Jets vs Stars Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 12, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Winnipeg Jets logo

Jets8-11 · 11-8 ATS10th in the West
8:00 PM ETThu, Nov 12
Dallas Stars logo

Stars10-7 · 7-10 ATS6th in the West

NHL · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · American Airlines Center

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Winnipeg Jets +155 +1.5 -168 O 5.5 -122
Dallas Stars -175 -1.5 +145 U 5.5 +105

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 5:33 PM ET.

Jets vs Stars preview

Dallas enters as the -175 moneyline favorite and -1.5 spread favorite, with the total at 5.5, unchanged from the DraftKings opener. Winnipeg lost the last meeting 3-2 on the road on October 22. The Jets are 4-6 straight up and 6-4 against the spread over their last 10, most recently a 4-2 win over New Jersey on November 10. Dallas is 7-3 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in its last 10, most recently a 4-3 win over San Jose on November 7.

The defensive profile favors Dallas: it allows 2.29 goals per game (third), 22.94 shots (second), 6.47 points (fourth) and 1.06 power-play points (fourth). Winnipeg allows 3.42 goals (22nd) and 28.21 shots (21st), while its pace rank (55.7, 11th) contrasts with Dallas at 49.1 (32nd). Dallas is without Matt Duchene for about three months after core surgery and also lists Miro Heiskanen out; Winnipeg has Elias Salomonsson and Vladislav Namestnikov on IR. On the prop side, Jason Robertson over 2.5 shots at -215 has cleared in 9 of 10, and Mikko Rantanen over 0.5 points at -265 has done the same, with the StatsBench model projecting 1.2 points.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Jets vs Stars player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Jason Robertson DAL Over 2.5 shots on goal -215 FanDuel 90% (9/10) 80% –
Cole Perfetti WPG Over 1.5 shots on goal -215 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 80% –
Mikko Rantanen DAL Over 0.5 points -265 FanDuel 90% (9/10) 100% 1.2
Wyatt Johnston DAL Over 0.5 assists +106 FanDuel 70% (7/10) 100% 0.7
Gabriel Vilardi WPG Over 1.5 shots on goal -130 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:33 PM ET.

The rest of the Jets vs Stars propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Josh MorrisseyOver 1.5 shots on goal7/10
Mark ScheifeleOver 1.5 shots on goal7/10
Kyle ConnorOver 2.5 shots on goal7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Mikko Rantanen vs Jets

Mikko RantanenF, DAL
VS
JetsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Mikko RantanenJets allow 7.1 points a game to forwards, 6th most in the league. Rantanen averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest27th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.59/10avg 1.4 · 27th of 32 vs F · -265FanDuel
Goals over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 20th of 32 vs F · +170FanDuel
Shots on goal over 1.55/10avg 2 · 20th of 32 vs F · -250Fanatics

Wyatt Johnston vs Jets

Wyatt JohnstonF, DAL
VS
JetsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Wyatt JohnstonJets allow 7.1 points a game to forwards, 6th most in the league. Johnston averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest27th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · 27th of 32 vs F · -220FanDuel
Assists over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · 28th of 32 vs F · +106FanDuel
Shots on goal over 2.56/10avg 3.1 · 20th of 32 vs F · -110Fanatics

Jason Robertson vs Jets

Jason RobertsonF, DAL
VS
JetsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupJets allow 20.7 shots a game to forwards, 13th most in the league. Robertson averages 3.6 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest20th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 2.59/10avg 3.6 · 20th of 32 vs F · -215FanDuel
Points over 0.57/10avg 1.4 · 27th of 32 vs F · -240FanDuel
Assists over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 28th of 32 vs F · +102FanDuel

Josh Morrissey vs Stars

Josh MorrisseyD, WPG
VS
StarsDefense vs defensemen
Tough matchup for Josh MorrisseyStars allow 6.5 shots a game to defensemen, 3rd fewest in the league. Morrissey averages 3 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest3rd of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 3 · 3rd of 32 vs D · -150Fanatics
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 7th of 32 vs D · -104FanDuel
Assists over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · 11th of 32 vs D · +128FanDuel

Cole Perfetti vs Stars

Cole PerfettiF, WPG
VS
StarsDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Cole PerfettiStars allow 16.5 shots a game to forwards, the fewest in the league. Perfetti averages 3.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest1st of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.59/10avg 3.1 · 1st of 32 vs F · -215Fanatics
Points over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · 2nd of 32 vs F · -104FanDuel
Assists over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · 3rd of 32 vs F · +200FanDuel

Gabriel Vilardi vs Stars

Gabriel VilardiF, WPG
VS
StarsDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Gabriel VilardiStars allow 16.5 shots a game to forwards, the fewest in the league. Vilardi averages 1.9 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest1st of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 1.9 · 1st of 32 vs F · -130Fanatics
Points over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · 2nd of 32 vs F · -113FanDuel
Assists over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 3rd of 32 vs F · +164FanDuel

Betting trends

  • Jets have covered the spread in 4 straight games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Jets vs Stars defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Jets defense facing the Stars

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.820th 4.328th 7.127th 20.720th 15.316th 4.85th
D 0.628th 1.824th 2.526th 7.517th 5.05th 8.214th

Softest spot: 4.3 assists a game to forwards, 5th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 4.8 blocks a game to forwards, 5th fewest in the league.

Stars defense facing the Jets

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.04th 2.63rd 4.72nd 16.51st 16.519th 5.514th
D 0.34th 1.511th 1.87th 6.53rd 6.015th 7.711th

Softest spot: 16.5 hits a game to forwards, 14th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 16.5 shots a game to forwards, the fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Winnipeg Jets

Kyle Connor L1.1 PTS · 4.3 SOG · 0.8 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 vs NJD 22:53 2 0 7 0
11/8 vs TBL 24:35 0 0 4 0
11/5 vs VAN 18:17 0 2 2 1
11/3 @ MTL 27:50 2 0 8 0
11/1 @ CAR 19:16 0 0 2 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs DAL
PTS 1.1 (19) 1.1 (9) 1.1 (82) 1.4 (5)
1 · 0 · 1 · 2 · 3
SOG 4.3 (19) 4.3 (9) 3.3 (82) 4.2 (5)
3 · 4 · 1 · 7 · 6

Mark Scheifele C1.0 PTS · 2.2 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 vs NJD 21:17 0 1 0 0
11/8 vs TBL 21:54 1 1 2 0
11/5 vs VAN 18:08 1 1 3 2
11/3 @ MTL 28:09 0 2 3 1
11/1 @ CAR 20:08 0 0 4 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs DAL
PTS 1.0 (19) 0.8 (9) 1.3 (82) 1.4 (5)
0 · 0 · 2 · 2 · 3
SOG 2.2 (19) 2.0 (9) 2.1 (82) 2.0 (5)
2 · 2 · 2 · 3 · 1

Cole Perfetti C0.8 PTS · 3.0 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 vs NJD 15:43 0 2 0 1
11/8 vs TBL 15:41 1 1 6 0
11/5 vs VAN 15:26 0 1 2 0
11/3 @ MTL 21:03 0 0 6 1
11/1 @ CAR 15:34 0 0 3 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs DAL
PTS 0.8 (19) 0.8 (9) 0.5 (68) 0.8 (4)
0 · 0 · 2 · 1
SOG 3.0 (19) 3.2 (9) 2.0 (68) 2.3 (4)
2 · 2 · 3 · 2

Dallas Stars

Mikko Rantanen R1.2 PTS · 2.0 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs SJS 15:59 0 2 3 0
11/5 @ CBJ 19:13 1 0 2 1
11/3 @ WSH 18:51 1 0 1 0
10/31 vs CBJ 18:50 1 0 3 0
10/29 vs MTL 23:04 0 2 1 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WPG
PTS 1.2 (17) 1.2 (10) 1.2 (70) 2.2 (5)
2 · 1 · 2 · 3 · 3
SOG 2.0 (17) 2.0 (10) 2.2 (70) 1.0 (5)
1 · 0 · 1 · 0 · 3

Jason Robertson L1.1 PTS · 3.2 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs SJS 17:40 1 0 3 0
11/5 @ CBJ 20:30 0 0 3 2
11/3 @ WSH 17:05 3 1 5 0
10/31 vs CBJ 16:38 0 1 1 1
10/29 vs MTL 21:32 0 0 4 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WPG
PTS 1.1 (17) 1.1 (10) 1.2 (88) 1.2 (5)
2 · 0 · 1 · 1 · 2
SOG 3.2 (17) 2.9 (10) 3.7 (88) 4.4 (5)
4 · 4 · 2 · 4 · 8

Wyatt Johnston C1.1 PTS · 2.8 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs SJS 19:09 0 2 5 2
11/5 @ CBJ 19:15 0 1 3 2
11/3 @ WSH 16:13 0 2 2 0
10/31 vs CBJ 19:48 0 1 3 0
10/29 vs MTL 21:41 1 1 2 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WPG
PTS 1.1 (15) 1.0 (9) 1.0 (88) 1.0 (5)
2 · 0 · 0 · 2 · 1
SOG 2.8 (15) 3.1 (9) 2.6 (88) 1.4 (5)
4 · 1 · 1 · 0 · 1

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Jets 8-11 11-8 9-10 5-5 3-6
Stars 10-7 7-10 5-12 6-4 4-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Jets vs Stars head-to-head

Jets are 4-6, 4-1 ATS, O/U 2-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Jets lost 2-3 on October 22, 2026.

Date Venue Jets result ATS O/U
Oct 22, 26 Stars home L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Apr 2, 26 Stars home L 0-3 L +1.5 U 5.5
Feb 2, 26 Stars home L 3-4 W +1.5 O 5.5
Dec 9, 25 Jets home L 3-4 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 9, 25 Jets home L 4-5 – –
Apr 10, 25 Stars home W 4-0 – –
Mar 14, 25 Jets home W 4-1 – –
Dec 1, 24 Stars home L 1-3 – –
Nov 9, 24 Jets home W 4-1 – –
Apr 11, 24 Stars home W 3-0 W +1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

Winnipeg Jets: last 10 (4-6, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 vs NJ W 4-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 8, 26 vs TB W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Nov 5, 26 vs VAN W 6-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 3, 26 @ MTL W 5-4 W +1.5 O 5.5
Nov 1, 26 @ CAR L 0-7 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 30, 26 @ FLA L 2-5 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ TB L 4-6 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 vs FLA L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 25, 26 vs MTL L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 @ DAL L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5

Dallas Stars: last 10 (7-3, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 vs SJ W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 5, 26 @ CBJ L 1-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Nov 3, 26 @ WSH W 6-5 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 31, 26 vs CBJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 29, 26 vs MTL L 2-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 vs NJ L 1-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 25, 26 vs NYI W 6-3 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs WPG W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs BOS W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ CHI W 4-0 W -1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

Winnipeg Jets

  • Elias Salomonsson (D): Injured Reserve, Personal
  • Vladislav Namestnikov (C): Injured Reserve, Undisclosed

Dallas Stars

  • Matt Duchene (C): Injured Reserve, Duchene will be out for approximately three months after undergoing surgery to repair a core injury, the team announced Monday
  • Miro Heiskanen (D): Out, Heiskanen
  • Kyle Capobianco (D): Injured Reserve, Leg
  • Oskar Bäck (C): Injured Reserve, Back was placed on long-term injured reserve on Saturday

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Jets defense Stars defense
Goals allowed per game 3.42 (22nd of 32) 2.29 (3rd of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 28.21 (21st of 32) 22.94 (2nd of 32)
Points allowed per game 9.58 (29th of 32) 6.47 (4th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.21 (19th of 32) 1.06 (4th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 55.7 (11th) 49.1 (32nd)

Venue and weather

American Airlines Center · Dallas, TXIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Jets vs Stars odds by sportsbook

Book WPG spread DAL spread WPG ML DAL ML Over Under
bet365 +1.5 -168 -1.5 +143 +153 -183 O 5.5 -124 U 5.5 +104
BetRivers +1.5 -172 -1.5 +138 +155 -189 O 5.5 -122 U 5.5 -102
Caesars +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142 +154 -190 O 6 +102 U 6 -125
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142 +154 -185 O 5.5 -125 U 5.5 +105
FanDuel +1.5 -176 -1.5 +140 +146 -178 O 5.5 -122 U 5.5 +100
Fanatics +1.5 -180 -1.5 +145 +145 -175 O 5.5 -125 U 5.5 +105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:33 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Stars spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 5.5 5.5 –
Jets moneyline +170 +154 +2.3% win chance
Stars moneyline -205 -185 -2.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

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More on these teams: Winnipeg Jets stats · Dallas Stars stats · New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets Nov 10 · San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars Nov 7 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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