Bruins vs Penguins Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 5, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Boston Bruins logo

Bruins11-5 · 12-4 ATS2nd in the East
FINAL6 – 2
Pittsburgh Penguins logo

Penguins5-10 · 8-7 ATS15th in the East

NHL · Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · PPG Paints Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Bruins 3 2 1 6
Penguins 1 1 0 2

How the bets settled

MoneylineBruins wonClosed at +102
SpreadBruins coveredBruins -1.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 6.58 scored, 1.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Boston beat Pittsburgh 6-2 in NHL play on November 5, and the game swung early as the Bruins carried a two-goal lead out of the first period and stretched it in the second before Pittsburgh went scoreless in the third.

Pavel Zacha led Boston with two goals and two points, while JJ Peterka added two assists. Pittsburgh got a goal from Nick Robertson and two assists and two points from Kaedan Korczak. Boston’s team stats explain the control, with a 62 percent faceoff edge and a 22-7 blocked-shots advantage backing up more hits and takeaways.

For bettors, the Bruins covered the Penguins’ 1.5-goal closing spread by 2.5, and the 6.5 closing total went over by 1.5.

How the props finished

8 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Nick Robertson Over 1.5 shots on goal +106 Caesars 2 Cleared
Elias Lindholm Over 0.5 points +100 ESPN BET 1 Cleared
James Hagens Over 1.5 shots on goal -133 BetMGM 4 Cleared
Pavel Zacha Over 0.5 points -133 Kalshi 2 Cleared
Erik Karlsson Over 0.5 points -150 ESPN BET 0 Missed
Nikita Zadorov Over 1.5 hits -176 Stake 4 Cleared
Casey Mittelstadt Over 0.5 points +140 DraftKings 0 Missed
Morgan Geekie Over 0.5 points -113 Kalshi 2 Cleared
David Pastrnak Over 0.5 assists -115 Hard Rock 2 Cleared
Hampus Lindholm Over 1.5 blocks -120 Fliff 3 Cleared
Arturs Silovs Over 22.5 saves -122 Kalshi 18 Missed
Evgeni Malkin Over 1.5 shots on goal -145 DraftKings 1 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

PenguinsBruins
The score margin against the closing spread (Penguins +1.5). Blue: Penguins covering. Orange: Bruins covering.
+2.5Largest BOS cover
58%BOS covering
+2.5Largest PIT cover
42%PIT covering

Top performers

Bruins

  • GoalsPavel Zacha2
  • AssistsJJ Peterka2
  • PointsPavel Zacha2

Penguins

  • GoalsNick Robertson1
  • AssistsKaedan Korczak2
  • PointsKaedan Korczak2

Team stats

BruinsPenguins
24Shots18
62.0%Faceoffs won38.0%
0Power play goals0
24Hits18
22Blocked shots7
5Takeaways3
16Giveaways19
2Penalty minutes2

Box score

Boston BruinsPittsburgh Penguins

Boston Bruins

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Morgan Geekie C 1 1 0 2 2 13:44 17 0 1 0 3 0 0.0
James Hagens C 0 0 0 4 0 11:57 15 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Tanner Jeannot LW 0 1 0 1 2 13:16 19 4 0 1 2 0 0.0
Mark Kastelic C 1 0 0 1 1 13:11 18 2 2 1 0 0 71.4
Marat Khusnutdinov C 0 0 0 1 0 14:00 17 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Sean Kuraly C 0 0 0 2 2 14:47 18 2 0 0 0 0 60.0
Elias Lindholm C 1 0 0 3 -1 14:40 20 0 1 0 1 0 66.7
Fraser Minten C 1 0 0 1 1 13:54 18 2 1 0 1 0 66.7
Casey Mittelstadt C 0 0 0 0 0 12:53 17 0 0 0 1 0 100.0
David Pastrnak RW 0 2 0 4 1 20:23 21 1 0 2 2 0 100.0
JJ Peterka RW 0 2 0 1 2 18:25 22 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Pavel Zacha C 2 0 0 2 2 18:37 20 1 1 0 1 2 46.7

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Will Borgen D 0 0 0 0 0 21:02 27 3 4 0 2 0 0.0
Frederic Brunet D 0 1 0 0 1 16:21 20 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Hampus Lindholm D 0 1 0 1 4 20:13 22 2 3 1 0 0 0.0
Mason Lohrei D 0 0 0 0 0 19:10 23 1 2 0 0 0 0.0
Charlie McAvoy D 0 0 0 1 3 20:02 24 0 2 0 0 0 0.0
Nikita Zadorov D 0 0 0 0 0 21:25 26 4 2 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Michael DiPietro G 2 18 0 0 16 .889 16 0 0 60:00 0 0

Pittsburgh Penguins

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Justin Brazeau RW 1 0 0 4 -2 11:49 17 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Egor Chinakhov RW 0 0 0 1 -1 15:42 19 0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Sidney Crosby C 0 0 0 0 -1 17:15 23 2 0 0 2 0 40.0
Connor Dewar C 0 0 0 1 1 16:14 21 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Ben Kindel C 0 0 0 0 -3 18:07 19 1 0 0 1 0 25.0
Ville Koivunen RW 0 0 0 0 -1 8:57 13 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Hendrix Lapierre C 0 1 0 0 -1 12:21 17 5 0 0 2 0 50.0
Blake Lizotte C 0 1 0 0 1 13:29 20 1 0 0 0 0 45.5
Evgeni Malkin C 0 0 0 1 -1 16:11 20 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Tommy Novak C 0 0 0 0 -2 17:06 23 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Rickard Rakell RW 0 0 0 3 -3 17:15 23 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Nick Robertson LW 1 0 0 2 1 14:57 21 2 0 0 1 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Declan Carlile D 0 0 0 1 0 17:14 20 0 2 1 0 0 0.0
Samuel Girard D 0 0 0 3 -2 20:08 27 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Erik Karlsson D 0 0 0 0 -4 21:05 28 0 0 0 2 0 0.0
Kaedan Korczak D 0 2 0 0 1 19:28 23 1 2 1 1 0 0.0
Kris Letang D 0 0 0 0 -2 20:27 23 3 0 0 4 2 0.0
Spencer Stastney D 0 0 0 2 -1 20:15 24 1 0 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Arturs Silovs G 6 24 0 0 18 .750 16 2 0 60:00 0 0

Attendance 17,316 · Officials: Francis Charron, Justin Kea, CJ Murray, Shawn Oliver

Recap: Zacha scores twice to lead the Bruins to a 6-2 victory over the struggling Penguins (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Bruins are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 3-7 in Bruins’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Bruins vs Penguins on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Bruins vs Penguins pre-game preview

The market prices Pittsburgh as a slight moneyline favorite at -109, and the total is 6.5.

Boston enters 11-5 and 12-4 ATS this season, 7-3 and 8-2 ATS over its last 10, after a 3-2 win over Vegas on November 2. Pittsburgh is 5-10 and 8-7 ATS, 3-7 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, after a 2-3 loss to Vegas on November 3. The last meeting, March 8, 2026, was a 4-5 Boston loss on the road; over the last nine meetings Boston is 6-3, 3-2 ATS, with O/U 4-2.

The defensive profile favors Boston: it allows 2.38 goals per game (rank 4) and 6.38 points allowed (rank 3), while Pittsburgh allows 3.4 goals (rank 23) and 9.07 points (rank 22). On the prop side, Zacha over 0.5 points is -180 and has cleared in 7 of last 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 0.7 points.

The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Bruins 11-5 12-4 6-10 7-1 4-4
Penguins 5-10 8-7 9-6 4-3 1-7

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Bruins vs Penguins head-to-head

Bruins are 6-3, 3-2 ATS, O/U 4-2 in the last 9 meetings. Last time: Bruins lost 4-5 on March 8, 2026.

Date Venue Bruins result ATS O/U
Mar 8, 26 Penguins home L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Mar 3, 26 Bruins home W 2-1 L -1.5 U 6.5
Jan 11, 26 Bruins home W 1-0 W +1.5 U 6.5
Apr 13, 25 Penguins home W 4-1 – –
Mar 1, 25 Penguins home W 3-2 – –
Nov 29, 24 Bruins home L 1-2 – –
Apr 13, 24 Penguins home W 6-4 W -1.5 O 8.5
Mar 9, 24 Bruins home W 5-1 – O 5.5
Jan 4, 24 Bruins home L 5-6 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Boston Bruins: last 10 (7-3, 8-2 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 2, 26 vs VGK W 3-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 vs CHI W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ STL L 1-4 L +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 27, 26 @ CAR L 1-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs SJ W 6-4 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs NSH W 6-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ DAL L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ LA W 4-1 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 16, 26 @ ANA W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ SJ W 6-3 W -1.5 O 6.5

Pittsburgh Penguins: last 10 (3-7, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 3, 26 vs VGK L 2-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ MTL L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 29, 26 vs UTA L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs NSH W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs FLA W 4-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 19, 26 @ UTA L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ VGK L 2-6 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 16, 26 @ COL L 2-5 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ CHI L 3-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 10, 26 vs DAL W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:42 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Bruins defense Penguins defense
Goals allowed per game 2.38 (4th of 32) 3.4 (24th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 28 (20th of 32) 27.4 (18th of 32)
Points allowed per game 6.38 (3rd of 32) 9.07 (22nd of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.44 (22nd of 32) 1.4 (6th of 32)

Venue and weather

PPG Paints Arena · Pittsburgh, PAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Bruins vs Penguins odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Penguins spread -1.5 +1.5 +3
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Bruins moneyline -108 +102 -2.4% win chance
Penguins moneyline -112 -122 +2.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Penguins spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
The next NHL slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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More on these teams: Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Nov 3 · Vegas Golden Knights vs Boston Bruins Nov 2 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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