Celtics vs Rockets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 2, 2026)

Boston Celtics logo

Celtics5-1 · 3-2 ATS3rd in the East
FINAL93 – 109
Houston Rockets logo

Rockets6-1 · 6-1 ATS1st in the West

NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston)

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Celtics 29 21 23 20 93
Rockets 29 28 25 27 109

How the bets settled

MoneylineRockets wonClosed at -179
SpreadRockets coveredRockets -4.5, by 11.5
TotalUnder 215.5202 scored, 13.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Houston beat Boston 109-93, taking control after a level first quarter and winning each of the next three periods. The game swung in the second, when the Rockets created separation, and they kept the Celtics at arm’s length from there.

Alperen Sengun led Houston with 26 points and 10 assists, while Jabari Smith Jr. grabbed 10 rebounds. Jayson Tatum paced Boston with 19 points, 9 assists and 6 rebounds. Houston’s offense explained the result: it shot 54 percent from the field and 40 percent from three, posted 34 assists and owned paint scoring and fast-break points. Boston shot 39 percent and 29 percent from three.

For bettors, Rockets -4.5 covered by 11.5, and the 215.5 total went under by 13.5.

How the props finished

6 of 11 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Marcus Smart Over 1.5 rebounds -150 Kalshi 4 Cleared
Fred VanVleet Over 4.5 assists -164 DraftKings 9 Cleared
Amen Thompson Over 14.5 points -108 Kalshi 14 Missed
Alperen Sengun Over 8.5 rebounds +112 prophetexchange 7 Missed
Tari Eason Over 9.5 points + assists -114 Cloudbet 16 Cleared
Reed Sheppard Over 6.5 points -115 DraftKings 8 Cleared
Sam Hauser Over 2.5 rebounds -185 bet365 2 Missed
Neemias Queta Over 14.5 points + rebounds +115 BetMGM 22 Cleared
Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 assists +106 bet105 9 Cleared
Kevin Durant Over 21.5 points -110 DraftKings 12 Missed
Payton Pritchard Over 3.5 assists -127 Kalshi 3 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Against the spread, start to finish

RocketsCeltics
The score margin against the closing spread (Rockets -4.5). Blue: Rockets covering. Orange: Celtics covering.
+4.5Largest BOS cover
34%BOS covering
+13.5Largest HOU cover
66%HOU covering

Win probability

RocketsCeltics
Blue: Rockets favored. Orange: Celtics favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Celtics

  • PointsJayson Tatum19
  • AssistsJayson Tatum9
  • ReboundsJayson Tatum6

Rockets

  • PointsAlperen Sengun26
  • AssistsAlperen Sengun10
  • ReboundsJabari Smith Jr.10

Team stats

CelticsRockets
39%FG%54%
29%3P%40%
85%FT%69%
38Rebounds36
20Assists34
34Points in the paint50
2Fast break points18
16Turnovers14
6Steals8
2Blocks5
0Biggest lead18

Box score

Boston Celtics

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Jayson Tatum F 32 19 5-16 1-7 8-8 6 9 5 1 0 0 6 4 +1
Neemias Queta C 26 16 6-7 1-1 3-4 6 1 1 0 0 4 2 2 +7
Derrick White G 30 7 3-12 1-5 0-0 2 3 3 1 0 0 2 0 -4
Baylor Scheierman G 27 11 4-9 3-6 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 2 3 2 -10
Hugo Gonzalez G 16 6 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 0 1 -16
Bench
Sam Hauser F 19 2 1-6 0-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 -5
Dillon Mitchell F 2 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1
Chris Cenac Jr. F 2 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1
Luka Garza C 18 14 4-9 4-7 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 +2
Mitchell Robinson C 15 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -16
Mike Conley G 4 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -6
Payton Pritchard G 30 4 0-7 0-5 4-6 3 3 1 1 0 1 2 1 -17
Ron Harper Jr. G 7 0 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6
Jordan Walsh G 12 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -8
Total 93 32-83 12-42 17-20 38 20 15 6 2 13 25 19

Team shooting: FG 39% · 3PT 29% · FT 85%

Houston Rockets

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Kevin Durant F 33 12 5-6 0-0 2-3 3 3 4 2 1 0 3 2 +10
Jabari Smith Jr. F 36 14 5-10 4-5 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 2 8 0 +20
Alperen Sengun C 38 26 12-15 1-2 1-2 7 10 1 2 2 3 4 4 +21
Fred VanVleet G 27 8 3-9 2-8 0-0 2 9 1 1 0 0 2 3 +13
Amen Thompson G 25 14 5-9 0-0 4-5 3 3 2 1 0 1 2 4 +2
Bench
Jae’Sean Tate F 2 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2
Tari Eason F 27 13 5-8 3-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 0 4 3 +16
Isaiah Crawford F 2 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4
Oscar Tshiebwe C 7 4 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 -2
Marcus Smart G 20 8 2-10 2-8 2-2 4 4 2 2 0 2 2 4 +5
Bogdan Bogdanovic G 5 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4
Reed Sheppard G 17 8 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1
Bruce Thornton G 2 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2
Steven Adams Did not play: Right soleus strain
Clint Capela Did not play: Right ankle sprain
Total 109 43-79 14-35 9-13 36 34 13 8 5 9 27 22

Team shooting: FG 54% · 3PT 40% · FT 69%

Attendance 18,055 · Officials: Courtney Kirkland, Eric Dalen, Matt Kallio

Recap: Alperen Sengun leads Rockets past Celtics 109-93 as Houston moves into first in West (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Celtics vs Rockets on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Celtics vs Rockets pre-game preview

Monday’s Boston at Houston matchup has Houston as the -176 moneyline favorite and -4.5 on the spread, with a 219.5 total. The last meeting went Boston’s way, 114-93 on the road on February 4, 2026. Boston is 5-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread this season, and 8-2 and 6-3 ATS over its last 10, most recently beating Orlando 108-97. Houston is 6-1 straight up and 6-1 ATS this season, and 8-2 and 8-2 ATS over its last 10, most recently beating Oklahoma City 119-98. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Boston is 4-2 straight up with a 1-0 ATS record.

The useful defensive angle is Houston’s rebounding suppression: it allows 39.1 rebounds per game, ranked first, while Boston allows 45.8, ranked 22nd. Houston also ranks eighth in threes allowed (11.6) against a Boston defense ranked 26th (14.8). Pace is nearly even (Boston 100.7, Houston 100.8), and Houston’s injury report lists Steven Adams out plus Reed Sheppard and Clint Capela questionable. Among props, Alperen Sengun’s over 8.5 rebounds is -106, cleared in 8 of his last 10, with a StatsBench projection of 9.2.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Celtics 5-1 3-2 2-3 4-0 1-1
Rockets 6-1 6-1 5-2 3-0 3-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Celtics vs Rockets head-to-head

Celtics are 4-2, 1-0 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Celtics won 114-93 on February 4, 2026.

Date Venue Celtics result ATS O/U
Feb 4, 26 Rockets home W 114-93 W +8.5 U 210.5
Nov 1, 25 Celtics home L 101-128 – –
Jan 27, 25 Celtics home L 112-114 – –
Jan 3, 25 Rockets home W 109-86 – –
Jan 21, 24 Rockets home W 116-107 – –
Jan 13, 24 Celtics home W 145-113 – –

Recent form

Boston Celtics: last 10 (8-2, 6-3 ATS, O/U 4-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 1, 26 @ ORL W 108-97 W -6.5 U 221.5
Oct 30, 26 vs CHI W 125-111 – –
Oct 27, 26 vs BKN W 125-124 L -13.5 O 223.5
Oct 26, 26 vs CHI W 134-99 W -14.5 U 233.5
Oct 23, 26 vs NY W 107-103 W -2.5 U 220.5
Oct 20, 26 @ DET L 113-121 L -1.5 O 220.5
Apr 12, 26 vs ORL W 113-108 W +12.5 U 222.5
Apr 10, 26 vs NO W 144-118 W -18.5 O 227.5
Apr 9, 26 @ NY L 106-112 L +3.5 O 210.5
Apr 7, 26 vs CHA W 113-102 W -4.5 U 221.5

Houston Rockets: last 10 (8-2, 8-2 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 vs OKC W 119-98 W -2.5 U 219.5
Oct 30, 26 @ DAL L 111-116 L -5.5 O 223.5
Oct 28, 26 @ MIL W 132-100 W -8.5 O 226.5
Oct 26, 26 vs ATL W 120-110 W -4.5 O 228.5
Oct 24, 26 @ ATL W 121-114 W -1.5 O 227.5
Oct 23, 26 @ SA W 114-110 W +4.5 U 224.5
Oct 21, 26 vs DAL W 128-110 W -9.5 O 230.5
Apr 12, 26 vs MEM W 132-101 W -14.5 O 230.5
Apr 10, 26 vs MIN L 132-136 L -9.5 O 227.5
Apr 9, 26 vs PHI W 113-102 W -6.5 U 226.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 9:03 AM ET.

Venue and weather

Toyota Center (Houston) · Houston, TXIndoor, weather won’t matter
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Celtics vs Rockets odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Rockets spread -5.5 -4.5 +1
Total 218.5 215.5 -3
Celtics moneyline +154 +150 +0.6% win chance
Rockets moneyline -185 -179 -0.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Rockets spread -4.5 → -4.5
Total 219.5 → 215.5
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

More on these teams: Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic Nov 1 · Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Oct 31 · All NBA prop picks

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Ziaire WilliamsOVER 9.5 points + assists · vs POR
10/10
Ziaire WilliamsOVER 7.5 points · vs POR
10/10
Daniel GaffordOVER 1.5 stls blks · vs UTA
10/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days