Rangers vs Flames Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 11, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
New York Rangers logo

Rangers10-9 · 9-10 ATS8th in the East
7:30 PM ETWed, Nov 11
Calgary Flames logo

Flames8-10 · 9-9 ATS12th in the West

NHL · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Scotiabank Saddledome

Team Moneyline Spread Total
New York Rangers -138 -1.5 +180 O 5.5 -125
Calgary Flames +123 +1.5 -209 U 5.5 +110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:48 PM ET.

Rangers vs Flames preview

The Wednesday NHL slate includes New York Rangers at Calgary Flames at 7:30 PM ET. New York is a -136 moneyline favorite, Calgary is +1.5 on the spread, and the total is 5.5, with the DraftKings spread and total unchanged from opening.

The last meeting went to New York, 4-0 at home on March 10, 2026. The Rangers are 4-6 straight up and 3-7 against the spread over their last 10, while Calgary is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread over its last 10. In the last six meetings, New York is 3-3 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Defense and pace are angles. New York allows 2.89 goals per game (rank 9), 26.21 shots on goal (rank 10), and 0.89 power-play points (rank 1), while Calgary allows 3.5 goals (rank 24) and 30 shots on goal (rank 28). Calgary plays at a 57.4 pace (rank 5), compared with New York at 51.8 (rank 31). Calgary’s Kevin Bahl is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles tendon, and New York’s Igor Shesterkin is on IR with a season-ending right knee injury. Joel Farabee over 0.5 goals at +220 cleared in 7 of his last 10.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Oliver Bjorkstrand OVER 1.5 SOG (+108): pending
  • Tye Kartye OVER 1.5 SOG (-140): pending
  • Zayne Parekh OVER 0.5 POINTS (+120): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Rangers vs Flames player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Tye Kartye NYR Over 1.5 shots on goal -120 ESPN BET 90% (9/10) 80% –
Will Cuylle NYR Over 2.5 hits -152 Stake 90% (9/10) 100% –
Martin Pospisil CGY Over 3.5 hits -196 Stake 90% (9/10) 100% –
Joel Farabee CGY Over 0.5 goals +257 Kalshi 70% (7/10) 60% –
Pavel Dorofeyev NYR Over 0.5 points -104 Kalshi 70% (7/10) 60% 0.6

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:48 PM ET.

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J.T. MillerOver 1.5 shots on goal7/10
Adam FoxOver 0.5 points7/10
Oliver BjorkstrandOver 0.5 points6/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Tye Kartye vs Flames

Tye KartyeF, NYR
VS
FlamesDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Tye KartyeFlames allow 21.8 shots a game to forwards, 5th most in the league. Kartye averages 2.4 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest28th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.59/10avg 2.4 · 28th of 32 vs F · -120ESPN BET
Hits over 1.58/10avg 2.8 · 13th of 32 vs F · -268Stake
Points over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · 22nd of 32 vs F · +115DraftKings

Adam Fox vs Flames

Adam FoxD, NYR
VS
FlamesDefense vs defensemen
Good matchup for Adam FoxFlames allow 2.5 points a game to defensemen, 6th most in the league. Fox averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest27th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · 27th of 32 vs D · -167BetMGM
Assists over 0.56/10avg 1.1 · 26th of 32 vs D · -125BetMGM
Shots on goal over 1.55/10avg 1.7 · 27th of 32 vs D · -125ESPN BET

Martin Pospisil vs Rangers

Martin PospisilF, CGY
VS
RangersDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Martin PospisilRangers allow 16.9 hits a game to forwards, 10th most in the league. Pospisil averages 5.2 against a line of 3.5.
Toughest23rd of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 3.59/10avg 5.2 · 23rd of 32 vs F · -196Stake
Points over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · 6th of 32 vs F · +233Kalshi
Assists over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · 7th of 32 vs F · +290DraftKings

Adam Klapka vs Rangers

Adam KlapkaF, CGY
VS
RangersDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Adam KlapkaRangers allow 16.9 hits a game to forwards, 10th most in the league. Klapka averages 3.3 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest23rd of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 2.56/10avg 3.3 · 23rd of 32 vs F · -155Stake
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 6th of 32 vs F · +265BetRivers
Goals over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 5th of 32 vs F · +669Kalshi

Will Cuylle vs Flames

Will CuylleF, NYR
VS
FlamesDefense vs forwards
Even matchupFlames allow 15.2 hits a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league. Cuylle averages 3.9 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest13th of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 2.59/10avg 3.9 · 13th of 32 vs F · -152Stake
Shots on goal over 1.54/10avg 1.6 · 28th of 32 vs F · -130prophetexchange
Points over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · 22nd of 32 vs F · +166prophetexchange

Joel Farabee vs Rangers

Joel FarabeeF, CGY
VS
RangersDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Joel FarabeeRangers allow 5.3 points a game to forwards, 6th fewest in the league. Farabee averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest6th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · 6th of 32 vs F · -125BetMGM
Goals over 0.57/10avg 0.7 · 5th of 32 vs F · +257Kalshi
Shots on goal over 2.56/10avg 2.6 · 5th of 32 vs F · +146FanDuel

Betting trends

  • Rangers have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • Rangers are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Flames are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected lines

Projected forward lines, defense pairs and goalies, updated 4:48 PM ET; this page updates whenever they change. The goalies are listed in projected order, which doesn’t confirm the starter. Under each player: his strongest prop line and how often he cleared it over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

New York RangersProjected

Forwards

L1Gabe PerreaultOver 1.5 SOG 6/10Mika ZibanejadOver 0.5 points 6/10Alexis LafrenièreOver 1.5 SOG 6/10
L2Tye KartyeOver 1.5 SOG 9/10J.T. MillerOver 1.5 SOG 7/10Pavel DorofeyevOver 0.5 points 7/10
L3Will CuylleOver 2.5 hits 9/10Noah LabaOliver BjorkstrandOver 0.5 points 6/10
L4Eeli TolvanenGlenn GawdinJaroslav Chmelar

Defense

D1Vladislav GavrikovAdam FoxOver 0.5 points 7/10
D2Marcus PetterssonBraden Schneider
D3Matthew RobertsonScott Morrow

Goalies

GJoonas KorpisaloOver 24.5 saves 5/10Dylan Garand

Scratched: Matt Rempe, Luke Glendening, Marc Del Gaizo
Injured or in doubt: Sean Durzi, Igor Shesterkin, Alberts Smits, Adam Sykora, Joseph Veleno

Calgary FlamesProjected

Forwards

L1Joel FarabeeOver 0.5 points 7/10Mikael BacklundMatt CoronatoOver 0.5 points 5/10
L2Yegor SharangovichMorgan FrostOver 0.5 points 5/10Aydar Suniev
L3Matvei GridinMartin PospisilOver 3.5 hits 9/10Ryan StromeOver 1.5 SOG 5/10
L4Brennan OthmannJonathan CastagnaAdam KlapkaOver 2.5 hits 6/10

Defense

D1Joel HanleySimon NemecOver 1.5 SOG 5/10
D2Jake MiddletonZach WhitecloudOver 1.5 blocks 5/10
D3Yan KuznetsovZayne ParekhOver 0.5 points 5/10

Goalies

GDevin CooleyOver 24.5 saves 5/10Dustin Wolf

Scratched: Maxim Tsyplakov, William Stromgren, Brayden Pachal
Injured or in doubt: Jonathan Huberdeau, Kevin Bahl, Connor Zary

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NHL players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Rangers vs Flames defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Rangers defense facing the Flames

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.15th 3.27th 5.36th 18.05th 16.923rd 5.310th
D 0.832nd 1.59th 2.321st 8.228th 7.129th 9.129th

Softest spot: 0.8 goals a game to defensemen, the most in the league.

Toughest spot: 2.1 goals a game to forwards, 5th fewest in the league.

Flames defense facing the Rangers

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.923rd 3.920th 6.822nd 21.828th 15.213th 6.218th
D 0.627th 1.926th 2.527th 8.227th 6.319th 8.723rd

Softest spot: 21.8 shots a game to forwards, 5th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 15.2 hits a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

New York Rangers

Adam Fox D1.2 PTS · 1.4 SOG · 0.1 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/9 @ EDM 25:21 0 0 4 0
11/7 @ SEA 25:16 0 1 1 1
11/5 vs PHI 25:28 0 2 1 0
11/3 vs STL 23:40 1 1 3 0
11/1 vs EDM 23:44 0 0 2 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs CGY
PTS 1.2 (19) 1.0 (9) 1.0 (55) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 1.4 (19) 1.4 (9) 1.6 (55) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Alexis Lafrenière L1.0 PTS · 2.2 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/9 @ EDM 20:01 0 0 0 1
11/7 @ SEA 19:58 0 2 2 1
11/5 vs PHI 17:48 0 0 1 2
11/3 vs STL 15:05 0 0 2 0
11/1 vs EDM 17:48 0 0 4 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs CGY
PTS 0.9 (19) 0.7 (9) 0.7 (82) 1.5 (2)
3 · 0
SOG 2.2 (19) 1.4 (9) 2.0 (82) 3.5 (2)
5 · 2

Mika Zibanejad C0.8 PTS · 1.8 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/9 @ EDM 23:00 0 1 1 1
11/7 @ SEA 19:23 0 2 1 1
11/5 vs PHI 21:58 0 1 2 2
11/3 vs STL 17:54 0 0 1 0
11/1 vs EDM 20:08 0 1 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs CGY
PTS 0.8 (19) 0.6 (9) 1.0 (81) 1.0 (2)
2 · 0
SOG 1.8 (19) 1.3 (9) 2.7 (81) 2.5 (2)
2 · 3

Calgary Flames

Joel Farabee L0.9 PTS · 2.6 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/8 vs PHI 20:31 1 0 5 0
11/6 vs ANA 22:56 1 0 4 1
11/4 @ SEA 19:53 0 0 3 0
11/2 @ SJS 20:11 0 0 1 0
10/31 @ COL 17:34 1 0 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYR
PTS 0.9 (18) 1.3 (10) 0.5 (82) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1
SOG 2.6 (18) 2.6 (10) 1.7 (82) 1.0 (2)
0 · 2

Matt Coronato R0.8 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/8 vs PHI 16:52 1 0 1 0
11/6 vs ANA 21:34 0 0 3 0
11/4 @ SEA 17:01 0 0 1 0
11/2 @ SJS 18:38 0 0 0 0
10/31 @ COL 15:33 0 0 2 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYR
PTS 0.8 (18) 1.3 (10) 0.6 (80) 0.0 (1)
0
SOG 2.1 (18) 1.7 (10) 2.5 (80) 6.0 (1)
6

Morgan Frost C0.7 PTS · 1.7 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/8 vs PHI 17:38 0 0 1 1
11/6 vs ANA 13:20 0 2 1 0
11/4 @ SEA 15:14 0 1 2 0
11/2 @ SJS 14:28 0 0 1 0
10/31 @ COL 14:18 0 0 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYR
PTS 0.7 (18) 0.9 (10) 0.5 (82) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1
SOG 1.7 (18) 1.6 (10) 1.7 (82) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Rangers 10-9 9-10 10-9 8-2 2-7
Flames 8-10 9-9 9-9 6-4 2-6

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Rangers vs Flames head-to-head

Rangers are 3-3, 3-0 ATS, O/U 0-3 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Rangers won 4-0 on March 10, 2026.

Date Venue Rangers result ATS O/U
Mar 10, 26 Rangers home W 4-0 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 26, 25 Flames home L 1-5 – –
Mar 18, 25 Rangers home L 1-2 – –
Nov 21, 24 Flames home L 2-3 – –
Feb 12, 24 Rangers home W 2-0 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 24, 23 Flames home W 3-1 W +1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

New York Rangers: last 10 (4-6, 3-7 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 @ EDM L 1-3 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 7, 26 @ SEA W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 5, 26 vs PHI W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Nov 3, 26 vs STL W 3-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Nov 1, 26 vs EDM L 1-4 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 26, 26 vs LA L 3-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 24, 26 @ OTT L 4-7 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ TOR L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs ANA W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ CBJ L 0-1 W +1.5 U 6.5

Calgary Flames: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 vs PHI W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Nov 6, 26 vs ANA L 3-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 4, 26 @ SEA L 1-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 2, 26 @ SJ W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ COL L 2-5 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 30, 26 vs SEA W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 28, 26 @ EDM L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 26, 26 vs TOR W 5-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs DET W 4-1 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs MIN W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5

Injury report

New York Rangers

  • Sean Durzi (D): Injured Reserve, Durzi
  • Alberts Smits (D): Injured Reserve, Upper Body
  • Igor Shesterkin (G): Injured Reserve, Shesterkin will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury, Vince Z
  • Adam Sykora (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body

Calgary Flames

  • Kevin Bahl (D): Injured Reserve, Bahl will undergo surgery for a ruptured Achilles tendon and won’t play again in the 2026-27 season, the Flames announced Sunday
  • Connor Zary (C): Out, Knee
  • Jonathan Huberdeau (L): Injured Reserve, Huberdeau

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Rangers defense Flames defense
Goals allowed per game 2.89 (9th of 32) 3.5 (25th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 26.21 (10th of 32) 30 (28th of 32)
Points allowed per game 7.53 (7th of 32) 9.33 (26th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 0.89 (1st of 32) 1.67 (8th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 51.8 (31st) 57.4 (5th)

Venue and weather

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, ABIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Rangers vs Flames odds by sportsbook

Book NYR spread CGY spread NYR ML CGY ML Over Under
bet365 -1.5 +180 +1.5 -220 -138 +118 O 5.5 -126 U 5.5 +106
BetRivers -1.5 +170 +1.5 -213 -147 +123 O 5.5 -137 U 5.5 +110
Caesars -1.5 +174 +1.5 -209 -141 +120 O 6 -102 U 6 -121
DraftKings -1.5 +180 +1.5 -218 -142 +120 O 5.5 -125 U 5.5 +105
FanDuel -1.5 +168 +1.5 -210 -140 +116 O 5.5 -128 U 5.5 +104
Fanatics -1.5 +170 +1.5 -215 -145 +120 O 5.5 -125 U 5.5 +105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:48 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Flames spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 5.5 5.5 –
Rangers moneyline -135 -142 +1.2% win chance
Flames moneyline +114 +120 -1.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Flames spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 5.5 → 5.5
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More on these teams: New York Rangers stats · Calgary Flames stats · New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers Nov 9 · Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames Nov 8 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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