Heat vs Lakers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 2, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Heat	30	42	21	24	117
Lakers	37	42	32	27	138

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Los Angeles Lakers beat the Miami Heat 138-117, pulling away in the third quarter with a 32-21 period that broke the game open.

Luka Doncic powered the Lakers with 42 points and 13 assists, while Walker Kessler had 15 rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Miami with 30 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists. Los Angeles shot 57 percent from the field and 44 percent from three, posted 39 assists and scored 60 points in the paint. Miami shot 51 percent and 39 percent from three, and the Lakers also had a 41-34 rebound edge. Los Angeles committed 16 turnovers to Miami’s 19.

The Lakers covered the 1.5-point closing spread by 19.5, and the 237.5 total went over by 17.5.

How the props finished

7 of 10 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Ziaire Williams	Over 0.5 threes made	-285 Kalshi	3 Cleared
Jake LaRavia	Over 0.5 steals	+115 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Davion Mitchell	Over 19.5 points + assists	-105 Fanatics	22 Cleared
Matisse Thybulle	Over 0.5 blocks	-110 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Pelle Larsson	Over 0.5 threes made	-163 Kalshi	1 Cleared
Klay Thompson	Over 1.5 threes made	-210 bet365	4 Cleared
Luka Doncic	Over 4.5 threes made	+113 Kalshi	6 Cleared
Giannis Antetokounmpo	Over 10.5 field goals made	-150 Fanatics	10 Missed
Sandro Mamukelashvili	Over 0.5 blocks	+180 BetMGM	0 Missed
Austin Reaves	Over 5.5 assists	+104 Kalshi	5 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

HeatLakers

51%FG%57%

39%3P%44%

71%FT%71%

34Rebounds41

28Assists39

38Points in the paint60

20Fast break points6

19Turnovers16

7Steals8

5Blocks4

4Biggest lead24

Box score

Miami HeatLos Angeles Lakers

Miami Heat

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Giannis Antetokounmpo F	34	30	10-17	0-3	10-15	12	7	7	1	2	1	11	3	-7
Andrew Wiggins F	24	7	2-7	2-6	1-2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	-26
Bam Adebayo C	31	16	5-10	1-2	5-7	9	4	3	2	2	4	5	1	-23
Klay Thompson G	27	19	7-11	4-7	1-1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	-22
Davion Mitchell G	29	15	5-5	4-4	1-2	0	7	1	0	1	0	0	2	-13
Bench
Bobby Portis F	18	2	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	0	0	3	3	-2
Myron Gardner F	1	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1
Nikola Jovic F	7	2	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	-6
Nick Richards C	1	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1
Tim Hardaway Jr. G	19	9	3-7	3-7	0-0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	+3
Dru Smith G	11	3	0-2	0-2	3-4	3	2	0	2	0	1	2	0	-2
Pelle Larsson G	30	9	2-6	1-3	4-4	3	2	4	1	0	0	3	5	0
Ryan Conwell G	8	5	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	-5
Simone Fontecchio	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		117	38-75	16-41	25-35	34	28	19	7	5	7	27	23

Team shooting: FG 51% · 3PT 39% · FT 71%

Los Angeles Lakers

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Jake LaRavia F	26	7	3-4	1-1	0-0	4	2	4	1	2	3	1	5	+20
Walker Kessler C	32	15	7-13	0-0	1-3	15	2	1	2	0	4	11	3	+16
Matisse Thybulle G	19	6	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	3	+13
Luka Doncic G	36	42	14-24	6-15	8-10	7	13	2	2	0	0	7	2	+26
Austin Reaves G	34	27	10-15	4-5	3-4	2	5	5	0	0	0	2	3	+21
Bench
Jarred Vanderbilt F	6	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-2
Sandro Mamukelashvili F	28	13	5-10	2-5	1-2	3	4	2	2	0	1	2	3	+10
Ziaire Williams F	15	9	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	3	-6
Lawson Lovering C	1	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1
Collin Sexton G	16	6	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2
Quentin Grimes G	23	7	2-4	1-3	2-3	4	4	0	0	0	1	3	2	+5
Bronny James G	1	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	+1
Jaden Hardy G	1	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1
Cameron Carr G	1	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1
Kevon Looney	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		138	51-89	19-43	17-24	41	39	16	8	4	10	31	28

Team shooting: FG 57% · 3PT 44% · FT 71%

Attendance 18,752 · Officials: Jacyn Goble, Nick Buchert, Jenna Reneau

Recap: Luka Doncic scores 42 points in another brilliant game, leading the Lakers past the Heat 138-117 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Matisse Thybulle elevates for the big-time swat (ESPN)
• Giannis Antetokounmpo gets up for the beautiful dunk (ESPN)
• Luka Doncic knocks down the 3-point shot (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Lakers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
• Lakers are 3-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Heat vs Lakers pre-game preview

The Lakers enter as a short moneyline favorite at -125 and lay 2 points, with a 237.5 total. The most recent meeting went against Miami, a 126-134 home loss on March 19, 2026. Miami is 2-4 straight up and ATS this season and 4-6 straight up and ATS over its last 10, most recently beating Indiana 145-125. Los Angeles is 5-2 straight up and 4-3 ATS this season, and 8-2 straight up with a 7-3 ATS mark over its last 10, most recently beating Toronto 131-125 on November 1.

From a research angle, Miami’s defense has allowed 121.5 points per game (rank 26) and 17 threes per game (rank 29), while its pace of 105.6 ranks third against Los Angeles’s 101.3, which ranks 19th. Los Angeles has allowed 113.3 points (rank 15) and 41 rebounds (rank 4). Among StatsBench props, Bam Adebayo’s over 2.5 assists is priced -240 after clearing it in 9 of his last 10, with the model projecting 3.8, while Davion Mitchell’s over 19.5 points plus assists is -108 after 8 of 10, with a 22.6 projection.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Heat	2-4	2-4	3-3	1-3	1-1
Lakers	5-2	4-3	4-3	3-1	2-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Heat vs Lakers head-to-head

Heat are 3-3, 0-1 ATS, O/U 1-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Heat lost 126-134 on March 19, 2026.

Recent form

Miami Heat: last 10 (4-6, 4-6 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Los Angeles Lakers: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 9:03 AM ET.

Venue and weather

Heat vs Lakers odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart