Browns vs Steelers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 1, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
Cleveland Browns logo

Browns5-2 · 5-2 ATS8th in the AFC
FINAL6 – 27
Pittsburgh Steelers logo

Steelers5-2 · 5-2 ATS3rd in the AFC

NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Browns 0 6 0 0 6
Steelers 7 13 7 0 27

How the bets settled

MoneylineSteelers wonClosed at -192
SpreadSteelers coveredSteelers -3.5, by 17.5
TotalUnder 38.533 scored, 5.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Cleveland Browns fell 6-27 to the Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game swinging in the second quarter when Pittsburgh turned a 7-0 first-quarter lead into a 20-6 halftime advantage and added another touchdown in the third.

Jaylen Warren powered Pittsburgh with 143 rushing yards and a touchdown, Aaron Rodgers threw for 172 yards, and T.J. Watt recorded two sacks. Deshaun Watson threw for 324 yards and Harold Fannin Jr. caught 10 passes for 154, but Cleveland rushed for only 34 yards. Pittsburgh’s 200 rushing yards and 14 rushing first downs to Cleveland’s one, plus Cleveland’s 0-for-3 red-zone line and two lost fumbles, explain the gap.

For bettors, Pittsburgh covered the closing 3.5-point spread by 17.5, and the game finished under the 38.5 total by 5.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

SteelersBrowns
The score margin against the closing spread (Steelers -3.5). Blue: Steelers covering. Orange: Browns covering.
+3.5Largest CLE cover
12%CLE covering
+17.5Largest PIT cover
88%PIT covering

Win probability

SteelersBrowns
Blue: Steelers favored. Orange: Browns favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Browns

  • Passing YardsDeshaun Watson27/39, 324 YDS
  • Rushing YardsQuinshon Judkins11 CAR, 25 YDS
  • Receiving YardsHarold Fannin Jr.10 REC, 154 YDS
  • SacksAdin Huntington1
  • TacklesCarson Schwesinger10

Steelers

  • Passing YardsAaron Rodgers13/25, 172 YDS, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsJaylen Warren17 CAR, 143 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsDarnell Washington3 REC, 94 YDS
  • SacksT.J. Watt2
  • TacklesPatrick Queen12

Team stats

BrownsSteelers
319Total yards361
285Passing yards161
34Rushing yards200
5.0Yards per play6.1
17First downs21
4-13Third downs4-11
0-3Red zone3-5
2Turnovers1
9-85Penalties5-47
30:15Possession29:45

Box score

Cleveland BrownsPittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Deshaun Watson 27/39 324 8.3 0 0 8-41 29.1 94.4
Shedeur Sanders 2/2 2 1.0 0 0 0-0 9.2 79.2
Total 29/41 285 8.0 0 0 8-41 — 94.2

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Quinshon Judkins 11 25 2.3 0 7
Dylan Sampson 1 7 7.0 0 7
Deshaun Watson 3 2 0.7 0 3
Total 15 34 2.3 0 7

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Harold Fannin Jr. 10 154 15.4 0 37 12
Dylan Sampson 6 62 10.3 0 14 8
KC Concepcion 3 37 12.3 0 24 4
Denzel Boston 6 37 6.2 0 12 11
Quinshon Judkins 2 24 12.0 0 12 2
Blake Whiteheart 1 9 9.0 0 9 1
Tylan Wallace 1 3 3.0 0 3 1
Jerry Jeudy 0 0 0.0 0 0 1
Total 29 326 11.2 0 37 40

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Carson Schwesinger 10 4 0 0 0 0 0
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren 9 2 0 0 0 0 0
Ronnie Hickman 7 3 0 0 0 0 0
Quincy Williams 5 2 0 1 1 0 0
Tyson Campbell 5 1 0 0 1 0 0
Maliek Collins 4 2 0 1 0 0 0
Grant Delpit 4 2 0 1 0 0 0
Mike Hall Jr. 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Mason Graham 3 3 0 3 0 0 0
Myles Harden 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Sam Williams 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Adin Huntington 2 1 1 1 0 1 0
Denzel Ward 2 1 0 0 2 0 0
Isaiah McGuire 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Donovan McMillon 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Rex Sunahara 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Daniel Thomas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Winston Reid 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mekhi Blackmon 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jared Verse 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
Total 70 27 1 7 4 2 0

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Aaron Rodgers 13/25 172 6.9 0 1 1-11 39.9 57.4
Total 13/25 161 6.9 0 1 1-11 — 57.4

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Jaylen Warren 17 143 8.4 1 51
Rico Dowdle 15 56 3.7 1 15
Pat Freiermuth 1 1 1.0 1 1
Total 33 200 6.1 3 51

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Darnell Washington 3 94 31.3 0 58 5
Pat Freiermuth 2 35 17.5 0 28 2
Germie Bernard 5 30 6.0 0 15 5
Brandon Johnson 1 9 9.0 0 9 1
DK Metcalf 1 4 4.0 0 4 6
Jaylen Warren 1 0 0.0 0 0 2
Riley Nowakowski 0 0 0.0 0 0 1
Total 13 172 13.2 0 58 22

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Patrick Queen 12 3 1.5 1 1 2 0
Robert Spears-Jennings 8 4 0 0 0 0 0
Payton Wilson 8 3 0 1 0 0 0
Jaquan Brisker 7 4 0 0 0 0 0
Cameron Heyward 6 3 1.5 2 1 1 0
Jamel Dean 5 3 0 0 0 0 0
Alex Highsmith 5 1 0.5 0 0 3 0
Jalen Ramsey 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
Jack Sawyer 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Keeanu Benton 3 0 0.5 0 1 1 0
T.J. Watt 2 2 2 2 1 3 0
Nick Herbig 2 2 1 1 0 1 0
Carson Bruener 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Daylen Everette 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kevin Jobity Jr. 1 1 1 0 0 1 0
Christian Kuntz 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
DeShon Elliott 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
DK Metcalf 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Terell Smith 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Asante Samuel Jr. 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Yahya Black 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
Gabriel Rubio 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Riley Nowakowski 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 78 34 8 7 5 13 0

Attendance 66,986 · Officials: Rusty Baynes, Sean Petty, Scott Helverson, Jim Quirk, Alex Kemp, Mike Carr, Brandon Ellison

Recap: Steelers bulldoze Browns 27-6 to take AFC North lead, extend home streak over rivals to 23 straight (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Browns are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Steelers have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
  • Steelers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Browns vs Steelers pre-game preview

Cleveland visits Pittsburgh with the market favoring the Steelers at -190 on the moneyline and -3.5 on the spread, while the total sits at 39.5. The opening DraftKings line was Pittsburgh -5.5 with the same total, so the spread has moved toward Cleveland.

The last meeting on Oct. 1, 2026 went to Cleveland 27-24 at home; over the last seven head-to-head meetings Cleveland is 4-3 straight up and 2-0 ATS. Both teams are 5-2 straight up and ATS this season. Cleveland is 7-3 in its last 10 with an 8-2 ATS mark and most recently won 27-24 at Tennessee. Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last 10 and 7-3 ATS, most recently winning 16-10 at New Orleans.

Defensively, Pittsburgh allows 19.7 points (rank 5) and 91 rushing yards (rank 7) per game, while Cleveland allows 220.7 passing yards (rank 8). Pittsburgh’s injury report includes multiple IR placements, among them Michael Pittman Jr., Derrick Harmon and Gennings Dunker, plus Donte Kent out. On props, Andre Szmyt’s over 5.5 kicking points has cleared in 9 of his last 10 and in all three games against this opponent.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson QB211.7 pass yds · 1.0 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/25 @ TEN 25/36 308 0 1 19
10/18 vs BAL 16/26 164 0 0 29
10/11 @ NYJ 15/33 155 1 0 40
10/2 vs PIT 24/33 268 1 1 22
9/27 vs CAR 16/30 144 2 0 45
Splits Season Road 2025 vs PIT
Pass yds 211.7 (7) 226.5 (4) – 268.0 (1)
268
Pass TD 1.0 (7) 1.0 (4) – 1.0 (1)
1

Quinshon Judkins RB53.3 rush yds · 2.3 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 @ TEN 17 96 2 1 8
10/11 @ NYJ 14 44 0 3 6
10/2 vs PIT 17 53 1 6 43
9/27 vs CAR 18 70 0 2 9
9/20 @ TB 12 21 0 5 27
Splits Season Road 2025 vs PIT
Rush yds 52.8 (6) 48.5 (4) 59.1 (14) 44.5 (2)
53 · 36
Rec 3.2 (6) 2.8 (4) 1.9 (14) 3.0 (2)
6 · 0

Denzel Boston WR2.9 rec · 53.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 @ TEN 8 3 27 0
10/18 vs BAL 5 1 15 0
10/11 @ NYJ 7 3 46 1
10/2 vs PIT 7 4 89 0
9/27 vs CAR 4 2 41 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs PIT
Rec 2.9 (7) 3.3 (4) – 4.0 (1)
4
Rec yds 53.1 (7) 56.8 (4) – 89.0 (1)
89

KC Concepcion WR4.3 rec · 45.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 @ TEN 10 8 129 0
10/18 vs BAL 6 4 37 0
10/11 @ NYJ 1 1 5 0
10/2 vs PIT 8 5 64 0
9/27 vs CAR 9 2 9 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs PIT
Rec 4.3 (7) 4.8 (4) – 5.0 (1)
5
Rec yds 45.0 (7) 51.3 (4) – 64.0 (1)
64

Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron Rodgers QB220.3 pass yds · 1.3 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/25 @ NO 19/30 212 1 0 6
10/18 @ TB 33/49 253 2 1 -1
10/11 vs IND 22/31 235 3 0 6
10/2 @ CLE 22/40 299 3 2 0
9/27 vs CIN 19/34 292 3 1 10
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CLE
Pass yds 242.7 (7) 249.3 (3) 204.0 (17) 234.0 (3)
299 · 168 · 235
Pass TD 1.9 (7) 2.3 (3) 1.4 (17) 1.7 (3)
3 · 0 · 2

Jaylen Warren RB69.9 rush yds · 2.7 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/25 @ NO 18 101 0 3 36
10/18 @ TB 14 50 0 2 28
10/11 vs IND 15 101 1 6 87
10/2 @ CLE 17 93 0 3 33
9/27 vs CIN 17 127 0 3 49
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CLE
Rush yds 80.1 (7) 91.3 (3) 58.9 (17) 69.7 (3)
93 · 64 · 52
Rec 3.4 (7) 4.7 (3) 2.4 (17) 1.7 (3)
3 · 0 · 2

DK Metcalf WR4.2 rec · 51.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/25 @ NO 6 2 56 0
10/18 @ TB 15 11 93 0
10/11 vs IND 4 3 12 0
10/2 @ CLE 9 5 115 0
9/27 vs CIN 5 3 31 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CLE
Rec 4.6 (7) 3.3 (3) 3.8 (16) 4.5 (2)
5 · 4
Rec yds 53.4 (7) 27.7 (3) 55.8 (16) 105.0 (2)
115 · 95

Michael Pittman Jr. WR4.0 rec · 39.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/2 @ CLE 4 2 15 0
9/27 vs CIN 5 2 16 0
9/13 vs ATL 3 3 58 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs CLE
Rec 2.3 (3) 2.5 (2) 4.7 (17) 2.0 (1)
2
Rec yds 29.7 (3) 37.0 (2) 46.1 (17) 15.0 (1)
15

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Browns 5-2 5-2 4-3 3-0 2-2
Steelers 5-2 5-2 4-3 3-0 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Browns vs Steelers head-to-head

Browns are 4-3, 2-0 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Browns won 27-24 on October 1, 2026.

Date Venue Browns result ATS O/U
Oct 1, 26 Browns home W 27-24 W +2.5 O 38.5
Dec 28, 25 Browns home W 13-6 W +3.5 U 34.5
Oct 12, 25 Steelers home L 9-23 – –
Dec 8, 24 Steelers home L 14-27 – –
Nov 21, 24 Browns home W 24-19 – –
Nov 19, 23 Browns home W 13-10 – –
Sep 18, 23 Steelers home L 22-26 – –

Recent form

Cleveland Browns: last 10 (7-3, 8-2 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 @ TEN W 27-24 W -2.5 O 37.5
Oct 18, 26 vs BAL W 13-10 W +3 U 40.5
Oct 11, 26 @ NYJ L 12-17 L +2.5 U 38.5
Oct 1, 26 vs PIT W 27-24 W +2.5 O 38.5
Sep 27, 26 vs CAR W 21-18 W +2.5 U 41.5
Sep 20, 26 @ TB W 23-19 W +8.5 O 41.5
Sep 13, 26 @ JAX L 10-34 L +8.5 O 40.5
Jan 4, 26 @ CIN W 20-18 W +8.5 U 47.5
Dec 28, 25 vs PIT W 13-6 W +3.5 U 34.5
Dec 21, 25 vs BUF L 20-23 W +10.5 O 41.5

Pittsburgh Steelers: last 10 (7-3, 7-3 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 @ NO W 16-10 W -3 U 42.5
Oct 18, 26 @ TB W 26-19 W -2.5 O 37.5
Oct 11, 26 vs IND W 34-22 W -3 O 42.5
Oct 1, 26 @ CLE L 24-27 L -2.5 O 38.5
Sep 27, 26 vs CIN W 30-27 W +3.5 O 42.5
Sep 20, 26 @ NE L 3-20 L +4.5 U 41.5
Sep 13, 26 vs ATL W 20-13 W -6.5 U 40.5
Jan 4, 26 vs BAL W 26-24 W +4.5 O 41.5
Dec 28, 25 @ CLE L 6-13 L -3.5 U 34.5
Dec 21, 25 @ DET W 29-24 W +7.5 O 52.5

Injury report

Cleveland Browns

  • Damarri Mathis (CB): IR, ir
  • Elijah Chatman (DT): IR, The Browns reverted Chatman
  • Kalia Davis (DT): IR, Davis
  • Alex Wright (DE): IR, The Browns placed Wright on injured reserve Sunday due to a ruptured Achilles, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports
  • Raheim Sanders (RB): IR, The Browns placed Sanders
  • Myles Harden (CB): Questionable, Harden
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (LB): PUP-R, out
  • Joe Royer (TE): Out
  • Edefuan Ulofoshio (LB): IR, Ulofoshio
  • Teven Jenkins (G): IR, The Browns placed Jenkins
  • Daniel Thomas (S): Questionable, Thomas

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Daequan Hardy (CB): IR, Hardy
  • Cole Burgess (WR): IR, ir
  • Donte Kent (CB): Out
  • Logan Lee (DT): IR, ir
  • Jack Driscoll (OT): IR-R, The Steelers placed Driscoll
  • Michael Pittman Jr. (WR): IR, The Steelers placed Pittman
  • Derrick Harmon (DT): IR, The Steelers placed Harmon
  • Ben Skowronek (WR): Questionable, Skowronek
  • Roman Wilson (WR): IR, Wilson
  • Brandin Echols (CB): Out, Echols
  • Doneiko Slaughter (CB): Out, Slaughter
  • Gennings Dunker (G): IR, The Steelers placed Dunker
  • Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT): IR, Joseph-Day

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Browns defense Steelers defense
Points allowed per game 21.6 (13th of 32) 18 (3rd of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 214.6 (7th of 32) 242 (19th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 126.9 (24th of 32) 83.9 (3rd of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 19.5 (8th of 32) 22.9 (24th of 32)

Venue and weather

Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PAOutdoor
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Browns vs Steelers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Steelers spread -5.5 -3.5 +2
Total 39.5 38.5 -1
Browns moneyline +200 +160 +5.1% win chance
Steelers moneyline -245 -192 -5.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Steelers spread -3.5 → -3.5
Total 39.5 → 38.5
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More on these teams: Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans Oct 25 · Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints Oct 25 · All NFL prop picks

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