New York RB vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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MLS prop picks: today's featured picks
New York RB
4:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Atlanta United FC logo

Atlanta United FC13th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET

New York RB vs Atlanta United FC preview

New York RB host Atlanta United FC on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET in MLS. The three-way moneyline and total are listed as n/a, so market context is limited. The last meeting was a 2-1 Atlanta win on Aug 15, 2026. Recent league form is LLWLL for New York RB and WLLLW for Atlanta.

New York RB have 39 points and concede 1.88 goals per match; Atlanta have 33 points and concede 1.73. Both teams scored in 61% of New York RB matches and 67% of Atlanta matches, while over 2.5 goals landed in 58% and 67%, respectively.

Among the props, Julián Bazán over 0.5 fouls is -180 and cleared 9 of his last 10; Miguel Almirón over 2.5 shots is +110 and cleared 8 of his last 10.

New York RB vs Atlanta United FC prediction

38%New York RB
24%Draw
38%Atlanta United FC
1-1Most likely score11% chance
1.5 – 1.5Expected goals
58%Over 2.5 goals
61%Both teams to score

The model leans to a near-even New York RB versus Atlanta United match, with 38% each and 1-1 the most likely score. The scoring and conceding rates point to goals: NYRB concedes 1.88 and Atlanta 1.73 per match, while Atlanta’s BTTS and over 2.5 rates are both 67%. The model’s 61% both-teams-to-score rate does not align with the -285 yes price, so it disagrees with the books.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top New York RB vs Atlanta United FC player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Julián Bazán New York RB Over 0.5 fouls -190 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 100%
Miguel Almirón Atlanta United Over 2.5 shots -110 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 80%
Mohammed Sofo New York RB Over 1.5 fouls -115 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 40%
B. Embolo Atlanta United Over 0.5 tackles -130 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%
Enea Mihaj Atlanta United Over 0.5 fouls -130 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:08 PM ET.

The rest of the New York RB vs Atlanta United FC propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
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Ronald DonkorOver 1.5 tackles7/10
Devin PadelfordOver 1.5 tackles7/10
Ethan HorvathOver 2.5 saves7/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Cowell vs Baez

CowellWinger, New York RB
VS
BaezFull-back, Atlanta United FC
Even matchupBaez gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 12% less than the average defender (0.8). Cowell draws 0.8, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.8Fouls drawn vs given0.7
2.5Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -145DraftKings
Shots over 3.52/10avg 2.5 · +180DraftKings
Shots on target over 1.55/10avg 1.2 · +240BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -145DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.3 · -200DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +285Stake

Ruvalcaba vs Jacob

RuvalcabaWinger, New York RB
VS
JacobFull-back, Atlanta United FC
Even matchupJacob gives away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). Ruvalcaba only draws 0.2, which points to about 0.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.2Fouls drawn vs given0.8
1.8Shots vs tackles1.9
Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -115DraftKings
Shots over 3.53/10avg 1.8 · +115DraftKings
Shots on target over 1.51/10avg 0.8 · +260BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -195DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · -245DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +220Stake

Hall vs Diaz and Alonso

HallStriker, New York RB
VS
DiazCentre-back, Atlanta United FC
AlonsoCentre-back, Atlanta United FC
Good matchup for HallDiaz and Alonso give away 1.3 fouls a match, 57% more than the average defender (0.8). Hall draws plenty himself, at 1.2, which points to about 1.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.2Fouls drawn vs given1.3
3.2Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · -220DraftKings
Shots over 3.54/10avg 3.2 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 1.8 · +120BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 1.3 · -130DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · +130DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +200Stake
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 1.2 · -135DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.7 · +100DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +265Stake

Miranchuk vs Dos Santos

MiranchukWinger, Atlanta United FC
VS
Dos SantosFull-back, New York RB

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.7 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +285Stake

Almiron vs Marshall-Rutty

AlmironWinger, Atlanta United FC
VS
Marshall-RuttyFull-back, New York RB
Tough matchup for AlmironMarshall-Rutty gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 37% less than the average defender (0.8). Almiron draws plenty himself, at 1.2, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.2Fouls drawn vs given0.5
2.6Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · -125DraftKings
Shots over 2.58/10avg 2.6 · -110Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · -200BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · -165DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +310Stake

Embolo vs Parker and Nealis

EmboloStriker, Atlanta United FC
VS
ParkerCentre-back, New York RB
NealisCentre-back, New York RB
Good matchup for EmboloParker and Nealis give away 1.1 fouls a match, 44% more than the average defender (0.8). Embolo draws plenty himself, at 2.4, which points to about 3.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.4Fouls drawn vs given1.1
2.6Shots vs tackles1.0
Fouls won over 1.56/10avg 2.4 · -130DraftKings
Shots over 2.55/10avg 2.6 · +110DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · -245DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -145DraftKings
Tackles over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -210DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285Stake
Fouls committed over 0.510/10avg 1.6 · -275DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.6 · -155DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +310Stake
Trade New York RB vs Atlanta United FC on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the match and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

New York RB 4-3-3Atlanta United FC 4-3-3

7/1034 HorvathSaves 2.5+
5/103 Marshall-RuttyFouls won 0.5+
5/1026 ParkerFouls 0.5+
12 Nealis
5/1056 Dos SantosFouls 0.5+
7/1048 DonkorTackles 1.5+
6/1015 MehmetiTackles 1.5+
7/1037 SofoFouls 1.5+
6/107 CowellFouls 0.5+
16 Hall
11 Ruvalcaba
1 Hoyos
5/1055 JacobShots 0.5+
6/1027 DiazFouls 0.5+
6/106 AlonsoFouls 0.5+
6/103 BaezFouls 0.5+
8 Muyumba
5/1014 AmaroShots 0.5+
11 Giuliano Galoppo
59 Miranchuk
7/1036 EmboloTackles 0.5+
8/1010 AlmironShots 2.5+

Atlanta United FC missing: D. Chica (knee), W. Reilly (ankle)

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Form and head to head

New York RB24th in the tableLLWLL11W 6D 16L · 1.18 points a match
5meetings

1 win2 draws2 wins
Atlanta United FC27th in the tableWLLLW9W 6D 18L · 1.00 points a match
80%Over 1.54/5
60%Over 2.53/5
20%Over 3.51/5
60%Both scored3/5
  • Aug 2026ATL 2-1 NYR
  • May 2025NYR 2-0 ATL
  • Mar 2025ATL 0-0 NYR
  • Oct 2024ATL 2-1 NYR
  • Sep 2024NYR 2-2 ATL

Clean sheets and goal trends

New York RB

15%

Clean sheet5/33

27%

Failed to score9/33

61%

Both scored20/33

58%

Over 2.519/33

Atlanta United FC

12%

Clean sheet4/33

27%

Failed to score9/33

67%

Both scored22/33

67%

Over 2.522/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

New York RBAtlanta United FC
33%Win %27%
51%Possession %51%
61%Both teams scored %67%
52%Scored first %36%
  • 1.4Scored per match1.3
  • 11.3Shots per match10.6
  • 5.1Shots on target per match4.2
  • 0.7Big chances per match0.6

Defensive

New York RBAtlanta United FC
49%Loss %55%
27%Failed to score %27%
15%Clean sheet %12%
46%Conceded first %58%
  • 1.9Conceded per match1.7
  • 10.6Shots against per match10.2
  • 16.2Tackles per match15.6
  • 13.2Fouls per match11.6

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

New York RB LLWLL L 2-3 at NSH · L 2-3 at NER · W 2-0 vs MIA · L 0-2 vs TOR · L 1-2 at DCU
Atlanta United WLLLW W 3-1 vs TOR · L 1-2 at NYC · L 2-3 vs CHI · L 1-3 vs MIA · W 3-0 at CFM

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

New York RB Atlanta United
Table 24 (39 pts) 27 (33 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 11-6-16 9-6-18
Home / away record 6-3-7 (24-29) home 4-4-8 (17-24) away
Goals scored per match 1.36 1.30
Goals conceded per match 1.88 1.73
Shots / on target per match 11.30 / 5.12 10.55 / 4.21
Both teams scored 61% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 85% / 58% / 39% 85% / 67% / 42%
Clean sheets 15% 12%
Failed to score 27% 27%
Yellow cards per match 2.06 2.06
Corners per match 5.58 4.76

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Pierre Luce Lauziere averages 3.3 yellow cards and 24.6 fouls per match over 19 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:08 PM ET.

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Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -340, no +250

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -1600 +820
2.5 -375 +285
3.5 -142 +116
4.5 +168 -210
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