Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

Notre Dame6-1 · 4-3 ATSNo. 4 AP

FINAL35 – 13

Navy2-5 · 2-5 ATS

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Notre Dame	7	7	14	7	35
Navy	3	10	0	0	13

How the bets settled

MoneylineNotre Dame wonClosed at -8000

SpreadNavy coveredNavy +30.5, by 8.5

TotalUnder 54.548 scored, 6.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Notre Dame beat Navy 35-13, with the game swinging after halftime. Navy stayed within 14-13 at the break, but Notre Dame won the third quarter 14-0 and added a fourth-quarter touchdown to pull away.

CJ Carr threw for 210 yards and two touchdowns, Nolan James Jr. ran for 107 and two scores, and Jerome Bettis Jr. caught six passes for 78 yards and a score. Jackson Gutierrez led Navy with 28 carries for 110 yards and a touchdown, while Giuseppe Sessi made eight tackles. Notre Dame’s 426 total yards to Navy’s 245, and 222 passing yards to Navy’s 33, explained the separation. Navy ran for 212 yards but needed 48 attempts and averaged 4.4 per carry, while Notre Dame averaged 7.0 and had a 25-15 edge in first downs.

For bettors, Navy with 30.5 covered by 8.5, and the 54.5 total went under by 6.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

NavyNotre Dame

The score margin against the closing spread (Navy +30.5). Blue: Navy covering. Orange: Notre Dame covering.

+0Largest ND cover

0%ND covering

+36.5Largest NAVY cover

100%NAVY covering

Win probability

NavyNotre Dame

Blue: Navy favored. Orange: Notre Dame favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Notre Dame

Passing YardsCJ Carr19/29, 210 YDS, 2 TD
Rushing YardsNolan James Jr.9 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving YardsJerome Bettis Jr.6 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
TacklesLuke Talich10

Navy

Passing YardsJackson Gutierrez4/7, 25 YDS
Rushing YardsJackson Gutierrez28 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving YardsLuke Hutchison1 REC, 17 YDS
TacklesGiuseppe Sessi8

Team stats

Notre DameNavy

426Total yards245

222Passing yards33

204Rushing yards212

25First downs15

3-8Third downs4-12

0Turnovers0

2-25Penalties8-86

27:20Possession32:40

Box score

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Navy Midshipmen

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Passing

Player	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	QBR
CJ Carr	19/29	210	7.2	2	73.8
Noah Grubbs	1/1	12	12.0	0	—
Total	20/30	222	7.4	2	—

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Nolan James Jr.	9	107	11.9	2	52
Jonaz Walton	12	51	4.3	1	12
Aneyas Williams	2	29	14.5	0	28
Kedren Young	3	13	4.3	0	5
CJ Carr	2	4	2.0	0	4
Javian Osborne	1	0	0.0	0	0
Total	29	204	7.0	3	52

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jerome Bettis Jr.	6	78	13.0	1	31
Jordan Faison	4	46	11.5	0	24
Jaden Greathouse	3	26	8.7	0	13
Micah Gilbert	2	21	10.5	1	11
Jack Larsen	1	21	21.0	0	21
Jonaz Walton	1	14	14.0	0	14
Ian Premer	1	8	8.0	0	8
Matt Jeffery	1	5	5.0	0	5
Ty Washington	1	3	3.0	0	3
Total	20	222	11.1	2	31

Defense

Player	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD
Luke Talich	10	5	0	0
Jaiden Ausberry	8	6	0	0
Drayk Bowen	7	2	0	0
Adon Shuler	7	2	0	0
Boubacar Traore	6	3	0	1
Jaylen Sneed	6	2	0	0
Jayden Sanders	5	1	0	1
Armel Mukam	4	3	0	0
Rodney Dunham	3	2	1	0
Ethan Long	2	2	0	0
Bryce Young	2	1	0	0
Madden Faraimo	2	1	0	0
Christian Gray	2	0	0	0
Keon Keeley	1	1	0	0
Tionne Gray	1	1	0	0
Elijah Hughes	1	0	0	0
Dallas Golden	1	0	0	0
Sean Sevillano Jr.	1	0	0	0
Joey O’Brien	1	0	0	0
Total	70	32	1	2

Navy Midshipmen

Passing

Player	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	QBR
Jackson Gutierrez	4/7	25	3.6	81.5
Braxton Woodson	1/2	8	4.0	—
Total	5/9	33	3.7	—

Rushing

Player	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jackson Gutierrez	28	110	3.9	1	14
Michael Barrow	11	65	5.9	0	16
Vic Listorti	4	23	5.8	0	8
Jadyn Jones	4	16	4.0	0	7
Team	1	-2	-2.0	0	0
Total	48	212	4.4	1	16

Receiving

Player	REC	YDS	AVG	LONG
Luke Hutchison	1	17	17.0	17
Jackson Gutierrez	1	8	8.0	8
Michael Barrow	2	5	2.5	4
Vic Listorti	1	3	3.0	3
Total	5	33	6.6	17

Defense

Player	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HUR
Giuseppe Sessi	8	4	0	0	1
MarcAnthony Parker	8	3	1	1	0
Aaron Rose	7	3	0	0	0
Nolan McCamy	7	2	0	0	0
Aiden Lyczek	6	4	0	0	0
Cam Robinson	5	4	0	0	0
Coleman Cauley	5	2	0	0	0
Will Miller	4	3	0	0	0
Irabonoise Oniha	3	2	0	0	0
Phillip Hamilton	3	2	0	0	0
Xavyer Arrington	2	1	0	0	0
Kush’i Abraham	1	1	0	0	0
Griffen Willis	1	1	0	0	0
Trent Gillis	1	1	0	0	0
Job Grant	1	0	0	0	0
Matt Reyes	1	0	0	0	0
Connor Young	0	0	0	1	0
Total	63	33	1	2	1

Attendance 61,293

Recap: Carr passes for 2 TDs, James adds pair of rushing scores in No. 5 Notre Dame’s 35-13 win over Navy (ESPN)

Highlights

Nolan Bartley kicks 38-yard field goal (ESPN)
CJ Carr finds Micah Gilbert for an Irish TD (ESPN)
Nolan Bartley makes 26-yard field goal (ESPN)
Navy takes the lead through Jackson Gutierrez’s TD (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

The over has hit in 4 straight Notre Dame games.
The over is 6-2 in Notre Dame’ last 8 games.
The over has hit in 3 straight Navy games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Notre Dame vs Navy on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Notre Dame vs Navy pre-game preview

Notre Dame is a -6500 moneyline favorite, with Navy listed at +30.5 and a total of 56.5 after the opening line of Navy +28.5 and 53.5. The last meeting went to Notre Dame 49-10 at home on Nov. 8, 2025; the Irish are 3-0 in the last three head-to-head meetings, 1-0 ATS, with the O/U at 0-1. Notre Dame is 6-1 and 4-3 ATS this season, 9-1 and 4-4 ATS over its last 10, most recently a 24-28 loss at BYU on Oct. 17. Navy is 2-5 and 2-5 ATS this season, 5-5 and 3-6 ATS over its last 10, after a 39-49 loss to North Texas on Oct. 24. The defensive ranks are the clearest angle: Notre Dame allows 13.4 points (rank 3/136), 234.9 total yards (rank 1/136), 167.6 passing yards (rank 13/136) and 67.3 rushing yards (rank 2/136), while Navy allows 29.1 points (rank 106/136) and 256.3 passing yards (rank 123/136). On the prop side, Jackson Gutierrez over 72.5 passing yards has cleared in 6 of his last 8, and Aneyas Williams over 0.5 anytime touchdown has cleared in 7 of his last 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

CJ Carr QB221.6 pass yds · 2.2 TD per game

Date	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	RUSH
10/17	@ BYU	27/49	261	0	0	13
10/10	vs STAN	14/20	181	3	0	41
10/3	@ UNC	21/29	234	4	0	15
9/26	@ PUR	14/22	237	3	1	10
9/19	vs MSU	18/24	234	0	0	9

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs NAVY
Pass yds	234.1 (7)	244.0 (3)	228.4 (12)	218.0 (1) 218
Pass TD	2.3 (7)	2.3 (3)	2.0 (12)	3.0 (1) 3

Jeremiyah Love RB114.3 rush yds · 3.0 rec per game

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs NAVY
Rush yds	–	–	114.3 (12)	94.0 (1) 94
Rec	–	–	3.0 (9)	1.0 (1) 1

Jordan Faison WR4.2 rec · 56.6 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/17	@ BYU	–	6	64	0
10/10	vs STAN	–	3	16	0
10/3	@ UNC	–	8	132	2
9/26	@ PUR	–	4	66	0
9/19	vs MSU	–	5	38	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs NAVY
Rec	4.9 (7)	6.0 (3)	4.1 (12)	4.0 (1) 4
Rec yds	64.4 (7)	87.3 (3)	53.3 (12)	27.0 (1) 27

Eli Raridon TE3.6 rec · 53.6 yds per game

Splits	Season	Road	2025	vs NAVY
Rec	–	–	3.6 (9)	–
Rec yds	–	–	53.6 (9)	–

Navy Midshipmen

Blake Horvath QB131.7 pass yds · 1.0 TD per game

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs ND
Pass yds	–	–	131.7 (12)	–
Pass TD	–	–	1.0 (12)	–

Alex Tecza RB67.7 rush yds · 1.3 rec per game

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs ND
Rush yds	–	–	69.4 (13)	20.0 (1) 20
Rec	–	–	1.3 (10)	1.0 (1) 1

Merrick Barlow TE3.0 rec · 64.0 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/24	vs UNT	–	3	64	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs ND
Rec	3.0 (1)	3.0 (1)	–	–
Rec yds	64.0 (1)	64.0 (1)	–	–

Jordan Collins TE1.4 rec · 45.6 yds per game

Date	Opp	TGT	REC	YDS	TD
10/24	vs UNT	–	1	23	0
10/18	@ UTSA	–	2	117	2
10/10	vs TLSA	–	1	4	0
9/12	@ FAU	–	2	68	1

Splits	Season	Home	2025	vs ND
Rec	1.5 (4)	1.0 (2)	1.0 (1)	–
Rec yds	53.0 (4)	13.5 (2)	3.0 (1)	–

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Notre Dame	6-1	4-3	5-2	4-0	2-1
Navy	2-5	2-5	5-2	2-1	0-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Notre Dame vs Navy head-to-head

Notre Dame are 3-0, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 3 meetings. Last time: Notre Dame won 49-10 on November 8, 2025.

Date	Venue	Notre Dame result	ATS	O/U
Nov 8, 25	Notre Dame home	W 49-10	–	–
Oct 26, 24	Navy home	W 51-14	–	–
Aug 26, 23	Notre Dame home	W 42-3	W -20	U 50.5

Recent form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: last 10 (9-1, 4-4 ATS, O/U 6-2)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 17, 26	@ BYU	L 24-28	L -10.5	O 47.5
Oct 10, 26	vs STAN	W 58-7	W -40.5	O 55.5
Oct 3, 26	@ UNC	W 37-26	L -21	O 46.5
Sep 26, 26	@ PUR	W 49-10	W -27.5	O 57.5
Sep 19, 26	vs MSU	W 27-10	L -28.5	U 51.5
Sep 12, 26	vs RICE	W 52-0	W -44.5	U 54.5
Sep 6, 26	vs WIS	W 41-13	W -21	O 45.5
Nov 29, 25	@ STAN	W 49-20	L -32.5	O 51.5
Nov 22, 25	vs SYR	W 70-7	–	–
Nov 15, 25	@ PITT	W 37-15	–	–

Navy Midshipmen: last 10 (5-5, 3-6 ATS, O/U 5-4)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Oct 24, 26	vs UNT	L 39-49	L +3	O 60.5
Oct 17, 26	@ UTSA	L 34-38	W +5.5	O 52.5
Oct 10, 26	vs TLSA	W 34-26	W -3	O 47.5
Oct 3, 26	@ AFA	L 9-14	L +2.5	U 45.5
Sep 25, 26	@ UAB	L 20-24	L -6.5	U 50.5
Sep 12, 26	@ FAU	L 30-38	L -4.5	O 59.5
Sep 5, 26	vs TOW	W 42-15	L -31.5	O 50.5
Dec 13, 25	vs ARMY	W 17-16	L -6	U 37.5
Nov 27, 25	@ MEM	W 28-17	W +4	U 57.5
Nov 15, 25	vs USF	W 41-38	–	–

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:20 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Notre Dame defense	Navy defense
Points allowed per game	13.4 (4th of 136)	29.9 (111th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game	150.8 (5th of 136)	252 (120th of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game	85.4 (8th of 136)	121.1 (35th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game	236.1 (1st of 136)	373.1 (82nd of 136)

Venue and weather

Gillette Stadium · Foxborough, MAOutdoor

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Notre Dame vs Navy odds

Line movement from the open

Line	Open	Close	Move
Navy spread	+28.5	+30.5	+2
Total	53.5	54.5	+1
Notre Dame moneyline	-8000	-8000	–
Navy moneyline	+2200	+2200	–

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Navy spread +30.5 → +30.5

Total 56.5 → 54.5

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More on these teams: All College Football prop picks

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	8-1	.889	-
2	DET	6-2	.750	1.5
3	BOS	6-2	.750	1.5
4	ATL	5-4	.556	3
5	TOR	4-4	.500	3.5
6	CLE	4-4	.500	3.5
7	NY	4-4	.500	3.5
8	WSH	4-4	.500	3.5
9	CHA	3-6	.333	5
10	MIA	3-6	.333	5
11	IND	3-6	.333	5
12	ORL	2-6	.250	5.5
13	BKN	2-6	.250	5.5
14	CHI	1-7	.125	6.5
15	MIL	1-7	.125	6.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	POR	6-1	.857	-
2	LAL	7-2	.778	-
3	HOU	7-2	.778	-
4	OKC	6-2	.750	0.5
5	SA	6-2	.750	0.5
6	MEM	6-2	.750	0.5
7	GS	6-3	.667	1
8	MIN	6-3	.667	1
9	DEN	4-3	.571	2
10	NO	4-4	.500	2.5
11	DAL	4-4	.500	2.5
12	PHX	2-5	.286	4
13	LAC	1-7	.125	5.5
14	UTAH	1-7	.125	5.5
15	SAC	1-7	.125	5.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	6-1	.857	W3
2	DEN	6-2	.750	W4
3	JAX	6-2	.750	W2
4	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
5	KC	5-2	.714	L2
6	CIN	5-2	.714	W3
7	NE	5-3	.625	W1
8	CLE	5-3	.625	L1
9	LV	4-4	.500	W1
10	BAL	4-5	.444	L4
11	HOU	2-5	.286	L1
12	NYJ	2-6	.250	L3
13	IND	2-6	.250	L4
14	MIA	1-6	.143	L1
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-7	.000	L7

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	6-1	.857	L1
2	MIN	6-1	.857	L1
3	NYG	4-2-1	.643	W1
4	CAR	3-4	.429	L2
5	CHI	6-2	.750	W3
6	DET	5-2	.714	W3
7	GB	5-3	.625	W1
8	SEA	4-4	.500	L1
9	LAR	4-4	.500	W2
10	TB	3-5	.375	W2
11	ATL	3-5	.375	L1
12	ARI	3-5	.375	W1
13	DAL	3-5	.375	L1
14	WSH	2-4-1	.357	W1
15	NO	2-5	.286	L1
16	PHI	2-6	.250	L6

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	13-3-0	28	W1
2	BOS	12-4-0	25	W3
3	MTL	10-3-0	23	W1
4	TB	10-3-0	22	W2
5	NJ	11-5-0	22	W3
6	OTT	10-6-0	21	W1
7	FLA	9-5-0	20	W1
8	NYR	9-7-0	19	W2
9	TOR	8-7-0	18	L1
10	BUF	7-5-0	17	L1
11	DET	7-7-0	17	L2
12	WSH	8-6-0	16	L2
13	NYI	7-6-0	16	L2
14	CBJ	7-7-0	14	W2
15	PIT	5-9-0	12	L4
16	PHI	4-10-0	12	L2

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	MIN	11-3-0	25	W2
2	EDM	11-3-0	25	L2
3	VGK	11-5-0	24	W2
4	UTA	10-6-0	21	L1
5	DAL	9-5-0	20	L1
6	COL	9-6-0	20	L2
7	SEA	9-5-0	19	W1
8	NSH	7-4-0	19	W3
9	ANA	8-7-0	17	W3
10	STL	7-7-0	16	L2
11	CGY	7-8-0	15	L1
12	WPG	6-8-0	15	W2
13	SJ	7-9-0	15	L3
14	LA	5-7-0	12	W1
15	CHI	4-12-0	9	L5
16	VAN	3-14-0	7	L4

#	Team	Record
1	MIA	8-0
2	UGA	7-1
3	UTAH	8-0
4	ND	7-1
5	UCLA	8-0
6	IU	8-1
7	BYU	7-1
8	UK	7-1
9	ALA	6-2
10	TEX	6-2
11	OSU	6-2
12	MISS	6-2
13	TTU	7-1
14	WAKE	7-1
15	LSU	6-2
16	TENN	6-2
17	HOU	6-2
18	USC	7-2
19	MIZ	6-2
20	BOIS	7-1
21	IOWA	6-2
22	UNM	7-1
23	SC	5-3
24	ARIZ	6-2
25	FLA	5-3

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	ARS	8-0-1	24	+9
2	MCI	7-0-2	21	+10
3	BHA	6-1-2	19	+17
4	CHE	5-1-3	16	+4
5	LIV	4-3-2	15	+2
6	BRE	3-5-1	14	+7
7	EVE	3-4-2	13	0
8	BOU	3-3-3	12	+1
9	TOT	3-3-3	12	0
10	AVL	3-3-3	12	-3
11	Hull City	2-5-2	11	+1
12	LEE	2-5-2	11	+1
13	NEW	3-2-4	11	-3
14	IPS	3-2-4	11	-4
15	FUL	2-3-4	9	-2
16	Coventry	3-0-6	9	-7
17	MUN	1-4-4	7	-5
18	CRY	2-1-6	7	-12
19	NFO	1-3-5	6	-6
20	SUN	1-2-6	5	-10

#	Club	W-D-L	Pts	GD
1	BAR	10-0-1	30	+34
2	ATM	9-1-1	28	+14
3	RMA	9-0-2	27	+18
4	BET	7-2-2	23	+3
5	RSO	6-1-4	19	0
6	SEV	5-2-4	17	-2
7	ATH	4-3-3	15	+4
8	DEP	3-5-3	14	+1
9	VIL	3-3-5	12	0
10	CEL	2-6-3	12	0
11	ALA	3-3-5	12	-2
12	RAY	3-3-4	12	-5
13	GET	3-3-5	12	-8
14	ESY	3-2-6	11	-1
15	OSA	3-2-6	11	-11
16	RAC	3-2-6	11	-14
17	ELC	2-4-5	10	-4
18	LVT	2-4-5	10	-5
19	VAL	2-3-6	9	-9
20	MAL	0-5-6	5	-13

Final score by quarter

How the bets settled

Game review

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

Box score

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Navy Midshipmen

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Highlights

StatsBench picks

Betting trends

Notre Dame vs Navy pre-game preview

Player stats and form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Navy Midshipmen

Records

Notre Dame vs Navy head-to-head

Recent form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: last 10 (9-1, 4-4 ATS, O/U 6-2)

Navy Midshipmen: last 10 (5-5, 3-6 ATS, O/U 5-4)

Injury report

Matchup ranks

Venue and weather

Notre Dame vs Navy odds

Line movement from the open

Line movement chart

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