Austin FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Austin FC logo

Austin FC14th in MLS
7:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Portland Timbers logo

Portland Timbers8th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Austin FC +350
Draw +351
Portland Timbers -140

Total goals 3.5: over -112 , under -105

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:39 PM ET.

Austin FC vs Portland Timbers preview

Saturday’s MLS match has Austin FC hosting Portland Timbers at 7:00 PM ET. The three-way moneyline lists Portland as the favorite at -143, Austin at +350 and the draw at +335, with the total at 3.5. The last meeting was Portland 1-2 Austin on Aug 30, 2026, and recent league form is LLWLL for Austin and WWWDL for Portland.

Austin scores 1.27 and concedes 1.91 per match; Portland scores 1.82 and concedes 1.85. Both teams scored in 73% of Austin’s matches and 76% of Portland’s, while over 2.5 landed in 73% for both, which keeps the goals market relevant. Brad Stuver’s over 3.5 saves at -140 cleared in 7 of his last 10, a useful prop angle. Portland’s injury list includes Bonetig, Bye, McGraw and Mosquera.

Austin FC vs Portland Timbers prediction

38%Austin FC
23%Draw
39%Portland Timbers

The books imply 22% / 21% / 57%

1-1Most likely score10% chance
1.6 – 1.7Expected goals
64%Over 2.5 goals
65%Both teams to score

The model makes this match close, with Austin FC 38% and Portland Timbers 39%, while the books lean Portland at 57%. Portland’s WWWDL form and 1.82 goals per match against Austin’s LLWLL form and 1.91 conceded per match support the books’ lean, though Portland is missing Bonetig, Bye, McGraw and Mosquera. Austin is missing Kolmanic to a red card.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Austin FC vs Portland Timbers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Brad Stuver Austin Over 3.5 saves -140 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Joel Waterman Portland Timbers Over 0.5 fouls -170 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%
J. Rosales Austin Over 0.5 fouls won -175 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
David Da Costa Portland Timbers Over 0.5 tackles -180 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Mikkel Desler Austin Over 0.5 fouls won -200 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:39 PM ET.

The rest of the Austin FC vs Portland Timbers propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Kamal MillerOver 0.5 fouls6/10
Ronald HernándezOver 0.5 fouls won6/10
Brandon VazquezOver 0.5 tackles5/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Uzuni vs Smith

UzuniWinger, Austin FC
VS
SmithFull-back, Portland Timbers
Even matchupSmith gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 17% less than the average defender (0.8). Uzuni draws plenty himself, at 1.2, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.2Fouls drawn vs given0.7
2.1Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 1.2 · -195DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 2.1 · +130DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 1.2 · -170DraftKings
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · +115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · -200DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +260Stake

Alastuey vs Hernandez

AlastueyWinger, Austin FC
VS
HernandezFull-back, Portland Timbers

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · -270DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 2 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +520Stake

Vazquez vs Waterman and Surman

VazquezStriker, Austin FC
VS
WatermanCentre-back, Portland Timbers
SurmanCentre-back, Portland Timbers
Tough matchup for VazquezWaterman and Surman give away 0.6 fouls a match, 29% less than the average defender (0.8). Vazquez draws 0.9, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.9Fouls drawn vs given0.6
2.6Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · -120DraftKings
Shots over 3.53/10avg 2.6 · +190Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.54/10avg 0.9 · +190Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · -170DraftKings
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 1 · -235DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +310Stake
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -110DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · -280DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +310Stake

Lassiter vs Gallagher

LassiterWinger, Portland Timbers
VS
GallagherFull-back, Austin FC
Even matchupGallagher gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 17% less than the average defender (0.8). Lassiter draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.7
1.7Shots vs tackles0.4
Fouls won over 0.56/10avg 1.1 · -205DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.7 · -110DraftKings
Shots on target over 5.50/10avg 1 · -150bet365
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -170DraftKings
Tackles over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · +120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +520Stake

Velde vs Burton

VeldeWinger, Portland Timbers
VS
BurtonFull-back, Austin FC
Even matchupBurton gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 17% less than the average defender (0.8). Velde draws plenty himself, at 3.4, which points to about 2.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
3.4Fouls drawn vs given0.7
3.6Shots vs tackles0.0
Fouls won over 1.58/10avg 3.4 · -265DraftKings
Shots over 3.55/10avg 3.6 · -145DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · -263BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.51/3avg 0.7 · -210DraftKings
Tackles over 1.50/3avg 0 · +105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/3avg 0 · +285Stake

Janssen vs Desler and Sanchez and Guilherme Biro

JanssenStriker, Portland Timbers
VS
DeslerCentre-back, Austin FC
SanchezCentre-back, Austin FC
Guilherme BiroCentre-back, Austin FC
Tough matchup for JanssenDesler and Sanchez and Guilherme Biro give away 0.6 fouls a match, 33% less than the average defender (0.8). Janssen draws 0.9, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.9Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.4Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · -290DraftKings
Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.4 · +105Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · +110Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.8 · -120DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +285Stake
Fouls committed over 0.51/10avg 0.2 · -230DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.2 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -230DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.4 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · +310Stake
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Austin FC 3-4-3Portland Timbers 4-3-3

12 Las
7/103 DeslerFouls won 0.5+
6 Sanchez
5/1029 Guilherme BiroTackles 1.5+
32 Burton
5/1038 TorresShots 0.5+
14 Sabovic
5/1017 GallagherFouls 0.5+
5/1010 UzuniSOT 0.5+
5/109 VazquezTackles 0.5+
24 Alastuey
41 Pantemis
6/1012 HernandezFouls won 0.5+
7/102 WatermanFouls 0.5+
5/1020 SurmanFouls won 0.5+
23 Smith
30 Caicedo Barrera
5/1021 CharaFouls 1.5+
7/1010 Da CostaTackles 0.5+
7 Lassiter
14 Janssen
5/1099 VeldeShots 3.5+

Austin FC missing: C. Applewhite (muscle), J. Bell (abdominal strain), Z. Kolmanic (red card)

Portland Timbers missing: A. Bonetig (shoulder), B. Bye (leg), Z. McGraw (back), J. Mosquera (foot)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Form and head to head

Austin FC26th in the tableLLWLL8W 10D 15L · 1.03 points a match
5meetings

2 wins1 draw2 wins
Portland Timbers16th in the tableWWWDL12W 7D 14L · 1.30 points a match
40%Over 1.52/5
20%Over 2.51/5
0%Over 3.50/5
20%Both scored1/5
  • Aug 2026POT 1-2 ATX
  • Apr 2025ATX 0-0 POT
  • Mar 2025POT 1-0 ATX
  • Oct 2024POT 0-1 ATX
  • May 2024ATX 0-2 POT

Clean sheets and goal trends

Austin FC

15%

Clean sheet5/33

18%

Failed to score6/33

73%

Both scored24/33

73%

Over 2.524/33

Portland Timbers

6%

Clean sheet2/33

21%

Failed to score7/33

76%

Both scored25/33

73%

Over 2.524/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

Austin FCPortland Timbers
24%Win %36%
49%Possession %50%
73%Both teams scored %76%
46%Scored first %36%
  • 1.3Scored per match1.8
  • 9.0Shots per match11.1
  • 4.1Shots on target per match4.8
  • 0.5Big chances per match1.0

Defensive

Austin FCPortland Timbers
46%Loss %42%
18%Failed to score %21%
15%Clean sheet %6%
49%Conceded first %61%
  • 1.9Conceded per match1.9
  • 13.7Shots against per match11.3
  • 12.1Tackles per match14.7
  • 10.2Fouls per match10.0

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Austin LLWLL L 1-4 at LAG · L 1-2 vs RSL · W 2-1 at SKC · L 1-2 vs VAN · L 1-3 at LAF
Portland Timbers WWWDL W 3-1 vs HOU · W 3-2 at LOU · W 3-2 vs CHL · D 0-0 vs CLR · L 0-2 at LAG

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Austin Portland Timbers
Table 26 (34 pts) 16 (43 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 8-10-15 12-7-14
Home / away record 4-6-6 (22-23) home 3-3-10 (23-33) away
Goals scored per match 1.27 1.82
Goals conceded per match 1.91 1.85
Shots / on target per match 9.00 / 4.12 11.09 / 4.82
Both teams scored 73% 76%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 88% / 73% / 36% 94% / 73% / 52%
Clean sheets 15% 6%
Failed to score 18% 21%
Yellow cards per match 1.82 1.67
Corners per match 4.58 4.79

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Victor Rivas averages 4.8 yellow cards and 24.1 fouls per match over 21 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

Austin FC

  • Jon Bell (D): Out, Stomach Injury
  • Chris Applewhite (D): Out, Muscle Injury

Portland Timbers

  • Alex Bonetig (D): Out, Shoulder Injury
  • Trey Muse (G): Out, Concussion
  • Juan Mosquera (D): Out, Foot Injury
  • Brandon Bye (D): Out, Leg Injury
  • Zac McGraw (D): Out, Back Injury
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Austin FC vs Portland Timbers odds by sportsbook

Book ATX ML POR ML Over Under
bet365 +350 -150 O 3.5 -125 U 3.5 -110
BetRivers +330 -152 O 3.5 -112 U 3.5 -122
DraftKings +300 -145 O 3.5 -125 U 3.5 -105
FanDuel +300 -145 O 3.5 -115 U 3.5 -105
Fanatics +300 -140 O 3.5 -125 U 3.5 -105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:39 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 6:10 PM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -295, no +225

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -1250 +710
2.5 -310 +240
3.5 -115 -105
4.5 +198 -250

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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More on these teams: Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC Nov 1 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

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