| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -263 |
|
| Draw | +490 |
| +650 |
Total goals 4.5: over +122
, under -145 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:25 PM ET.
Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC preview
Inter Miami CF host Charlotte FC on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET in MLS. Inter Miami is the home favorite at -263 on the three-way moneyline, with the draw at +480 and Charlotte at +600, while the total is 4.5.
The last meeting finished Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami on March 14, 2026. Recent straight-up league form is WDLWW for Inter Miami and WWLDL for Charlotte. Inter Miami has 59 points from 33 matches; Charlotte has 53 from 33.
The pace profile points to goals: Inter Miami scores 2.33 and concedes 1.70 per match, with both teams scoring in 76% and over 2.5 goals in 76%. Charlotte scores 1.91 and concedes 1.45, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 in 73%. Charlotte is without Saint-Maximin due to a red card and also lists Ream, John, Goodwin, Cleary and Berchimas as out; Miami is missing Silvetti, Caicedo and Allende. Rocco Ríos Novo’s over 2.5 saves at -110 has cleared in 9 of his last 10.
Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC prediction
The books imply 71% / 16% / 13%
For the match, the model leans Inter Miami CF (47% win, 32% Charlotte) but is much less bullish than the books (70% Miami, 14% Charlotte), so they disagree. Miami’s 2.33 scoring rate and 76% both-teams-to-score rate support goals, while Charlotte’s missing list, including Ream and Saint-Maximin, adds risk.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Ríos Novo Inter Miami | Over 2.5 saves | -110 |
90% (9/10) | 80% |
| Allan Saint-Maximin Charlotte | Over 0.5 shots on target | -141 |
90% (9/10) | 100% |
| Idan Toklomati Charlotte | Over 0.5 shots on target | -125 |
80% (8/10) | 100% |
| Maximiliano Falcón Inter Miami | Over 0.5 fouls | -175 |
70% (7/10) | 40% |
| Pep Biel Charlotte | Over 0.5 fouls | -190 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:25 PM ET.
Key matchups
From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Messi vs Toffolo
Messi
ToffoloBerterame vs Byrne
Berterame
ByrneSuarez vs Agyemang and Kessler
Suarez
Agyemang
KesslerAbada vs Reguilon
Abada
Reguilonde la Torre vs Fray
de la Torre
FrayToklomati vs Micael
Toklomati
MicaelAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Inter Miami CF 4-3-3
Charlotte FC 4-3-3
97 St.Clair
6/1017 FrayTackles 1.5+
5 Casemiro
16 Micael
6/103 ReguilonFouls won 0.5+
6/107 de PaulFouls won 1.5+
22 Ayala
8 Segovia
5/1010 Messi (C)SOT 2.5+
5/109 SuarezG+A 0.5+
6/1019 BerterameTackles 0.5+
6/101 KahlinaSaves 4.5+
14 Byrne
44 Agyemang
5/1022 KesslerShots 0.5+
15 Toffolo
5/108 Westwood (C)Tackles 0.5+
7/1016 BielFouls 0.5+
6/1028 DianiTackles 1.5+
5/1011 AbadaFouls 0.5+
8/109 ToklomatiSOT 0.5+
17 de la TorreInter Miami CF missing: T. Allende (knee), F. Caicedo (lower-body), M. Silvetti (shoulder)
Charlotte FC missing: N. Berchimas (foot), W. Cleary (illness), A. Goodwin (foot), A. John (shoulder), T. Ream (achilles tendon), A. Saint-Maximin (red card)
Form and head to head
Inter Miami CF3rd in the tableWDLWW16W 11D 6L · 1.79 points a match
Charlotte FC7th in the tableWWLDL15W 8D 10L · 1.61 points a match- Mar 2026CHL 0-0 MIA
- Sep 2025CHL 3-0 MIA
- Mar 2025MIA 1-0 CHL
- Sep 2024MIA 1-1 CHL
- Jul 2024CHL 1-2 MIA
Clean sheets and goal trends
Inter Miami CF
Clean sheet6/33
Failed to score3/33
Both scored25/33
Over 2.525/33
Charlotte FC
Clean sheet7/33
Failed to score6/33
Both scored22/33
Over 2.524/33
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 2.3Scored per match1.9
- 11.4Shots per match9.5
- 5.9Shots on target per match4.8
- 1.4Big chances per match0.8
Defensive
- 1.7Conceded per match1.5
- 10.6Shots against per match13.4
- 14.0Tackles per match11.5
- 12.7Fouls per match10.0
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Inter Miami | WDLWW | W 2-1 at NER · D 2-2 vs CIN · L 0-2 at NYR · W 3-1 at ATL · W 2-0 vs NYC |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | WWLDL | W 4-0 vs ORL · W 4-0 vs CFM · L 2-3 at POT · D 2-2 at PHI · L 1-3 at COL |
Last five MLS results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Inter Miami | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 3 (59 pts) | 7 (53 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 16-11-6 | 15-8-10 |
| Home / away record | 6-8-2 (43-28) home | 5-4-7 (26-32) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 1.91 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 1.45 |
| Shots / on target per match | 11.42 / 5.85 | 9.52 / 4.79 |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 94% / 76% / 61% | 82% / 73% / 52% |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 18% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.48 | 1.91 |
| Corners per match | 4.81 | 4.58 |
This season, 33 and 33 matches.
Referee
Rubiel Vazquez averages 3.3 yellow cards and 22.9 fouls per match over 21 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
Inter Miami CF
- Mateo Silvetti (F): Out, Knee Injury
- Fricio Caicedo (D): Out, Knock Injury
- Tadeo Allende (M): Out, Knee Injury
- Cesar Abadia-Reda (D): Out, Groin Injury
Charlotte FC
- Aron John (M): Out, Shoulder Injury
- Archie Goodwin (F): Out, Knock Injury
- Tim Ream (D): Out, Knock Injury
- Will Cleary (D): Out, Illness
- Nimfasha Berchimas (F): Out, Broken Foot
Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC odds by sportsbook
| Book | MIA ML | CLT ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -275 | +650 | O 4.5 +110 | U 4.5 -150 | |
| -263 | +525 | O 4 -128 | U 4 -108 | |
| -285 | +550 | O 4.5 +115 | U 4.5 -145 | |
| -300 | +550 | O 4.5 +122 | U 4.5 -148 | |
| -300 | +600 | O 4.5 +120 | U 4.5 -160 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:25 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 10:53 AM ET): total 3.5 → 4.5, Inter Miami CF moneyline -250 → -263.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -275, no +210
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -2500 | +1040 |
| 2.5 | -520 | +370 |
| 3.5 | -188 | +152 |
| 4.5 | +124 | -152 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF Nov 1 · Charlotte FC vs Orlando City SC Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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