La Liga Predictions (November 5, 2026): Win Chances, Scores, BTTS & Over 2.5

La Liga predictions for the next 10 matches, updated 1:19 PM UK on November 5, 2026. Each one shows the model’s win chances, the most likely score, and the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Win chances, the likely score and the goal lines are a Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away. The model doesn’t know about lineups or injuries, so check each match page before you bet.

Table of Contents

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés prediction

Fri, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM UK / 3:00 PM ET

46%Sevilla24%Draw30%Deportivo Alavés

1-1Likely score58%Over 2.560%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Málaga vs Racing Santander prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM UK / 8:00 AM ET

49%Málaga21%Draw30%Racing Santander

1-1Likely score68%Over 2.567%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 3:15 PM UK / 10:15 AM ET

36%Espanyol26%Draw38%Deportivo La Coruña

1-1Likely score50%Over 2.554%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 5:30 PM UK / 12:30 PM ET

31%Osasuna29%Draw40%Athletic Club

1-1Likely score38%Over 2.544%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans under 2.5 goals.

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Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 8:00 PM UK / 3:00 PM ET

15%Valencia21%Draw64%Real Madrid

0-1Likely score52%Over 2.548%BTTS

Real Madrid are the model’s pick at 64%. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Elche vs Real Betis prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM UK / 8:00 AM ET

27%Elche24%Draw49%Real Betis

1-1Likely score56%Over 2.558%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 3:15 PM UK / 10:15 AM ET

49%Real Sociedad22%Draw29%Rayo Vallecano

1-1Likely score67%Over 2.566%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Celta de Vigo vs Levante prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 5:30 PM UK / 12:30 PM ET

48%Celta de Vigo27%Draw25%Levante

1-0Likely score44%Over 2.547%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans under 2.5 goals.

Villarreal vs Getafe prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 5:30 PM UK / 12:30 PM ET

55%Villarreal25%Draw20%Getafe

1-0Likely score45%Over 2.546%BTTS

Villarreal are the model’s pick at 55%. It leans under 2.5 goals.

Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 8:00 PM UK / 3:00 PM ET

24%Atlético Madrid19%Draw57%FC Barcelona

1-2Likely score77%Over 2.573%BTTS

FC Barcelona are the model’s pick at 57%. It leans over 2.5 goals.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How are these La Liga predictions made?

Each club’s goals scored and conceded this season, overall and at home or away, go into a Poisson model. It returns win chances, the most likely score, and the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are estimates from season numbers, and the model doesn’t know about lineups or injuries. Every bet can lose, so treat them as research.

How often does this page update?

It checks for new fixtures and numbers every 30 minutes. Each match links to its own page once that page is up, with lineups, player props and odds.

What do over 2.5 goals and BTTS mean?

Over 2.5 goals wins if the match has three or more goals. BTTS, both teams to score, wins if each side scores at least once.

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés prediction

Málaga vs Racing Santander prediction

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña prediction

Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction

Elche vs Real Betis prediction

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

Celta de Vigo vs Levante prediction

Villarreal vs Getafe prediction

Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona prediction

Recent La Liga match pages

Frequently Asked Questions

How are these La Liga predictions made?

Are these predictions guaranteed?

How often does this page update?

What do over 2.5 goals and BTTS mean?

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