Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Real Sociedad and Lyon drew 1-1. Oskarsson gave Real Sociedad the lead in the 28th minute, assisted by Barrenetxea, and Tolisso equalised for Lyon in the 54th minute, assisted by Tessmann. Yellow cards finished 3-4.

The match stats were close. Real Sociedad had 1.33 expected goals to Lyon’s 1.10, with shots 11-12, shots on target 4-4, possession 47%-53%, big chances 1-2 and corners 5-6. Lyon also had the better pass accuracy at 86% to 83%.

Before the match, Real Sociedad’s form was WDL and Lyon’s was LWWLD. Real Sociedad had both teams to score in 67% and over 2.5 in 67%, while Lyon were at 39% and 46%. Both teams to score had been priced at -220. The 1-1 result delivered both teams scoring, but the two goals kept it under 2.5.

How the props finished

3 of 9 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Corentin Tolisso	Over 0.5 shots on target	-125 BetRivers	3 Cleared
Kaïl Boudache	Over 1.5 fouls won	-150 bet365	2 Cleared
Ruben Kluivert	Over 0.5 shots	+163 bet365	0 Missed
Nicolás Tagliafico	Over 0.5 shots	-141 sportsbet	0 Missed
Mads Bidstrup	Over 2.5 tackles	-125 bet365	3 Cleared
Dominik Greif	Over 3.5 saves	-141 Cloudbet	3 Missed
Khalis Merah	Over 1.5 shots	+163 bet365	1 Missed
Tanner Tessmann	Over 0.5 shots on target	+270 BetRivers	0 Missed
Abner	Over 0.5 shots	-108 BetMGM	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

• 28′ O. Oskarsson, assist A. Barrenetxea Real Sociedad
• 54′ C. Tolisso, assist T. Tessmann Lyon

How the key matchups went

• Barrenetxea: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Abner: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.
• Guedes: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Athekame: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Oyarzabal: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 5 fouls won. Bacher: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Kluivert: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Oskarsson: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Bacher: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Kluivert: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Boudache: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Gomez: 3 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Nakamura: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 4 fouls won. Aramburu: 3 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Merah: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Zubeldia: 2 fouls committed, 4 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Sarr: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

Real SociedadLyon

Real Sociedad

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Zubeldia I.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	51/54	4	2	0	0	0	7.2
Aramburu J.	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	1	28/33	3	3	2	0	0	7.3
Gorrotxategi J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	36/42	1	2	1	0	0	6.4
Oyarzabal M.	90	0	0	2	1	0.18	2	26/33	0	2	5	0	0	6.5
Barrenetxea A.	79	0	1	2	0	0.15	2	17/23	1	5	1	1	0	6.7
Guedes G.	66	0	0	2	1	0.13	0	14/25	0	1	1	1	0	6.3
Oskarsson O.	79	1	0	2	1	0.71	0	10/15	1	1	0	0	0	7.6
Gomez S.	90	0	0	1	1	0.04	1	38/47	0	3	0	0	0	6.7
Sarr M.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	39/44	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Herrera Y.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	41/48	3	3	0	1	0	6.7
Marrero U.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	37/44	0	0	0	0	3	6.4
Ochieng J.	24	0	0	1	0	0.10	0	2/3	2	1	0	0	0	6.5
Martin J.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	27/30	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Sucic L.	11	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3/3	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Marin P.	11	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3

Lyon

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Tolisso C.	90	1	0	4	3	0.77	1	47/56	0	1	6	0	0	7.5
Bidstrup M.	75	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	19/24	3	0	0	0	0	6.5
Athekame Z.	90	0	0	1	1	0.02	0	35/44	0	0	2	0	0	5.7
Abner	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	41/49	2	2	2	1	0	6.0
Bacher F.	90	0	0	1	0	0.08	1	58/64	0	1	1	0	0	6.4
Nakamura K.	67	0	0	2	0	0.09	3	19/20	0	1	4	0	0	6.4
Merah K.	89	0	0	1	0	0.04	0	49/52	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
Tessmann T.	90	0	1	1	0	0.03	1	54/58	2	0	0	0	0	7.5
Boudache K.	89	0	0	2	0	0.08	1	26/32	0	1	2	1	0	6.3
Greif D.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	26/38	0	0	0	1	3	6.3
Kluivert R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	56/62	1	1	1	0	0	6.1
Nartey N.	15	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5/6	0	1	2	0	0	6.1
Gomes Rodriguez A.	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/1	1	0	1	0	0	–
Tagliafico N.	1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/2	0	0	0	0	0	–
Duranville J.	23	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/2	0	1	0	1	0	6.1

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Real Sociedad vs Lyon pre-game preview

Real Sociedad hosts Lyon in Europa League play Thursday. Real Sociedad is favored at -143 on the three-way moneyline, with the draw at +360 and Lyon at +350; the total is 3.5. Real Sociedad sits 14th with 4 points and a WDL league form, plus a 0-0-1 home record. Lyon is 13th with 6 points, a LWWLD league form and a 1-0-1 away record. Real Sociedad has scored 2.67 per match and conceded 1.00, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%; Lyon has scored 1.85 and conceded 1.08, with both teams scoring in 39%. Lyon’s confirmed XI lists Morton out with a groin injury among multiple absences, while Real Sociedad lists Zakharyan and Beitia as doubtful and Odriozola out. For prop angles, Tolisso over 0.5 shots on target is -111 and cleared in 8 of his last 10; Boudache over 1.5 fouls won is -150 and cleared in 4 of his last 5.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Real Sociedad 4-4-2Lyon 4-3-3

13 Marrero

2 Aramburu

5 Zubeldia

19 Sarr

17 Gomez

7 Barrenetxea

4 Gorrotxategi

21 Herrera

11 Guedes

10 Oyarzabal (C)

9 Oskarsson

1 Greif

13 Athekame

20 Bacher

21 Kluivert

16 Abner

2 Bidstrup

6 Tessmann

8 Tolisso (C)

26 Boudache

18 Merah

11 Nakamura

Real Sociedad missing: L. Beitia (ankle), A. Odriozola (knee), A. Zakharyan (ankle)

Lyon missing: R. Himbert (inactive), S. Kango (concussion), T. Morton (groin), M. Niakhate (rest), E. Nuamah (injury), L. Openda (leg), M. Ouedraogo (knee), P. Sulc (knee)

Form and head to head

Real Sociedad14th in the tableWDL1W 1D 1L · 1.33 points a match

No recent meetings

Lyon13th in the tableLWWLD9W 1D 3L · 2.15 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

Real SociedadLyon

33%Win %69%

55%Possession %59%

67%Both teams scored %39%

67%Scored first %62%

• 2.7Scored per match1.9
• 12.3Shots per match12.1
• 4.7Shots on target per match5.1
• 0.0Big chances per match1.5

Defensive

Real SociedadLyon

33%Loss %23%

0%Failed to score %23%

33%Clean sheet %39%

33%Conceded first %39%

• 1.0Conceded per match1.1
• 13.7Shots against per match11.2
• 13.7Tackles per match12.9
• 10.7Fouls per match9.5

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Europa League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 3 and 13 matches.

Injury report

Real Sociedad

• A. Zakharyan: Doubtful, Ankle Injury
• L. Beitia: Doubtful, Ankle Injury
• Y. Herrera: Injured, Calf Injury

Lyon: none listed.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon odds by sportsbook

Book	RSO ML	LYON ML	Over	Under
bet365	–	–	O 4.5 +300	U 4.5 -400

Highlighted: the best price in each column before kickoff. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement chart