Final score by quarter
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 24 | |
| 3 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 28 |
How the bets settled
Closing line, DraftKings.
Game review
Denver beat Kansas City 28-24, with the game decided in the fourth quarter when the Broncos outscored the Chiefs 15-0 after trailing entering the period. Bo Nix threw for 222 yards and two touchdowns, while Jonah Coleman contributed 41 rushing yards and a score plus 63 receiving yards. Patrick Mahomes threw for 321 yards and three touchdowns, and Emmett Johnson had 128 receiving yards and a touchdown, but Kansas City’s 11 penalties for 105 yards and 2-of-3 red-zone conversion rate helped leave the door open. Denver went 3-for-3 in the red zone and 2-for-2 on fourth down despite being outgained 399-294. For bettors, Denver covered the closing 1.5-point spread by 2.5, and the 41.5 total went over by 10.5.
Against the spread, start to finish
Win probability
Top performers
Chiefs
Passing YardsPatrick Mahomes30/41, 321 YDS, 3 TD
Rushing YardsKenneth Walker III21 CAR, 69 YDS
Receiving YardsEmmett Johnson5 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
SacksGeorge Karlaftis1
TacklesNick Bolton9
Broncos
Passing YardsBo Nix20/32, 222 YDS, 2 TD
Rushing YardsJonah Coleman11 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving YardsJonah Coleman4 REC, 63 YDS
SacksAlex Singleton1
TacklesAlex Singleton14
Team stats
Box score
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/41 | 321 | 7.8 | 3 | 0 | 2-12 | 71.0 | 120.1 | |
| Total | 30/41 | 309 | 7.8 | 3 | 0 | 2-12 | — | 120.1 |
Rushing
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 69 | 3.3 | 0 | 10 | |
| 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Total | 24 | 90 | 3.8 | 0 | 15 |
Receiving
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | TGTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 128 | 25.6 | 1 | 73 | 5 | |
| 5 | 67 | 13.4 | 0 | 32 | 7 | |
| 7 | 53 | 7.6 | 1 | 12 | 8 | |
| 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | |
| 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | 11 | 2 | |
| 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | 8 | 5 | |
| 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | |
| 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | |
| 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
| Total | 30 | 321 | 10.7 | 3 | 73 | 38 |
Defense
| Player | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 61 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/32 | 222 | 6.9 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 70.9 | 103.9 | |
| Total | 20/32 | 217 | 6.9 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | — | 103.9 |
Rushing
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 41 | 3.7 | 1 | 10 | |
| 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 7 | 13 | 1.9 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 23 | 77 | 3.3 | 1 | 14 |
Receiving
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | TGTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 63 | 15.8 | 0 | 51 | 5 | |
| 4 | 53 | 13.3 | 0 | 23 | 4 | |
| 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 1 | 35 | 6 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | |
| 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | |
| 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Total | 20 | 222 | 11.1 | 2 | 51 | 29 |
Defense
| Player | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 76 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
Attendance 76,831 · Officials: Clete Blakeman, James Coleman, Kent Payne, Jonah Monroe, Karina Tovar, Scott Walker, Andy Warner
Recap: On fourth-and-goal, Roach drops Mahomes and flips the AFC West race as Broncos beat Chiefs 28-24 (ESPN)
Highlights
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Betting trends
- The over is 2-8 in Chiefs’ last 10 games.
- Broncos have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
- The over is 3-7 in Broncos’ last 10 games.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Chiefs vs Broncos pre-game preview
Kansas City visits Denver with the market favoring Kansas City at -118 on the moneyline, while Denver is +1.5 on the spread and the total sits at 40.5. The opener was Denver -1.5 with a 43.5 total, so both the side and total have moved.
The last meeting was Sept. 14, 2026, a 31-10 Kansas City home win. Kansas City is 5-1 and 3-3 ATS this season and most recently lost 3-20 at Seattle; Denver is 5-2 and 5-2 ATS and most recently won 30-16 at Arizona. Over the last 10, Kansas City is 5-5 and 4-6 ATS, while Denver is 7-3 and 6-4 ATS. In the last seven meetings, Kansas City is 3-4 straight up and 2-0 ATS.
The defensive ranks offer a useful angle: Kansas City allows 17.2 points per game, rank 2 of 32, while Denver allows 133.3 rushing yards per game, rank 28 of 32. Denver also lists Talanoa Hufanga out. On the props side, J.K. Dobbins over 28.5 rushing yards at -110 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and RJ Harvey over 10.5 longest reception at -125 has cleared in 9 of 10 and 100% versus this opponent.
Player stats and form
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Kansas City Chiefs
| Date | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | RUSH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | @ SEA | 19/33 | 165 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
| 10/18 | vs LAC | 23/30 | 272 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
| 10/4 | @ LV | 15/30 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | @ MIA | 20/24 | 246 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 9/21 | vs IND | 32/47 | 382 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs DEN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds | 245.7 (6) | 212.0 (3) | 256.2 (14) | 230.0 (2) 184 · 276 |
| Pass TD | 1.5 (6) | 1.3 (3) | 1.6 (14) | 1.5 (2) 2 · 1 |
| Date | Opp | ATT | YDS | TD | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | @ SEA | 14 | 36 | 0 | 4 | 21 |
| 10/18 | vs LAC | 19 | 128 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 10/4 | @ LV | 22 | 177 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 9/27 | @ MIA | 18 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9/21 | vs IND | 24 | 117 | 0 | 6 | 61 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs DEN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush yds | 116.8 (6) | 94.3 (3) | 67.0 (20) | 173.0 (1) 173 |
| Rec | 3.0 (6) | 2.3 (3) | 2.0 (20) | 3.0 (1) 3 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/4 | @ LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/27 | @ MIA | 9 | 7 | 88 | 0 |
| 9/21 | vs IND | 6 | 4 | 83 | 0 |
| 9/15 | vs DEN | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs DEN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 3.3 (4) | 3.5 (2) | 6.6 (8) | 4.0 (2) 2 · 6 |
| Rec yds | 47.5 (4) | 44.0 (2) | 71.4 (8) | 28.5 (2) 19 · 38 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | @ SEA | 8 | 4 | 44 | 0 |
| 10/18 | vs LAC | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
| 10/4 | @ LV | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 9/27 | @ MIA | 2 | 2 | 59 | 1 |
| 9/21 | vs IND | 11 | 9 | 101 | 1 |
| Splits | Season | Road | 2025 | vs DEN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 4.0 (6) | 2.7 (3) | 4.5 (17) | 5.7 (3) 3 · 5 · 9 |
| Rec yds | 57.2 (6) | 39.3 (3) | 50.1 (17) | 66.0 (3) 71 · 36 · 91 |
Denver Broncos
| Date | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | RUSH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ ARI | 15/29 | 222 | 1 | 0 | 73 |
| 10/16 | vs SEA | 17/27 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10/11 | @ LAC | 16/27 | 123 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 10/4 | @ SF | 25/42 | 214 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 9/28 | vs LAR | 17/34 | 186 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs KC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds | 181.6 (7) | 193.7 (3) | 233.9 (18) | 202.7 (3) 131 · 182 · 295 |
| Pass TD | 1.0 (7) | 1.0 (3) | 1.6 (18) | 0.7 (3) 1 · 1 · 0 |
| Date | Opp | ATT | YDS | TD | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ ARI | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10/16 | vs SEA | 17 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 10/11 | @ LAC | 18 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 10/4 | @ SF | 11 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 9/28 | vs LAR | 17 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs KC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush yds | 41.9 (7) | 42.0 (3) | 77.2 (10) | 36.0 (1) 36 |
| Rec | 1.1 (7) | 1.3 (3) | 1.1 (10) | 0.0 (1) 0 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ ARI | 7 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
| 10/16 | vs SEA | 7 | 4 | 24 | 0 |
| 10/11 | @ LAC | 5 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| 10/4 | @ SF | 6 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
| 9/28 | vs LAR | 7 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs KC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 3.7 (7) | 4.7 (3) | 4.0 (16) | 1.0 (1) 1 |
| Rec yds | 39.4 (7) | 57.3 (3) | 56.9 (16) | 2.0 (1) 2 |
| Date | Opp | TGT | REC | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ ARI | 5 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 10/16 | vs SEA | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| 10/11 | @ LAC | 3 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| 10/4 | @ SF | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 9/28 | vs LAR | 7 | 3 | 46 | 0 |
| Splits | Season | Home | 2025 | vs KC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec | 2.3 (7) | 2.7 (3) | 4.3 (19) | 3.3 (3) 2 · 4 · 4 |
| Rec yds | 24.0 (7) | 30.0 (3) | 57.2 (19) | 36.7 (3) 11 · 40 · 59 |
Records
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 2-1 | |
| 5-2 | 5-2 | 2-5 | 3-0 | 2-2 |
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Chiefs vs Broncos head-to-head
Chiefs are 3-4, 2-0 ATS, O/U 0-2 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Chiefs won 31-10 on September 14, 2026.
| Date | Venue | Chiefs result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Chiefs home | W 31-10 | W -2.5 | U 42.5 |
| Dec 25, 25 | Chiefs home | L 13-20 | W +13.5 | U 37.5 |
| Nov 16, 25 | Broncos home | L 19-22 | – | – |
| Jan 5, 25 | Broncos home | L 0-38 | – | – |
| Nov 10, 24 | Chiefs home | W 16-14 | – | – |
| Oct 29, 23 | Broncos home | L 9-24 | – | – |
| Oct 12, 23 | Chiefs home | W 19-8 | – | – |
Recent form
Kansas City Chiefs: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 2-8)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 26 | @ SEA | L 3-20 | L +3 | U 43.5 |
| Oct 18, 26 | vs LAC | W 22-6 | W -7.5 | U 41.5 |
| Oct 4, 26 | @ LV | W 30-27 | L -3.5 | O 47.5 |
| Sep 27, 26 | @ MIA | W 24-10 | W -10 | U 45.5 |
| Sep 20, 26 | vs IND | W 33-30 | L -6 | O 46.5 |
| Sep 14, 26 | vs DEN | W 31-10 | W -2.5 | U 42.5 |
| Jan 4, 26 | @ LV | L 12-14 | L -3.5 | U 35.5 |
| Dec 25, 25 | vs DEN | L 13-20 | W +13.5 | U 37.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | @ TEN | L 9-26 | L -3.5 | U 37.5 |
| Dec 14, 25 | vs LAC | L 13-16 | L -5.5 | U 41.5 |
Denver Broncos: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 3-7)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 26 | @ ARI | W 30-16 | W -4.5 | O 44.5 |
| Oct 15, 26 | vs SEA | W 17-14 | W +3 | U 40.5 |
| Oct 11, 26 | @ LAC | W 23-17 | W -3 | U 42.5 |
| Oct 4, 26 | @ SF | L 14-24 | L +3 | U 48.5 |
| Sep 27, 26 | vs LAR | W 30-26 | W -1.5 | O 44.5 |
| Sep 20, 26 | vs JAX | W 20-13 | W -2.5 | U 45.5 |
| Sep 14, 26 | @ KC | L 10-31 | L +2.5 | U 42.5 |
| Jan 4, 26 | vs LAC | W 19-3 | W -15.5 | U 37.5 |
| Dec 25, 25 | @ KC | W 20-13 | L -13.5 | U 37.5 |
| Dec 21, 25 | vs JAX | L 20-34 | L -3.5 | O 46.5 |
Injury report
Kansas City Chiefs
- Omarr Norman-Lott (DT): PUP-R, The Chiefs designated Norman-Lott
- Ethan Downs (LB): IR, The Chiefs placed
- John Michael Gyllenborg (TE): IR
- Jimmy Holiday (WR): IR, Holiday
- Josh Simmons (OT): IR, The Chiefs placed Simmons
- Matt Waletzko (OT): IR, Waletzko
- Tyquan Thornton (WR): IR, The Chiefs placed Thornton
- Mansoor Delane (CB): Out
- Diego Pounds (OT): Out
- Ben VanSumeren (FB): Out
- Tyreke Smith (DE): Out
- Jeff Caldwell (WR): IR, Caldwell
- Brashard Smith (RB): IR, The Chiefs placed Smith
- L’Jarius Sneed (CB): IR, The Chiefs placed Sneed
- Garrett Nussmeier (QB): Out
Denver Broncos
- Caleb Lohner (TE): IR-R, Lohner
- Nick Gargiulo (G): PUP-R, Gargiulo
- Michael Deiter (C): IR, ir
- Matt Henningsen (DE): IR, ir
- Levelle Bailey (LB): IR, Bailey
- Frank Crum (OT): IR-R, Crum
- Pat Bryant (WR): IR, Bryant
- Talanoa Hufanga (S): Out, inactive
- Tyler Badie (RB): IR, The Broncos placed Badie
- Jonah Elliss (LB): IR, The Broncos placed Elliss
- RJ Harvey (RB): IR, The Broncos placed Harvey
- Dallen Bentley (TE): Out, inactive
- Kage Casey (OT): Out, inactive
- Gavin Ortega (OT): Out, inactive
- Tyler Onyedim (DT): Out, inactive
- Sam Ehlinger (QB): Out, inactive
- Jordan Jackson (DT): Out, inactive
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
| Chiefs defense | Broncos defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per game | 18.7 (4th of 32) | 20.6 (10th of 32) |
| Passing yards allowed per game | 228.4 (12th of 32) | 246.6 (22nd of 32) |
| Rushing yards allowed per game | 96.3 (9th of 32) | 127.9 (25th of 32) |
| Receptions allowed per game | 21.7 (17th of 32) | 22.4 (21st of 32) |
Venue and weather
Chiefs vs Broncos odds
Line movement from the open
| Line | Open | Close | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos spread | -1.5 | -1.5 | – |
| Total | 43.5 | 41.5 | -2 |
| Chiefs moneyline | -102 | -105 | +0.7% win chance |
| Broncos moneyline | -118 | -115 | -0.6% win chance |
DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks Oct 25 · Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals Oct 25 · All NFL prop picks
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