Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Inter Miami CF logo

Inter Miami CF2nd in MLS
4:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Charlotte FC logo

Charlotte FC5th in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Inter Miami CF -263
Draw +480
Charlotte FC +600

Total goals 4.5: over +125 , under -150

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:08 PM ET.

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC preview

Inter Miami CF host Charlotte FC on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET in MLS. Inter Miami is the home favorite at -263 on the three-way moneyline, with the draw at +480 and Charlotte at +600, while the total is 4.5.

The last meeting finished Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami on March 14, 2026. Recent straight-up league form is WDLWW for Inter Miami and WWLDL for Charlotte. Inter Miami has 59 points from 33 matches; Charlotte has 53 from 33.

The pace profile points to goals: Inter Miami scores 2.33 and concedes 1.70 per match, with both teams scoring in 76% and over 2.5 goals in 76%. Charlotte scores 1.91 and concedes 1.45, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 in 73%. Charlotte is without Saint-Maximin due to a red card and also lists Ream, John, Goodwin, Cleary and Berchimas as out; Miami is missing Silvetti, Caicedo and Allende. Rocco Ríos Novo’s over 2.5 saves at -110 has cleared in 9 of his last 10.

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC prediction

47%Inter Miami CF
21%Draw
32%Charlotte FC

The books imply 70% / 16% / 14%

2-1Most likely score8% chance
2.1 – 1.7Expected goals
74%Over 2.5 goals
73%Both teams to score

For the match, the model leans Inter Miami CF (47% win, 32% Charlotte) but is much less bullish than the books (70% Miami, 14% Charlotte), so they disagree. Miami’s 2.33 scoring rate and 76% both-teams-to-score rate support goals, while Charlotte’s missing list, including Ream and Saint-Maximin, adds risk.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Rocco Ríos Novo Inter Miami Over 2.5 saves -110 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 80%
Allan Saint-Maximin Charlotte Over 0.5 shots on target -141 BetMGM 90% (9/10) 100%
Idan Toklomati Charlotte Over 0.5 shots on target -125 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 100%
Maximiliano Falcón Inter Miami Over 0.5 fouls -175 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 40%
Pep Biel Charlotte Over 0.5 fouls -190 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:08 PM ET.

The rest of the Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Carlos Henrique CasimiroOver 0.5 fouls won7/10
Germán BerterameOver 0.5 tackles6/10
Rodrigo De PaulOver 1.5 fouls won6/10

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Messi vs Toffolo

MessiWinger, Inter Miami CF
VS
ToffoloFull-back, Charlotte FC
Tough matchup for MessiToffolo gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 37% less than the average defender (0.8). Messi draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.5
5.1Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1 · +120DraftKings
Shots over 7.51/10avg 5.1 · -115DraftKings
Shots on target over 2.55/10avg 2.6 · -118BetMGM
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · -160DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +500bet365

Berterame vs Byrne

BerterameWinger, Inter Miami CF
VS
ByrneFull-back, Charlotte FC
Tough matchup for BerterameByrne gives away 0.3 fouls a match, 62% less than the average defender (0.8). Berterame draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.3
1.8Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 1.1 · -160DraftKings
Shots over 3.51/10avg 1.8 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.52/10avg 0.8 · +160BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -125DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · +120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +500bet365

Suarez vs Agyemang and Kessler

SuarezStriker, Inter Miami CF
VS
AgyemangCentre-back, Charlotte FC
KesslerCentre-back, Charlotte FC
Tough matchup for SuarezAgyemang and Kessler give away 0.6 fouls a match, 31% less than the average defender (0.8). Suarez draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.4Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.5Shots vs tackles0.7
Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 1.4 · +125DraftKings
Shots over 4.50/10avg 1.5 · +140Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 1 · -125Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.9 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -255DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +350bet365
Fouls committed over 0.51/10avg 0.2 · -120DraftKings
Tackles over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -200DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +333bet365

Abada vs Reguilon

AbadaWinger, Charlotte FC
VS
ReguilonFull-back, Inter Miami CF
Tough matchup for AbadaReguilon gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 25% less than the average defender (0.8). Abada only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.7Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -180DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.7 · +120Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 1.1 · -139BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -230DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +300bet365

de la Torre vs Fray

de la TorreWinger, Charlotte FC
VS
FrayFull-back, Inter Miami CF
Even matchupFray gives away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). de la Torre only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.5Fouls drawn vs given0.8
0.2Shots vs tackles1.8
Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -165DraftKings
Shots over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -145Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.50/10avg 0 · +300Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -290DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.8 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +275bet365

Toklomati vs Micael

ToklomatiStriker, Charlotte FC
VS
MicaelCentre-back, Inter Miami CF
Good matchup for ToklomatiMicael gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 38% more than the average defender (0.8). Toklomati draws plenty himself, at 2.0, which points to about 2.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.0Fouls drawn vs given1.1
1.8Shots vs tackles1.9
Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 2 · +100DraftKings
Shots over 1.57/10avg 1.8 · -125Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · -125Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · -210DraftKings
Tackles over 0.59/10avg 1.9 · -320DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +450bet365
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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Inter Miami CF 4-3-3Charlotte FC 4-3-3

97 St.Clair
6/1017 FrayTackles 1.5+
5 Casemiro
16 Micael
6/103 ReguilonFouls won 0.5+
6/107 de PaulFouls won 1.5+
22 Ayala
8 Segovia
5/1010 Messi (C)SOT 2.5+
5/109 SuarezG+A 0.5+
6/1019 BerterameTackles 0.5+
6/101 KahlinaSaves 4.5+
14 Byrne
44 Agyemang
5/1022 KesslerShots 0.5+
15 Toffolo
5/108 Westwood (C)Tackles 0.5+
7/1016 BielFouls 0.5+
6/1028 DianiTackles 1.5+
5/1011 AbadaFouls 0.5+
8/109 ToklomatiSOT 0.5+
17 de la Torre

Inter Miami CF missing: T. Allende (knee), F. Caicedo (lower-body), M. Silvetti (shoulder)

Charlotte FC missing: N. Berchimas (foot), W. Cleary (illness), A. Goodwin (foot), A. John (shoulder), T. Ream (achilles tendon), A. Saint-Maximin (red card)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Form and head to head

Inter Miami CF3rd in the tableWDLWW16W 11D 6L · 1.79 points a match
5meetings

2 wins2 draws1 win
Charlotte FC7th in the tableWWLDL15W 8D 10L · 1.61 points a match
60%Over 1.53/5
40%Over 2.52/5
0%Over 3.50/5
40%Both scored2/5
  • Mar 2026CHL 0-0 MIA
  • Sep 2025CHL 3-0 MIA
  • Mar 2025MIA 1-0 CHL
  • Sep 2024MIA 1-1 CHL
  • Jul 2024CHL 1-2 MIA

Clean sheets and goal trends

Inter Miami CF

18%

Clean sheet6/33

9%

Failed to score3/33

76%

Both scored25/33

76%

Over 2.525/33

Charlotte FC

21%

Clean sheet7/33

18%

Failed to score6/33

67%

Both scored22/33

73%

Over 2.524/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

Inter Miami CFCharlotte FC
49%Win %46%
57%Possession %47%
76%Both teams scored %67%
46%Scored first %55%
  • 2.3Scored per match1.9
  • 11.4Shots per match9.5
  • 5.9Shots on target per match4.8
  • 1.4Big chances per match0.8

Defensive

Inter Miami CFCharlotte FC
18%Loss %30%
9%Failed to score %18%
18%Clean sheet %21%
52%Conceded first %39%
  • 1.7Conceded per match1.5
  • 10.6Shots against per match13.4
  • 14.0Tackles per match11.5
  • 12.7Fouls per match10.0

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Inter Miami WDLWW W 2-1 at NER · D 2-2 vs CIN · L 0-2 at NYR · W 3-1 at ATL · W 2-0 vs NYC
Charlotte WWLDL W 4-0 vs ORL · W 4-0 vs CFM · L 2-3 at POT · D 2-2 at PHI · L 1-3 at COL

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Inter Miami Charlotte
Table 3 (59 pts) 7 (53 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 16-11-6 15-8-10
Home / away record 6-8-2 (43-28) home 5-4-7 (26-32) away
Goals scored per match 2.33 1.91
Goals conceded per match 1.70 1.45
Shots / on target per match 11.42 / 5.85 9.52 / 4.79
Both teams scored 76% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 94% / 76% / 61% 82% / 73% / 52%
Clean sheets 18% 21%
Failed to score 9% 18%
Yellow cards per match 2.48 1.91
Corners per match 4.81 4.58

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Rubiel Vazquez averages 3.3 yellow cards and 22.9 fouls per match over 21 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Inter Miami CF

  • Mateo Silvetti (F): Out, Knee Injury
  • Fricio Caicedo (D): Out, Knock Injury
  • Tadeo Allende (M): Out, Knee Injury
  • Cesar Abadia-Reda (D): Out, Groin Injury

Charlotte FC

  • Aron John (M): Out, Shoulder Injury
  • Archie Goodwin (F): Out, Knock Injury
  • Tim Ream (D): Out, Knock Injury
  • Will Cleary (D): Out, Illness
  • Nimfasha Berchimas (F): Out, Broken Foot
Compare MLS playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC odds by sportsbook

Book MIA ML CLT ML Over Under
bet365 -263 +600 O 4.5 +120 U 4.5 -162
BetRivers -263 +510 O 4 -127 U 4 -109
DraftKings -285 +550 O 4.5 +125 U 4.5 -155
FanDuel -310 +550 O 4.5 +122 U 4.5 -150
Fanatics -300 +600 O 4.5 +115 U 4.5 -150

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:08 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 10:53 AM ET): total 3.5 → 4.5, Inter Miami CF moneyline -250 → -263.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -285, no +220

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -2500 +1040
2.5 -520 +370
3.5 -188 +152
4.5 +122 -150

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 4.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

More on these teams: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF Nov 1 · Charlotte FC vs Orlando City SC Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

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