 | 1 | 24/38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| Bueno J. | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 12/15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Jakupovic M. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Anello A. | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 5/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Sullivan C. | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 15/17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union pre-game preview
FC Cincinnati hosts Philadelphia Union on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET in MLS. FC Cincinnati is priced shortest on the three-way moneyline at +135, with Philadelphia +188 and the draw +289, and the total is 3.5. The last meeting went to Philadelphia 5-0 on September 9, 2026. Cincinnati’s recent league form is DWWLL, while Philadelphia’s is DLDWW.
Cincinnati has scored 2.06 and conceded 2.28 per match, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 72%, and only 9% clean sheets. Philadelphia scores 1.94 and concedes 1.56, with both teams scoring in 69% and over 2.5 in 69%. Philadelphia is without Jesús Bueno, Cavan Sullivan and Milan Iloski; Cincinnati is without Tyrell Malacia, Julian Malatini and Miles Robinson. Among props, Tom Barlow over 0.5 shots on target is -200 and cleared in 8 of his last 10, while Neil Pierre over 0.5 fouls is -200 and cleared in 8 of his last 10.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
FC Cincinnati 3-1-4-2
Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 Celentano
24 Smith
4 Hagglund (C)
15 Hadebe
5 Nwobodo
17 Mboma
20 Bucha
11 Gidi
29 Ramirez Leon
16 Barlow
9 Denkey
18 Blake
39 Westfield
44 Pierre
26 Harriel
27 Wagner
33 Sullivan
19 Vassilev
4 Lukic
16 Bender
23 Alladoh
9 DamianiFC Cincinnati missing: T. Malacia (ankle), J. Malatini (thigh), M. Robinson (leg)
Philadelphia Union missing: A. Bedoya (eye), M. Iloski (muscle), D. Jean Jacques (yellow cards), J. Sery Larsen (concussion)
Form and head to head
FC Cincinnati15th in the tableDWWLL11W 10D 11L · 1.34 points a match
Philadelphia Union12th in the tableDLDWW13W 8D 11L · 1.47 points a match- Sep 2026PHI 5-0 CIN
- Aug 2025CIN 0-1 PHI
- Mar 2025PHI 4-1 CIN
- Oct 2024PHI 1-2 CIN
- Jun 2024CIN 4-3 PHI
Clean sheets and goal trends
FC Cincinnati
Clean sheet3/32
Failed to score5/32
Both scored24/32
Over 2.523/32
Philadelphia Union
Clean sheet7/32
Failed to score6/32
Both scored22/32
Over 2.522/32
Recent results
| Cincinnati | DWWLL | D 2-2 at MIA · W 2-0 at DCU · W 2-1 vs DCU · L 0-2 vs COL · L 2-3 vs NER |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | DLDWW | D 0-0 at NSH · L 1-2 vs NER · D 2-2 vs CHL · W 3-1 at CHI · W 2-1 vs RSL |
Last five MLS results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 15 (43 pts) | 12 (47 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 11-10-11 | 13-8-11 |
| Home / away record | 8-3-4 (38-30) home | 6-3-7 (34-32) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.28 | 1.56 |
| Shots / on target per match | 11.53 / 5.53 | 13.28 / 5.34 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 94% / 72% / 63% | 81% / 69% / 47% |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 19% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.00 | 2.31 |
| Corners per match | 4.84 | 5.97 |
This season, 32 and 32 matches.
Referee
Allen Chapman averages 3.3 yellow cards and 18.2 fouls per match over 22 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.0), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
FC Cincinnati
- Tyrell Malacia (D): Out, Leg Injury
- Julian Malatini (D): Out, Leg Injury
- Miles Robinson (D): Out, Leg Injury
Philadelphia Union
- Milan Iloski (F): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Alejandro Bedoya (M): Out, Eye Injury
- Japhet Sery (D): Out, Concussion
- Geiner Martínez (D): Day-To-Day, Knee Injury
Line movement chart
More on these teams: All MLS prop picks
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