Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Cagliari logo

Cagliari12th in Serie A
9:00 AM ETSat, Nov 7
Frosinone logo

Frosinone6th in Serie A

Serie A · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:00 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Cagliari +175
Draw +280
Frosinone +150

Total goals 3.5: over +130 , under -152

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:38 AM ET.

Cagliari vs Frosinone preview

Saturday’s Serie A match sees Cagliari host Frosinone. On the three-way moneyline, Frosinone is favored at +150, Cagliari is +175 and the draw is +276, with the total at 3.5. Cagliari is 12th with 13 points from 10 matches (W4 D1 L5); Frosinone is 6th with 20 points (W6 D2 L2). Recent league form is Cagliari LLLLD and Frosinone WWDWL.

Frosinone’s 24 goals scored and 14 conceded compare with Cagliari’s 9 scored and 15 conceded. Frosinone averages 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match, while Cagliari averages 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded. Cagliari’s injury list includes Fadera, Felici, Idrissi and Nzola, and Obert is also missing through a red card; Frosinone is without Grillitsch and Raimondo. Both teams to score is priced yes -225 and no +175.

The prop market offers some recent hit-rate context: Frosinone’s Ghedjemis over 0.5 shots on target at -132 has cleared it 6 of last 8, and Palmisani over 3.5 saves at +100 has cleared it 7 of last 10. Referee Giovanni Ayroldi averages 4.0 yellows and 25.5 fouls per match, against league marks of 3.1 and 21.6.

Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction

27%Cagliari
23%Draw
50%Frosinone

The books imply 35% / 26% / 39%

1-1Most likely score11% chance
1.2 – 1.7Expected goals
56%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both teams to score

The model leans Frosinone (50%) over Cagliari (27%), while books imply Frosinone 39% and Cagliari 35%, so they disagree. Frosinone’s WWDWL form and 2.40 goals scored per match contrast with Cagliari’s LLLLD form, 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded, with Cagliari listing five absentees.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (10 and 10 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Cagliari vs Frosinone player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Farès Ghedjemis Frosinone Over 0.5 shots on target -128 BetRivers 75% (6/8) 80%
Lorenzo Palmisani Frosinone Over 3.5 saves +100 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%
Giacomo Calò Frosinone Over 0.5 shots on target -105 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Patrizio Masini Frosinone Over 1.5 fouls -170 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Anthony Henri Zué Oyono Omva Torque Frosinone Over 0.5 shots -130 Fanatics 66.7% (6/9) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:38 AM ET.

The rest of the Cagliari vs Frosinone propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Giorgi KvernadzeOver 0.5 score or assist6/10
Roberto GagliardiniOver 1.5 fouls6/10
Yerry MinaOver 1.5 tackles6/10
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Form and head to head

Cagliari12th in the tableLLLLD4W 1D 5L · 1.30 points a match
No recent meetings
Frosinone6th in the tableWWDWL6W 2D 2L · 2.00 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Cagliari

30%

Clean sheet3/10

30%

Failed to score3/10

40%

Both scored4/10

40%

Over 2.54/10

Frosinone

30%

Clean sheet3/10

20%

Failed to score2/10

50%

Both scored5/10

60%

Over 2.56/10

Attack and defense

Attacking

CagliariFrosinone
40%Win %60%
41%Possession %46%
40%Both teams scored %50%
70%Scored first %80%
  • 0.9Scored per match2.4
  • 9.5Shots per match14.1
  • 3.9Shots on target per match5.5
  • 1.7Big chances per match1.3

Defensive

CagliariFrosinone
50%Loss %20%
30%Failed to score %20%
30%Clean sheet %30%
30%Conceded first %20%
  • 1.5Conceded per match1.4
  • 15.3Shots against per match15.2
  • 16.2Tackles per match20.0
  • 12.4Fouls per match13.2

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Cagliari LLLLD L 1-2 at LAZ · L 2-4 at ROM · L 0-2 vs BOL · L 0-4 at MON · D 1-1 vs JUV
Frosinone WWDWL W 2-0 vs TOR · W 5-1 vs LEC · D 4-4 at ATA · W 4-2 vs SAS · L 0-3 at NAP

Last five Serie A results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Cagliari Frosinone
Table 12 (13 pts) 6 (20 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 4-1-5 6-2-2
Home / away record 1-1-2 (2-4) home 1-2-1 (8-8) away
Goals scored per match 0.90 2.40
Goals conceded per match 1.50 1.40
Shots / on target per match 9.50 / 3.90 14.10 / 5.50
Both teams scored 40% 50%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 60% / 40% / 20% 90% / 60% / 40%
Clean sheets 30% 30%
Failed to score 30% 20%
Yellow cards per match 1.50 1.40
Corners per match 3.80 6.40

This season, 10 and 10 matches.

Referee

Giovanni Ayroldi averages 4.0 yellow cards and 25.5 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.6), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

Cagliari

  • Mattia Felici (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Riyad Idrissi (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Alieu Fadera (F): Out, Thigh Injury
  • M’Bala Nzola (F): Out, Muscle Injury

Frosinone

  • Florian Grillitsch (M): Out, Groin Injury
  • Antonio Raimondo (F): Out, Ankle Injury
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Cagliari vs Frosinone odds by sportsbook

Book CAG ML FRO ML Over Under
bet365 +175 +150 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -162
BetRivers +165 +138 O 3 -112 U 3 -116
DraftKings +165 +135 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -165
FanDuel +165 +145 O 3.5 +118 U 3.5 -152
Fanatics +175 +140 O 3.5 +120 U 3.5 -160

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:38 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:17 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -225, no +175

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -650 +440
2.5 -192 +154
3.5 +126 -164
4.5 +330 -450

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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More on these teams: Lazio vs Cagliari Nov 1 · Frosinone vs Torino Nov 1 · All Serie A prop picks · All Serie A predictions

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