Hurricanes vs Islanders Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

Carolina Hurricanes logo

Hurricanes12-5 · 8-9 ATS1st in the East
FINAL5 – 3
New York Islanders logo

Islanders7-7 · 8-6 ATS13th in the East

NHL · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · UBS Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Hurricanes 2 1 2 5
Islanders 0 3 0 3

How the bets settled

MoneylineHurricanes wonClosed at -205
SpreadHurricanes coveredHurricanes -1.5, by 0.5
TotalOver 6.58 scored, 1.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 5-3, with the game decided in the third period after the Islanders had erased a 2-0 deficit with three second-period goals. Carolina pulled away with two in the final period.

Brayden Schenn led New York with a goal and an assist. Andrei Svechnikov scored for Carolina, Sebastian Aho had two assists and William Carrier finished with two points. Carolina’s 39-27 shot edge, 22-13 blocked-shot advantage and 8-5 takeaway edge helped tilt the game, though the Hurricanes won only 34.4 percent of faceoffs and gave it away 23 times.

For bettors, Carolina covered the Islanders 1.5 spread by 0.5, and the total went over 6.5 by 1.5.

How the props finished

9 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Mark Jankowski Over 1.5 shots on goal +105 BetMGM 1 Missed
Logan Stankoven Over 2.5 shots on goal +125 Hard Rock 3 Cleared
Sean Walker Over 1.5 shots on goal -120 ESPN BET 2 Cleared
Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 points -122 Kalshi 1 Cleared
Nikolaj Ehlers Over 0.5 points -133 Kalshi 0 Missed
Jackson Blake Over 0.5 points -138 Kalshi 1 Cleared
Emil Heineman Over 1.5 hits -154 Stake 2 Cleared
Simon Holmstrom Over 1.5 shots on goal +105 BetMGM 2 Cleared
Bo Horvat Over 2.5 shots on goal -105 Hard Rock 3 Cleared
Adam Pelech Over 1.5 blocks -120 Fliff 1 Missed
Taylor Hall Over 1.5 shots on goal -133 BetRivers 2 Cleared
Kyle Palmieri Over 1.5 shots on goal -167 BetMGM 2 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Against the spread, start to finish

IslandersHurricanes
The score margin against the closing spread (Islanders +1.5). Blue: Islanders covering. Orange: Hurricanes covering.
+0.5Largest CAR cover
35%CAR covering
+1.5Largest NYI cover
65%NYI covering

Top performers

Hurricanes

  • GoalsAndrei Svechnikov1
  • AssistsSebastian Aho2
  • PointsWilliam Carrier2

Islanders

  • GoalsBrayden Schenn1
  • AssistsBrayden Schenn1
  • PointsBrayden Schenn2

Team stats

HurricanesIslanders
39Shots27
34.4%Faceoffs won65.6%
0Power play goals0
16Hits26
22Blocked shots13
8Takeaways5
23Giveaways19
18Penalty minutes14

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Sebastian Aho C 0 2 0 4 3 22:09 26 0 0 0 1 0 30.0
Jackson Blake RW 0 1 0 2 1 16:26 22 0 2 1 0 2 0.0
William Carrier LW 1 1 0 2 1 13:53 18 4 1 0 2 0 0.0
Nikolaj Ehlers LW 0 0 0 5 1 15:46 22 0 2 1 0 0 0.0
Taylor Hall LW 0 0 0 2 -2 10:30 14 0 2 1 2 0 0.0
Mark Jankowski C 0 0 0 1 -2 13:20 20 1 0 1 0 2 40.0
Seth Jarvis C 0 0 0 0 -2 15:05 20 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C 1 0 0 3 0 8:53 13 2 0 0 0 0 50.0
Jordan Martinook RW 0 1 0 2 1 15:06 19 1 3 1 1 0 25.0
Eric Robinson LW 0 0 0 0 1 10:20 15 3 1 0 1 0 0.0
Logan Stankoven C 1 0 0 3 1 14:13 22 1 0 0 1 0 35.7
Andrei Svechnikov LW 1 1 0 7 3 18:11 22 0 0 0 2 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Jalen Chatfield D 1 1 0 1 0 22:57 28 0 1 1 0 0 0.0
Shayne Gostisbehere D 0 0 0 3 -1 16:53 22 0 1 0 3 2 0.0
K’Andre Miller D 0 1 0 2 3 19:18 25 0 0 1 2 0 0.0
Jaccob Slavin D 0 0 0 0 0 25:52 29 0 4 1 4 0 0.0
Juuso Valimaki D 0 0 0 0 -1 12:44 18 0 3 0 0 10 0.0
Sean Walker D 0 0 0 2 3 20:24 26 2 2 0 2 2 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Brandon Bussi G 3 27 0 0 24 .889 22 2 0 60:00 0 0

New York Islanders

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Mitchell Chaffee RW 1 0 0 3 1 10:31 14 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Casey Cizikas C 0 1 0 1 1 10:04 13 1 1 0 0 0 58.3
Anthony Duclair LW 0 0 0 2 -2 13:41 20 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Victor Eklund RW 1 1 0 3 1 15:16 18 3 1 0 2 0 0.0
Emil Heineman LW 0 1 0 1 2 15:30 19 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Simon Holmstrom RW 0 0 0 2 -3 19:45 23 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Bo Horvat C 0 0 0 3 -3 20:56 21 2 1 0 2 0 68.8
Kyle MacLean C 0 0 0 0 1 10:22 14 1 1 0 1 0 0.0
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C 0 0 0 3 -2 15:35 22 4 1 1 1 0 88.2
Ondrej Palat LW 0 0 0 2 -2 14:48 19 1 0 1 0 0 50.0
Kyle Palmieri C 0 0 0 2 -3 19:03 21 1 1 1 0 0 0.0
Brayden Schenn C 1 1 0 1 1 18:17 19 3 1 0 2 12 54.5

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Tony DeAngelo D 0 0 0 1 -1 19:56 27 2 0 0 2 0 0.0
Matthew Kessel D 0 1 0 0 2 14:13 18 0 1 1 3 0 0.0
Scott Mayfield D 0 0 0 0 1 8:56 14 2 0 0 1 0 0.0
Adam Pelech D 0 0 0 1 -1 16:47 26 1 1 0 1 2 0.0
Matthew Schaefer D 0 1 0 2 -2 30:01 29 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Logan Stanley D 0 0 0 0 -2 23:50 26 0 4 1 2 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Semyon Varlamov G 4 38 0 0 34 .895 32 1 1 58:29 0 0

Attendance 14,234 · Officials: Carter Sandlak, James Tobias, Tyson Baker, Michael Markovic

Recap: Carrier’s goal snaps 3rd-period tie as Hurricanes beat Islanders 5-3 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Hurricanes vs Islanders player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Mark Jankowski CAR Over 1.5 shots on goal +105 BetMGM 90% (9/10) 80% –
Logan Stankoven CAR Over 2.5 shots on goal +125 Hard Rock 80% (8/10) 80% –
Matthew Schaefer NYI Over 0.5 points -117 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% 0.7
Sean Walker CAR Over 1.5 shots on goal -120 Hard Rock 80% (8/10) 80% –
Nikolaj Ehlers CAR Over 0.5 points -133 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% 0.8

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:55 PM ET.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Hurricanes vs Islanders on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Hurricanes vs Islanders pre-game preview

The market lists Carolina as a -162 moneyline favorite, with NYI +1.5 and a total of 5.5; DraftKings opened NYI +1.5 and 5.5. Carolina is 12-5 and 8-9 ATS this season, including 7-3 straight up but 4-6 ATS over its last 10; it most recently lost 1-4 at Nashville. NYI is 7-7 and 8-6 ATS, 5-5 straight up and 5-5 ATS over its last 10; it most recently lost 0-4 to Edmonton. The last meeting was April 14, 2026, a 2-1 Carolina road win.

A useful angle is Carolina’s defensive profile: it allows 2.29 goals (rank 2) and 22.29 shots on goal (rank 1), while NYI allows 2.71 goals (rank 5) and 26.21 shots (rank 10). Among the listed props, StatsBench projects Ehlers at 0.8 points and Schaefer at 0.7; each has cleared over 0.5 points in 8 of the last 10.

The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Carolina Hurricanes

Sebastian Aho C1.2 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 @ NSH 20:51 0 0 4 0
11/1 vs WPG 21:16 1 1 1 0
10/29 vs CBJ 17:38 0 0 1 1
10/27 vs BOS 21:18 1 0 5 1
10/24 @ STL 16:36 0 2 1 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 1.2 (17) 1.4 (10) 0.9 (98) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 2.9 (17) 3.2 (10) 2.4 (98) 5.0 (2)
7 · 3

Seth Jarvis R1.2 PTS · 2.2 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 @ NSH 20:30 0 0 1 2
11/1 vs WPG 16:16 0 2 3 1
10/29 vs CBJ 16:25 0 2 3 1
10/27 vs BOS 16:29 0 0 0 0
10/24 @ STL 16:17 0 2 3 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 1.2 (6) 1.0 (3) 0.9 (90) 1.5 (2)
3 · 0
SOG 2.2 (6) 2.3 (3) 3.0 (90) 4.0 (2)
6 · 2

Jackson Blake R1.0 PTS · 2.6 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/3 @ NSH 19:29 1 0 1 0
11/1 vs WPG 15:01 0 1 1 0
10/29 vs CBJ 16:48 0 1 1 0
10/27 vs BOS 16:47 1 0 4 2
10/24 @ STL 17:14 0 1 1 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 1.0 (17) 1.0 (10) 0.7 (100) 0.7 (3)
0 · 1 · 1
SOG 2.6 (17) 2.8 (10) 2.2 (100) 2.7 (3)
4 · 3 · 1

New York Islanders

Bo Horvat C1.0 PTS · 3.1 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/31 vs EDM 20:29 0 0 3 1
10/29 @ MIN 20:57 1 0 3 2
10/27 @ NSH 26:04 1 0 2 2
10/25 @ DAL 19:18 0 2 2 0
10/22 vs LAK 21:33 0 0 5 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CAR
PTS 1.0 (14) 0.9 (7) 0.8 (68) 0.3 (3)
1 · 0 · 0
SOG 3.1 (14) 3.6 (7) 3.3 (68) 1.3 (3)
2 · 1 · 1

Matthew Schaefer D1.0 PTS · 3.7 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/31 vs EDM 24:33 0 0 2 3
10/29 @ MIN 30:01 2 1 6 1
10/27 @ NSH 32:16 0 1 2 1
10/25 @ DAL 26:16 1 0 1 0
10/22 vs LAK 29:24 1 0 9 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CAR
PTS 1.0 (14) 1.1 (7) 0.7 (82) 0.7 (3)
0 · 1 · 1
SOG 3.7 (14) 4.3 (7) 2.7 (82) 2.7 (3)
4 · 1 · 3

Matias Maccelli L0.8 PTS · 1.6 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/17 @ TOR 05:39 0 0 0 0
10/15 @ OTT 18:26 1 0 2 0
10/13 vs VAN 15:26 1 1 5 0
10/10 vs TBL 14:23 0 1 0 0
10/8 vs CHI 15:28 0 1 2 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CAR
PTS 0.8 (8) 1.0 (4) 0.5 (71) 1.0 (2)
2 · 0
SOG 1.6 (8) 2.3 (4) 1.3 (71) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Hurricanes 12-5 8-9 7-10 5-2 7-3
Islanders 7-7 8-6 6-8 4-3 3-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Hurricanes vs Islanders head-to-head

Hurricanes are 6-4, 2-3 ATS, O/U 3-2 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Hurricanes won 2-1 on April 14, 2026.

Date Venue Hurricanes result ATS O/U
Apr 14, 26 Islanders home W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Apr 4, 26 Hurricanes home W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 30, 25 Hurricanes home W 6-2 – –
Mar 30, 25 Hurricanes home W 6-4 – –
Jan 25, 25 Islanders home L 2-3 – –
Dec 17, 24 Hurricanes home W 4-0 – –
Dec 7, 24 Islanders home L 3-4 – –
Mar 19, 24 Islanders home W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Dec 23, 23 Hurricanes home L 4-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 30, 23 Hurricanes home L 4-5 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Carolina Hurricanes: last 10 (7-3, 4-6 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 3, 26 @ NSH L 1-4 L -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 1, 26 vs WPG W 7-0 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 vs CBJ W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 27, 26 vs BOS W 2-1 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ STL W 4-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ EDM L 5-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ VAN W 6-3 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 18, 26 @ CGY L 2-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ WPG W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 13, 26 vs WSH W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5

New York Islanders: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 vs EDM L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ MIN W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 @ NSH W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 25, 26 @ DAL L 3-6 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs LA L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs ANA W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ TOR W 4-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ OTT L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 13, 26 vs VAN W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 10, 26 vs TB L 3-5 L +1.5 O 5.5

Injury report

Carolina Hurricanes

  • Alexander Nikishin (D): Out, Nikishin
  • Jordan Staal (C): Injured Reserve, Calf

New York Islanders

  • Calum Ritchie (C): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Mathew Barzal (C): Injured Reserve, Barzal
  • Alexander Romanov (D): Injured Reserve, Knee
  • Matias Maccelli (L): Injured Reserve, Maccelli
  • Ryan Pulock (D): Out, Upper Body

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Hurricanes defense Islanders defense
Goals allowed per game 2.29 (2nd of 32) 2.71 (5th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 22.29 (1st of 32) 26.21 (10th of 32)
Points allowed per game 6.12 (2nd of 32) 7.29 (6th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.53 (9th of 32) 1.5 (8th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 55.2 (12th) 51.7 (30th)

Venue and weather

UBS Arena · Elmont, NYIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Hurricanes vs Islanders odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Islanders spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 5.5 6.5 +1
Hurricanes moneyline -166 -205 +4.8% win chance
Islanders moneyline +140 +170 -4.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Islanders spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 5.5 → 6.5
The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

More on these teams: Carolina Hurricanes vs Nashville Predators Nov 3 · Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Oct 31 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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