Premier League Predictions (November 5, 2026): Win Chances, Scores, BTTS & Over 2.5

Premier League predictions for the next 10 matches, updated 2:26 PM UK on November 5, 2026. Each one shows the model’s win chances, the most likely score, and the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Win chances, the likely score and the goal lines are a Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away. The model doesn’t know about lineups or injuries, so check each match page before you bet.

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 12:30 PM UK / 7:30 AM ET

42%Leeds United30%Draw28%Tottenham Hotspur
1-0Likely score33%Over 2.540%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans under 2.5 goals.

Arsenal vs Hull City prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM UK / 10:00 AM ET

54%Arsenal26%Draw20%Hull City
1-0Likely score42%Over 2.544%BTTS

Arsenal are the model’s pick at 54%. It leans under 2.5 goals.

Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM UK / 10:00 AM ET

40%Fulham24%Draw36%Newcastle United
1-1Likely score58%Over 2.560%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Player props for these Premier League matchesShots, cards and goalscorer lines with hit rates beside them. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 5:30 PM UK / 12:30 PM ET

14%Nottingham Forest24%Draw62%Manchester City
0-1Likely score40%Over 2.538%BTTS

Manchester City are the model’s pick at 62%. It leans under 2.5 goals.

Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 2:00 PM UK / 9:00 AM ET

38%Ipswich Town23%Draw39%AFC Bournemouth
1-1Likely score63%Over 2.565%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 2:00 PM UK / 9:00 AM ET

20%Crystal Palace22%Draw58%Liverpool
1-1Likely score58%Over 2.556%BTTS

Liverpool are the model’s pick at 58%. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 2:00 PM UK / 9:00 AM ET

26%Sunderland25%Draw49%Chelsea
1-1Likely score52%Over 2.554%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 2:00 PM UK / 9:00 AM ET

61%Brighton & Hove Albion20%Draw19%Brentford
2-1Likely score62%Over 2.558%BTTS

Brighton & Hove Albion are the model’s pick at 61%. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:30 PM UK / 11:30 AM ET

37%Manchester United26%Draw37%Aston Villa
1-1Likely score52%Over 2.556%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Go past the match resultEvery Premier League player line beside its hit rate. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Want our player picks too? See today’s Premier League prop picks.

Recent Premier League match pages

More predictions: All football predictions · Champions League · La Liga · Serie A · Bundesliga · Ligue 1 · Europa League · MLS

By market: Correct score predictions · Both teams to score predictions · Over 2.5 goals predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · soccer player props guide · how parlays work

Bet only where it’s legal and you’re of legal age. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. If gambling stops being fun, contact a support service where you live.

Frequently Asked Questions

How are these Premier League predictions made?

Each club’s goals scored and conceded this season, overall and at home or away, go into a Poisson model. It returns win chances, the most likely score, and the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are estimates from season numbers, and the model doesn’t know about lineups or injuries. Every bet can lose, so treat them as research.

How often does this page update?

It checks for new fixtures and numbers every 30 minutes. Each match links to its own page once that page is up, with lineups, player props and odds.

What do over 2.5 goals and BTTS mean?

Over 2.5 goals wins if the match has three or more goals. BTTS, both teams to score, wins if each side scores at least once.

Today's NBA picks

Collin GillespieOVER 0.5 steals · vs ORL
10/10
Brandon WilliamsOVER 0.5 stls blks · vs MIA
9/10
Oso IghodaroOVER 1.5 assists · vs ORL
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days