Final score by quarter
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
How the bets settled
Closing line, DraftKings.
Game review
Tampa Bay beat Atlanta 16-0, with the game decided by a third-quarter touchdown after the Buccaneers carried a 9-0 lead into halftime. Bucky Irving did the heavy lifting with 27 carries for 170 yards and a touchdown, and Antoine Winfield Jr. added seven tackles for a Tampa defense that kept Atlanta out of the end zone.
The team stats explain the shutout. Tampa ran for 324 yards and 15 rushing first downs while holding the ball for 35:16, and Atlanta threw four interceptions and went 0-for-12 on third down. Michael Penix Jr. finished 8/24 for 125 yards with those four picks, while Kendal Daniels made 13 tackles for the Falcons.
For bettors, Tampa covered the 2.5-point spread by 13.5, and the game stayed under 43.5 by 27.5.
Against the spread, start to finish
Win probability
Top performers
Falcons
Passing YardsMichael Penix Jr.8/24, 125 YDS, 4 INT
Rushing YardsBijan Robinson19 CAR, 76 YDS
Receiving YardsJahan Dotson2 REC, 95 YDS
SacksHarold Perkins Jr.1
TacklesKendal Daniels13
Buccaneers
Passing YardsBaker Mayfield0/3, 0 YDS
Rushing YardsBucky Irving27 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
TacklesAntoine Winfield Jr.7
Team stats
Box score
Atlanta Falcons
Passing
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/24 | 125 | 5.2 | 0 | 4 | 0-0 | 8.2 | 12.0 | |
| Total | 8/24 | 125 | 5.2 | 0 | 4 | 0-0 | — | 12.0 |
Rushing
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76 | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 5 | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 28 | 99 | 3.5 | 0 | 26 |
Receiving
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | TGTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 95 | 47.5 | 0 | 76 | 5 | |
| 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Total | 8 | 125 | 15.6 | 0 | 76 | 23 |
Defense
| Player | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 82 | 41 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 2.7 | 39.6 | |
| Total | 0/3 | -2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | — | 39.6 |
Rushing
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 170 | 6.3 | 1 | 46 | |
| 25 | 140 | 5.6 | 0 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 56 | 324 | 5.8 | 1 | 46 |
Receiving
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | TGTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Total | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Defense
| Player | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 53 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Attendance 61,036 · Officials: Greg Bradley, Paul King, Dale Shaw, Alan Eck, David Oliver, Grantis Bell, Frederick Dimpfel VI
Recap: Buccaneers beat Falcons 16-0 despite failing to complete a single pass in wet, sloppy conditions (ESPN)
Highlights
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Betting trends
- Buccaneers are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10.
- Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS as favorites in their last 10 games.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Falcons vs Buccaneers pre-game preview
The betting market has Tampa Bay as a -130 moneyline favorite and -2.5 on the spread with a 43.5 total, down from an opening DraftKings line of TB -4.5 and 46.5. Atlanta is +118 on the moneyline.
The last meeting went to Atlanta, 29-28 on the road on December 11, 2025. Atlanta is 3-4 straight up and 3-4 ATS this season, and 6-4 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, most recently beating San Francisco 29-20. Tampa Bay is 2-5 straight up and 2-5 ATS, and 3-7 and 2-8 ATS over its last 10, most recently winning 43-13 at Carolina. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Atlanta is 4-2.
The defensive split is the main angle: Atlanta allows 271.4 passing yards per game (rank 29) but only 88.9 rushing yards (rank 4), while Tampa Bay allows 233.7 passing (rank 14) and 77.3 rushing (rank 2). Tampa Bay also lists Emeka Egbuka as out and Jalen McMillan and Mohamed Kamara on IR. Among props, Baker Mayfield over 0.5 interceptions is -108 and has cleared in 7 of his last 10.
Player stats and form
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Atlanta Falcons
| Date | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | RUSH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | vs SF | 25/34 | 213 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
| 10/18 | vs CHI | 19/33 | 225 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10/12 | vs BAL | 19/32 | 240 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10/6 | @ NO | 15/20 | 223 | 1 | 0 | -2 |
| 9/25 | @ GB | 18/25 | 256 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds | 231.4 (5) | 239.5 (2) | 220.2 (9) | 298.0 (1) 298 |
| Pass TD | 1.8 (5) | 1.0 (2) | 1.0 (9) | 1.0 (1) 1 |
| Date | Opp | ATT | YDS | TD | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | vs SF | 20 | 63 | 0 | 5 | 59 |
| 10/18 | vs CHI | 9 | 61 | 0 | 2 | -8 |
| 10/12 | vs BAL | 17 | 86 | 0 | 4 | 32 |
| 10/6 | @ NO | 19 | 145 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 9/25 | @ GB | 29 | 194 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush yds | 100.6 (7) | 140.7 (3) | 86.9 (17) | 58.5 (2) 93 · 24 |
| Rec | 3.6 (7) | 3.7 (3) | 4.6 (17) | 7.0 (2) 8 · 6 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | vs SF | 10 | 7 | 66 | 1 |
| 10/18 | vs CHI | 10 | 4 | 62 | 0 |
| 10/12 | vs BAL | 11 | 7 | 118 | 0 |
| 10/6 | @ NO | 6 | 5 | 96 | 0 |
| 9/25 | @ GB | 10 | 9 | 194 | 0 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 5.4 (7) | 5.3 (3) | 5.7 (12) | 8.0 (1) 8 |
| Rec yds | 88.0 (7) | 106.3 (3) | 76.6 (12) | 55.0 (1) 55 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | vs SF | 5 | 5 | 22 | 1 |
| 10/18 | vs CHI | 7 | 5 | 60 | 2 |
| 10/12 | vs BAL | 6 | 5 | 42 | 1 |
| 10/6 | @ NO | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 |
| 9/25 | @ GB | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 2.9 (7) | 1.3 (3) | 5.2 (17) | 9.0 (2) 11 · 7 |
| Rec yds | 27.3 (7) | 17.3 (3) | 54.6 (17) | 112.5 (2) 166 · 59 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Date | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | RUSH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ CAR | 7/11 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9/27 | vs MIN | 17/34 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9/20 | vs CLE | 21/34 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 29 |
| 9/13 | @ CIN | 23/28 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs ATL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds | 169.8 (4) | 199.5 (2) | 217.2 (17) | 222.0 (2) 277 · 167 |
| Pass TD | 0.8 (4) | 1.0 (2) | 1.5 (17) | 2.5 (2) 2 · 3 |
| Date | Opp | ATT | YDS | TD | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ CAR | 24 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10/18 | vs PIT | 19 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10/9 | @ DAL | 21 | 165 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 10/4 | vs GB | 16 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | vs MIN | 15 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs ATL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush yds | 79.7 (7) | 60.5 (4) | 58.8 (10) | 48.5 (2) 60 · 37 |
| Rec | 2.6 (7) | 2.0 (4) | 3.0 (10) | 2.5 (2) 1 · 4 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/18 | vs PIT | 16 | 7 | 48 | 1 |
| 10/9 | @ DAL | 9 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 10/4 | vs GB | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 9/27 | vs MIN | 9 | 5 | 62 | 0 |
| 9/20 | vs CLE | 5 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs ATL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 4.7 (6) | 4.3 (4) | 3.7 (17) | 4.0 (2) 4 · 4 |
| Rec yds | 40.0 (6) | 34.8 (4) | 55.2 (17) | 65.5 (2) 64 · 67 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ CAR | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
| 10/18 | vs PIT | 8 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
| 10/9 | @ DAL | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 |
| 10/4 | vs GB | 7 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 9/27 | vs MIN | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs ATL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 3.9 (7) | 4.0 (4) | 3.7 (9) | 4.0 (1) 4 |
| Rec yds | 34.7 (7) | 34.8 (4) | 40.0 (9) | 20.0 (1) 20 |
Records
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 1-3 | 2-1 | |
| 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-3 | 0-4 | 2-1 |
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Falcons vs Buccaneers head-to-head
Falcons are 4-2, 1-0 ATS, O/U 1-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Falcons won 29-28 on December 11, 2025.
| Date | Venue | Falcons result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 25 | Buccaneers home | W 29-28 | W +6 | O 43.5 |
| Sep 7, 25 | Falcons home | L 20-23 | – | – |
| Oct 27, 24 | Buccaneers home | W 31-26 | – | – |
| Oct 3, 24 | Falcons home | W 36-30 | – | – |
| Dec 10, 23 | Falcons home | L 25-29 | – | – |
| Oct 22, 23 | Buccaneers home | W 16-13 | – | – |
Recent form
Atlanta Falcons: last 10 (6-4, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 26 | vs SF | W 29-20 | W +2.5 | U 49.5 |
| Oct 18, 26 | vs CHI | L 23-31 | L +1.5 | O 50.5 |
| Oct 11, 26 | vs BAL | L 23-30 | L -3 | O 44.5 |
| Oct 5, 26 | @ NO | W 45-24 | W +1.5 | O 48.5 |
| Sep 24, 26 | @ GB | W 35-14 | W +4.5 | O 43.5 |
| Sep 20, 26 | vs CAR | L 3-34 | L +2.5 | U 43.5 |
| Sep 13, 26 | @ PIT | L 13-20 | L +6.5 | U 40.5 |
| Jan 4, 26 | vs NO | W 19-17 | L -3.5 | U 43.5 |
| Dec 29, 25 | vs LAR | W 27-24 | W +7.5 | O 48.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | @ ARI | W 26-19 | W -2.5 | U 48.5 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 10 (3-7, 2-8 ATS, O/U 4-6)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 26 | @ CAR | W 43-13 | W +3 | O 44.5 |
| Oct 18, 26 | vs PIT | L 19-26 | L +2.5 | O 37.5 |
| Oct 8, 26 | @ DAL | W 24-16 | W +8.5 | U 49.5 |
| Oct 4, 26 | vs GB | L 14-17 | L +2.5 | U 38.5 |
| Sep 27, 26 | vs MIN | L 16-23 | L -1.5 | U 42.5 |
| Sep 20, 26 | vs CLE | L 19-23 | L -8.5 | O 41.5 |
| Sep 13, 26 | @ CIN | L 27-33 | L +3.5 | O 50.5 |
| Jan 3, 26 | vs CAR | W 16-14 | L -3 | U 42.5 |
| Dec 28, 25 | @ MIA | L 17-20 | L -5.5 | U 44.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | @ CAR | L 20-23 | L -3 | U 44.5 |
Injury report
Atlanta Falcons
- Storm Norton (OT): PUP-R, out
- DeAngelo Malone (LB): PUP-R, The Falcons placed Malone
- Anterio Thompson (DT): Out
- James Pearce Jr. (LB): Reserve-Sus, reserve-sus
- JD Bertrand (LB): IR, The Falcons placed Bertrand
- Cameron Williams (OL): IR-R, Williams
- Da’Shawn Hand (DT): IR, The Falcons placed Hand
- Yasir Abdullah (LB): IR, The Falcons placed Abdullah
- Michael Jerrell (OT): IR, The Falcons placed Jerrell
- Olamide Zaccheaus (WR): Questionable, Zaccheaus
- Samson Ebukam (DE): Questionable, questionable
- Charles Snowden (LB): Questionable, questionable
- Beaux Collins (WR): IR-R, Collins
- Trey Sermon (RB): IR, ir
- Divine Deablo (LB): Out, Deablo
- Billy Bowman Jr. (CB): Out, Bowman
- Brian Robinson Jr. (RB): Out, Robinson
- Avieon Terrell (CB): Questionable, questionable
- Jalon Walker (LB): IR, ir
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Jalen McMillan (WR): IR, The Buccaneers placed McMillan
- Josh Hayes (CB): IR-R, Hayes suffered a small setback in his recovery from a knee injury, Greg Auman of Fox Sports reports
- Mohamed Kamara (LB): IR, Kamara
- Emeka Egbuka (WR): Out, Egbuka
- Luke Goedeke (OT): Questionable, Goedeke
- Kenny Gainwell (RB): Questionable, Gainwell
- Graham Barton (C): Questionable, Barton is battling through an illness but is expected to be active for Sunday’s game against the Falcons, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers’ official site reports
- Christian Rozeboom (LB): IR, Rozeboom
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
| Falcons defense | Buccaneers defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per game | 24.7 (18th of 32) | 21.6 (12th of 32) |
| Passing yards allowed per game | 271.4 (30th of 32) | 233.7 (14th of 32) |
| Rushing yards allowed per game | 88.9 (5th of 32) | 77.3 (1st of 32) |
| Receptions allowed per game | 26.6 (31st of 32) | 22.9 (23rd of 32) |
Venue and weather
Falcons vs Buccaneers odds
Line movement from the open
| Line | Open | Close | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers spread | -4.5 | -2.5 | +2 |
| Total | 46.5 | 43.5 | -3 |
| Falcons moneyline | +185 | +110 | +12.5% win chance |
| Buccaneers moneyline | -225 | -130 | -12.7% win chance |
DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Oct 25 · San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons Oct 25 · All NFL prop picks
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