Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Philadelphia Union6th in MLS

4:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7

Toronto FC12th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET

Result	Moneyline
Philadelphia Union	-370
Draw	+565
Toronto FC	+950

Total goals 3.5: over -125 , under +110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:51 PM ET.

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC preview

Philadelphia Union host Toronto FC on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, and the three-way moneyline makes Philadelphia the favorite at -400, the draw +565 and Toronto +900, with the total at 3.5. The last meeting was TOR 3-3 PHI on April 22, 2026. Philadelphia’s recent straight-up league form, most recent first, is LDLDW, while Toronto’s is LWLWD. Philadelphia has 47 points from 33 matches and Toronto has 39 from 33.

Toronto concedes 1.91 per match and both teams scored in 79% of its matches, with over 2.5 goals in 70%. Philadelphia scores 1.88 per match and both teams scored in 67%, with over 2.5 goals in 67%. Jovan Lukić’s over 1.5 tackles at -185 has cleared in 9 of the last 10.

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC prediction

51%Philadelphia Union

22%Draw

27%Toronto FC

The books imply 76% / 15% / 9%

1-1Most likely score10% chance

1.9 – 1.3Expected goals

61%Over 2.5 goals

61%Both teams to score

The numbers lean Philadelphia Union, but the model (51% win) is far less bullish than the books (72%). Philadelphia’s 1.88 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per match, plus Toronto’s 1.91 conceded, support the home side, while Toronto’s confirmed absences include Kuscevic, Zimmerman and Palacio. The model also makes 1-1 the most likely score, so the edge is not clean.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Jovan Lukić Philadelphia Union	Over 1.5 tackles	-185 DraftKings	90% (9/10)	100%
Cavan Sullivan Philadelphia Union	Over 0.5 score or assist	+100 DraftKings	80% (8/10)	60%
Matheus Pereira Toronto	Over 1.5 fouls won	-145 DraftKings	80% (8/10)	100%
Kai Wagner Philadelphia Union	Over 0.5 fouls won	-155 DraftKings	80% (8/10)	80%
Bruno Damiani Philadelphia Union	Over 0.5 tackles	-185 DraftKings	80% (8/10)	80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:51 PM ET.

The rest of the Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

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Lewis MorganOver 0.5 shots on target7/10

Josh SargentOver 1.5 fouls won7/10

Theo CorbeanuOver 0.5 shots on target7/10

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Sullivan vs Chukwu

Sullivan

Winger, Philadelphia Union

Chukwu

Full-back, Toronto FC

Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -160

Shots over 4.51/10avg 2.6 · +330

Shots on target over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · +165

Vassilev vs Laryea

Vassilev

Winger, Philadelphia Union

Laryea

Full-back, Toronto FC

Even matchupLaryea gives away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). Vassilev draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.8

1.2Shots vs tackles1.7

Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 1 · -160

Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.2 · +155

Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -125

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.8 · -340

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.7 · -155

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +285

Damiani vs Monlouis and Gilman

Damiani

Striker, Philadelphia Union

Monlouis

Centre-back, Toronto FC

Gilman

Centre-back, Toronto FC

Tough matchup for DamianiMonlouis and Gilman give away 0.6 fouls a match, 25% less than the average defender (0.8). Damiani draws plenty himself, at 1.6, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.6Fouls drawn vs given0.6

2.8Shots vs tackles0.9

Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · -210

Shots over 3.52/10avg 2.8 · -120

Shots on target over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -155

Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -185

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -175

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -170

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +265

Sullivan vs Monlouis and Gilman

Sullivan

Striker, Philadelphia Union

Monlouis

Centre-back, Toronto FC

Gilman

Centre-back, Toronto FC

Tough matchup for SullivanMonlouis and Gilman give away 0.6 fouls a match, 25% less than the average defender (0.8). Sullivan only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.6

1.6Shots vs tackles0.9

Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -155

Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.6 · +160

Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -133

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -155

Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -185

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -175

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -170

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +265

Piedrahita vs Wagner

Piedrahita

Winger, Toronto FC

Wagner

Full-back, Philadelphia Union

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.5 · -230

Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · -145

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +265

Morgan vs Westfield

Morgan

Winger, Toronto FC

Westfield

Full-back, Philadelphia Union

Good matchup for MorganWestfield gives away 1.3 fouls a match, 63% more than the average defender (0.8). Morgan only draws 0.2, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.2Fouls drawn vs given1.3

1.4Shots vs tackles0.7

Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -220

Shots over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -137

Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · +130

Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · -155

Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · -175

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +310

Sargent vs Pierre and Harriel

Sargent

Striker, Toronto FC

Pierre

Centre-back, Philadelphia Union

Harriel

Centre-back, Philadelphia Union

Good matchup for SargentPierre and Harriel give away 1.4 fouls a match, 69% more than the average defender (0.8). Sargent draws plenty himself, at 2.3, which points to about 3.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

2.3Fouls drawn vs given1.4

2.6Shots vs tackles1.5

Fouls won over 1.57/10avg 2.3 · -115

Shots over 1.57/10avg 2.6 · -190

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -115

Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.5 · -215

Tackles over 1.55/10avg 2.1 · -110

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +265

Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -110

Tackles over 0.58/10avg 0.9 · -350

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +310

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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2Toronto FC 4-3-3

18 Blake

39 Westfield

6/1044 PierreFouls won 0.5+

26 Harriel

8/1027 WagnerFouls won 0.5+

8/106 SullivanG+A 0.5+

6/1021 Jean JacquesFouls won 0.5+

9/104 LukicTackles 1.5+

7/1019 VassilevFouls won 0.5+

8/109 DamianiTackles 0.5+

6/1033 SullivanSOT 0.5+

23 Yarbrough

22 Laryea

5/1012 MonlouisTackles 0.5+

5/1038 GilmanFouls 0.5+

96 Chukwu

71 Cimermancic

7/1021 Osorio (C)Fouls 0.5+

5/1010 MihailovicSOT 0.5+

27 Piedrahita

7/109 SargentShots 1.5+

7/1090 MorganSOT 0.5+

Philadelphia Union missing: J. Bueno (knee), M. Iloski (muscle), J. Sery Larsen (concussion)

Toronto FC missing: A. Coello (yellow cards), L. Gavran (wrist), B. Kuscevic (ankle), N. Palacio (lower-body), W. Zimmerman (ankle)

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Form and head to head

Philadelphia Union12th in the tableLDLDW13W 8D 12L · 1.42 points a match

5meetings

1 win3 draws1 win

Toronto FC23rd in the tableLWLWD9W 12D 12L · 1.18 points a match

80%Over 1.54/5

60%Over 2.53/5

20%Over 3.51/5

80%Both scored4/5

Apr 2026TOR 3-3 PHI
Aug 2025PHI 1-1 TOR
May 2025TOR 1-2 PHI
Jul 2024TOR 2-1 PHI
May 2024PHI 0-0 TOR

Clean sheets and goal trends

Philadelphia Union

21%

Clean sheet7/33

21%

Failed to score7/33

67%

Both scored22/33

67%

Over 2.522/33

Toronto FC

12%

Clean sheet4/33

15%

Failed to score5/33

79%

Both scored26/33

70%

Over 2.523/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

Philadelphia UnionToronto FC

39%Win %27%

47%Possession %46%

67%Both teams scored %79%

46%Scored first %27%

1.9Scored per match1.6
13.3Shots per match9.9
5.4Shots on target per match4.4
0.6Big chances per match0.8

Defensive

Philadelphia UnionToronto FC

36%Loss %36%

21%Failed to score %15%

21%Clean sheet %12%

46%Conceded first %67%

1.6Conceded per match1.9
8.0Shots against per match10.9
16.1Tackles per match14.4
15.2Fouls per match11.1

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Philadelphia Union	LDLDW	L 0-1 at CIN · D 0-0 at NSH · L 1-2 vs NER · D 2-2 vs CHL · W 3-1 at CHI
Toronto	LWLWD	L 1-3 at ATL · W 2-1 vs DCU · L 2-4 at COL · W 2-0 at NYR · D 3-3 vs ORL

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

	Philadelphia Union	Toronto
Table	12 (47 pts)	23 (39 pts)
Record (W-D-L)	13-8-12	9-12-12
Home / away record	7-5-4 (28-18) home	3-3-10 (15-30) away
Goals scored per match	1.88	1.55
Goals conceded per match	1.55	1.91
Shots / on target per match	13.33 / 5.36	9.85 / 4.42
Both teams scored	67%	79%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals	79% / 67% / 46%	91% / 70% / 36%
Clean sheets	21%	12%
Failed to score	21%	15%
Yellow cards per match	2.24	1.70
Corners per match	6.15	4.76

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Tim Ford averages 3.6 yellow cards and 23.2 fouls per match over 15 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1).

Injury report

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski (F): Out, Hamstring Injury
Alejandro Bedoya (M): Out, Eye Injury
Japhet Sery (D): Out, Concussion
Geiner Martínez (D): Day-To-Day, Knee Injury

Toronto FC

Nelson Palacio (M): Out, Thigh Injury
Walker Zimmerman (D): Out, Ankle Injury
Kobe Franklin (D): Out, Shoulder Injury
Benjamín Kuscevic (D): Out, Ankle Injury
Luka Gavran (G): Out, Wrist Injury

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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC odds by sportsbook

Book	PHI ML	TOR ML	Over	Under
bet365	-370	+700	O 3.5 -150	U 3.5 +110
BetRivers	-455	+950	O 3.5 -125	U 3.5 -105
DraftKings	-400	+750	O 3.5 -135	U 3.5 +110
FanDuel	-425	+700	O 3.5 -132	U 3.5 +108
Fanatics	-375	+800	O 3.5 -145	U 3.5 +110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:51 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 10:25 AM ET): Philadelphia Union moneyline -222 → -370.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -155, no +120

Total goals	Over	Under
1.5	-1500	+790
2.5	-340	+260
3.5	-130	+106
4.5	+176	-220

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5

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More on these teams: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-2	.800	-
2	BOS	7-2	.778	0.5
3	DET	6-2	.750	1
4	ATL	6-4	.600	2
5	TOR	5-4	.556	2.5
6	CLE	5-4	.556	2.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3
8	WSH	4-5	.444	3.5
9	MIA	3-6	.333	4.5
10	IND	3-6	.333	4.5
11	CHA	3-7	.300	5
12	ORL	2-6	.250	5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6
15	MIL	1-8	.111	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	LAL	8-2	.800	-
2	HOU	7-2	.778	0.5
3	OKC	7-2	.778	0.5
4	SA	7-2	.778	0.5
5	POR	6-2	.750	1
6	MIN	7-3	.700	1
7	MEM	6-3	.667	1.5
8	GS	6-3	.667	1.5
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2.5
10	DAL	5-4	.556	2.5
11	NO	4-5	.444	3.5
12	PHX	2-5	.286	4.5
13	LAC	1-7	.125	6
14	UTAH	1-8	.111	6.5
15	SAC	1-8	.111	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	JAX	6-2	.750	W2
4	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-5	.444	L4
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	13-3-0	28	W1
2	BOS	12-4-0	25	W3
3	MTL	10-3-0	23	W1
4	TB	10-3-0	22	W2
5	NJ	11-5-0	22	W3
6	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	BUF	8-5-0	19	W1
9	NYR	9-7-0	19	W2
10	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
11	DET	7-7-0	17	L2
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-6-0	16	L2
14	CBJ	7-8-0	14	L1
15	PIT	5-9-0	12	L4
16	PHI	4-10-0	12	L2

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	MIN	12-3-0	27	W3
2	EDM	11-3-0	25	L2
3	VGK	11-5-0	24	W2
4	UTA	10-6-0	21	L1
5	DAL	9-5-0	20	L1
6	COL	9-6-0	20	L2
7	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
8	NSH	7-4-0	19	W3
9	ANA	9-7-0	19	W4
10	STL	7-7-0	16	L2
11	CGY	7-9-0	15	L2
12	WPG	6-8-0	15	W2
13	SJ	7-10-0	15	L4
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-12-0	9	L5
16	VAN	3-14-0	7	L4

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	9-0-1	27	+10
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	EVE	4-4-2	16	+2
6	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
7	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
8	LEE	3-5-2	14	+2
9	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
10	TOT	3-3-4	12	-1
11	NEW	3-3-4	12	-3
12	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
13	Hull City	2-5-3	11	0
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-4-4	10	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-7	9	-9
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-3-4	18	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-6-3	15	+1
9	RAC	4-2-6	14	-13
10	ALA	3-4-5	13	-2
11	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
12	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
13	ESY	3-3-6	12	-1
14	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
15	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
16	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-7	5	-14

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC preview

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC prediction

StatsBench picks

Top Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC player props

Key matchups

Sullivan vs Chukwu

Vassilev vs Laryea

Damiani vs Monlouis and Gilman

Sullivan vs Monlouis and Gilman

Piedrahita vs Wagner

Morgan vs Westfield

Sargent vs Pierre and Harriel

Confirmed lineups

Form and head to head

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Recent results

Season numbers

Referee

Injury report

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC odds by sportsbook

Goal lines and both teams to score

Line movement chart

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