FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

FC Cologne logo

FC Cologne14th in the Bundesliga
9:30 AM ETSun, Nov 8
Bayer Leverkusen logo

Bayer Leverkusen6th in the Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET

FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen preview

FC Cologne hosts Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET in the Bundesliga. The total is n/a in the supplied data, while both teams to score is priced yes -245 and no +190. Cologne sits 14th with 9 points from 8 matches (W2 D3 L3), scoring 9 and conceding 12; Leverkusen is 6th with 13 points (W4 D1 L3), scoring 18 and conceding 16.

The last meeting was Apr 25, 2026, when Cologne lost 1-2 to Leverkusen; Leverkusen also won 2-0 on Dec 13, 2025. Cologne’s league form is DDLWL most recent first with a 2-2-0 home record, while Leverkusen’s form is LLWWW with a 1-1-2 away record. Leverkusen has seen over 2.5 goals in 88% and both teams scored in 63%; Cologne’s both-teams-to-score rate is 75%, and its over 2.5 rate is 50%.

Useful angles include the injury list: Cologne is without Dallinga, Hübers, Skhiri and Rondic, while Leverkusen is without Terrier, Diaby, Eichhorn and Tella. StatsBench props note Patrik Schick over 0.5 anytime goal at -105 cleared in 7 of his last 10.

FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

42%FC Cologne
22%Draw
36%Bayer Leverkusen
1-1Most likely score9% chance
1.8 – 1.7Expected goals
69%Over 2.5 goals
69%Both teams to score

The model narrowly favors FC Cologne (42% to Leverkusen’s 36%), with 1-1 the most likely score. Cologne’s 2-2-0 home record supports that lean, while Leverkusen’s 2.25 scoring and 2.00 conceding rates plus LLWWW form explain the 69% over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score reads. The model’s 69% BTTS yes aligns with the -245 price, so no disagreement there.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Janis Blaswich Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over 2.5 saves -150 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 100%
Sebastian Sebulonsen FC Köln Over 0.5 shots -152 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 80%
Ibrahim Maza Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over 0.5 fouls -195 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 100%
Luka Lochoshvili FC Köln Over 0.5 fouls won -160 DraftKings 71.4% (5/7) 80%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen Anytime goalscorer -105 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:01 AM ET.

The rest of the FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Mark FlekkenOver 2.5 saves7/10
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyOver 0.5 fouls won7/10
Miguel Gutiérrez OrtegaOver 0.5 shots5/8

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Maina vs Gutierrez

MainaWinger, FC Cologne
VS
GutierrezFull-back, Bayer Leverkusen
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · +125DraftKings
Shots over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · +112BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · +135FanDuel

Moore vs Quansah

MooreWinger, FC Cologne
VS
QuansahFull-back, Bayer Leverkusen
Even matchupQuansah gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 7% more than the average defender (0.7). Moore draws 0.7, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given0.7
2.0Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 0.53/7avg 0.7 · -320DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/7avg 2 · +145DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.53/7avg 0.6 · -135Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -330DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +360DraftKings

Bulter vs Tapsoba and Medina

BulterStriker, FC Cologne
VS
TapsobaCentre-back, Bayer Leverkusen
MedinaCentre-back, Bayer Leverkusen
Good matchup for BulterTapsoba and Medina give away 0.9 fouls a match, 46% more than the average defender (0.7). Bulter draws plenty himself, at 1.8, which points to about 2.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.8Fouls drawn vs given0.9
1.7Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.8 · +105DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.7 · +110bet365
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 1.1 · -160DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -300DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +340Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.52/8avg 1.3 · +100DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/8avg 1 · -195DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/8avg 0.4 · +170Fanatics

El Mala vs Tapsoba and Medina

El MalaStriker, FC Cologne
VS
TapsobaCentre-back, Bayer Leverkusen
MedinaCentre-back, Bayer Leverkusen
Good matchup for El MalaTapsoba and Medina give away 0.9 fouls a match, 46% more than the average defender (0.7). El Mala draws 0.8, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.8Fouls drawn vs given0.9
3.1Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -215DraftKings
Shots over 3.53/10avg 3.1 · +110bet365
Shots on target over 0.57/10avg 1 · -300DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -300DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +340Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.52/8avg 1.3 · +100DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/8avg 1 · -195DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/8avg 0.4 · +170Fanatics

Hofmann vs Sosa

HofmannWinger, Bayer Leverkusen
VS
SosaFull-back, FC Cologne
Even matchupSosa gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 8% less than the average defender (0.7). Hofmann only draws 0.0, which points to about 0.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.0Fouls drawn vs given0.6
0.5Shots vs tackles2.2
Fouls won over 1.50/10avg 0 · -105DraftKings
Shots over 1.50/10avg 0.5 · -118BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +102BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/5avg 0.6 · -250DraftKings
Tackles over 2.52/5avg 2.2 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/5avg 0.2 · +260Fanatics

Moreira vs Castro-Montes

MoreiraWinger, Bayer Leverkusen
VS
Castro-MontesFull-back, FC Cologne
Even matchupCastro-Montes gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 8% less than the average defender (0.7). Moreira draws plenty himself, at 1.5, which points to about 1.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.5Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.9Shots vs tackles1.5
Fouls won over 1.53/8avg 1.5 · +100DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/8avg 1.9 · +120bet365
Shots on target over 0.54/8avg 0.9 · -133BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -295DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.5 · -180DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +310DraftKings

Schick vs Schmied and Simpson-Pusey

SchickStriker, Bayer Leverkusen
VS
SchmiedCentre-back, FC Cologne
Simpson-PuseyCentre-back, FC Cologne
Even matchupSchmied and Simpson-Pusey give away 0.6 fouls a match, 8% less than the average defender (0.7). Schick draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.6
3.3Shots vs tackles0.6
Fouls won over 0.58/10avg 1 · -205DraftKings
Shots over 3.55/10avg 3.3 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.55/10avg 1.5 · +120bet365
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -240DraftKings
Tackles over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · -110DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +255DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · -225DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · +125DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +300Fanatics
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

FC Cologne 4-4-2Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1

5/101 SchwabeSaves 3.5+
6/1017 Castro-MontesTackles 1.5+
2 Schmied
7/1022 Simpson-PuseyFouls won 0.5+
3 Sosa
37 Maina
23 Okon-Engstler
5 Krauss
47 Moore
5/1030 BulterSOT 0.5+
10 El Mala
7/101 FlekkenSaves 2.5+
5/104 QuansahShots 0.5+
5/1012 TapsobaFouls won 0.5+
4/82 MedinaShots 0.5+
3 Gutierrez
5/106 FernandezFouls won 1.5+
24 Garcia
7 Hofmann
8/1030 MazaFouls 0.5+
4/89 MoreiraSOT 0.5+
7/1014 SchickG+A 0.5+

FC Cologne missing: T. Dallinga (knee), T. Hubers (knee), I. Rondic (injury), E. Skhiri (ankle), R. van den Berg (muscle)

Bayer Leverkusen missing: E. Ben Seghir (muscle), M. Diaby (hamstring), G. Doue (calf), K. Eichhorn (illness), N. Tella (muscle), M. Terrier (muscle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Bundesliga players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

FC Cologne14th in the tableDDLWL2W 3D 3L · 1.13 points a match
2meetings

0 wins0 draws2 wins
Bayer Leverkusen6th in the tableLLWWW4W 1D 3L · 1.63 points a match
100%Over 1.52/2
50%Over 2.51/2
0%Over 3.50/2
50%Both scored1/2
  • Apr 2026KOE 1-2 B04
  • Dec 2025B04 2-0 KOE

Clean sheets and goal trends

FC Cologne

13%

Clean sheet1/8

25%

Failed to score2/8

75%

Both scored6/8

50%

Over 2.54/8

Bayer Leverkusen

25%

Clean sheet2/8

13%

Failed to score1/8

63%

Both scored5/8

88%

Over 2.57/8

Attack and defense

Attacking

FC CologneBayer Leverkusen
25%Win %50%
50%Possession %59%
75%Both teams scored %63%
25%Scored first %50%
  • 1.1Scored per match2.3
  • 12.9Shots per match15.8
  • 4.9Shots on target per match5.8
  • 1.3Big chances per match2.3

Defensive

FC CologneBayer Leverkusen
38%Loss %38%
25%Failed to score %13%
13%Clean sheet %25%
63%Conceded first %50%
  • 1.5Conceded per match2.0
  • 11.5Shots against per match11.6
  • 14.9Tackles per match14.3
  • 10.6Fouls per match11.1

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

FC Köln DDLWL D 1-1 at FCU · D 0-0 vs FC Schalke 04 · L 0-1 at SGE · W 2-1 vs BMG · L 1-2 at HSV
Bayer 04 Leverkusen LLWWW L 2-4 vs VFB · L 0-3 at TSG · W 2-1 vs SCF · W 4-3 at M05 · W 2-0 vs RBL

Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

FC Köln Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Table 14 (9 pts) 6 (13 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 2-3-3 4-1-3
Home / away record 2-2-0 (6-4) home 1-1-2 (8-11) away
Goals scored per match 1.13 2.25
Goals conceded per match 1.50 2.00
Shots / on target per match 12.88 / 4.88 15.75 / 5.75
Both teams scored 75% 63%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 75% / 50% / 25% 100% / 88% / 63%
Clean sheets 13% 25%
Failed to score 25% 13%
Yellow cards per match 2.00 2.00
Corners per match 5.72 7.02

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Felix Zwayer averages 3.0 yellow cards and 22.0 fouls per match over 9 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

FC Cologne

  • Thijs Dallinga (F): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Timo Hübers (D): Out, Knee Surgery
  • Ellyes Skhiri (M): Out, Ankle Injury
  • Imad Rondic (F): Out, Thigh Injury

Bayer Leverkusen

  • Martin Terrier (F): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Moussa Diaby (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Kennet Eichhorn (M): Out, Illness
  • Nathan Tella (F): Out, Muscle Injury
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Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -245, no +190

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -900 +570
2.5 -250 +198
3.5 +104 -128
4.5 +240 -310
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More on these teams: 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne Nov 1 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions

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