RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

RB Leipzig4th in the Bundesliga

9:30 AM ETSat, Nov 7

FC Augsburg10th in the Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET

Result	Moneyline
RB Leipzig	-222
Draw	+460
FC Augsburg	+500

Total goals 3.5: over -145 , under +122

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:11 AM ET.

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg preview

RB Leipzig hosts FC Augsburg on Saturday in the Bundesliga. Leipzig is the moneyline favorite at -222, with the draw at +460 and Augsburg at +500, and the total is 3.5.

Leipzig is fourth with 15 points from eight matches (5-0-3) and is 4-0-0 at home, while Augsburg is 10th with nine points (2-3-3). Leipzig’s recent league form is WWLWL and Augsburg’s is LDLDL. The last meeting was a 2-1 Leipzig win on March 7, 2026.

Augsburg has scored in all eight league matches, with both teams scoring in 88% and over 2.5 goals in 88%; Leipzig’s corresponding rates are 25% and 75%. Gregoritsch’s over 0.5 shots on target is -172 after clearing it 8 of last 10, and Baku’s over 0.5 fouls won is -200 after 8 of last 10. Leipzig is without Ouedraogo and Finkgrafe, while Augsburg lists several absentees.

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction

64%RB Leipzig

16%Draw

20%FC Augsburg

The books imply 67% / 17% / 16%

2-1Most likely score7% chance

2.9 – 1.7Expected goals

84%Over 2.5 goals

77%Both teams to score

The numbers lean toward an RB Leipzig win: the model gives 64% to Leipzig and 20% to Augsburg, while the books imply 67% and 16%, so they agree on the favorite but differ slightly on Augsburg. Leipzig’s 4-0-0 home record and Augsburg’s LDLDL form support that lean, with Augsburg’s 88% both-teams-to-score and over-2.5 rates pointing to goals.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Michael Gregoritsch FC Augsburg	Over 0.5 shots on target	-172 BetRivers	80% (8/10)	80%
Ridle Baku RB Leipzig	Over 0.5 fouls won	-200 DraftKings	80% (8/10)	80%
Arijon Ibrahimovic FC Augsburg	Over 0.5 shots on target	-143 BetRivers	70% (7/10)	100%
Maarten Vandevoordt RB Leipzig	Over 2.5 saves	-165 DraftKings	70% (7/10)	80%
Fabian Rieder FC Augsburg	Over 1.5 tackles	-180 DraftKings	70% (7/10)	40%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:11 AM ET.

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Willi OrbánOver 0.5 shots7/10

Christopher Alan NkunkuOver 0.5 fouls4/6

Anton KadeOver 2.5 shots6/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Gruda vs Behrens

Gruda

Winger, RB Leipzig

Behrens

Full-back, FC Augsburg

Tough matchup for GrudaBehrens gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 21% less than the average defender (0.8). Gruda draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.6

1.5Shots vs tackles2.9

Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -110

Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.5 · -137

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -225

Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · -255

Tackles over 2.54/10avg 2.9 · +100

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +500

Gomis vs Fellhauer

Gomis

Winger, RB Leipzig

Fellhauer

Full-back, FC Augsburg

Good matchup for GomisFellhauer gives away 1.3 fouls a match, 71% more than the average defender (0.8). Gomis draws 0.7, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.3

1.8Shots vs tackles0.7

Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · +125

Shots over 3.51/10avg 1.8 · +110

Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 0.8 · +200

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -175

Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · -200

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +375

Romulo vs Keitel and Matsima and Gouweleeuw

Romulo

Striker, RB Leipzig

Keitel

Centre-back, FC Augsburg

Matsima

Centre-back, FC Augsburg

Gouweleeuw

Centre-back, FC Augsburg

Tough matchup for RomuloKeitel and Matsima and Gouweleeuw give away 0.5 fouls a match, 39% less than the average defender (0.8). Romulo only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.5

1.7Shots vs tackles0.9

Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.4 · -310

Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.7 · +125

Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 1 · +138

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · +115

Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · -250

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +320

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -162

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · -150

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +390

Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -137

Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · -140

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +260

Gregoritsch vs Orban and Lukeba

Gregoritsch

Striker, FC Augsburg

Orban

Centre-back, RB Leipzig

Lukeba

Centre-back, RB Leipzig

Tough matchup for GregoritschOrban and Lukeba give away 0.6 fouls a match, 28% less than the average defender (0.8). Gregoritsch draws 0.7, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.7Fouls drawn vs given0.6

2.6Shots vs tackles1.3

Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -280

Shots over 2.56/10avg 2.6 · +115

Shots on target over 0.58/10avg 1.8 · -172

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -125

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · +110

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +550

Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · +110

Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · -105

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +475

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

RB Leipzig 4-5-1FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1

7/1026 VandevoordtSaves 2.5+

5/1039 HenrichsFouls won 0.5+

7/104 OrbanShots 0.5+

23 Lukeba

22 Raum

10 Gruda

5/1020 ReitzFouls 0.5+

21 El Aynaoui

5/106 BanzuziSOT 0.5+

27 Gomis

5/1040 RomuloFouls 0.5+

1 Dahmen

14 Keitel

5 Matsima

6 Gouweleeuw

5/1019 FellhauerSOT 0.5+

4 Massengo

7/1032 RiederTackles 1.5+

16 Behrens

6/1030 KadeShots 2.5+

7/1021 IbrahimovicSOT 0.5+

8/1011 GregoritschSOT 0.5+

RB Leipzig missing: M. Guiu (hamstring), A. Ouedraogo (shoulder)

FC Augsburg missing: J. Bah (red card), N. Banks (knee), C. Brackelmann (concussion)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Bundesliga players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

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Form and head to head

RB Leipzig4th in the tableWWLWL5W 0D 3L · 1.88 points a match

4meetings

3 wins1 draw0 wins

FC Augsburg10th in the tableLDLDL2W 3D 3L · 1.13 points a match

75%Over 1.53/4

75%Over 2.53/4

50%Over 3.52/4

25%Both scored1/4

Mar 2026RBL 2-1 FCA
Oct 2025FCA 0-6 RBL
Feb 2025FCA 0-0 RBL
Sep 2024RBL 4-0 FCA

Clean sheets and goal trends

RB Leipzig

63%

Clean sheet5/8

13%

Failed to score1/8

25%

Both scored2/8

75%

Over 2.56/8

FC Augsburg

13%

Clean sheet1/8

Failed to score0/8

88%

Both scored7/8

88%

Over 2.57/8

Attack and defense

Attacking

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

63%Win %25%

54%Possession %47%

25%Both teams scored %88%

63%Scored first %63%

2.8Scored per match2.3
15.0Shots per match15.8
6.9Shots on target per match6.5
2.6Big chances per match2.0

Defensive

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

38%Loss %38%

13%Failed to score %0%

63%Clean sheet %13%

38%Conceded first %38%

1.4Conceded per match1.9
12.6Shots against per match15.4
16.3Tackles per match16.3
10.6Fouls per match9.5

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

RB Leipzig	WWLWL	W 2-0 at FC Schalke 04 · W 4-0 vs SV Elversberg · L 1-6 at FCB · W 6-0 vs SGE · L 0-2 at B04
FC Augsburg	LDLDL	L 1-2 vs SCF · D 1-1 vs FCU · L 3-4 at SV Elversberg · D 2-2 vs FCB · L 2-3 at SVW

Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

	RB Leipzig	FC Augsburg
Table	4 (15 pts)	10 (9 pts)
Record (W-D-L)	5-0-3	2-3-3
Home / away record	4-0-0 (18-0) home	1-0-2 (9-8) away
Goals scored per match	2.75	2.25
Goals conceded per match	1.38	1.88
Shots / on target per match	15.00 / 6.88	15.75 / 6.50
Both teams scored	25%	88%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals	100% / 75% / 63%	100% / 88% / 63%
Clean sheets	63%	13%
Failed to score	13%	0%
Yellow cards per match	0.88	1.38
Corners per match	5.56	5.12

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Daniel Schlager averages 4.2 yellow cards and 21.0 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.6 and 22.2), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

RB Leipzig

Assan Ouédraogo (M): Out, Shoulder Injury
Max Finkgrafe (D): Out, Thigh Injury

FC Augsburg

Calvin Brackelmann (D): Out, Head Injury
Steve Mounié (F): Out, Unknown
Noahkai Banks (D): Out, Knee Injury
Faik Sakar (M): Out, Ankle Injury
Klaus Suso (M): Out, Unknown

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RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg odds by sportsbook

Book	RBL ML	FCA ML	Over	Under
bet365	-222	+500	O 3.5 -150	U 3.5 +120
BetRivers	-222	+440	O 4 -109	U 4 -120
DraftKings	-225	+425	O 3.5 -145	U 3.5 +115
FanDuel	-240	+460	O 3.5 -150	U 3.5 +122
Fanatics	-225	+450	O 3.5 -160	U 3.5 +120

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:11 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:46 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -260, no +200

Total goals	Over	Under
1.5	-2000	+920
2.5	-400	+300
3.5	-152	+124
4.5	+152	-188

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5

Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

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More on these teams: Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Oct 31 · FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	CHA	3-6	.333	5
10	MIA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-6	.250	5.5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	GS	6-3	.667	1
8	MIN	6-3	.667	1
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	2-5	.286	4
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	JAX	6-2	.750	W2
4	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-5	.444	L4
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	13-3-0	28	W1
2	BOS	12-4-0	25	W3
3	MTL	10-3-0	23	W1
4	TB	10-3-0	22	W2
5	NJ	11-5-0	22	W3
6	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	NYR	9-7-0	19	W2
9	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
10	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
11	DET	7-7-0	17	L2
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-6-0	16	L2
14	CBJ	7-7-0	14	W2
15	PIT	5-9-0	12	L4
16	PHI	4-10-0	12	L2

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
2	EDM	11-3-0	25	L2
3	VGK	11-5-0	24	W2
4	UTA	10-6-0	21	L1
5	DAL	9-5-0	20	L1
6	COL	9-6-0	20	L2
7	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
8	NSH	7-4-0	19	W3
9	ANA	8-7-0	17	W3
10	STL	7-7-0	16	L2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	WPG	6-8-0	15	W2
13	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-12-0	9	L5
16	VAN	3-14-0	7	L4

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction

StatsBench picks

Top RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg player props

Key matchups

Gruda vs Behrens

Gomis vs Fellhauer

Romulo vs Keitel and Matsima and Gouweleeuw

Gregoritsch vs Orban and Lukeba

Predicted lineups

Form and head to head

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Recent results

Season numbers

Referee

Injury report

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg odds by sportsbook

Goal lines and both teams to score

Line movement chart

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