Mammoth vs Senators Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Utah Mammoth logo

Mammoth10-7 · 5-12 ATS4th in the West
7:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Ottawa Senators logo

Senators10-7 · 7-10 ATS6th in the East

NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Canadian Tire Centre

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Utah Mammoth -118 -1.5 +205 O 6.5 -109
Ottawa Senators +104 +1.5 -230 U 6.5 +100

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 1:01 PM ET.

Mammoth vs Senators preview

The Saturday NHL slate includes Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators. The market lists Utah -114 on the moneyline, Ottawa +1.5 on the spread, and total 6.5 after opening at Ottawa -1.5 and 6.5. Utah last met Ottawa on January 7, 2026 and won 3-1 at home. Utah is 10-7 this season and 5-5 in its last 10, but just 1-9 ATS in that span. Ottawa is 10-7 and 5-5 in its last 10, with a 4-6 ATS mark.

Ottawa lists Ullmark, Burakovsky, Foegele and Eklund on injured reserve, plus Greig out; Eklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and is out 10-12 weeks. Utah allows 3.47 goals per game (rank 25) to Ottawa’s 3.06 (rank 15), and both rank low in power-play points allowed, Utah 2.59 (25th) and Ottawa 2.71 (27th). Pace is moderate: Utah 54.8 (17th), Ottawa 52.9 (24th).

StatsBench projections favor Mikhail Sergachev over 0.5 points at 0.9, after he cleared it in 9 of his last 10 at -170, and Clayton Keller over 0.5 points at 1.1, cleared in 8 of last 10 at -215. Those prop angles and Ottawa’s injury situation are the key research notes.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Clayton Keller OVER 0.5 PP POINTS (+165): pending
  • Logan Cooley OVER 0.5 GOALS (+175): pending
  • Mikhail Sergachev OVER 0.5 PP POINTS (+200): pending
  • Sammy Blais OVER 1.5 HITS (-121): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Mammoth vs Senators player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Sammy Blais TOR Over 1.5 hits -118 Stake 90% (9/10) 100% –
Mikhail Sergachev UTA Over 0.5 points -150 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 100% 1
Drake Batherson OTT Over 0.5 points -140 Hard Rock 80% (8/10) 80% 1
Logan Cooley UTA Over 1.5 shots on goal -160 ESPN BET 80% (8/10) 100% –
Clayton Keller UTA Over 0.5 points -208 BetMGM 80% (8/10) 80% 1.1

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:01 PM ET.

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Liam O’BrienOver 2.5 hits7/10
Dylan CozensOver 1.5 hits7/10
Tim StützleOver 0.5 points7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Sammy Blais vs Senators

Sammy BlaisF, TOR
VS
SenatorsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Sammy BlaisSenators allow 18.5 hits a game to forwards, 4th most in the league. Blais averages 4 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest29th of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 1.59/10avg 4 · 29th of 32 vs F · -118Stake
Goals over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 20th of 32 vs F · +700ESPN BET

Drake Batherson vs Mammoth

Drake BathersonF, OTT
VS
MammothDefense vs forwards
Even matchupMammoth allow 6.5 points a game to forwards, 14th most in the league. Batherson averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest19th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 19th of 32 vs F · -140Hard Rock
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · 14th of 32 vs F · +156Kalshi
Shots on goal over 2.55/10avg 2.4 · 9th of 32 vs F · +137Caesars

Tim Stützle vs Mammoth

Tim StützleF, OTT
VS
MammothDefense vs forwards
Even matchupMammoth allow 6.5 points a game to forwards, 14th most in the league. Stützle averages 1.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest19th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · 19th of 32 vs F · -212Kalshi
Assists over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 14th of 32 vs F · -104Kalshi
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 24th of 32 vs F · +186Kalshi

Clayton Keller vs Senators

Clayton KellerF, UTA
VS
SenatorsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupSenators allow 6.3 points a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league. Keller averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest13th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 13th of 32 vs F · -208BetMGM
Assists over 0.57/10avg 1 · 12th of 32 vs F · -117prophetexchange
Shots on goal over 2.55/10avg 2.5 · 16th of 32 vs F · +125BetMGM

Mikhail Sergachev vs Senators

Mikhail SergachevD, UTA
VS
SenatorsDefense vs defensemen
Tough matchup for Mikhail SergachevSenators allow 1.9 points a game to defensemen, 9th fewest in the league. Sergachev averages 1.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest9th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.59/10avg 1.1 · 9th of 32 vs D · -150Kalshi
Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 2 · 8th of 32 vs D · -155ESPN BET
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 14th of 32 vs D · -108Kalshi

Dylan Cozens vs Mammoth

Dylan CozensF, OTT
VS
MammothDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Dylan CozensMammoth allow 14.2 hits a game to forwards, 8th fewest in the league. Cozens averages 2.5 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest8th of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 1.57/10avg 2.5 · 8th of 32 vs F · -193Stake
Points over 0.54/10avg 0.8 · 19th of 32 vs F · -104Kalshi
Assists over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 14th of 32 vs F · +195Hard Rock

Betting trends

  • Mammoth have failed to cover in 9 straight games.
  • Mammoth are 1-9 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 7-3 in Mammoth’ last 10 games.
  • Mammoth are 1-3 in the last 4 meetings with the Senators.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected lines

Projected forward lines, defense pairs and goalies, updated 1:01 PM ET; this page updates whenever they change. The goalies are listed in projected order, which doesn’t confirm the starter. Under each player: his strongest prop line and how often he cleared it over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Utah MammothProjected

Forwards

L1Anders LeeBarrett HaytonOver 1.5 SOG 5/10Clayton KellerOver 0.5 assists 7/10
L2Logan CooleyOver 1.5 SOG 8/10Vincent TrocheckOver 0.5 points 6/10Lawson Crouse
L3Jack McBainOver 3.5 hits 5/10Nick SchmaltzOver 0.5 points 6/10Dylan Guenther
L4Michael CarconeOver 1.5 SOG 6/10Kevin StenlundLiam O’BrienOver 2.5 hits 7/10

Defense

D1Mikhail SergachevOver 0.5 points 9/10MacKenzie Weegar
D2Artem DudaAndrew Peeke
D3Dmitri SimashevNick DeSimone

Goalies

GKarel VejmelkaSebastian Cossa

Scratched: Ben McCartney, Gregor Biber
Injured or in doubt: Kailer Yamamoto, Maveric Lamoureux, John Marino, Nate Schmidt

Ottawa SenatorsProjected

Forwards

L1Nick CousinsTim StützleOver 0.5 assists 5/10Fabian ZetterlundOver 1.5 SOG 5/10
L2Philip TomasinoShane PintoOver 0.5 points 5/10Drake BathersonOver 0.5 points 8/10
L3Michael AmadioOver 1.5 SOG 5/10Dylan CozensOver 1.5 hits 7/10Claude GirouxOver 1.5 SOG 5/10
L4Sammy BlaisOver 1.5 hits 9/10Stephen HallidayOver 1.5 SOG 5/10Hayden Hodgson

Defense

D1Jake SandersonOver 0.5 points 5/10Artem Zub
D2Thomas ChabotOver 0.5 points 5/10Jordan Spence
D3Tyler KlevenCarter YakemchukOver 1.5 SOG 6/10

Goalies

GSamuel ErssonJonas Johansson

Scratched: Nikolas Matinpalo
Injured or in doubt: Warren Foegele, Linus Ullmark, William Eklund, Kurtis MacDermid, Andre Burakovsky, Ridly Greig

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NHL players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Mammoth vs Senators defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Mammoth defense facing the Senators

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.924th 3.614th 6.519th 18.69th 14.28th 7.330th
D 0.626th 2.029th 2.629th 6.79th 4.96th 9.431st

Softest spot: 9.4 blocks a game to defensemen, 2nd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 4.9 hits a game to defensemen, 6th fewest in the league.

Senators defense facing the Mammoth

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.820th 3.512th 6.313th 20.416th 18.529th 6.323rd
D 0.35th 1.614th 1.99th 6.78th 6.115th 8.521st

Softest spot: 18.5 hits a game to forwards, 4th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.3 goals a game to defensemen, 5th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Utah Mammoth

Clayton Keller R1.3 PTS · 2.5 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/5 @ MTL 22:24 0 1 1 0
11/3 @ TOR 18:47 0 3 5 0
11/1 @ PHI 19:16 0 2 4 0
10/29 @ PIT 17:53 0 1 3 1
10/27 vs MIN 21:50 0 0 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs OTT
PTS 1.3 (17) 1.5 (11) 1.1 (88) 1.5 (2)
2 · 1
SOG 2.5 (17) 2.9 (11) 2.8 (88) 3.0 (2)
1 · 5

Logan Cooley C1.2 PTS · 1.7 SOG · 0.7 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/5 @ MTL 19:31 3 1 3 2
11/3 @ TOR 18:39 0 0 3 6
11/1 @ PHI 18:10 1 1 2 0
10/29 @ PIT 18:36 3 0 5 2
10/27 vs MIN 20:39 1 0 3 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs OTT
PTS 1.2 (17) 1.5 (11) 0.8 (60) 1.0 (1)
1
SOG 1.7 (17) 1.8 (11) 2.0 (60) 1.0 (1)
1

Nick Schmaltz C1.2 PTS · 2.8 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/5 @ MTL 17:30 1 2 3 0
11/3 @ TOR 16:53 1 0 3 0
11/1 @ PHI 18:26 0 2 3 0
10/29 @ PIT 15:23 0 0 3 1
10/27 vs MIN 18:27 0 1 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs OTT
PTS 1.2 (17) 1.4 (11) 0.9 (88) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1
SOG 2.8 (17) 3.4 (11) 2.4 (88) 2.5 (2)
1 · 4

Ottawa Senators

Tim Stützle C1.3 PTS · 2.3 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/4 @ BUF 23:03 0 1 5 0
11/1 @ ANA 22:54 0 0 1 3
10/31 @ SJS 20:14 1 1 7 1
10/29 @ LAK 22:21 0 3 1 3
10/27 @ VGK 22:47 0 0 1 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UTAH
PTS 1.3 (17) 1.0 (7) 1.0 (84) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0
SOG 2.3 (17) 2.1 (7) 2.4 (84) 1.5 (2)
2 · 1

Jake Sanderson D1.1 PTS · 1.7 SOG · 0.1 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/4 @ BUF 25:32 0 0 1 0
11/1 @ ANA 23:59 0 2 1 0
10/31 @ SJS 22:50 0 2 0 0
10/29 @ LAK 29:17 0 1 1 2
10/27 @ VGK 26:38 0 0 4 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UTAH
PTS 1.1 (9) 1.7 (3) 0.8 (70) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 1.7 (9) 2.7 (3) 2.2 (70) 3.0 (2)
3 · 3

Drake Batherson R1.1 PTS · 2.3 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/4 @ BUF 20:13 0 0 2 2
11/1 @ ANA 16:19 0 1 1 0
10/31 @ SJS 16:11 1 0 4 1
10/29 @ LAK 18:57 1 2 3 1
10/27 @ VGK 17:25 0 1 1 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs UTAH
PTS 1.1 (17) 1.1 (7) 0.9 (83) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0
SOG 2.3 (17) 2.3 (7) 2.1 (83) 2.0 (2)
4 · 0

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Mammoth 10-7 5-12 11-6 4-2 6-5
Senators 10-7 7-10 7-10 5-2 5-5

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Mammoth vs Senators head-to-head

Mammoth are 1-3, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Last time: Mammoth won 3-1 on January 7, 2026.

Date Venue Mammoth result ATS O/U
Jan 7, 26 Mammoth home W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 9, 25 Senators home L 2-4 – –
Jan 26, 25 Senators home L 1-3 – –
Oct 22, 24 Mammoth home L 0-4 – –

Recent form

Utah Mammoth: last 10 (5-5, 1-9 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 5, 26 @ MTL L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 3, 26 @ TOR W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 1, 26 @ PHI L 3-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ PIT W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 vs MIN L 1-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs TB W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ SEA L 3-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs PIT W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs EDM L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ EDM W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5

Ottawa Senators: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 4, 26 @ BUF W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 1, 26 @ ANA L 3-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ SJ W 5-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ LA L 5-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 @ VGK L 1-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs NYR W 7-4 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs SJ L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 21, 26 vs FLA W 5-1 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ PHI L 1-3 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 15, 26 vs NYI W 2-1 L -1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

Utah Mammoth

  • John Marino (D): Injured Reserve, Upper Body
  • Kailer Yamamoto (R): Injured Reserve, Yamamoto
  • Nate Schmidt (D): Day-To-Day, day-to-day
  • Maveric Lamoureux (D): Injured Reserve, Shoulder

Ottawa Senators

  • Andre Burakovsky (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Warren Foegele (L): Injured Reserve, Foegele
  • Ridly Greig (C): Out, Greig
  • William Eklund (L): Injured Reserve, Eklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and will be out 10-12 weeks, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports Thursday
  • Linus Ullmark (G): Injured Reserve, Ullmark

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Mammoth defense Senators defense
Goals allowed per game 3.47 (24th of 32) 3.06 (14th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 25.29 (8th of 32) 27 (13th of 32)
Points allowed per game 9.06 (21st of 32) 8.18 (13th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.59 (25th of 32) 2.71 (27th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 54.8 (17th) 52.9 (25th)

Venue and weather

Canadian Tire Centre · Ottawa, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Mammoth vs Senators odds by sportsbook

Book UTAH spread OTT spread UTAH ML OTT ML Over Under
bet365 -1.5 +205 +1.5 -250 -119 -101 O 6.5 -113 U 6.5 -107
BetRivers -1.5 +205 +1.5 -263 -118 +100 O 6.5 -109 U 6.5 -114
Caesars -1.5 +199 +1.5 -240 -120 +101 O 6.5 -121 U 6.5 +100
DraftKings -1.5 +205 +1.5 -250 -120 +100 O 6.5 -118 U 6.5 -102
FanDuel -1.5 +184 +1.5 -230 -125 +104 O 6.5 -118 U 6.5 -102
Fanatics -1.5 +190 +1.5 -240 -120 +100 O 6.5 -115 U 6.5 -105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 1:01 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Senators spread -1.5 +1.5 +3
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Mammoth moneyline -110 -120 +2.2% win chance
Senators moneyline -110 +100 -2.4% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Senators spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Utah Mammoth vs Montreal Canadiens Nov 5 · Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Nov 4 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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