The DraftKings market opened with Atlanta +4.5 and a 48.5 total; it now shows Atlanta +3 and a 52.5 total. Cincinnati enters 5-2 overall and 3-4 against the spread, with a 7-3 last-10 record and 5-5 ATS mark; its most recent game was a 43-36 win over Tennessee on November 1, 2026. Atlanta is 3-5 and 3-5 ATS, 5-5 in its last 10 with a 4-6 ATS mark, and most recently lost 0-16 at Tampa Bay on November 1, 2026.
Defensively, Atlanta allows 271.4 passing yards per game (rank 30) and 26.6 receptions per game (rank 31), while Cincinnati allows 261 passing yards per game (rank 27). Atlanta’s rush defense is stronger at 88.9 yards allowed per game (rank 4), compared with Cincinnati at 122.3 (rank 20). Atlanta’s injury report includes Storm Norton and DeAngelo Malone on PUP-R, Anterio Thompson and Zachariah Branch out, and Cameron Williams, Da’Shawn Hand, Yasir Abdullah and Michael Jerrell on IR or IR-R.
One prop angle from the provided facts is Ja’Marr Chase over 0.5 touchdowns at -104, which has cleared in 7 of his last 10. The matchup’s passing and receptions-allowed ranks are the most useful defensive context in these numbers.
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:02 AM ET.
The rest of the Bengals vs Falcons propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.
Samaje Perine vs Falcons
Samaje PerineRB, CIN
VS
FalconsDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Samaje PerineFalcons allow 6.1 receptions a game to running backs, 2nd most in the league. Perine averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest31st of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 0.58/10avg 1.4 · 31st of 32 vs RB · -215
Receiving yards over 6.57/10avg 10.4 · 24th of 32 vs RB · -110
Rushing yards over 17.54/10avg 20.8 · 13th of 32 vs RB · -105
Austin Hooper vs Bengals
Austin HooperTE, ATL
VS
BengalsDefense vs tight ends
Good matchup for Austin HooperBengals allow 7.0 receptions a game to tight ends, 2nd most in the league. Hooper averages 1.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest31st of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · 31st of 32 vs TE · -178
Receiving yards over 6.56/10avg 8.6 · 31st of 32 vs TE · -105
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 1st of 32 vs TE · +677
Drew Sample vs Falcons
Drew SampleTE, CIN
VS
FalconsDefense vs tight ends
Good matchup for Drew SampleFalcons allow 6.7 receptions a game to tight ends, 6th most in the league. Sample averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest27th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · 27th of 32 vs TE · -177
Receiving yards over 3.56/10avg 10.4 · 24th of 32 vs TE · -110
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 20th of 32 vs TE · +658
Jahan Dotson vs Bengals
Jahan DotsonWR, ATL
VS
BengalsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupBengals allow 11.1 receptions a game to wide receivers, 16th most in the league. Dotson averages 1.7 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest17th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.56/10avg 1.7 · 17th of 32 vs WR · -163
Receiving yards over 30.55/10avg 37.7 · 15th of 32 vs WR · -110
Receiving tds over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 27th of 32 vs WR · +278
Khalil Herbert vs Bengals
KhKhalil HerbertRB, ATL
VS
BengalsDefense vs running backs
Even matchupBengals allow 85.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, 15th fewest in the league. Herbert averages 16.5 against a line of 8.5.
Toughest15th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 8.55/10avg 16.5 · 15th of 32 vs RB · -110
Receptions over 0.54/10avg 1 · 10th of 32 vs RB · +105
Rushing tds over 0.50/10avg 0 · 15th of 32 vs RB · +648
Chase Brown vs Falcons
Chase BrownRB, CIN
VS
FalconsDefense vs running backs
Even matchupFalcons allow 81.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, 13th fewest in the league. Brown averages 57.9 against a line of 49.5.
Toughest13th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 49.57/10avg 57.9 · 13th of 32 vs RB · -104
Receptions over 3.56/10avg 4.7 · 31st of 32 vs RB · -150
Receiving yards over 22.54/10avg 29 · 24th of 32 vs RB · -110
Betting trends
The over has hit in 3 straight Bengals games.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
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Bengals vs Falcons defense vs position
What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.
Bengals defense facing the Falcons
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
261.027th
28.031st
–
–
1.16th
RB
–
85.715th
29.912th
3.910th
0.715th
WR
–
–
142.415th
11.117th
1.127th
TE
–
–
88.731st
7.031st
0.01st
Softest spot: 28.0 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 2nd most in the league.
Toughest spot: 0.0 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, the fewest in the league.
Falcons defense facing the Bengals
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
271.430th
4.61st
–
–
1.620th
RB
–
81.713th
38.924th
6.131st
1.024th
WR
–
–
169.926th
13.728th
0.65th
TE
–
–
62.724th
6.727th
0.620th
Softest spot: 6.1 receptions a game to running backs, 2nd most in the league.
Toughest spot: 4.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the fewest in the league.
The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow QB268.4 pass yds · 2.5 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
vs TEN
38/48
462
5
3
10
10/25
@ BAL
22/30
292
4
0
12
10/11
@ MIA
23/32
190
4
0
10
10/4
vs JAX
39/54
428
1
2
6
9/27
@ PIT
28/37
282
3
0
13
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs ATL
Pass yds
302.1 (7)
242.8 (4)
226.1 (8)
–
Pass TD
2.9 (7)
3.3 (4)
2.1 (8)
–
Chase Brown RB59.7 rush yds · 4.9 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
vs TEN
12
55
0
8
46
10/25
@ BAL
11
39
0
4
19
10/11
@ MIA
13
39
0
3
21
10/4
vs JAX
9
10
0
11
71
9/27
@ PIT
13
61
0
2
8
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs ATL
Rush yds
48.6 (7)
54.8 (4)
59.9 (17)
–
Rec
5.1 (7)
3.0 (4)
4.1 (17)
–
Tee Higgins WR5.4 rec · 86.3 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
vs TEN
11
10
155
2
10/25
@ BAL
7
6
148
1
10/11
@ MIA
4
2
22
0
10/4
vs JAX
16
11
157
0
9/27
@ PIT
7
6
90
1
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs ATL
Rec
6.1 (7)
4.8 (4)
3.9 (15)
–
Rec yds
103.7 (7)
88.8 (4)
56.4 (15)
–
Ja’Marr Chase WR7.2 rec · 82.3 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
vs TEN
16
11
141
1
10/25
@ BAL
7
5
62
1
10/11
@ MIA
10
6
77
1
10/4
vs JAX
3
3
27
0
9/27
@ PIT
12
9
98
1
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs ATL
Rec
6.1 (7)
6.8 (4)
7.8 (16)
–
Rec yds
70.3 (7)
78.0 (4)
88.3 (16)
–
Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr. QB217.0 pass yds · 1.2 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
@ TB
8/24
125
0
4
11
10/25
vs SF
25/34
213
3
0
-1
10/18
vs CHI
19/33
225
3
0
1
10/12
vs BAL
19/32
240
1
0
8
10/6
@ NO
15/20
223
1
0
-2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CIN
Pass yds
213.7 (6)
226.0 (3)
220.2 (9)
–
Pass TD
1.5 (6)
2.3 (3)
1.0 (9)
–
Bijan Robinson RB97.8 rush yds · 3.6 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
@ TB
19
76
0
0
0
10/25
vs SF
20
63
0
5
59
10/18
vs CHI
9
61
0
2
-8
10/12
vs BAL
17
86
0
4
32
10/6
@ NO
19
145
2
1
2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CIN
Rush yds
97.5 (8)
70.5 (4)
86.9 (17)
–
Rec
3.1 (8)
3.5 (4)
4.6 (17)
–
Drake London WR5.3 rec · 80.8 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ TB
6
1
8
0
10/25
vs SF
10
7
66
1
10/18
vs CHI
10
4
62
0
10/12
vs BAL
11
7
118
0
10/6
@ NO
6
5
96
0
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CIN
Rec
4.9 (8)
5.5 (4)
5.7 (12)
–
Rec yds
78.0 (8)
74.3 (4)
76.6 (12)
–
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE3.7 rec · 40.5 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ TB
5
2
6
0
10/25
vs SF
5
5
22
1
10/18
vs CHI
7
5
60
2
10/12
vs BAL
6
5
42
1
10/6
@ NO
3
3
47
0
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CIN
Rec
2.8 (8)
4.0 (4)
5.2 (17)
–
Rec yds
24.6 (8)
34.8 (4)
54.6 (17)
–
Records
Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Home
Away
Bengals
5-2
3-4
5-2
2-1
3-1
Falcons
3-5
3-5
4-4
1-3
2-2
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Recent form
Cincinnati Bengals: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
vs TEN
W 43-36
L -13.5
O 45.5
Oct 25, 26
@ BAL
W 35-13
W -3
O 46.5
Oct 11, 26
@ MIA
W 31-24
L -7.5
O 45.5
Oct 4, 26
vs JAX
L 17-22
L -2.5
U 51.5
Sep 27, 26
@ PIT
L 27-30
L -3.5
O 42.5
Sep 20, 26
@ HOU
W 20-6
W +3
U 45.5
Sep 13, 26
vs TB
W 33-27
W -3.5
O 50.5
Jan 4, 26
vs CLE
L 18-20
L -8.5
U 47.5
Dec 28, 25
vs ARI
W 37-14
W -7
U 53.5
Dec 21, 25
@ MIA
W 45-21
W -3.5
O 48.5
Atlanta Falcons: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
@ TB
L 0-16
L +2.5
U 43.5
Oct 25, 26
vs SF
W 29-20
W +2.5
U 49.5
Oct 18, 26
vs CHI
L 23-31
L +1.5
O 50.5
Oct 11, 26
vs BAL
L 23-30
L -3
O 44.5
Oct 5, 26
@ NO
W 45-24
W +1.5
O 48.5
Sep 24, 26
@ GB
W 35-14
W +4.5
O 43.5
Sep 20, 26
vs CAR
L 3-34
L +2.5
U 43.5
Sep 13, 26
@ PIT
L 13-20
L +6.5
U 40.5
Jan 4, 26
vs NO
W 19-17
L -3.5
U 43.5
Dec 29, 25
vs LAR
W 27-24
W +7.5
O 48.5
Injury report
Cincinnati Bengals
Brian Parker II (OT): IR-R, ir
Ja’Sir Taylor (CB): IR-R, The Bengals placed Taylor
Andrei Iosivas (WR): IR, Iosivas
Swayze Bozeman (LB): IR, The Bengals placed Bozeman on injured reserve Monday due to a fractured forearm, Ben Baby of ESPN
Tanner Hudson (TE): IR, Hudson
Erick All Jr. (TE): IR, Bengals head coach Zac Taylor confirmed Wednesday that All has been diagnosed with a torn ACL in his right knee and will require season-ending surgery, Jay Morrison of SI
Kyle Dugger (S): Out, Dugger
Cashius Howell (DE): IR, Howell
Cedric Johnson (DE): Questionable, Johnson
Jalen Davis (CB): IR, The Bengals placed Davis
Atlanta Falcons
Storm Norton (OT): PUP-R, out
DeAngelo Malone (LB): PUP-R, The Falcons placed Malone
Anterio Thompson (DT): Out
Cameron Williams (OL): IR-R, Williams
Da’Shawn Hand (DT): IR, The Falcons placed Hand
Yasir Abdullah (LB): Questionable, The Falcons activated Abdullah
Michael Jerrell (OT): IR, The Falcons placed Jerrell
Zachariah Branch (WR): Out, Coach Kevin Stefanski noted Monday that Branch
James Pearce Jr. (LB): Questionable, The Falcons listed Pearce
JD Bertrand (LB): IR, The Falcons placed Bertrand
Beaux Collins (WR): Questionable, Atlanta activated Collins
Trey Sermon (RB): IR, ir
Divine Deablo (LB): Questionable, The Falcons listed Deablo
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB): IR, Robinson
Jalon Walker (LB): IR, ir
Samson Ebukam (DE): IR, Ebukam
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
Bengals defense
Falcons defense
Points allowed per game
22.6 (14th of 32)
24.7 (18th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game
261 (27th of 32)
271.4 (30th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game
122.3 (20th of 32)
88.9 (4th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game
22 (21st of 32)
26.6 (31st of 32)
Venue and weather
Santiago Bernabéu · MadridIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Line movement from the open
Line
Open
Now
Move
Falcons spread
+4.5
+3
-1.5
Total
48.5
52.5
+4
Bengals moneyline
-225
-180
-4.9% win chance
Falcons moneyline
+185
+150
+4.9% win chance
DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
Falcons spread +3 → +3Total 52.5 → 52.5
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Fliff
Kalshi
Samaje PerineRB, CIN
Austin HooperTE, ATL
Drew SampleTE, CIN
Jahan DotsonWR, ATL
Chase BrownRB, CIN
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MIL
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