| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +165 |
|
| Draw | +260 |
| +170 |
Total goals 2.5: over -120
, under +108 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:19 PM ET.
Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC preview
Saturday’s MLS match has Houston Dynamo FC hosting St. Louis CITY SC. The three-way moneyline lists STL +170, HOU +160 and the draw +260, with a 2.5 total. Recent league form (most recent first) is LWDDD for Houston and LLLLD for St. Louis. The last listed head-to-head was LOU 2-1 HOU on Aug 23, 2026. Houston has scored 1.30 and conceded 1.27 per match, with both teams scoring in 42% and over 2.5 goals in 42%. St. Louis has scored 1.76 and conceded 1.45, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 in 58%.
St. Louis lists Alexandru Matan and Roman Bürki out; Houston lists Guilherme Augusto and Héctor Herrera day-to-day and Jimmy Maurer out. Among props, C. Holse’s over 0.5 shots on target at -128 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, and Jonathan Bond’s over 2.5 saves at -150 has cleared in 7 of his last 10. Referee Allen Chapman averages 3.1 yellows and 18.1 fouls per match, below the league marks of 4.0 and 24.1.
Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction
The books imply 37% / 27% / 36%
The numbers lean slightly to Houston, with the model at 38% to St. Louis City’s 36% and the books at 37% to 36%; the model and books are close, both narrowly favoring Houston. St. Louis City’s LLLLD form and 1.45 goals conceded per match support the small Houston edge.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Totland St. Louis City | Over 0.5 shots | -135 |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| Jonathan Bond Houston Dynamo | Over 2.5 saves | -150 |
70% (7/10) | 100% |
| Rafael Navarro St. Louis City | Over 1.5 fouls | -175 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Chris Durkin St. Louis City | Over 1.5 tackles | -195 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Agustin Resch Houston Dynamo | Over 0.5 yellow card | +195 |
60% (6/10) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:19 PM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Bogusz vs Totland
Bogusz
TotlandAliyu vs Wallem
Aliyu
WallemFoster vs MacNaughton and Baumgartl and Polvara
Foster
MacNaughton
Baumgartl
PolvaraBecher vs Lucas Halter and Resch
Becher
Lucas Halter
ReschRafael Navarro vs Lucas Halter and Resch
Rafael Navarro
Lucas Halter
ReschAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Houston Dynamo FC 4-2-3-1
St. Louis CITY SC 3-4-1-2
7/1031 BondSaves 2.5+
6/1011 EnnaliTackles 1.5+
6/105 Lucas HalterShots 0.5+
6/1034 ReschCard 0.5+
5/1036 Felipe AndradeShots 0.5+
18 Samassekou
5/106 ArturShots 0.5+
6/1019 BoguszSOT 0.5+
5/1030 BouzatFouls won 1.5+
24 Aliyu
9 Foster
1 Burki
5 MacNaughton
6/1032 BaumgartlFouls won 0.5+
5/1021 PolvaraShots 0.5+
5/106 WallemG+A 0.5+
7/108 DurkinTackles 1.5+
5/1024 EdelmanFouls won 1.5+
8/1014 TotlandShots 0.5+
23 Matan
6/1011 BecherSOT 0.5+
7/109 Rafael NavarroFouls 1.5+Houston Dynamo FC missing: J. Maurer (back)
St. Louis CITY SC missing: C. Pompeu (knee), C. Holse (knee)
Form and head to head
Houston Dynamo FC10th in the tableLWDDD14W 9D 10L · 1.55 points a match
St. Louis CITY SC9th in the tableLLLLD14W 9D 10L · 1.55 points a match- Aug 2026LOU 2-1 HOU
- Aug 2025LOU 2-3 HOU
- Jun 2025HOU 1-0 LOU
- Oct 2024LOU 3-0 HOU
- May 2024HOU 0-0 LOU
Clean sheets and goal trends
Houston Dynamo FC
Clean sheet13/33
Failed to score9/33
Both scored14/33
Over 2.514/33
St. Louis CITY SC
Clean sheet5/33
Failed to score7/33
Both scored22/33
Over 2.519/33
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.3Scored per match1.8
- 9.9Shots per match10.1
- 4.1Shots on target per match5.0
- 0.6Big chances per match0.8
Defensive
- 1.3Conceded per match1.5
- 9.6Shots against per match9.7
- 13.5Tackles per match16.1
- 10.2Fouls per match14.3
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Houston Dynamo | LWDDD | L 1-3 at POT · W 1-0 at SEA · D 0-0 vs MIN · D 2-2 vs DAL · D 3-3 at SDL |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | LLLLD | L 0-1 vs SDL · L 2-3 vs POT · L 0-3 at RSL · L 2-3 at MIN · D 0-0 vs VAN |
Last five MLS results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 10 (51 pts) | 9 (51 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 14-9-10 | 14-9-10 |
| Home / away record | 8-5-3 (19-14) home | 5-5-6 (22-25) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.30 | 1.76 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.45 |
| Shots / on target per match | 9.91 / 4.09 | 10.12 / 4.97 |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 64% / 42% / 27% | 85% / 58% / 42% |
| Clean sheets | 39% | 15% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 21% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.97 | 1.97 |
| Corners per match | 4.24 | 5.03 |
This season, 33 and 33 matches.
Referee
Allen Chapman averages 3.1 yellow cards and 18.1 fouls per match over 23 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
Houston Dynamo FC
- Jimmy Maurer (G): Out, Back Injury
- Marcelo Saracchi (D): Out, Knock Injury
St. Louis CITY SC
- Alexandru Matan (M): Out, Knock Injury
- Roman Bürki (G): Out, Concussion
- Carlo Holse (M): Out, Knee Injury
Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC odds by sportsbook
| Book | HOU ML | STL ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +160 | +170 | O 2.5 -137 | U 2.5 +108 | |
| +143 | +170 | O 2.75 -123 | U 2.75 -111 | |
| +155 | +150 | O 2.5 -125 | U 2.5 +100 | |
| +150 | +160 | O 2.5 -120 | U 2.5 -102 | |
| +165 | +160 | – | – |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:19 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 5:56 PM ET): Houston Dynamo FC moneyline +160 → +165.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -170, no +135
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -420 | +310 |
| 2.5 | -124 | +100 |
| 3.5 | +205 | -260 |
| 4.5 | +490 | -750 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC Nov 1 · St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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