Golden Knights vs Red Wings Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Vegas Golden Knights logo

Golden Knights10-7 · 7-10 ATS3rd in the West
FINAL2 – 1
Detroit Red Wings logo

Red Wings7-9 · 7-9 ATS11th in the East

NHL · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Little Caesars Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Golden Knights 0 0 2 2
Red Wings 0 0 1 1

How the bets settled

MoneylineGolden Knights wonClosed at -148
SpreadRed Wings coveredRed Wings +1.5, by 0.5
TotalUnder 6.53 scored, 3.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1, with the game decided in the third period after two scoreless frames. Vegas scored twice in the third, and Detroit’s lone third-period goal was not enough to force more.

Trevor Connelly scored for Vegas with Tomas Hertl assisting, while Anton Johansson scored Detroit’s goal and Sheldon Dries picked up the assist. The team stats explain the result: Vegas held a 34-26 shots edge and won 54.7 percent of faceoffs, giving it more possession and pressure. Detroit blocked more shots and had more takeaways, but neither side converted on the power play, so the game stayed tight.

For bettors, the Red Wings covered the closing 1.5 spread by 0.5 in the 2-1 loss. The closing total of 6.5 settled under by 3.5.

How the props finished

6 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists -105 Hard Rock 0 Missed
Andreas Englund Over 1.5 hits -207 Stake 1 Missed
Jeremy Lauzon Over 1.5 hits -246 Stake 2 Cleared
Nic Dowd Over 0.5 hits -277 Stake 3 Cleared
Mark Stone Over 0.5 points -163 Kalshi 0 Missed
Tomas Hertl Over 1.5 shots on goal -175 Hard Rock 2 Cleared
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård Over 1.5 hits -223 Stake 4 Cleared
Rasmus Andersson Over 1.5 shots on goal +120 DraftKings 4 Cleared
Emmitt Finnie Over 0.5 points +104 Kalshi 0 Missed
Marc Gatcomb Over 3.5 hits -106 Stake 3 Missed
Lucas Raymond Over 0.5 points -135 Hard Rock 0 Missed
Moritz Seider Over 1.5 shots on goal -140 ESPN BET 2 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

Red WingsGolden Knights
The score margin against the closing spread (Red Wings +1.5). Blue: Red Wings covering. Orange: Golden Knights covering.
+0Largest VGK cover
0%VGK covering
+2.5Largest DET cover
100%DET covering

Top performers

Golden Knights

  • GoalsTrevor Connelly1
  • AssistsTomas Hertl1
  • PointsTrevor Connelly1

Red Wings

  • GoalsAnton Johansson1
  • AssistsSheldon Dries1
  • PointsAnton Johansson1

Team stats

Golden KnightsRed Wings
34Shots26
54.7%Faceoffs won45.3%
0Power play goals0
15Hits16
11Blocked shots15
3Takeaways5
14Giveaways15
4Penalty minutes6

Box score

Vegas Golden KnightsDetroit Red Wings

Vegas Golden Knights

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Ivan Barbashev LW 0 0 0 2 0 14:08 14 2 1 0 1 0 0.0
Braeden Bowman RW 1 0 0 4 0 12:58 18 0 0 0 2 2 0.0
Trevor Connelly LW 1 0 0 2 1 11:19 16 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Nic Dowd C 0 0 0 0 -1 9:37 14 3 0 0 0 0 33.3
Jack Eichel C 0 1 0 5 1 21:46 22 1 0 0 0 0 56.5
Marc Gatcomb C 0 0 0 1 -1 8:11 11 3 0 0 0 0 50.0
Tomas Hertl C 0 1 0 2 1 14:26 17 1 1 0 0 0 63.6
Brett Howden C 0 0 0 1 0 17:38 22 0 1 1 1 0 100.0
William Karlsson C 0 0 0 0 0 18:35 21 0 1 0 1 0 47.4
Mitch Marner RW 0 0 0 3 0 23:24 20 0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Victor Olofsson LW 0 1 0 3 1 14:08 18 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Mark Stone RW 0 0 0 0 1 19:07 22 1 1 0 2 2 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Rasmus Andersson D 0 1 0 4 1 18:29 25 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Dylan Coghlan D 0 0 0 2 1 13:56 20 0 1 0 2 0 0.0
Noah Hanifin D 0 0 0 0 2 18:53 24 0 1 1 0 0 0.0
Jeremy Lauzon D 0 0 0 1 0 14:35 20 2 1 0 0 0 0.0
Brayden McNabb D 0 0 0 1 -1 21:35 29 2 0 0 2 0 0.0
Shea Theodore D 0 0 0 3 -1 24:04 30 0 1 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Carter Hart G 1 26 0 0 25 .962 21 3 1 59:11 0 0

Detroit Red Wings

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Viktor Arvidsson LW 0 0 0 4 0 17:25 23 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Michael Brandsegg-Nygard RW 0 0 0 0 0 16:48 22 4 1 1 0 0 0.0
J.T. Compher LW 0 0 0 0 -1 15:00 25 1 1 0 0 0 33.3
Andrew Copp C 0 0 0 2 0 21:11 26 2 2 0 1 2 40.0
Nate Danielson C 0 0 0 0 -1 10:53 17 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Alex DeBrincat RW 0 0 0 5 0 19:43 24 1 1 1 3 2 0.0
Sheldon Dries C 0 1 0 1 0 8:38 16 0 0 1 0 0 75.0
Emmitt Finnie C 0 0 0 2 0 21:27 25 1 0 0 2 0 60.0
Keegan Kolesar RW 0 0 0 0 0 8:16 14 0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Carter Mazur LW 0 1 0 1 0 6:48 11 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Michael Rasmussen C 0 0 0 0 -1 13:44 22 0 2 0 2 0 0.0
Lucas Raymond LW 0 0 0 3 0 22:13 24 0 0 1 0 2 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Ben Chiarot D 0 0 0 2 -1 22:32 28 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Andreas Englund D 0 0 0 1 0 11:48 16 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Justin Faulk D 0 0 0 0 0 22:43 25 0 2 0 4 0 0.0
Anton Johansson D 1 0 0 2 0 9:33 13 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Moritz Seider D 0 0 0 2 -1 27:43 28 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
William Wallinder D 0 0 0 1 0 20:00 22 1 2 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Daniil Tarasov G 2 34 0 0 32 .941 23 8 1 57:35 0 0

Attendance 19,515 · Officials: Tom Chmielewski, Caleb Apperson, Kilian McNamara, Mike Sullivan

Recap: Connelly breaks late tie in the Golden Knights’ 2-1 win over the Red Wings (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Trade Golden Knights vs Red Wings on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Golden Knights vs Red Wings pre-game preview

The betting market makes Vegas a -138 moneyline favorite, with Detroit at +120; Detroit is +1.5 on the puck line and the total is 5.5, matching the DraftKings opener. The last meeting was March 4, 2026, a 4-3 Vegas road win. Vegas is 10-7 overall and 7-10 ATS, including 5-5 and 5-5 ATS in its last 10 after a 3-2 win at Pittsburgh. Detroit is 7-9 and 7-9 ATS, with a 6-4 and 4-6 ATS last 10 after a 2-4 loss at Tampa Bay. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Vegas is 4-2 straight up, 2-1 ATS, and the over is 3-0.

The most notable angle is Detroit’s injury list: Dylan Larkin is on IR via suspension, Marco Kasper and Mason Appleton are on IR, and John Gibson is day to day. On the prop side, Mitch Marner over 0.5 assists at -146 has cleared 10 of last 10, and StatsBench projects 0.8.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Golden Knights 10-7 7-10 11-6 6-3 4-4
Red Wings 7-9 7-9 9-7 4-5 3-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Golden Knights vs Red Wings head-to-head

Golden Knights are 4-2, 2-1 ATS, O/U 3-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Golden Knights won 4-3 on March 4, 2026.

Date Venue Golden Knights result ATS O/U
Mar 4, 26 Red Wings home W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Nov 4, 25 Golden Knights home W 1-0 – –
Mar 22, 25 Golden Knights home W 6-3 – –
Mar 16, 25 Red Wings home L 0-3 – –
Mar 9, 24 Golden Knights home W 5-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Jan 27, 24 Red Wings home L 2-5 L +1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Vegas Golden Knights: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 3, 26 @ PIT W 3-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 2, 26 @ BOS L 2-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 30, 26 vs NJ L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 vs OTT W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CBJ L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ STL L 2-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs TB L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs PIT W 6-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs CGY W 6-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ NSH W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5

Detroit Red Wings: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 3, 26 @ TB L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 2, 26 @ FLA W 5-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 31, 26 vs STL L 4-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 29, 26 vs CHI W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 26, 26 @ EDM W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CGY L 1-4 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 @ VAN W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ SEA L 3-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs SJ W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs PHI W 2-1 L -1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:56 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Golden Knights defense Red Wings defense
Goals allowed per game 2.82 (6th of 32) 3 (11th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 25.65 (9th of 32) 24.69 (6th of 32)
Points allowed per game 7.12 (5th of 32) 8.25 (13th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2 (17th of 32) 2.69 (26th of 32)

Venue and weather

Little Caesars Arena · Detroit, MIIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Golden Knights vs Red Wings odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Red Wings spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 5.5 6.5 +1
Golden Knights moneyline -142 -148 +1% win chance
Red Wings moneyline +120 +124 -0.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Red Wings spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 5.5 → 5.5
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More on these teams: Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Nov 3 · Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Nov 3 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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