Kings vs Mavericks Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 2, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Kings	19	35	27	34	115
Mavericks	18	35	21	26	100

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Sacramento Kings beat Dallas Mavericks 115-100 on November 2, with the game swinging after halftime. The Kings outscored Dallas 27-21 in the third and 34-26 in the fourth to turn a tight game into a double-digit win.

Darius Acuff Jr. led Sacramento with 25 points, Malik Monk had 7 assists and Precious Achiuwa grabbed 10 rebounds. Daniel Gafford paced Dallas with 20 points and 7 rebounds, while Naji Marshall added 7 assists. The Kings shot 52 percent from the field and 44 percent from three, compared with Dallas at 41 and 21 percent, and Sacramento won the boards 42-35. That shooting and rebounding edge explained the separation.

For bettors, Sacramento covered the closing 7.5-point spread by 22.5 points, and the game went under the 232.5 total by 17.5.

How the props finished

4 of 12 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Daniel Gafford	Over 0.5 blocks	-303 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Naji Marshall	Over 0.5 steals	-300 Fanatics	2 Cleared
De’Andre Hunter	Over 1.5 threes made	-127 Kalshi	0 Missed
Max Christie	Over 12.5 points + assists	+104 BetRivers	0 Missed
Domantas Sabonis	Over 6.5 assists	+103 prophetexchange	4 Missed
Zach LaVine	Over 5.5 rebounds + assists	-111 FanDuel	5 Missed
Cooper Flagg	Over 0.5 blocks	-160 DraftKings	0 Missed
Zaccharie Risacher	Over 0.5 steals	-300 Fanatics	1 Cleared
Emanuel Sharp	Over 0.5 threes made	-209 Caesars	3 Cleared
Precious Achiuwa	Over 11.5 points	+105 BetRivers	6 Missed
P.J. Washington	Over 5.5 field goals made	-130 Fanatics	2 Missed
Marcus Sasser	Over 8.5 points	+114 prophetexchange	4 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

KingsMavericks

52%FG%41%

44%3P%21%

67%FT%83%

42Rebounds35

25Assists19

38Points in the paint40

11Fast break points7

20Turnovers16

9Steals11

4Blocks1

19Biggest lead6

Box score

Sacramento KingsDallas Mavericks

Sacramento Kings

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Domantas Sabonis F	31	9	4-4	0-0	1-2	7	4	4	1	0	5	2	4	+2
De’Andre Hunter F	36	6	3-13	0-6	0-0	7	2	2	0	0	1	6	5	0
Precious Achiuwa F	27	6	2-3	0-0	2-3	10	3	1	2	2	2	8	2	+15
Zach LaVine G	28	23	8-14	5-9	2-2	4	1	3	0	0	1	3	1	+9
Darius Acuff Jr. G	37	25	10-21	2-8	3-4	5	6	5	1	0	0	5	3	+1
Bench
Leaky Black F	25	12	4-7	4-6	0-0	3	1	0	4	0	1	2	3	+5
Malik Monk G	30	24	9-14	5-8	1-2	1	7	2	0	1	0	1	1	+27
Daeqwon Plowden G	3	1	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1
Nique Clifford G	3	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1
Emanuel Sharp G	20	9	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	5	+14
Alex Karaban	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jonathan Mogbo	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		115	43-82	19-43	10-15	42	25	17	9	4	10	32	24

Team shooting: FG 52% · 3PT 44% · FT 67%

Dallas Mavericks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Caleb Martin F	21	5	1-3	1-2	2-2	6	0	1	0	0	1	5	1	-13
Daniel Gafford F	26	20	9-10	0-0	2-2	7	0	1	1	1	3	4	4	-10
P.J. Washington F	38	12	2-9	2-8	6-8	5	1	2	2	0	2	3	1	-13
Cooper Flagg F	40	17	3-19	0-4	11-11	4	6	6	2	0	0	4	2	-10
Max Christie G	8	0	0-5	0-5	0-0	2	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	+6
Bench
Naji Marshall F	24	5	2-9	0-4	1-2	2	7	2	2	0	0	2	2	-9
Morez Johnson Jr. F	17	13	5-5	0-0	3-6	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	-5
Tobi Lawal F	2	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+4
Zaccharie Risacher F	19	0	0-3	0-3	0-0	5	1	2	1	0	2	3	2	-19
Moussa Cisse C	2	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+4
Marcus Sasser G	19	4	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	-7
Walter Clayton Jr. G	24	20	6-9	4-5	4-4	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	-7
Jett Howard G	2	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+4
Total		100	32-78	7-33	29-35	35	19	16	11	1	10	25	15

Team shooting: FG 41% · 3PT 21% · FT 83%

Attendance 18,967 · Officials: Scott Foster, Ray Acosta, Evan Scott

Recap: Kings beat the Mavericks 115-100 for their first victory of the season (ESPN)

Highlights

• Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Zach LaVine gets up for the beautiful slam (ESPN)
• Daniel Gafford elevates for alley-oop (ESPN)
• Zach LaVine throws down powerful slam dunk vs. Dallas Mavericks (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Kings have failed to cover in 4 straight games.
• The over has hit in 5 straight Kings games.
• The over is 8-2 in Kings’ last 10 games.
• Mavericks have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
• Kings are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with the Mavericks.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Kings vs Mavericks pre-game preview

The Monday matchup in Dallas lists Dallas at -395 on the moneyline and -9.5 on the spread with a 234.5 total. The DraftKings opening line was unchanged at DAL -9.5 and 234.5. Sacramento is 0-6 straight up and 1-5 ATS this season, and its last 10 games show 1-9 straight up and 4-6 ATS. Dallas is 4-2 straight up and 4-2 ATS this season, with a 5-5 straight-up and 6-4 ATS mark over its last 10. The last meeting on February 26, 2026 went to Sacramento 130-121 on the road; over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sacramento is 7-3 straight up and 3-0 ATS.

The defensive ranks offer the clearest statistical angle: Sacramento allows 128.3 points per game (29th) and 30 assists per game (30th), while Dallas allows 111.8 points (15th) and 10.5 threes (first). Sacramento’s pace is 105.3 (fifth), which could matter against Dallas’s 101.6 (16th). On the prop side, Daniel Gafford’s over 0.5 blocks is -350 after clearing in 10 of his last 10, and the StatsBench model projects 1.7. Dallas lists Dereck Lively II out and Kyrie Irving questionable; Sacramento lists Maxime Raynaud out and Dylan Cardwell questionable.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Kings	0-6	1-5	5-1	0-2	0-4
Mavericks	4-2	4-2	2-4	2-1	2-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Kings vs Mavericks head-to-head

Kings are 7-3, 3-0 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Kings won 130-121 on February 26, 2026.

Recent form

Sacramento Kings: last 10 (1-9, 4-6 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Dallas Mavericks: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 9:03 AM ET.

Venue and weather

Kings vs Mavericks odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart