| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +175 |
|
| Draw | +280 |
| +150 |
Total goals 3.5: over +130
, under -152 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:38 AM ET.
Cagliari vs Frosinone preview
Saturday’s Serie A match sees Cagliari host Frosinone. On the three-way moneyline, Frosinone is favored at +150, Cagliari is +175 and the draw is +276, with the total at 3.5. Cagliari is 12th with 13 points from 10 matches (W4 D1 L5); Frosinone is 6th with 20 points (W6 D2 L2). Recent league form is Cagliari LLLLD and Frosinone WWDWL.
Frosinone’s 24 goals scored and 14 conceded compare with Cagliari’s 9 scored and 15 conceded. Frosinone averages 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match, while Cagliari averages 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded. Cagliari’s injury list includes Fadera, Felici, Idrissi and Nzola, and Obert is also missing through a red card; Frosinone is without Grillitsch and Raimondo. Both teams to score is priced yes -225 and no +175.
The prop market offers some recent hit-rate context: Frosinone’s Ghedjemis over 0.5 shots on target at -132 has cleared it 6 of last 8, and Palmisani over 3.5 saves at +100 has cleared it 7 of last 10. Referee Giovanni Ayroldi averages 4.0 yellows and 25.5 fouls per match, against league marks of 3.1 and 21.6.
Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction
The books imply 35% / 26% / 39%
The model leans Frosinone (50%) over Cagliari (27%), while books imply Frosinone 39% and Cagliari 35%, so they disagree. Frosinone’s WWDWL form and 2.40 goals scored per match contrast with Cagliari’s LLLLD form, 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded, with Cagliari listing five absentees.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (10 and 10 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Cagliari vs Frosinone player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farès Ghedjemis Frosinone | Over 0.5 shots on target | -128 |
75% (6/8) | 80% |
| Lorenzo Palmisani Frosinone | Over 3.5 saves | +100 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| Giacomo Calò Frosinone | Over 0.5 shots on target | -105 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Patrizio Masini Frosinone | Over 1.5 fouls | -170 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Anthony Henri Zué Oyono Omva Torque Frosinone | Over 0.5 shots | -130 |
66.7% (6/9) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:38 AM ET.
Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Form and head to head
Cagliari12th in the tableLLLLD4W 1D 5L · 1.30 points a match
Frosinone6th in the tableWWDWL6W 2D 2L · 2.00 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Cagliari
Clean sheet3/10
Failed to score3/10
Both scored4/10
Over 2.54/10
Frosinone
Clean sheet3/10
Failed to score2/10
Both scored5/10
Over 2.56/10
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 0.9Scored per match2.4
- 9.5Shots per match14.1
- 3.9Shots on target per match5.5
- 1.7Big chances per match1.3
Defensive
- 1.5Conceded per match1.4
- 15.3Shots against per match15.2
- 16.2Tackles per match20.0
- 12.4Fouls per match13.2
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Cagliari | LLLLD | L 1-2 at LAZ · L 2-4 at ROM · L 0-2 vs BOL · L 0-4 at MON · D 1-1 vs JUV |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | WWDWL | W 2-0 vs TOR · W 5-1 vs LEC · D 4-4 at ATA · W 4-2 vs SAS · L 0-3 at NAP |
Last five Serie A results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 12 (13 pts) | 6 (20 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-5 | 6-2-2 |
| Home / away record | 1-1-2 (2-4) home | 1-2-1 (8-8) away |
| Goals scored per match | 0.90 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Shots / on target per match | 9.50 / 3.90 | 14.10 / 5.50 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% / 20% | 90% / 60% / 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Corners per match | 3.80 | 6.40 |
This season, 10 and 10 matches.
Referee
Giovanni Ayroldi averages 4.0 yellow cards and 25.5 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.6), a card-heavy referee.
Injury report
Cagliari
- Mattia Felici (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Riyad Idrissi (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Alieu Fadera (F): Out, Thigh Injury
- M’Bala Nzola (F): Out, Muscle Injury
Frosinone
- Florian Grillitsch (M): Out, Groin Injury
- Antonio Raimondo (F): Out, Ankle Injury
Cagliari vs Frosinone odds by sportsbook
| Book | CAG ML | FRO ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +175 | +150 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -162 | |
| +165 | +138 | O 3 -112 | U 3 -116 | |
| +165 | +135 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -165 | |
| +165 | +145 | O 3.5 +118 | U 3.5 -152 | |
| +175 | +140 | O 3.5 +120 | U 3.5 -160 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:38 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:17 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -225, no +175
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -650 | +440 |
| 2.5 | -192 | +154 |
| 3.5 | +126 | -164 |
| 4.5 | +330 | -450 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Lazio vs Cagliari Nov 1 · Frosinone vs Torino Nov 1 · All Serie A prop picks · All Serie A predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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