Ligue 1 Predictions (November 5, 2026): Win Chances, Scores, BTTS & Over 2.5

Ligue 1 predictions for the next 9 matches, updated 2:26 PM UK on November 5, 2026. Each one shows the model’s win chances, the most likely score, and the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Win chances, the likely score and the goal lines are a Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away. The model doesn’t know about lineups or injuries, so check each match page before you bet.

Table of Contents

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:45 PM UK / 2:45 PM ET

42%Toulouse23%Draw35%Strasbourg

1-1Likely score63%Over 2.564%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg lineups, props and odds →

Auxerre vs Paris prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 6:00 PM UK / 1:00 PM ET

29%Auxerre25%Draw46%Paris

1-1Likely score56%Over 2.558%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes prediction

Sat, Nov 7 · 8:05 PM UK / 3:05 PM ET

59%Paris Saint Germain23%Draw18%Troyes

1-0Likely score52%Over 2.550%BTTS

Paris Saint Germain are the model’s pick at 59%. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Rennes vs LOSC Lille prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 2:00 PM UK / 9:00 AM ET

43%Rennes24%Draw33%LOSC Lille

1-1Likely score57%Over 2.559%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Player props for these Ligue 1 matchesShots, cards and goalscorer lines with hit rates beside them. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Open the Ligue 1 board →

Angers SCO vs Nice prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:15 PM UK / 11:15 AM ET

33%Angers SCO25%Draw42%Nice

1-1Likely score52%Over 2.555%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:15 PM UK / 11:15 AM ET

39%Brest26%Draw35%Olympique Lyonnais

1-1Likely score51%Over 2.555%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:15 PM UK / 11:15 AM ET

20%Le Havre27%Draw53%Lorient

0-1Likely score37%Over 2.540%BTTS

Lorient are the model’s pick at 53%. It leans under 2.5 goals.

Le Mans vs Monaco prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:15 PM UK / 11:15 AM ET

30%Le Mans25%Draw45%Monaco

1-1Likely score54%Over 2.557%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. Over 2.5 goals is close to even.

Lens vs Olympique Marseille prediction

Sun, Nov 8 · 7:45 PM UK / 2:45 PM ET

39%Lens23%Draw38%Olympique Marseille

1-1Likely score65%Over 2.566%BTTS

No side reaches 50%, so the model sees this one as open. It leans over 2.5 goals.

Go past the match resultEvery Ligue 1 player line beside its hit rate. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

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Want our player picks too? See today’s Ligue 1 prop picks.

Recent Ligue 1 match pages

More predictions: All football predictions · Premier League · Champions League · La Liga · Serie A · Bundesliga · Europa League · MLS

By market: Correct score predictions · Both teams to score predictions · Over 2.5 goals predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

How are these Ligue 1 predictions made?

Each club’s goals scored and conceded this season, overall and at home or away, go into a Poisson model. It returns win chances, the most likely score, and the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are estimates from season numbers, and the model doesn’t know about lineups or injuries. Every bet can lose, so treat them as research.

How often does this page update?

It checks for new fixtures and numbers every 30 minutes. Each match links to its own page once that page is up, with lineups, player props and odds.

What do over 2.5 goals and BTTS mean?

Over 2.5 goals wins if the match has three or more goals. BTTS, both teams to score, wins if each side scores at least once.

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	MIA	3-5	.375	4.5
10	CHA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-5	.286	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	MIN	6-3	.667	1
8	GS	5-3	.625	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	1-5	.167	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
4	JAX	5-2	.714	W1
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-4	.500	L3
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	12-3-0	26	L1
2	BOS	11-4-0	23	W2
3	MTL	9-3-0	21	L1
4	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
5	TB	9-3-0	20	W1
6	NJ	10-5-0	20	W2
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
9	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
10	NYR	8-7-0	17	W1
11	DET	7-6-0	17	L1
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-5-0	16	L1
14	CBJ	6-7-0	12	W1
15	PIT	5-8-0	12	L3
16	PHI	4-9-0	12	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	11-2-0	25	L1
2	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
3	VGK	10-5-0	22	W1
4	UTA	10-6-0	20	W1
5	DAL	9-5-0	19	W2
6	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
7	COL	9-6-0	19	L1
8	NSH	6-4-0	17	W2
9	STL	7-7-0	15	L1
10	ANA	7-7-0	15	W2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
13	WPG	5-8-0	13	W1
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-11-0	9	L4
16	VAN	3-13-0	7	L3

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

Auxerre vs Paris prediction

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes prediction

Rennes vs LOSC Lille prediction

Angers SCO vs Nice prediction

Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction

Le Mans vs Monaco prediction

Lens vs Olympique Marseille prediction

Recent Ligue 1 match pages

Frequently Asked Questions

How are these Ligue 1 predictions made?

Are these predictions guaranteed?

How often does this page update?

What do over 2.5 goals and BTTS mean?

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