| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| +350 |
|
| Draw | +351 |
| -140 |
Total goals 3.5: over -112
, under -105 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:39 PM ET.
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers preview
Saturday’s MLS match has Austin FC hosting Portland Timbers at 7:00 PM ET. The three-way moneyline lists Portland as the favorite at -143, Austin at +350 and the draw at +335, with the total at 3.5. The last meeting was Portland 1-2 Austin on Aug 30, 2026, and recent league form is LLWLL for Austin and WWWDL for Portland.
Austin scores 1.27 and concedes 1.91 per match; Portland scores 1.82 and concedes 1.85. Both teams scored in 73% of Austin’s matches and 76% of Portland’s, while over 2.5 landed in 73% for both, which keeps the goals market relevant. Brad Stuver’s over 3.5 saves at -140 cleared in 7 of his last 10, a useful prop angle. Portland’s injury list includes Bonetig, Bye, McGraw and Mosquera.
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers prediction
The books imply 22% / 21% / 57%
The model makes this match close, with Austin FC 38% and Portland Timbers 39%, while the books lean Portland at 57%. Portland’s WWWDL form and 1.82 goals per match against Austin’s LLWLL form and 1.91 conceded per match support the books’ lean, though Portland is missing Bonetig, Bye, McGraw and Mosquera. Austin is missing Kolmanic to a red card.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Austin FC vs Portland Timbers player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver Austin | Over 3.5 saves | -140 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Joel Waterman Portland Timbers | Over 0.5 fouls | -170 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| J. Rosales Austin | Over 0.5 fouls won | -175 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| David Da Costa Portland Timbers | Over 0.5 tackles | -180 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Mikkel Desler Austin | Over 0.5 fouls won | -200 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:39 PM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Uzuni vs Smith
Uzuni
SmithAlastuey vs Hernandez
Alastuey
HernandezNo lines posted
Vazquez vs Waterman and Surman
Vazquez
Waterman
SurmanLassiter vs Gallagher
Lassiter
GallagherVelde vs Burton
Velde
BurtonJanssen vs Desler and Sanchez and Guilherme Biro
Janssen
Desler
Sanchez
Guilherme BiroAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Austin FC 3-4-3
Portland Timbers 4-3-3
12 Las
7/103 DeslerFouls won 0.5+
6 Sanchez
5/1029 Guilherme BiroTackles 1.5+
32 Burton
5/1038 TorresShots 0.5+
14 Sabovic
5/1017 GallagherFouls 0.5+
5/1010 UzuniSOT 0.5+
5/109 VazquezTackles 0.5+
24 Alastuey
41 Pantemis
6/1012 HernandezFouls won 0.5+
7/102 WatermanFouls 0.5+
5/1020 SurmanFouls won 0.5+
23 Smith
30 Caicedo Barrera
5/1021 CharaFouls 1.5+
7/1010 Da CostaTackles 0.5+
7 Lassiter
14 Janssen
5/1099 VeldeShots 3.5+Austin FC missing: C. Applewhite (muscle), J. Bell (abdominal strain), Z. Kolmanic (red card)
Portland Timbers missing: A. Bonetig (shoulder), B. Bye (leg), Z. McGraw (back), J. Mosquera (foot)
Form and head to head
Austin FC26th in the tableLLWLL8W 10D 15L · 1.03 points a match
Portland Timbers16th in the tableWWWDL12W 7D 14L · 1.30 points a match- Aug 2026POT 1-2 ATX
- Apr 2025ATX 0-0 POT
- Mar 2025POT 1-0 ATX
- Oct 2024POT 0-1 ATX
- May 2024ATX 0-2 POT
Clean sheets and goal trends
Austin FC
Clean sheet5/33
Failed to score6/33
Both scored24/33
Over 2.524/33
Portland Timbers
Clean sheet2/33
Failed to score7/33
Both scored25/33
Over 2.524/33
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.3Scored per match1.8
- 9.0Shots per match11.1
- 4.1Shots on target per match4.8
- 0.5Big chances per match1.0
Defensive
- 1.9Conceded per match1.9
- 13.7Shots against per match11.3
- 12.1Tackles per match14.7
- 10.2Fouls per match10.0
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Austin | LLWLL | L 1-4 at LAG · L 1-2 vs RSL · W 2-1 at SKC · L 1-2 vs VAN · L 1-3 at LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | WWWDL | W 3-1 vs HOU · W 3-2 at LOU · W 3-2 vs CHL · D 0-0 vs CLR · L 0-2 at LAG |
Last five MLS results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Austin | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 26 (34 pts) | 16 (43 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-10-15 | 12-7-14 |
| Home / away record | 4-6-6 (22-23) home | 3-3-10 (23-33) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.27 | 1.82 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Shots / on target per match | 9.00 / 4.12 | 11.09 / 4.82 |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 88% / 73% / 36% | 94% / 73% / 52% |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 6% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.82 | 1.67 |
| Corners per match | 4.58 | 4.79 |
This season, 33 and 33 matches.
Referee
Victor Rivas averages 4.8 yellow cards and 24.1 fouls per match over 21 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), a card-heavy referee.
Injury report
Austin FC
- Jon Bell (D): Out, Stomach Injury
- Chris Applewhite (D): Out, Muscle Injury
Portland Timbers
- Alex Bonetig (D): Out, Shoulder Injury
- Trey Muse (G): Out, Concussion
- Juan Mosquera (D): Out, Foot Injury
- Brandon Bye (D): Out, Leg Injury
- Zac McGraw (D): Out, Back Injury
Austin FC vs Portland Timbers odds by sportsbook
| Book | ATX ML | POR ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +350 | -150 | O 3.5 -125 | U 3.5 -110 | |
| +330 | -152 | O 3.5 -112 | U 3.5 -122 | |
| +300 | -145 | O 3.5 -125 | U 3.5 -105 | |
| +300 | -145 | O 3.5 -115 | U 3.5 -105 | |
| +300 | -140 | O 3.5 -125 | U 3.5 -105 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:39 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 6:10 PM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -295, no +225
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -1250 | +710 |
| 2.5 | -310 | +240 |
| 3.5 | -115 | -105 |
| 4.5 | +198 | -250 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC Nov 1 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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