Le Havre AC vs Lorient Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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Ligue 1 prop picks: today's featured picks
Le Havre AC logo

Le Havre AC18th in Ligue 1
11:15 AM ETSun, Nov 8
Lorient logo

Lorient12th in Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:15 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Le Havre AC +210
Draw +230
Lorient +143

Total goals 2.5: over +112 , under -125

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 11:14 AM ET.

Le Havre AC vs Lorient preview

Sunday’s Ligue 1 match has Le Havre AC hosting Lorient, with Le Havre 18th on 2 points from 9 matches (0-2-7; form LLLLL) and Lorient 12th on 12 points (3-3-3; form LDWWL). Lorient is the moneyline favorite at +150, with the draw +230, Le Havre +220 and the total at 2.5. The last meeting ended Lorient 0-2 Le Havre on May 17, 2026, after a 1-1 draw at Le Havre on Sep 21, 2025.

Le Havre’s defensive profile is the main angle: it concedes 2.22 per match and has kept clean sheets in 11%, while Lorient concedes 0.89 and has a 56% clean-sheet rate. Le Havre also has multiple confirmed absences, including Zagadou, Mambimbi, Mpasi, Jelert and Pembélé. Among props, Jean-Victor Makengo over 1.5 fouls won at -135 cleared in 9 of his last 10, and Noah Doriann Cadiou over 0.5 shots at -175 cleared in 8 of his last 10.

Le Havre AC vs Lorient prediction

20%Le Havre AC
27%Draw
53%Lorient

The books imply 31% / 29% / 40%

0-1Most likely score16% chance
0.7 – 1.4Expected goals
37%Over 2.5 goals
40%Both teams to score

The model leans Lorient at 53%, with expected goals of 0.75 to 1.43 and a most likely score of 0-1, while the books imply Lorient at 39% and Le Havre at 31%, so the model is more bullish on Lorient. Le Havre sit 18th with 2 points, a 0-2-7 record, LLLLL form, and a 0-1-4 home record; Lorient concede 0.89 per match and keep clean sheets in 56%.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Le Havre AC vs Lorient player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Jean-Victor Makengo Lorient Over 1.5 fouls won -135 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 100%
Noah Doriann Cadiou Lorient Over 0.5 shots -200 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 60%
A. Richardson Le Havre Over 1.5 fouls -185 DraftKings 77.8% (7/9) 80%
D. Ouziad Le Havre Over 0.5 shots -180 Fanatics 75% (6/8) 80%
Simon Ebonog Le Havre Over 1.5 fouls won +105 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 11:14 AM ET.

The rest of the Le Havre AC vs Lorient propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Ally SamattaOver 0.5 shots on target7/10
Ahmed ToubaOver 1.5 tackles5/8
Montassar TalbiOver 0.5 shots6/10

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Maja vs Adjei and Talbi and Toure

MajaStriker, Le Havre AC
VS
AdjeiCentre-back, Lorient
TalbiCentre-back, Lorient
ToureCentre-back, Lorient
Even matchupAdjei and Talbi and Toure give away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.9). Maja only draws 0.6, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.6Fouls drawn vs given0.8
1.7Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 0.53/9avg 0.6 · -270DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/9avg 1.7 · +150bet365
Shots on target over 0.55/9avg 0.9 · -150bet365
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.8 · +115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.3 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +500DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · -225DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +550Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.54/5avg 1.4 · -300DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/5avg 1.2 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/5avg 0.2 · +230Fanatics

Tosin vs Sasso and Touba

TosinStriker, Lorient
VS
SassoCentre-back, Le Havre AC
ToubaCentre-back, Le Havre AC
Even matchupSasso and Touba give away 0.8 fouls a match, 13% less than the average defender (0.9). Tosin only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.8
1.0Shots vs tackles1.9
Fouls won over 1.51/10avg 0.4 · -125DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1 · +130FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -139BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.51/3avg 0.7 · +110DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/3avg 2 · -205DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/3avg 0.3 · +350Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.52/8avg 0.8 · +110DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/8avg 1.8 · -145DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/8avg 0.1 · +290Fanatics
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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Le Havre AC 3-4-2-1Lorient 3-4-2-1

16 Bodart
23 Sasso
27 Koffi
5/85 ToubaTackles 1.5+
6/820 OuziadShots 0.5+
7/1026 Ebonog (C)Fouls won 1.5+
6 Mwanga
17 Mizuta
5/1038 FofanaFouls won 1.5+
25 Samatta
5/99 MajaSOT 0.5+
6/1038 MvogoSaves 2.5+
5/1032 AdjeiTackles 1.5+
6/103 Talbi (C)Shots 0.5+
3/595 ToureShots 0.5+
20 Sylla
8/108 CadiouShots 0.5+
5/1062 AvomShots 0.5+
43 Kouassi
9/1017 MakengoFouls won 1.5+
33 Bernardeau
15 Tosin

Le Havre AC missing: E. Jelert (thigh), F. Mambimbi (achilles tendon), L. Mpasi-Nzau (achilles tendon), S. Nakamura (inactive), R. Ndiaye (muscle), T. Pembele (muscle), A. Seko (yellow cards), S. Zagadou (knee)

Lorient missing: I. Balde (achilles tendon), B. Fadiga (muscle), P. Katseris (muscle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Ligue 1 players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Form and head to head

Le Havre AC18th in the tableLLLLL0W 2D 7L · 0.22 points a match
2meetings

1 win1 draw0 wins
Lorient12th in the tableLDWWL3W 3D 3L · 1.33 points a match
100%Over 1.52/2
0%Over 2.50/2
0%Over 3.50/2
50%Both scored1/2
  • May 2026LOR 0-2 LEH
  • Sep 2025LEH 1-1 LOR

Clean sheets and goal trends

Le Havre AC

11%

Clean sheet1/9

33%

Failed to score3/9

67%

Both scored6/9

56%

Over 2.55/9

Lorient

56%

Clean sheet5/9

33%

Failed to score3/9

33%

Both scored3/9

33%

Over 2.53/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

Le Havre ACLorient
0%Win %33%
47%Possession %47%
67%Both teams scored %33%
22%Scored first %44%
  • 1.0Scored per match0.8
  • 13.8Shots per match8.9
  • 4.8Shots on target per match2.8
  • 1.3Big chances per match1.2

Defensive

Le Havre ACLorient
78%Loss %33%
33%Failed to score %33%
11%Clean sheet %56%
67%Conceded first %33%
  • 2.2Conceded per match0.9
  • 10.9Shots against per match10.6
  • 19.1Tackles per match14.9
  • 13.4Fouls per match9.4

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Le Havre LLLLL L 1-5 vs PSG · L 3-4 at OM · L 1-3 vs AUX · L 0-1 at LOSC · L 2-3 at TOU
Lorient LDWWL L 0-2 vs B29 · D 0-0 at ANG · W 1-0 vs ASM · W 1-0 vs PFC · L 1-2 at Le Mans

Last five Ligue 1 results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Le Havre Lorient
Table 18 (2 pts) 12 (12 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 0-2-7 3-3-3
Home / away record 0-1-4 (3-11) home 1-2-1 (2-2) away
Goals scored per match 1.00 0.78
Goals conceded per match 2.22 0.89
Shots / on target per match 13.78 / 4.78 8.89 / 2.78
Both teams scored 67% 33%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 67% / 56% / 44% 44% / 33% / 11%
Clean sheets 11% 56%
Failed to score 33% 33%
Yellow cards per match 1.33 1.11
Corners per match 5.22 3.55

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Aurelien Petit averages 2.0 yellow cards and 25.7 fouls per match over 3 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 24.7), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Le Havre AC

  • Stephan Zagadou (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Félix Mambimbi (F): Out, Achilles Tendon Injury
  • Elias Jelert (D): Out, Thigh Injury
  • Timothee Pembélé (D): Out, Groin Injury
  • Lionel Mpasi (G): Out, Achilles Tendon Injury

Lorient

  • Panos Katseris (M): Out, Groin Injury
  • Bandiougou Fadiga (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Ibrahima Baldé (F): Out, Heel Injury
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Le Havre AC vs Lorient odds by sportsbook

Book HAC ML LOR ML Over Under
bet365 +210 +138 O 2.5 +100 U 2.5 -125
BetRivers +185 +143 O 2.25 -128 U 2.25 -102
DraftKings +210 +140 O 2.5 +105 U 2.5 -130
FanDuel +200 +140 O 2.5 +112 U 2.5 -138
Fanatics +200 +130 O 2.5 +105 U 2.5 -150

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 11:14 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 5:44 AM ET): Le Havre AC moneyline +190 → +210.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -125, no +100

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -290 +225
2.5 +114 -140
3.5 +300 -400
4.5 +760 -1400

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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More on these teams: Lorient vs Brest Nov 2 · All Ligue 1 prop picks · All Ligue 1 predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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