Torino vs Lecce Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Torino10th in Serie A

9:00 AM ETSat, Nov 7

Lecce14th in Serie A

Serie A · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:00 AM ET

Result	Moneyline
Torino	-120
Draw	+271
Lecce	+375

Total goals 2.5: over -108 , under -104

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:38 AM ET.

Torino vs Lecce preview

Torino hosts Lecce in Serie A on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The three-way moneyline lists Torino at -120, Lecce at +375 and the draw at +274, with a 2.5 total. Torino sits 10th with 13 points from 10 matches (W4 D1 L5), and Lecce is 14th with 9 points from 10 (W3 D0 L7).

The last meeting went Torino’s way 1-0 on February 1, 2026. Recent league form (most recent first) is LLWWW for Torino and LLLWL for Lecce. Torino scores 1.40 and concedes 1.60 per match; Lecce scores 1.10 and concedes 2.10. Both teams scored in 70% of Torino matches and 40% of Lecce matches, while over 2.5 landed in 70% for each.

Ché Adams has cleared over 0.5 shots on target in 8 of his last 10 at -192. Lecce’s injury list includes Ivan Ilic, Lassana Coulibaly and Santiago Pierotti, while Torino is without Niccolò Fortini, Ricardo Rodríguez and Rolando Mandragora.

Torino vs Lecce prediction

43%Torino

23%Draw

34%Lecce

The books imply 53% / 26% / 21%

1-1Most likely score11% chance

1.7 – 1.5Expected goals

61%Over 2.5 goals

63%Both teams to score

The model leans Torino at 43% with a 23% draw and 34% Lecce, while the books are firmer on Torino at 53% versus 21% for Lecce, so the two disagree. Torino’s recent LLWWW form and Lecce’s 2.10 goals conceded per match support that lean, though Lecce’s five listed absences add risk and the model’s 1-1 most likely score and 63% both teams to score suggest a close match.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (10 and 10 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Torino vs Lecce player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Ché Adams Torino	Over 0.5 shots on target	-192 BetRivers	80% (8/10)	60%
Pietro Comuzzo Torino	Over 0.5 shots	+125 Fanatics	60% (6/10)	80%
Tiago Gabriel Lecce	Over 0.5 shots	+120 Fanatics	60% (6/10)	80%
Danilo Veiga Lecce	Over 2.5 tackles	-145 DraftKings	60% (6/10)	60%
Antonino Gallo Lecce	Over 1.5 tackles	-175 DraftKings	60% (6/10)	80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:38 AM ET.

The rest of the Torino vs Lecce propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Open the Serie A board →

Willem Davnis Louis Didier GeubbelsOver 1.5 fouls3/5

Medon BerishaOver 0.5 shots on target5/10

Saúl CocoOver 0.5 shots5/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Aboukhlal vs Gallo

Aboukhlal

Winger, Torino

Gallo

Full-back, Lecce

Tough matchup for AboukhlalGallo gives away 0.0 fouls a match, 100% less than the average defender (0.8). Aboukhlal only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.0

0.8Shots vs tackles1.8

Fouls won over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · -170

Shots over 2.51/10avg 0.8 · +130

Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -118

Fouls committed over 0.50/10avg 0 · -235

Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.8 · -175

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +550

Patterson vs Veiga

Patterson

Winger, Torino

Veiga

Full-back, Lecce

Good matchup for PattersonVeiga gives away 1.4 fouls a match, 74% more than the average defender (0.8). Patterson only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given1.4

0.2Shots vs tackles2.6

Fouls won over 0.52/5avg 0.4 · -195

Shots over 1.50/5avg 0.2 · +550

Shots on target over 0.50/5avg 0 · +800

Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · -140

Tackles over 2.56/10avg 2.6 · -145

Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +300

Adams vs Siebert and Tiago Gabriel

Adams

Striker, Torino

Siebert

Centre-back, Lecce

Tiago Gabriel

Centre-back, Lecce

Good matchup for AdamsSiebert and Tiago Gabriel give away 1.2 fouls a match, 49% more than the average defender (0.8). Adams only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given1.2

1.8Shots vs tackles1.9

Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.4 · -290

Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.8 · -133

Shots on target over 0.58/10avg 1 · -192

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105

Tackles over 1.57/10avg 2.3 · -235

Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +260

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105

Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · -195

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +475

Simeone vs Siebert and Tiago Gabriel

Simeone

Striker, Torino

Siebert

Centre-back, Lecce

Tiago Gabriel

Centre-back, Lecce

Good matchup for SimeoneSiebert and Tiago Gabriel give away 1.2 fouls a match, 49% more than the average defender (0.8). Simeone draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.3Fouls drawn vs given1.2

1.8Shots vs tackles1.9

Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · -135

Shots over 3.51/10avg 1.8 · +115

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -225

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105

Tackles over 1.57/10avg 2.3 · -235

Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +260

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105

Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · -195

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +475

Ndri vs Patterson

Ndri

Winger, Lecce

Patterson

Full-back, Torino

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.52/5avg 0.8 · -300

Tackles over 2.50/5avg 1.2 · -120

Yellow card over 0.51/5avg 0.2 · +400

Fatah vs Aboukhlal

Fatah

Winger, Lecce

Aboukhlal

Full-back, Torino

Even matchupAboukhlal gives away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). Fatah only draws 0.6, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.6Fouls drawn vs given0.8

1.1Shots vs tackles1.1

Fouls won over 0.54/9avg 0.6 · -270

Shots over 2.50/9avg 1.1 · +163

Shots on target over 0.53/9avg 0.4 · +145

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -255

Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -185

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +600

Stulic vs Coco and Ismajli and Comuzzo

Stulic

Striker, Lecce

Coco

Centre-back, Torino

Ismajli

Centre-back, Torino

Comuzzo

Centre-back, Torino

Even matchupCoco and Ismajli and Comuzzo give away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). Stulic only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.3Fouls drawn vs given0.8

1.0Shots vs tackles1.7

Fouls won over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · -330

Shots over 2.52/10avg 1 · +175

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -110

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · +110

Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.8 · -220

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +425

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · -170

Tackles over 1.53/10avg 0.8 · -145

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +500

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · -310

Tackles over 1.57/10avg 2.6 · -275

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +550

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Torino 3-5-2Lecce 4-3-3

20 Lucas Perri

5/1023 CocoShots 0.5+

44 Ismajli

6/1015 ComuzzoShots 0.5+

7 Aboukhlal

10 Vlasic

21 Braganca

66 Gineitis

2 Patterson

8/1019 AdamsSOT 0.5+

5/1018 SimeoneTackles 0.5+

30 Falcone

6/1017 VeigaTackles 2.5+

5 Siebert

6/1044 Tiago GabrielShots 0.5+

6/1025 GalloTackles 1.5+

28 Gorter

5/1079 NgomFouls 1.5+

14 Maleh

11 Ndri

9 Stulic

7 Fatah

Torino missing: F. Israel (shoulder), R. Rodriguez (thigh)

Lecce missing: W. Geubbels (muscle), I. Ilic (thigh), J. Monteiro (calf), S. Pierotti (ankle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Serie A players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

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Form and head to head

Torino10th in the tableLLWWW4W 1D 5L · 1.30 points a match

4meetings

1 win1 draw2 wins

Lecce14th in the tableLLLWL3W 0D 7L · 0.90 points a match

25%Over 1.51/4

25%Over 2.51/4

0%Over 3.50/4

25%Both scored1/4

Feb 2026TOR 1-0 LEC
Nov 2025LEC 2-1 TOR
May 2025LEC 1-0 TOR
Sep 2024TOR 0-0 LEC

Clean sheets and goal trends

Torino

10%

Clean sheet1/10

20%

Failed to score2/10

70%

Both scored7/10

70%

Over 2.57/10

Lecce

20%

Clean sheet2/10

40%

Failed to score4/10

40%

Both scored4/10

70%

Over 2.57/10

Attack and defense

Attacking

TorinoLecce

40%Win %30%

49%Possession %42%

70%Both teams scored %40%

40%Scored first %30%

1.4Scored per match1.1
9.7Shots per match11.6
3.7Shots on target per match5.0
1.8Big chances per match1.7

Defensive

TorinoLecce

50%Loss %70%

20%Failed to score %40%

10%Clean sheet %20%

60%Conceded first %70%

1.6Conceded per match2.1
14.2Shots against per match13.7
15.3Tackles per match19.7
9.8Fouls per match13.7

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Torino	LLWWW	L 0-2 at Frosinone · L 1-3 vs COM · W 3-2 vs MON · W 3-0 at PRM · W 2-1 vs UDI
Lecce	LLLWL	L 1-2 vs GEN · L 1-5 at Frosinone · L 0-2 vs JUV · W 3-0 at UDI · L 1-2 vs BOL

Last five Serie A results, most recent first.

Season numbers

	Torino	Lecce
Table	10 (13 pts)	14 (9 pts)
Record (W-D-L)	4-1-5	3-0-7
Home / away record	2-0-3 (7-10) home	2-0-3 (6-9) away
Goals scored per match	1.40	1.10
Goals conceded per match	1.60	2.10
Shots / on target per match	9.70 / 3.70	11.60 / 5.00
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals	100% / 70% / 20%	90% / 70% / 30%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	20%	40%
Yellow cards per match	1.10	1.90
Corners per match	3.80	4.50

This season, 10 and 10 matches.

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani averages 2.0 yellow cards and 24.2 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.6), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Torino

Niccolò Fortini (D): Out, Muscle Injury
Ricardo Rodríguez (D): Out, Muscle Injury
Rolando Mandragora (M): Out, Muscle Injury
Alessio Cacciamani (M): Out, Shoulder Injury
Rafik Belghali (M): Out, Knee Injury

Lecce

Ivan Ilic (M): Out, Thigh Injury
Lassana Coulibaly (M): Out, Muscle Injury
Santiago Pierotti (M): Out, Ankle Injury
Willem Geubbels (F): Day-To-Day, Physical Discomfort
Joel Monteiro (M): Out, Calf Injury

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Torino vs Lecce odds by sportsbook

Book	TOR ML	LEC ML	Over	Under
bet365	-125	+375	O 2.5 -110	U 2.5 -110
BetRivers	-128	+340	O 2.5 -108	U 2.5 -122
DraftKings	-130	+320	O 2.5 -115	U 2.5 -110
FanDuel	-130	+350	O 2.5 -118	U 2.5 -104
Fanatics	-120	+350	O 2.5 -115	U 2.5 -115

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:38 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:15 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -130, no +100

Total goals	Over	Under
1.5	-355	+270
2.5	-118	-104
3.5	+210	-290
4.5	+590	-950

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5

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More on these teams: Lecce vs Genoa Nov 1 · Frosinone vs Torino Nov 1 · All Serie A prop picks · All Serie A predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	CHA	3-6	.333	5
10	MIA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-6	.250	5.5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	GS	6-3	.667	1
8	MIN	6-3	.667	1
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	2-5	.286	4
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	JAX	6-2	.750	W2
4	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-5	.444	L4
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	13-3-0	28	W1
2	BOS	12-4-0	25	W3
3	MTL	10-3-0	23	W1
4	TB	10-3-0	22	W2
5	NJ	11-5-0	22	W3
6	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	NYR	9-7-0	19	W2
9	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
10	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
11	DET	7-7-0	17	L2
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-6-0	16	L2
14	CBJ	7-7-0	14	W2
15	PIT	5-9-0	12	L4
16	PHI	4-10-0	12	L2

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
2	EDM	11-3-0	25	L2
3	VGK	11-5-0	24	W2
4	UTA	10-6-0	21	L1
5	DAL	9-5-0	20	L1
6	COL	9-6-0	20	L2
7	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
8	NSH	7-4-0	19	W3
9	ANA	8-7-0	17	W3
10	STL	7-7-0	16	L2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	WPG	6-8-0	15	W2
13	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-12-0	9	L5
16	VAN	3-14-0	7	L4

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Torino vs Lecce preview

Torino vs Lecce prediction

StatsBench picks

Top Torino vs Lecce player props

Key matchups

Aboukhlal vs Gallo

Patterson vs Veiga

Adams vs Siebert and Tiago Gabriel

Simeone vs Siebert and Tiago Gabriel

Ndri vs Patterson

Fatah vs Aboukhlal

Stulic vs Coco and Ismajli and Comuzzo

Predicted lineups

Form and head to head

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Recent results

Season numbers

Referee

Injury report

Torino vs Lecce odds by sportsbook

Goal lines and both teams to score

Line movement chart

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