Chiefs vs Seahawks Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 25, 2026)

Kansas City Chiefs logo

Chiefs5-0 · 3-2 ATS5th in the AFC
FINAL3 – 20
Seattle Seahawks logo

Seahawks3-3 · 1-3-2 ATS8th in the NFC

NFL · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lumen Field

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Chiefs 0 0 3 0 3
Seahawks 0 10 3 7 20

How the bets settled

MoneylineSeahawks wonClosed at -162
SpreadSeahawks coveredSeahawks -3, by 14
TotalUnder 43.523 scored, 20.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Seattle beat Kansas City 20-3, with the game swinging in the second quarter when the Seahawks scored 10 unanswered. Kansas City’s only points came in the third, and Seattle matched that with a third-quarter field goal before adding a fourth-quarter touchdown to close it out.

Sam Darnold completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards with a touchdown and an interception, Emanuel Wilson ran 24 times for 100 yards and a score, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught nine passes for 150 yards and a touchdown. Patrick Mahomes was 19 of 33 for 165 yards with an interception for Kansas City. Seattle produced 24 first downs to Kansas City’s 11, converted 11 of 16 third downs, held the ball for 35:51, and outgained Kansas City 410 yards to 213.

For bettors, Seattle covered the closing 3-point spread by 14, and the 43.5 total settled under by 20.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

SeahawksChiefs
The score margin against the closing spread (Seahawks -3). Blue: Seahawks covering. Orange: Chiefs covering.
+3Largest KC cover
36%KC covering
+14Largest SEA cover
53%SEA covering

Win probability

SeahawksChiefs
Blue: Seahawks favored. Orange: Chiefs favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Chiefs

  • Passing YardsPatrick Mahomes19/33, 165 YDS, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsKenneth Walker III14 CAR, 36 YDS
  • Receiving YardsTravis Kelce4 REC, 44 YDS
  • TacklesDrue Tranquill12

Seahawks

  • Passing YardsSam Darnold20/28, 257 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing YardsEmanuel Wilson24 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
  • Receiving YardsJaxon Smith-Njigba9 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD
  • SacksDerick Hall1
  • TacklesErnest Jones IV9

Team stats

ChiefsSeahawks
213Total yards410
163Passing yards257
50Rushing yards153
4.3Yards per play5.9
11First downs24
3-11Third downs11-16
0-0Red zone0-3
1Turnovers1
2-15Penalties4-20
24:09Possession35:51

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Patrick Mahomes 19/33 165 5.0 0 1 1-2 59.2 58.3
Total 19/33 163 5.0 0 1 1-2 — 58.3

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Kenneth Walker III 14 36 2.6 0 7
Patrick Mahomes 2 14 7.0 0 9
Total 16 50 3.1 0 9

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Noah Gray 3 44 14.7 0 19 3
Travis Kelce 4 44 11.0 0 19 8
Kenneth Walker III 4 21 5.3 0 7 5
Cyrus Allen 1 18 18.0 0 18 2
Emmett Johnson 2 17 8.5 0 12 3
Xavier Worthy 3 11 3.7 0 7 6
Justin Watson 1 7 7.0 0 7 1
Andrew Armstrong 1 3 3.0 0 3 2
Jalen Royals 0 0 0.0 0 0 2
Total 19 165 8.7 0 19 32

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Drue Tranquill 12 4 0 0 0 0 0
Nick Bolton 11 6 0 1 0 0 0
Nohl Williams 10 4 0 1 1 0 0
Chamarri Conner 7 2 0 0 0 0 0
Jack Cochrane 6 3 0 0 0 0 0
Khyiris Tonga 6 2 0 1 0 0 0
Chris Roland-Wallace 5 3 0 1 1 0 0
Ashton Gillotte 5 3 0 1 0 0 0
Mansoor Delane 5 2 0 1 2 0 0
Alohi Gilman 5 1 0 1 0 0 0
Jaden Hicks 4 4 0 0 0 0 0
George Karlaftis 3 1 0 1 1 2 0
L’Jarius Sneed 2 2 0 0 0 0 0
Emmett Johnson 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jeffrey Bassa 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
R Mason Thomas 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Royals 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Harrison Butker 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Noah Gray 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bryson Eason 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 89 40 0 8 5 2 0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS QBR RTG
Sam Darnold 20/28 257 9.2 1 1 0-0 91.5 96.9
Total 20/28 257 9.2 1 1 0-0 — 96.9

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Emanuel Wilson 24 100 4.2 1 21
Sam Darnold 2 17 8.5 0 10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2 13 6.5 0 8
George Holani 5 11 2.2 0 5
Velus Jones Jr. 5 8 1.6 0 11
AJ Barner 3 4 1.3 0 2
Total 41 153 3.7 1 21

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 9 150 16.7 1 33 12
AJ Barner 4 42 10.5 0 19 5
Cooper Kupp 2 20 10.0 0 11 2
Eric Saubert 1 17 17.0 0 17 1
Emanuel Wilson 1 15 15.0 0 15 1
George Holani 1 12 12.0 0 12 2
Rashid Shaheed 2 1 0.5 0 3 3
Tory Horton 0 0 0.0 0 0 1
Total 20 257 12.9 1 33 27

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HTS TD
Ernest Jones IV 9 5 0 0 0 0 0
Tyrice Knight 8 4 0 1 0 0 0
Ty Okada 5 2 0 0 1 0 0
Devon Witherspoon 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Nick Emmanwori 4 2 0 0 0 1 0
Derick Hall 3 2 1 1 0 2 0
Leonard Williams 3 2 0 1 1 1 0
Josh Jobe 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Byron Murphy II 3 1 0 0 0 1 0
DeMarcus Lawrence 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Brady Russell 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jarran Reed 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Patrick O’Connell 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Julian Love 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Charles Cross 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Nehemiah Pritchett 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Irv Charles 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rodney Thomas II 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brandon Pili 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Avery Smith 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dante Fowler Jr. 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Mike Morris 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Total 57 26 1 3 2 7 0

Attendance 68,740 · Officials: Allen Baynes, John Hussey, Tim Podraza, Matt Edwards, Duane Heydt, Brett Bergman, Gabriel DeLeon

Recap: Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 150 receiving yards and a score in the Seahawks’ 20-3 win over the Chiefs (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Chiefs vs Seahawks on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Chiefs vs Seahawks pre-game preview

The betting market prices Seattle as a 3-point home favorite with a 42.5 total, down from an opening 45.5, while the moneyline sits at Kansas City +130 and Seattle -148. Recent form favors Kansas City straight up at 5-0 and 3-2 against the spread this season, though its last 10 games are 5-5 and 4-6 ATS; the Chiefs most recently beat the Chargers 22-6 on October 18. Seattle is 3-3 and 1-3-2 ATS this season, with a 7-3 straight-up and 3-5-2 ATS mark over its last 10, and it most recently lost 14-17 at Denver on October 15.

The defensive ranks provide useful context. Kansas City allows 16.6 points per game (second) and 88.8 rushing yards per game (seventh), while Seattle allows 156.8 passing yards per game (first) and 19 receptions per game (sixth). Seattle also lists Zach Charbonnet out, with Robbie Ouzts, Mason Richman, Anthony Bradford, Jadarian Price and Julian Neal on IR or IR-R and Chazz Surratt and Drake Thomas out. On the prop side, Kenneth Walker III over 110.5 rushing and receiving yards at -112 cleared in 8 of his last 10.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Chiefs 5-0 3-2 2-3 3-0 2-0
Seahawks 3-3 1-3-2 3-3 2-1 1-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Recent form

Kansas City Chiefs: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 18, 26 vs LAC W 22-6 W -7.5 U 41.5
Oct 4, 26 @ LV W 30-27 L -3.5 O 47.5
Sep 27, 26 @ MIA W 24-10 W -10 U 45.5
Sep 20, 26 vs IND W 33-30 L -6 O 46.5
Sep 14, 26 vs DEN W 31-10 W -2.5 U 42.5
Jan 4, 26 @ LV L 12-14 L -3.5 U 35.5
Dec 25, 25 vs DEN L 13-20 W +13.5 U 37.5
Dec 21, 25 @ TEN L 9-26 L -3.5 U 37.5
Dec 14, 25 vs LAC L 13-16 L -5.5 U 41.5
Dec 7, 25 vs HOU L 10-20 L -4.5 U 41.5

Seattle Seahawks: last 10 (7-3, 3-5-2 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 15, 26 @ DEN L 14-17 L -3 U 40.5
Oct 11, 26 vs SF L 29-32 L -3 O 46.5
Oct 4, 26 vs LAC W 30-23 P -7 O 43.5
Sep 27, 26 @ WSH L 31-33 L -8.5 O 40.5
Sep 20, 26 @ ARI W 31-7 W -3.5 U 40.5
Sep 9, 26 vs NE W 13-10 P -3 U 44.5
Jan 3, 26 @ SF W 13-3 W -2.5 U 48.5
Dec 28, 25 @ CAR W 27-10 W -6.5 U 42.5
Dec 18, 25 vs LAR W 38-37 L -1.5 O 42.5
Dec 14, 25 vs IND W 18-16 L -12.5 U 41.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 4:28 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Chiefs defense Seahawks defense
Points allowed per game 18.7 (4th of 32) 19.9 (6th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 228.4 (12th of 32) 169.1 (1st of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 96.3 (9th of 32) 94 (8th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 21.7 (17th of 32) 19.6 (9th of 32)

Venue and weather

Lumen Field · Seattle, WAOutdoor
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Chiefs vs Seahawks odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Seahawks spread -3 -3 –
Total 45.5 43.5 -2
Chiefs moneyline +130 +136 -1.1% win chance
Seahawks moneyline -155 -162 +1% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Seahawks spread -3 → -3
Total 42.5 → 43
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More on these teams: Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks Nov 2 · Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Nov 1 · All NFL prop picks

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