Bucks vs Celtics Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 4, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Bucks	14	27	38	23	102
Celtics	28	34	25	22	109

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Celtics beat the Bucks 109-102 on November 4, taking control in the first half. Boston set the tone with a 28-14 first quarter and a 34-point second, building a lead that reached 22. Milwaukee’s push came in the third, but the game never fully turned.

Paul George led Boston with 25 points, Derrick White had 7 assists and Neemias Queta grabbed 12 rebounds. Tyler Herro matched George with 25 for Milwaukee, while Myles Turner had 6 assists and Ryan Rollins 9 rebounds. Boston’s edge came on the glass, especially 19-11 on offensive rebounds, plus a free-throw percentage advantage, which helped offset even field-goal percentages.

For bettors, Boston won but did not cover the closing -12.5 spread. Milwaukee covered by 5.5. The game landed under the closing total of 222.5 by 11.5.

How the props finished

7 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Kyle Kuzma	Over 1.5 assists	-170 Kalshi	4 Cleared
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	Over 0.5 threes made	-220 bet365	4 Cleared
Ryan Rollins	Over 6.5 rebounds + assists	+109 prophetexchange	14 Cleared
A.J. Green	Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists	+100 Cloudbet	10 Cleared
Myles Turner	Over 1.5 blocks	+100 Fanatics	2 Cleared
Tyler Herro	Over 2.5 threes made	-113 Kalshi	4 Cleared
Kasparas Jakučionis	Over 5.5 rebounds + assists	-135 DraftKings	2 Missed
Brayden Burries	Over 0.5 threes made	-212 Kalshi	0 Missed
Kel’el Ware	Over 7.5 rebounds	+113 Kalshi	5 Missed
Paul George	Over 1.5 steals	-114 FanDuel	4 Cleared
Sam Hauser	Over 2.5 rebounds	-150 Fanatics	2 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

BucksCeltics

41%FG%41%

40%3P%41%

68%FT%76%

45Rebounds54

28Assists24

30Points in the paint34

13Fast break points9

15Turnovers12

6Steals8

4Blocks6

1Biggest lead22

Box score

Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Kyle Kuzma F	27	6	2-5	1-3	1-2	5	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	-8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. F	31	18	7-16	4-6	0-2	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	2	-3
Myles Turner C	36	12	4-6	4-6	0-0	9	6	1	2	2	0	9	3	-1
Tyler Herro G	33	25	8-17	4-10	5-5	5	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	-8
Brayden Burries G	22	9	3-7	0-3	3-4	5	3	3	1	0	3	2	2	+5
Bench
Ousmane Dieng F	2	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2
Nate Ament F	18	9	3-9	2-6	1-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	+5
Jericho Sims C	1	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1
Kel’el Ware C	16	2	1-6	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	1	2	3	2	-6
AJ Green G	20	5	1-5	1-4	2-2	2	3	0	0	0	0	2	3	-4
Ryan Rollins G	24	13	5-10	2-3	1-2	9	5	4	1	1	2	7	4	+3
Kasparas Jakucionis G	12	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	-15
Bogoljub Markovic	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Caris LeVert	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Gary Trent Jr.	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		102	35-85	19-47	13-19	45	28	14	6	4	11	34	22

Team shooting: FG 41% · 3PT 40% · FT 68%

Boston Celtics

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Paul George F	35	25	8-18	5-9	4-7	3	5	6	4	0	0	3	3	+1
Sam Hauser F	30	11	4-11	3-10	0-0	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	-6
Neemias Queta C	29	9	4-8	0-0	1-3	12	3	0	0	2	4	8	3	+1
Derrick White G	36	24	7-18	1-7	9-9	4	7	2	1	2	1	3	4	+8
Hugo Gonzalez G	14	4	1-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	+9
Bench
Luka Garza C	18	11	4-7	3-4	0-0	5	2	1	1	0	3	2	2	+3
Mitchell Robinson C	20	3	1-8	0-0	1-2	10	1	1	1	1	6	4	1	+5
Payton Pritchard G	18	10	4-7	0-0	2-2	1	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	+7
Baylor Scheierman G	29	9	3-7	3-4	0-0	11	1	1	1	0	3	8	3	+11
Jordan Walsh G	12	3	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	-4
Dillon Mitchell	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Chris Cenac Jr.	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Mike Conley	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Ron Harper Jr.	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		109	37-91	16-39	19-25	54	24	12	8	6	19	35	19

Team shooting: FG 41% · 3PT 41% · FT 76%

Attendance 19,156 · Officials: James Capers, Dedric Taylor, Julian Scott

Recap: George and White leads Celtics past Bucks, 109-102 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Paul George buries triple vs. Milwaukee Bucks (ESPN)
• Neemias Queta denies Milwaukee Bucks with stuff (ESPN)
• Payton Pritchard drops Kyle Kuzma then finds Baylor Scheierman for 3 (ESPN)
• Paul George gets the and-1 to fall (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Bucks have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
• Bucks are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
• The over is 8-2 in Bucks’ last 10 games.
• Bucks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings with the Celtics.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Bucks vs Celtics pre-game preview

Boston is listed as a -12.5 favorite with a 221.5 total, down from an opening BOS -14.5 and 225.5. The last meeting went heavily toward Boston: Milwaukee lost 101-133 at home on April 3, 2026, and the Bucks are 3-7 straight up and 1-3 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

Milwaukee is 1-6 straight up and 2-5 ATS this season, with a 2-8 and 3-7 ATS mark over its last 10, most recently losing 100-112 at Minnesota. Boston is 5-2 straight up and 3-3 ATS, 7-3 and 5-4 ATS over its last 10, after a 93-109 loss at Houston. Milwaukee’s defense allows 124.1 points, 47.9 rebounds and 28.7 assists per game, all bottom-four ranks, while Boston allows 109.1 points. Milwaukee’s 104.7 pace ranks fourth versus Boston’s 99.4 at 27th.

Among StatsBench projections, Kyle Kuzma’s over 1.5 assists is projected at 3, and Myles Turner’s over 1.5 blocks is projected at 2.2; both cleared in 8 or 9 of the last 10. Boston lists Jayson Tatum out for rest and Devin Carter out with illness, with Amari Williams out on a G League two-way assignment.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Bucks	1-6	2-5	5-2	1-3	0-3
Celtics	5-2	3-3	2-4	4-0	1-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Bucks vs Celtics head-to-head

Bucks are 3-7, 1-3 ATS, O/U 1-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Bucks lost 101-133 on April 3, 2026.

Recent form

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (2-8, 3-7 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Boston Celtics: last 10 (7-3, 5-4 ATS, O/U 4-5)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:01 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Bucks vs Celtics odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart