Dallas travels to Indianapolis with the market favoring the Cowboys at -225 on the moneyline, while Indianapolis is +4.5 and the total sits at 51.5 after opening at IND +1.5 and 52.5. Recent form favors neither side cleanly: Dallas is 3-5 straight up and 3-4-1 against the spread with a 6-2 over/under, and its last 10 is 4-6 straight up and 3-6-1 ATS after a 30-33 loss to Arizona. Indianapolis is 2-6 straight up and 4-4 ATS with a 5-3 over/under, and its last 10 is 2-8 straight up and 5-5 ATS after a 7-42 loss at Jacksonville.
The defensive ranks point to two below-average scoring units: Dallas allows 26.6 points (27th) and ranks 32nd in rushing yards allowed at 152.8, while Indianapolis allows 27.8 points (30th) and ranks 27th in rushing yards allowed at 131.8. Indianapolis also lists Cameron Mitchell, D.J. Montgomery, Alec Pierce, Micheal Clemons and Arden Key on IR, with Justin Walley and Akeem Davis-Gaither out and Jalen Travis questionable. Among props, Jonathan Taylor over 14.5 rushing attempts cleared 8 of last 10 and Daniel Jones over 0.5 interceptions cleared 8 of last 10.
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:47 AM ET.
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Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.
Dak Prescott vs Colts
Dak PrescottQB, DAL
VS
ColtsDefense vs quarterbacks
Good matchup for Dak PrescottColts allow 22.3 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 6th most in the league. Prescott averages 12.4 against a line of 5.5.
Toughest27th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 5.58/10avg 12.4 · 27th of 32 vs QB · -110
Passing yards over 264.55/10avg 242.3 · 11th of 32 vs QB · -110
Passing tds over 1.54/10avg 1.6 · 23rd of 32 vs QB · -213
Jonathan Taylor vs Cowboys
Jonathan TaylorRB, IND
VS
CowboysDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Jonathan TaylorCowboys allow 115.5 rushing yards a game to running backs, 6th most in the league. Taylor averages 70.6 against a line of 63.5.
Toughest27th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 63.57/10avg 70.6 · 27th of 32 vs RB · -110
Rushing tds over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · 27th of 32 vs RB · -109
Receptions over 2.55/10avg 2.6 · 16th of 32 vs RB · +104
Laquon Treadwell vs Cowboys
Laquon TreadwellWR, IND
VS
CowboysDefense vs wide receivers
Good matchup for Laquon TreadwellCowboys allow 164.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 8th most in the league. Treadwell averages 21.5 against a line of 14.5.
Toughest25th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 14.57/10avg 21.5 · 25th of 32 vs WR · -104
Receptions over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · 19th of 32 vs WR · +113
Receiving tds over 0.50/10avg 0 · 21st of 32 vs WR · +465
Keenan Allen vs Cowboys
Keenan AllenWR, IND
VS
CowboysDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupCowboys allow 11.9 receptions a game to wide receivers, 14th most in the league. Allen averages 4.7 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest19th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 4.56/10avg 4.7 · 19th of 32 vs WR · +100
Receiving yards over 44.54/10avg 40.3 · 25th of 32 vs WR · -111
Receiving tds over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · 21st of 32 vs WR · +232
Javonte Williams vs Colts
Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL
VS
ColtsDefense vs running backs
Tough matchup for Javonte WilliamsColts allow 3.4 receptions a game to running backs, 5th fewest in the league. Williams averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest5th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · 5th of 32 vs RB · -132
Rushing tds over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · 22nd of 32 vs RB · -138
Receiving yards over 8.56/10avg 11.3 · 27th of 32 vs RB · -109
CeeDee Lamb vs Colts
CeeDee LambWR, DAL
VS
ColtsDefense vs wide receivers
Tough matchup for CeeDee LambColts allow 9.4 receptions a game to wide receivers, 3rd fewest in the league. Lamb averages 6.6 against a line of 6.5.
Toughest3rd of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 6.55/10avg 6.6 · 3rd of 32 vs WR · +107
Receiving tds over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · 12th of 32 vs WR · -111
Receiving yards over 84.53/10avg 75.9 · 10th of 32 vs WR · -110
Betting trends
The over is 8-2 in Cowboys’ last 10 games.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
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Cowboys vs Colts defense vs position
What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.
Cowboys defense facing the Colts
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
244.122nd
28.932nd
–
–
1.925th
RB
–
115.527th
29.011th
4.316th
1.027th
WR
–
–
164.125th
11.919th
1.021st
TE
–
–
51.012th
5.619th
0.517th
Softest spot: 28.9 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the most in the league.
Toughest spot: 29.0 receiving yards a game to running backs, 11th fewest in the league.
Colts defense facing the Cowboys
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
226.311th
22.327th
–
–
1.823rd
RB
–
103.423rd
42.927th
3.45th
0.922nd
WR
–
–
130.410th
9.43rd
0.812th
TE
–
–
51.413th
4.89th
0.828th
Softest spot: 0.8 receiving touchdowns a game to tight ends, 5th most in the league.
Toughest spot: 9.4 receptions a game to wide receivers, 3rd fewest in the league.
The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott QB264.6 pass yds · 1.7 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
vs ARI
19/29
195
1
0
20
10/27
@ PHI
15/27
212
3
0
8
10/19
@ GB
34/54
258
1
2
7
10/9
vs TB
24/42
316
1
2
0
10/4
@ HOU
32/45
335
1
0
7
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs IND
Pass yds
255.8 (8)
245.0 (4)
267.8 (17)
–
Pass TD
1.8 (8)
1.8 (4)
1.8 (17)
–
Javonte Williams RB66.7 rush yds · 2.0 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
vs ARI
24
56
0
1
1
10/27
@ PHI
25
155
1
0
0
10/19
@ GB
11
41
1
2
9
10/9
vs TB
12
45
1
2
17
10/4
@ HOU
19
62
3
5
21
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs IND
Rush yds
66.0 (8)
74.8 (4)
75.1 (16)
–
Rec
2.5 (8)
3.0 (4)
2.2 (16)
–
CeeDee Lamb WR6.5 rec · 82.4 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
vs ARI
11
7
58
0
10/27
@ PHI
12
5
74
2
10/19
@ GB
18
9
70
0
10/9
vs TB
5
2
9
0
10/4
@ HOU
21
17
189
1
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs IND
Rec
7.5 (8)
9.0 (4)
5.4 (14)
–
Rec yds
88.6 (8)
94.3 (4)
76.9 (14)
–
George Pickens WR5.2 rec · 73.7 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
vs ARI
4
2
48
0
10/27
@ PHI
6
4
57
1
10/19
@ GB
11
6
73
0
10/9
vs TB
13
9
130
1
10/4
@ HOU
3
2
75
0
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs IND
Rec
4.9 (8)
3.8 (4)
5.5 (17)
–
Rec yds
66.6 (8)
58.3 (4)
84.1 (17)
–
Indianapolis Colts
Daniel Jones QB206.9 pass yds · 1.1 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
@ JAX
19/28
144
1
2
7
10/25
@ MIN
13/22
108
0
1
13
10/18
vs TEN
22/42
269
1
2
30
10/11
@ PIT
24/44
267
0
0
4
10/4
@ WSH
19/34
143
0
1
2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs DAL
Pass yds
192.8 (8)
223.3 (3)
238.5 (13)
–
Pass TD
0.6 (8)
1.0 (3)
1.5 (13)
–
Jonathan Taylor RB78.6 rush yds · 2.5 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
@ JAX
8
23
0
4
24
10/25
@ MIN
18
95
1
2
15
10/18
vs TEN
21
94
1
2
57
10/11
@ PIT
15
45
0
3
37
10/4
@ WSH
20
95
2
1
2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs DAL
Rush yds
76.3 (8)
86.7 (3)
93.2 (17)
–
Rec
2.6 (8)
2.3 (3)
2.7 (17)
–
Alec Pierce WR3.0 rec · 61.9 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
9/21
@ KC
1
1
11
0
9/13
vs BAL
6
4
61
0
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs DAL
Rec
2.5 (2)
4.0 (1)
3.1 (15)
–
Rec yds
36.0 (2)
61.0 (1)
66.9 (15)
–
Tyler Warren TE4.9 rec · 39.7 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ JAX
10
4
18
0
10/11
@ PIT
9
7
83
0
10/4
@ WSH
5
5
41
0
9/27
vs HOU
10
9
55
0
9/21
@ KC
7
6
21
1
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs DAL
Rec
5.7 (6)
6.0 (2)
4.5 (17)
–
Rec yds
38.5 (6)
34.0 (2)
48.1 (17)
–
Records
Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Home
Away
Cowboys
3-5
3-4-1
6-2
1-3
2-2
Colts
2-6
4-4
5-3
1-2
1-4
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Recent form
Dallas Cowboys: last 10 (4-6, 3-6-1 ATS, O/U 8-2)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
vs ARI
L 30-33
L -7
O 54.5
Oct 26, 26
@ PHI
W 38-21
W -4.5
O 43.5
Oct 18, 26
@ GB
L 13-23
L -1.5
U 54.5
Oct 8, 26
vs TB
L 16-24
L -8.5
U 49.5
Oct 4, 26
@ HOU
W 34-30
W +3
O 48.5
Sep 27, 26
vs BAL
L 31-34
P +3
O 54.5
Sep 20, 26
vs WSH
W 37-20
W -4.5
O 51.5
Sep 13, 26
@ NYG
L 20-28
L -3
O 47.5
Jan 4, 26
@ NYG
L 17-34
L -3
O 50.5
Dec 25, 25
@ WSH
W 30-23
L -8.5
O 50.5
Indianapolis Colts: last 10 (2-8, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
@ JAX
L 7-42
L +10.5
O 45.5
Oct 25, 26
@ MIN
L 10-16
W +6.5
U 41.5
Oct 18, 26
vs TEN
L 20-26
L -6.5
O 43.5
Oct 11, 26
@ PIT
L 22-34
L +3
O 42.5
Oct 4, 26
@ WSH
W 30-13
W -4.5
U 46.5
Sep 27, 26
vs HOU
W 19-17
W +1.5
U 42.5
Sep 20, 26
@ KC
L 30-33
W +6
O 46.5
Sep 13, 26
vs BAL
L 23-41
L +3
O 48.5
Jan 4, 26
@ HOU
L 30-38
W +9.5
O 37.5
Dec 28, 25
vs JAX
L 17-23
L +4.5
U 48.5
Injury report
Dallas Cowboys
Princeton Fant (TE): IR, ir
Matt Hennessy (C): IR, ir
Kelvin Gilliam Jr. (DT): IR, Gilliam
Marist Liufau (LB): IR-R, Liufau
Devin Moore (CB): IR-R, ir
Malik Davis (RB): IR, The Cowboys placed Davis
Jonathan Bullard (DT): IR-R, Bullard
KaVontae Turpin (WR): Out, Turpin
Luke Schoonmaker (TE): Questionable, questionable
Jake Ferguson (TE): Questionable, Ferguson
Malachi Lawrence (LB): Out, Lawrence
George Pickens (WR): Questionable, Pickens
DeMarvion Overshown (LB): Questionable, Overshown
Joey Porter Jr. (CB): Questionable, Porter
Jalen Thompson (S): IR, Thompson
Indianapolis Colts
Cameron Mitchell (CB): IR, ir
D.J. Montgomery (WR): IR, Montgomery
Alec Pierce (WR): IR, When asked Wednesday when Pierce
Micheal Clemons (DE): IR, Clemons
Arden Key (DE): IR, The Colts placed Key
Justin Walley (CB): Out, Walley
Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB): Out, The Colts have ruled out Davis-Gauthier for Sunday’s matchup against the Cowboys
Jalen Travis (OT): Questionable, questionable
Carson Towt (TE): IR, ir
Cam Taylor-Britt (CB): IR, The Colts placed Taylor-Britt on injured reserve Tuesday due to a groin injury, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports
A.J. Haulcy (S): Questionable, Haulcy
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
Cowboys defense
Colts defense
Points allowed per game
26.6 (27th of 32)
27.8 (30th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game
244.1 (22nd of 32)
226.3 (11th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game
152.8 (32nd of 32)
131.8 (27th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game
21.8 (20th of 32)
17.6 (2nd of 32)
Venue and weather
Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, INIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Line movement from the open
Line
Open
Now
Move
Colts spread
+1.5
+4.5
+3
Total
52.5
51.5
-1
Cowboys moneyline
-125
-225
+13.7% win chance
Colts moneyline
+105
+185
-13.7% win chance
DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
Colts spread +4.5 → +4.5Total 51.5 → 51.5
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