Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Houston Dynamo FC logo

Houston Dynamo FC5th in MLS
7:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
St. Louis CITY SC logo

St. Louis CITY SC4th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Houston Dynamo FC +165
Draw +260
St. Louis CITY SC +170

Total goals 2.5: over -120 , under +108

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:19 PM ET.

Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC preview

Saturday’s MLS match has Houston Dynamo FC hosting St. Louis CITY SC. The three-way moneyline lists STL +170, HOU +160 and the draw +260, with a 2.5 total. Recent league form (most recent first) is LWDDD for Houston and LLLLD for St. Louis. The last listed head-to-head was LOU 2-1 HOU on Aug 23, 2026. Houston has scored 1.30 and conceded 1.27 per match, with both teams scoring in 42% and over 2.5 goals in 42%. St. Louis has scored 1.76 and conceded 1.45, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 in 58%.

St. Louis lists Alexandru Matan and Roman Bürki out; Houston lists Guilherme Augusto and Héctor Herrera day-to-day and Jimmy Maurer out. Among props, C. Holse’s over 0.5 shots on target at -128 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, and Jonathan Bond’s over 2.5 saves at -150 has cleared in 7 of his last 10. Referee Allen Chapman averages 3.1 yellows and 18.1 fouls per match, below the league marks of 4.0 and 24.1.

Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction

38%Houston Dynamo FC
26%Draw
36%St. Louis CITY SC

The books imply 37% / 27% / 36%

1-1Most likely score12% chance
1.4 – 1.3Expected goals
51%Over 2.5 goals
55%Both teams to score

The numbers lean slightly to Houston, with the model at 38% to St. Louis City’s 36% and the books at 37% to 36%; the model and books are close, both narrowly favoring Houston. St. Louis City’s LLLLD form and 1.45 goals conceded per match support the small Houston edge.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Tomas Totland St. Louis City Over 0.5 shots -135 FanDuel 80% (8/10) 80%
Jonathan Bond Houston Dynamo Over 2.5 saves -150 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 100%
Rafael Navarro St. Louis City Over 1.5 fouls -175 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Chris Durkin St. Louis City Over 1.5 tackles -195 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%
Agustin Resch Houston Dynamo Over 0.5 yellow card +195 Stake 60% (6/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:19 PM ET.

The rest of the Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Lucas HalterOver 0.5 shots6/10
Lawrence EnnaliOver 1.5 tackles6/10
Simon BecherOver 0.5 shots on target6/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Bogusz vs Totland

BoguszWinger, Houston Dynamo FC
VS
TotlandFull-back, St. Louis CITY SC
Good matchup for BoguszTotland gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 31% more than the average defender (0.8). Bogusz draws plenty himself, at 1.7, which points to about 2.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.7Fouls drawn vs given1.1
2.2Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.7 · -155DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 2.2 · -160Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · -200FanDuel
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · -320DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · -125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +300Stake

Aliyu vs Wallem

AliyuWinger, Houston Dynamo FC
VS
WallemFull-back, St. Louis CITY SC
Good matchup for AliyuWallem gives away 1.9 fouls a match, 126% more than the average defender (0.8). Aliyu only draws 0.2, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.2Fouls drawn vs given1.9
0.3Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -265DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.3 · +200bet365
Shots on target over 0.50/10avg 0 · -105Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.57/10avg 1.9 · -255DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · -220DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +260Stake

Foster vs MacNaughton and Baumgartl and Polvara

FosterStriker, Houston Dynamo FC
VS
MacNaughtonCentre-back, St. Louis CITY SC
BaumgartlCentre-back, St. Louis CITY SC
PolvaraCentre-back, St. Louis CITY SC
Good matchup for FosterMacNaughton and Baumgartl and Polvara give away 1.0 fouls a match, 23% more than the average defender (0.8). Foster draws 0.7, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.0
0.7Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 1.51/7avg 0.7 · +120DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/7avg 0.7 · +125Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.51/7avg 0.1 · -147BetMGM
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 1.4 · -290DraftKings
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 1.2 · -205DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +300Stake
Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · +125DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.7 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +300Stake
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -330DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +260Stake

Becher vs Lucas Halter and Resch

BecherStriker, St. Louis CITY SC
VS
Lucas HalterCentre-back, Houston Dynamo FC
ReschCentre-back, Houston Dynamo FC
Good matchup for BecherLucas Halter and Resch give away 1.1 fouls a match, 37% more than the average defender (0.8). Becher only draws 0.6, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.6Fouls drawn vs given1.1
1.1Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 0.6 · -105DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.1 · +100Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -137BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1 · -255DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +280Stake
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.7 · -320DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · -340DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · +195Stake

Rafael Navarro vs Lucas Halter and Resch

Rafael NavarroStriker, St. Louis CITY SC
VS
Lucas HalterCentre-back, Houston Dynamo FC
ReschCentre-back, Houston Dynamo FC
Good matchup for Rafael NavarroLucas Halter and Resch give away 1.1 fouls a match, 37% more than the average defender (0.8). Rafael Navarro draws plenty himself, at 2.4, which points to about 3.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.4Fouls drawn vs given1.1
2.2Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.56/10avg 2.4 · -205DraftKings
Shots over 2.54/10avg 2.2 · -150Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.55/10avg 1.4 · +163bet365
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1 · -255DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +280Stake
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.7 · -320DraftKings
Tackles over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · -340DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · +195Stake
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Houston Dynamo FC 4-2-3-1St. Louis CITY SC 3-4-1-2

7/1031 BondSaves 2.5+
6/1011 EnnaliTackles 1.5+
6/105 Lucas HalterShots 0.5+
6/1034 ReschCard 0.5+
5/1036 Felipe AndradeShots 0.5+
18 Samassekou
5/106 ArturShots 0.5+
6/1019 BoguszSOT 0.5+
5/1030 BouzatFouls won 1.5+
24 Aliyu
9 Foster
1 Burki
5 MacNaughton
6/1032 BaumgartlFouls won 0.5+
5/1021 PolvaraShots 0.5+
5/106 WallemG+A 0.5+
7/108 DurkinTackles 1.5+
5/1024 EdelmanFouls won 1.5+
8/1014 TotlandShots 0.5+
23 Matan
6/1011 BecherSOT 0.5+
7/109 Rafael NavarroFouls 1.5+

Houston Dynamo FC missing: J. Maurer (back)

St. Louis CITY SC missing: C. Pompeu (knee), C. Holse (knee)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Form and head to head

Houston Dynamo FC10th in the tableLWDDD14W 9D 10L · 1.55 points a match
5meetings

2 wins1 draw2 wins
St. Louis CITY SC9th in the tableLLLLD14W 9D 10L · 1.55 points a match
60%Over 1.53/5
60%Over 2.53/5
20%Over 3.51/5
40%Both scored2/5
  • Aug 2026LOU 2-1 HOU
  • Aug 2025LOU 2-3 HOU
  • Jun 2025HOU 1-0 LOU
  • Oct 2024LOU 3-0 HOU
  • May 2024HOU 0-0 LOU

Clean sheets and goal trends

Houston Dynamo FC

39%

Clean sheet13/33

27%

Failed to score9/33

42%

Both scored14/33

42%

Over 2.514/33

St. Louis CITY SC

15%

Clean sheet5/33

21%

Failed to score7/33

67%

Both scored22/33

58%

Over 2.519/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

Houston Dynamo FCSt. Louis CITY SC
42%Win %42%
48%Possession %53%
42%Both teams scored %67%
46%Scored first %52%
  • 1.3Scored per match1.8
  • 9.9Shots per match10.1
  • 4.1Shots on target per match5.0
  • 0.6Big chances per match0.8

Defensive

Houston Dynamo FCSt. Louis CITY SC
30%Loss %30%
27%Failed to score %21%
39%Clean sheet %15%
46%Conceded first %46%
  • 1.3Conceded per match1.5
  • 9.6Shots against per match9.7
  • 13.5Tackles per match16.1
  • 10.2Fouls per match14.3

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Houston Dynamo LWDDD L 1-3 at POT · W 1-0 at SEA · D 0-0 vs MIN · D 2-2 vs DAL · D 3-3 at SDL
St. Louis City LLLLD L 0-1 vs SDL · L 2-3 vs POT · L 0-3 at RSL · L 2-3 at MIN · D 0-0 vs VAN

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Houston Dynamo St. Louis City
Table 10 (51 pts) 9 (51 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 14-9-10 14-9-10
Home / away record 8-5-3 (19-14) home 5-5-6 (22-25) away
Goals scored per match 1.30 1.76
Goals conceded per match 1.27 1.45
Shots / on target per match 9.91 / 4.09 10.12 / 4.97
Both teams scored 42% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 64% / 42% / 27% 85% / 58% / 42%
Clean sheets 39% 15%
Failed to score 27% 21%
Yellow cards per match 1.97 1.97
Corners per match 4.24 5.03

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Allen Chapman averages 3.1 yellow cards and 18.1 fouls per match over 23 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Houston Dynamo FC

  • Jimmy Maurer (G): Out, Back Injury
  • Marcelo Saracchi (D): Out, Knock Injury

St. Louis CITY SC

  • Alexandru Matan (M): Out, Knock Injury
  • Roman Bürki (G): Out, Concussion
  • Carlo Holse (M): Out, Knee Injury
Compare MLS playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC odds by sportsbook

Book HOU ML STL ML Over Under
bet365 +160 +170 O 2.5 -137 U 2.5 +108
BetRivers +143 +170 O 2.75 -123 U 2.75 -111
DraftKings +155 +150 O 2.5 -125 U 2.5 +100
FanDuel +150 +160 O 2.5 -120 U 2.5 -102
Fanatics +165 +160 – –

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:19 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 5:56 PM ET): Houston Dynamo FC moneyline +160 → +165.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -170, no +135

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -420 +310
2.5 -124 +100
3.5 +205 -260
4.5 +490 -750

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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More on these teams: Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo FC Nov 1 · St. Louis CITY SC vs San Diego FC Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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