Stars vs Capitals Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 3, 2026)

by
NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Dallas Stars logo

Stars8-6 · 6-8 ATS5th in the West
FINAL6 – 5
Washington Capitals logo

Capitals8-5 · 5-8 ATS12th in the East

NHL · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Capital One Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Stars 1 4 1 6
Capitals 0 3 2 5

How the bets settled

MoneylineStars wonClosed at -102
SpreadStars coveredStars +1.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 5.511 scored, 5.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Dallas Stars beat Washington Capitals 6-5 on November 3, with the game swinging in the second period when the Stars scored four to take a 5-3 lead into the third. Washington scored twice in the third but could not complete the comeback.

Jason Robertson led Dallas with three goals and four points, and Roope Hintz added two assists. Jordan Kyrou paced Washington with a goal, two assists and three points. The Stars blocked 18 shots to the Capitals’ 8 and won 59.6 percent of faceoffs, helping them hold the lead. Washington’s 2-for-3 power play kept the Capitals close.

For bettors, against the closing Capitals -1.5 spread, Dallas covered by 2.5. The closing total of 5.5 went over by 5.5.

How the props finished

9 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Ryan Leonard Over 1.5 shots on goal -154 BetMGM 2 Cleared
Martin Fehérváry Over 1.5 blocks -143 William Hill 3 Cleared
Jason Robertson Over 2.5 shots on goal -160 ESPN BET 5 Cleared
Jordan Kyrou Over 0.5 points -104 Kalshi 3 Cleared
Arttu Hyry Over 1.5 shots on goal -105 ESPN BET 4 Cleared
Tom Wilson Over 2.5 hits -110 Stake 4 Cleared
Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 points -120 Hard Rock 0 Missed
Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 points -170 Kalshi 1 Cleared
Esa Lindell Over 1.5 blocks -188 William Hill 4 Cleared
Pierre-Luc Dubois Over 0.5 assists +200 BetMGM 0 Missed
Jakob Chychrun Over 2.5 shots on goal +115 DraftKings 5 Cleared
Tyler Seguin Over 1.5 shots on goal +110 Hard Rock 1 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

Against the spread, start to finish

CapitalsStars
The score margin against the closing spread (Capitals -1.5). Blue: Capitals covering. Orange: Stars covering.
+5.5Largest DAL cover
100%DAL covering
+0Largest WSH cover
0%WSH covering

Top performers

Stars

  • GoalsJason Robertson3
  • AssistsRoope Hintz2
  • PointsJason Robertson4

Capitals

  • GoalsJordan Kyrou1
  • AssistsJordan Kyrou2
  • PointsJordan Kyrou3

Team stats

StarsCapitals
22Shots25
59.6%Faceoffs won40.4%
1Power play goals2
18Hits24
18Blocked shots8
4Takeaways7
10Giveaways13
6Penalty minutes4

Box score

Dallas StarsWashington Capitals

Dallas Stars

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Jamie Benn LW 0 1 0 0 0 12:03 17 4 1 0 0 0 42.9
Radek Faksa C 0 1 0 0 1 13:38 19 0 0 1 0 0 63.6
Roope Hintz C 1 2 0 2 2 14:27 20 1 0 0 1 0 71.4
Justin Hryckowian C 0 0 0 1 -2 15:06 17 4 0 0 0 0 83.3
Arttu Hyry RW 0 1 0 4 2 15:25 20 0 2 0 0 0 61.5
Wyatt Johnston C 0 2 0 2 1 16:13 18 0 0 0 0 0 44.4
Joel Kiviranta LW 1 0 0 1 2 13:51 18 2 0 0 1 0 0.0
David Perron LW 0 0 0 1 0 11:41 16 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Mikko Rantanen RW 1 0 0 1 1 18:51 18 0 0 1 1 0 100.0
Jason Robertson LW 3 1 0 5 2 17:05 19 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Tyler Seguin C 0 0 0 1 -1 13:21 16 0 0 1 0 0 100.0
Sam Steel C 0 0 0 0 -2 16:47 18 1 0 0 0 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Lian Bichsel D 0 0 0 0 -2 15:57 20 4 2 0 1 2 0.0
Thomas Harley D 0 2 0 1 3 24:43 26 0 5 0 2 2 0.0
Miro Heiskanen D 0 0 0 0 0 9:41 8 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Esa Lindell D 0 1 0 1 1 26:32 25 1 4 0 1 0 0.0
Nils Lundkvist D 0 0 0 1 -1 18:40 24 0 1 1 0 0 0.0
Tyler Myers D 0 1 0 1 3 21:19 22 0 2 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Jake Oettinger G 5 25 0 0 20 .800 17 2 1 60:00 0 0

Washington Capitals

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Anthony Beauvillier LW 0 1 0 0 1 12:02 13 4 0 0 0 0 66.7
Pierre-Luc Dubois LW 0 0 0 0 -2 17:18 18 1 0 0 0 0 38.5
Boone Jenner C 1 0 0 4 2 15:12 21 2 0 0 2 0 46.2
Jordan Kyrou RW 1 2 0 1 -2 17:03 20 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Ryan Leonard RW 1 1 0 2 1 12:56 20 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Alex Ovechkin LW 0 0 0 2 0 17:26 19 1 0 1 1 0 0.0
Aliaksei Protas C 0 0 0 0 -2 15:22 17 0 1 2 0 0 0.0
Ilya Protas LW 0 1 0 0 2 12:04 18 0 1 1 0 0 50.0
Justin Sourdif RW 1 0 0 2 3 13:05 18 4 0 1 0 0 20.0
Dylan Strome C 0 2 0 3 -3 17:48 19 0 0 0 0 0 41.2
Alex Tuch RW 0 0 0 2 -3 18:34 21 2 0 1 2 0 0.0
Tom Wilson RW 0 0 0 1 -1 17:26 18 4 0 0 3 2 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Jakob Chychrun D 1 1 0 5 -2 26:50 25 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Martin Fehervary D 0 1 0 0 -1 18:02 20 1 3 0 1 0 0.0
Cole Hutson D 0 1 0 1 -2 22:04 22 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Timothy Liljegren D 0 0 0 0 1 12:38 16 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Matt Roy D 0 0 0 2 -1 20:56 25 1 1 1 2 0 0.0
Jack St. Ivany D 0 0 0 0 0 12:39 16 1 1 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Logan Thompson G 4 11 0 0 7 .636 6 0 1 25:17 0 0
Charlie Lindgren G 2 11 0 0 9 .818 7 0 2 31:49 0 0

Attendance 16,956 · Officials: Jordan Samuels-Thomas, Pierre Lambert, James Tobias, Onni Hautamaki

Recap: Robertson’s natural hat trick paces Stars to 6-5 win over Caps (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The over is 3-7 in Stars’ last 10 games.
  • Capitals are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Stars are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Capitals.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Stars vs Capitals on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Stars vs Capitals pre-game preview

The Tuesday night matchup in Washington lists Dallas at -107 and Washington at -110 on the moneyline, with a 5.5 total. Dallas won the last meeting 4-1 on the road on January 7, 2026, and is 5-1 straight up and 1-2 ATS in the last six head-to-head meetings.

Dallas is 8-6 overall (6-8 ATS, 3-11 O/U) and 6-4 in its last 10 (4-6 ATS), most recently a 3-1 win over Columbus on October 31. Washington is 8-5 overall (5-8 ATS, 8-5 O/U) and 6-4 in its last 10 (3-7 ATS), most recently a 1-5 loss to Minnesota on November 1.

The most useful angle is Dallas’s defensive profile: it allows 2.14 goals per game (rank 1), 22.29 shots on goal (rank 1), and 0.64 power-play points (rank 1), while Washington allows 3.23 goals (rank 18). Dallas also plays at the league’s slowest pace (47.9, rank 32). Washington has Desharnais and Sandin on IR, while Dallas lists Duchene out about three months, Bäck on long-term IR, and Capobianco on IR.

The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Stars 8-6 6-8 3-11 5-4 3-2
Capitals 8-5 5-8 8-5 6-3 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Stars vs Capitals head-to-head

Stars are 5-1, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Stars won 4-1 on January 7, 2026.

Date Venue Stars result ATS O/U
Jan 7, 26 Capitals home W 4-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 28, 25 Stars home W 1-0 – –
Dec 16, 24 Stars home W 3-1 – –
Oct 17, 24 Capitals home L 2-3 – –
Jan 27, 24 Stars home W 5-4 L -1.5 O 5.5
Dec 7, 23 Capitals home W 5-4 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Dallas Stars: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 vs CBJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 29, 26 vs MTL L 2-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 vs NJ L 1-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 25, 26 vs NYI W 6-3 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs WPG W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs BOS W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ CHI W 4-0 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 14, 26 @ COL W 3-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 13, 26 vs COL L 2-3 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 10, 26 @ PIT L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5

Washington Capitals: last 10 (6-4, 3-7 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 1, 26 vs MIN L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ NSH W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 28, 26 vs PHI W 5-2 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 24, 26 vs BUF W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs LA L 2-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 17, 26 vs NJ W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 14, 26 vs MTL W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ CAR L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 11, 26 vs SEA L 3-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 9, 26 vs NYR W 3-1 W -1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:01 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Stars defense Capitals defense
Goals allowed per game 2.14 (1st of 32) 3.23 (18th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 22.29 (1st of 32) 28.08 (22nd of 32)
Points allowed per game 5.93 (2nd of 32) 8.62 (17th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 0.64 (1st of 32) 1.92 (15th of 32)

Venue and weather

Capital One Arena · Washington, DCIndoor, weather won’t matter
The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

Stars vs Capitals odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Capitals spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 5.5 5.5 –
Stars moneyline -108 -102 -1.4% win chance
Capitals moneyline -112 -118 +1.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Capitals spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 5.5 → 5.5
The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

More on these teams: Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals Nov 1 · Columbus Blue Jackets vs Dallas Stars Oct 31 · All NHL prop picks

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Collin GillespieOVER 0.5 steals · vs ORL
10/10
Brandon WilliamsOVER 0.5 stls blks · vs MIA
9/10
Draymond GreenOVER 5.5 assists · vs MIA
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1Draw No Bet vs Double Chance, Explained
2Asian Handicap Betting: How It Works
3Corners Betting: How Football Corner Lines Work
4Shots on Target Betting: A Practical Guide
5How to Bet on Football: Markets and Method

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days