Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Mainz vs Bayern Munich player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Phillip Tietz FSV Mainz 05	Over 0.5 shots on target	-133 BetRivers	100% (10/10)	100%
Dayot Upamecano FC Bayern München	Over 1.5 tackles	-180 DraftKings	90% (9/10)	80%
Nadiem Amiri FSV Mainz 05	Over 42.5 passes	-145 Stake	80% (8/10)	60%
Kacper Potulski FSV Mainz 05	Over 0.5 shots	-105 Fanatics	70% (7/10)	80%
Kaishu Sano FSV Mainz 05	Over 36.5 passes	-137 Stake	70% (7/10)	60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:11 AM ET.

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Caci vs Stanisic

CaciWinger, Mainz

VS

StanisicFull-back, Bayern Munich

Tough matchup for CaciStanisic gives away 0.5 fouls a match, 34% less than the average defender (0.8). Caci only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.5

0.8Shots vs tackles0.7

Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -115

Shots over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -118

Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · +330

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -185

Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · -160

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +600

Widmer vs Laimer

WidmerWinger, Mainz

VS

LaimerFull-back, Bayern Munich

Good matchup for WidmerLaimer gives away 1.8 fouls a match, 136% more than the average defender (0.8). Widmer only draws 0.1, which points to about 0.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.1Fouls drawn vs given1.8

0.3Shots vs tackles1.6

Fouls won over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +100

Shots over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -120

Shots on target over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +320

Fouls committed over 1.56/10avg 1.8 · -120

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.6 · -195

Yellow card over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · +330

Becker vs Upamecano

BeckerStriker, Mainz

VS

UpamecanoCentre-back, Bayern Munich

Good matchup for BeckerUpamecano gives away 1.2 fouls a match, 58% more than the average defender (0.8). Becker only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

0.4Fouls drawn vs given1.2

2.2Shots vs tackles2.3

Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -285

Shots over 2.54/10avg 2.2 · +135

Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 1.3 · -133

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · -215

Tackles over 1.59/10avg 2.3 · -180

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +370

Tietz vs Upamecano

TietzStriker, Mainz

VS

UpamecanoCentre-back, Bayern Munich

Good matchup for TietzUpamecano gives away 1.2 fouls a match, 58% more than the average defender (0.8). Tietz draws plenty himself, at 1.2, which points to about 1.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

1.2Fouls drawn vs given1.2

2.9Shots vs tackles2.3

Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · -280

Shots over 2.57/10avg 2.9 · +150

Shots on target over 0.510/10avg 1.4 · -133

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · -215

Tackles over 1.59/10avg 2.3 · -180

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +370

Olise vs Widmer

OliseWinger, Bayern Munich

VS

WidmerFull-back, Mainz

Tough matchup for OliseWidmer gives away 0.1 fouls a match, 87% less than the average defender (0.8). Olise draws plenty himself, at 2.1, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

2.1Fouls drawn vs given0.1

3.6Shots vs tackles0.9

Fouls won over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · -175

Shots over 3.55/10avg 3.6 · -105

Shots on target over 1.56/10avg 2 · +130

Fouls committed over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · -170

Tackles over 1.53/10avg 0.9 · -215

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +400

Brown vs Caci

BrownWinger, Bayern Munich

VS

CaciFull-back, Mainz

Good matchup for BrownCaci gives away 1.5 fouls a match, 97% more than the average defender (0.8). Brown draws 0.8, which points to about 1.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.8Fouls drawn vs given1.5

1.0Shots vs tackles2.1

Fouls won over 1.52/10avg 0.8 · +100

Shots over 2.50/10avg 1 · +380

Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · +128

Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.5 · -285

Tackles over 2.54/10avg 2.1 · -120

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +400

Kane vs da Costa and Gruber and Potulski

KaneStriker, Bayern Munich

VS

da CostaCentre-back, Mainz

GruberCentre-back, Mainz

PotulskiCentre-back, Mainz

Good matchup for Kaneda Costa and Gruber and Potulski give away 1.4 fouls a match, 80% more than the average defender (0.8). Kane draws 0.7, which points to about 1.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.4

3.7Shots vs tackles1.7

Fouls won over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · -105

Shots over 4.54/10avg 3.7 · +115

Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · -164

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -195

Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · -200

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +700

Fouls committed over 0.53/5avg 1.4 · -235

Tackles over 1.53/5avg 2.4 · -200

Yellow card over 0.50/5avg 0 · +320

Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.9 · -285

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.5 · -180

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +270

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Mainz 3-5-2Bayern Munich 4-2-3-1

27 Zentner

5/1021 da CostaFouls 0.5+

3/53 GruberTackles 1.5+

7/1048 PotulskiShots 0.5+

5/1019 CaciShots 0.5+

5/108 NebelTackles 1.5+

7/106 SanoFouls won 0.5+

5/1010 AmiriSOT 0.5+

30 Widmer

6/1023 BeckerSOT 0.5+

10/109 TietzSOT 0.5+

1 Neuer

6/1027 LaimerFouls 1.5+

9/102 UpamecanoTackles 1.5+

3 Kim

44 Stanisic

6 Kimmich

45 Pavlovic

6/1017 OliseSOT 1.5+

42 Karl

11 Brown

9 Kane

Mainz missing: D. Kohr (foot), P. Mwene (yellow cards), S. Posch (red card), Silas (broken shinbone)

Bayern Munich missing: L. Diaz (muscle), S. Gnabry (muscle), J. Musiala (muscle), I. Saibari (ankle), B. Sapoko Ndiaye (injury)

Form and head to head

Mainz9th in the tableLLWLW3W 1D 4L · 1.25 points a match

4meetings

1 win1 draw2 wins

Bayern Munich1st in the tableDWWDW5W 3D 0L · 2.25 points a match

100%Over 1.54/4

100%Over 2.54/4

50%Over 3.52/4

75%Both scored3/4

• Apr 2026M05 3-4 FCB
• Dec 2025FCB 2-2 M05
• Apr 2025FCB 3-0 M05
• Dec 2024M05 2-1 FCB

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

MainzBayern Munich

38%Win %63%

51%Possession %66%

63%Both teams scored %75%

25%Scored first %75%

• 2.1Scored per match3.4
• 14.6Shots per match19.9
• 5.8Shots on target per match9.5
• 2.9Big chances per match4.5

Defensive

MainzBayern Munich

50%Loss %0%

13%Failed to score %13%

38%Clean sheet %25%

63%Conceded first %13%

• 2.1Conceded per match1.0
• 10.9Shots against per match8.8
• 16.0Tackles per match13.6
• 14.0Fouls per match10.6

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Robert Schroder averages 3.4 yellow cards and 20.3 fouls per match over 8 matches this season (league average 3.6 and 22.2).

Injury report

Mainz

• Silas Katompa-Mvumpa (M): Out, Broken Ankle
• Dominik Kohr (D): Out, Ankle Injury
• Otto Ruoppi (M): Out, Knee Injury

Bayern Munich

• Luis Díaz (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Bara Sapoko Ndiaye (M): Out, Appendicitis
• Ismael Saibari (M): Out, Ankle Injury
• Serge Gnabry (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Jamal Musiala (M): Out, Thigh Injury

Mainz vs Bayern Munich odds by sportsbook

Book	M05 ML	MUN ML	Over	Under
bet365	+600	-300	O 3.5 -162	U 3.5 +130
BetRivers	+600	-312	O 4 -115	U 4 -114
DraftKings	+550	-320	O 4.5 +130	U 4.5 -165
FanDuel	+650	-350	O 4.5 +130	U 4.5 -160
Fanatics	+650	-325	O 4.5 +130	U 4.5 -170

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:11 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:48 AM ET): total 3.5 → 4.5.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -230, no +175

Line movement chart