FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen preview
FC Cologne hosts Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET in the Bundesliga. The total is n/a in the supplied data, while both teams to score is priced yes -245 and no +190. Cologne sits 14th with 9 points from 8 matches (W2 D3 L3), scoring 9 and conceding 12; Leverkusen is 6th with 13 points (W4 D1 L3), scoring 18 and conceding 16.
The last meeting was Apr 25, 2026, when Cologne lost 1-2 to Leverkusen; Leverkusen also won 2-0 on Dec 13, 2025. Cologne’s league form is DDLWL most recent first with a 2-2-0 home record, while Leverkusen’s form is LLWWW with a 1-1-2 away record. Leverkusen has seen over 2.5 goals in 88% and both teams scored in 63%; Cologne’s both-teams-to-score rate is 75%, and its over 2.5 rate is 50%.
Useful angles include the injury list: Cologne is without Dallinga, Hübers, Skhiri and Rondic, while Leverkusen is without Terrier, Diaby, Eichhorn and Tella. StatsBench props note Patrik Schick over 0.5 anytime goal at -105 cleared in 7 of his last 10.
FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
The model narrowly favors FC Cologne (42% to Leverkusen’s 36%), with 1-1 the most likely score. Cologne’s 2-2-0 home record supports that lean, while Leverkusen’s 2.25 scoring and 2.00 conceding rates plus LLWWW form explain the 69% over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score reads. The model’s 69% BTTS yes aligns with the -245 price, so no disagreement there.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janis Blaswich Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 2.5 saves | -150 |
80% (8/10) | 100% |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen FC Köln | Over 0.5 shots | -152 |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| Ibrahim Maza Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 fouls | -195 |
80% (8/10) | 100% |
| Luka Lochoshvili FC Köln | Over 0.5 fouls won | -160 |
71.4% (5/7) | 80% |
| Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Anytime goalscorer | -105 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:01 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Maina vs Gutierrez
Maina
GutierrezMoore vs Quansah
Moore
QuansahBulter vs Tapsoba and Medina
Bulter
Tapsoba
MedinaEl Mala vs Tapsoba and Medina
El Mala
Tapsoba
MedinaHofmann vs Sosa
Hofmann
SosaMoreira vs Castro-Montes
Moreira
Castro-MontesSchick vs Schmied and Simpson-Pusey
Schick
Schmied
Simpson-PuseyAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
FC Cologne 4-4-2
Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1
5/101 SchwabeSaves 3.5+
6/1017 Castro-MontesTackles 1.5+
2 Schmied
7/1022 Simpson-PuseyFouls won 0.5+
3 Sosa
37 Maina
23 Okon-Engstler
5 Krauss
47 Moore
5/1030 BulterSOT 0.5+
10 El Mala
7/101 FlekkenSaves 2.5+
5/104 QuansahShots 0.5+
5/1012 TapsobaFouls won 0.5+
4/82 MedinaShots 0.5+
3 Gutierrez
5/106 FernandezFouls won 1.5+
24 Garcia
7 Hofmann
8/1030 MazaFouls 0.5+
4/89 MoreiraSOT 0.5+
7/1014 SchickG+A 0.5+FC Cologne missing: T. Dallinga (knee), T. Hubers (knee), I. Rondic (injury), E. Skhiri (ankle), R. van den Berg (muscle)
Bayer Leverkusen missing: E. Ben Seghir (muscle), M. Diaby (hamstring), G. Doue (calf), K. Eichhorn (illness), N. Tella (muscle), M. Terrier (muscle)
Form and head to head
FC Cologne14th in the tableDDLWL2W 3D 3L · 1.13 points a match
Bayer Leverkusen6th in the tableLLWWW4W 1D 3L · 1.63 points a match- Apr 2026KOE 1-2 B04
- Dec 2025B04 2-0 KOE
Clean sheets and goal trends
FC Cologne
Clean sheet1/8
Failed to score2/8
Both scored6/8
Over 2.54/8
Bayer Leverkusen
Clean sheet2/8
Failed to score1/8
Both scored5/8
Over 2.57/8
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.1Scored per match2.3
- 12.9Shots per match15.8
- 4.9Shots on target per match5.8
- 1.3Big chances per match2.3
Defensive
- 1.5Conceded per match2.0
- 11.5Shots against per match11.6
- 14.9Tackles per match14.3
- 10.6Fouls per match11.1
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| FC Köln | DDLWL | D 1-1 at FCU · D 0-0 vs FC Schalke 04 · L 0-1 at SGE · W 2-1 vs BMG · L 1-2 at HSV |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | LLWWW | L 2-4 vs VFB · L 0-3 at TSG · W 2-1 vs SCF · W 4-3 at M05 · W 2-0 vs RBL |
Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| FC Köln | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 14 (9 pts) | 6 (13 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-3 | 4-1-3 |
| Home / away record | 2-2-0 (6-4) home | 1-1-2 (8-11) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Shots / on target per match | 12.88 / 4.88 | 15.75 / 5.75 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 75% / 50% / 25% | 100% / 88% / 63% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 13% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.72 | 7.02 |
This season, 8 and 8 matches.
Referee
Felix Zwayer averages 3.0 yellow cards and 22.0 fouls per match over 9 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
FC Cologne
- Thijs Dallinga (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Timo Hübers (D): Out, Knee Surgery
- Ellyes Skhiri (M): Out, Ankle Injury
- Imad Rondic (F): Out, Thigh Injury
Bayer Leverkusen
- Martin Terrier (F): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Moussa Diaby (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Kennet Eichhorn (M): Out, Illness
- Nathan Tella (F): Out, Muscle Injury
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -245, no +190
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -900 | +570 |
| 2.5 | -250 | +198 |
| 3.5 | +104 | -128 |
| 4.5 | +240 | -310 |
More on these teams: 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne Nov 1 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
18+, or the legal age where you live. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, contact a local support service.
Today's NBA picks
Today's NFL picks
Today's NHL picks
Today's College Football picks
Today's EPL picks
Today's La Liga picks
Today's Serie A picks
Today's Bundesliga picks
Today's Ligue 1 picks
Today's MLS picks
Today's CS2 picks
Today's LoL picks
Today's Valorant picks
Today's Dota 2 picks