Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 4, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Mavericks	26	25	29	31	111
Spurs	32	36	22	22	112

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Dallas Mavericks lost 111-112 to San Antonio Spurs on November 4, with the game decided by San Antonio’s 36-point second quarter and a Dallas comeback that fell just short. The Spurs built a 19-point lead, then saw Dallas swing the second half but fall by one.

Victor Wembanyama powered San Antonio with 52 points and 24 rebounds, while Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 29 points and five assists. The team stats explain the result: San Antonio owned points in the paint 62-40, rebounds 61-50, blocks 10-4, and shot 85 percent from the free-throw line to Dallas’s 73. Dallas kept it close by shooting 38 percent from three against San Antonio’s 14 percent, and by collecting 29 assists to 20.

For bettors, the Mavericks covered the 12.5-point spread by 11.5, and the game went under 226.5 by 3.5. StatsBench’s posted picks both won: Daniel Gafford OVER 1.5 BLK (2) and Dylan Harper OVER 11.5 FGA (15).

How our picks did

• Daniel Gafford OVER 1.5 BLK (+115): WON (2)
• Dylan Harper OVER 11.5 FGA (-130): WON (15)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

How the props finished

8 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Naji Marshall	Over 8.5 field goal attempts	-150 Fanatics	12 Cleared
Julian Champagnie	Over 1.5 threes made	-194 Kalshi	0 Missed
Morez Johnson	Over 6.5 points + assists	-127 Cloudbet	9 Cleared
Zaccharie Risacher	Over 3.5 rebounds	-138 Kalshi	1 Missed
Devin Vassell	Over 3.5 rebounds	-138 Kalshi	7 Cleared
Dylan Harper	Over 11.5 field goal attempts	-150 Fanatics	15 Cleared
Victor Wembanyama	Over 2.5 blocks	-200 BetRivers	8 Cleared
De’Aaron Fox	Over 0.5 steals	-275 Fanatics	1 Cleared
Kyrie Irving	Over 0.5 steals	-225 Fanatics	1 Cleared
Stephon Castle	Over 0.5 steals	-208 BetRivers	0 Missed
Keldon Johnson	Over 4.5 rebounds	+135 bet365	5 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

MavericksSpurs

38%FG%39%

38%3P%14%

73%FT%85%

50Rebounds61

29Assists20

40Points in the paint62

10Fast break points13

8Turnovers10

5Steals6

4Blocks10

3Biggest lead19

Box score

Dallas MavericksSan Antonio Spurs

Dallas Mavericks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Daniel Gafford F	18	2	1-6	0-0	0-1	4	1	2	1	2	1	3	2	-4
P.J. Washington F	39	21	7-18	3-8	4-5	10	3	1	0	1	4	6	2	0
Cooper Flagg F	40	19	7-19	0-3	5-7	10	5	1	0	0	5	5	3	+2
Zaccharie Risacher F	18	2	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	1	0	0	1	3	-7
Kyrie Irving G	36	29	9-27	5-14	6-8	7	5	1	1	0	1	6	2	-4
Bench
Caleb Martin F	20	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	0	1	2	4	+2
Naji Marshall F	26	22	9-12	3-3	1-1	5	3	2	0	1	2	3	3	+5
Morez Johnson Jr. F	18	8	2-6	1-2	3-4	3	1	0	1	0	1	2	4	+1
Marcus Sasser G	5	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	-3
Walter Clayton Jr. G	21	8	3-9	2-5	0-0	6	5	0	0	0	2	4	3	+3
Tobi Lawal	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Moussa Cisse	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jett Howard	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		111	39-102	14-37	19-26	50	29	8	5	4	18	32	27

Team shooting: FG 38% · 3PT 38% · FT 73%

San Antonio Spurs

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Victor Wembanyama F	34	52	16-28	1-8	19-23	24	2	1	2	8	9	15	2	+23
De’Aaron Fox G	33	10	3-10	0-2	4-4	3	4	3	1	1	0	3	0	+12
Devin Vassell G	36	2	0-8	0-5	2-2	7	4	0	2	1	2	5	1	+2
Stephon Castle G	35	17	6-20	2-9	3-4	10	3	2	0	0	3	7	3	+1
Dylan Harper G	36	21	9-15	1-2	2-2	5	0	2	0	0	1	4	3	+8
Bench
Harrison Barnes F	13	4	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2
Keldon Johnson F	19	4	1-5	0-3	2-2	5	2	2	0	0	3	2	2	-13
Julian Champagnie F	21	0	0-6	0-5	0-0	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	5	-4
Luke Kornet C	14	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	-22
Carter Bryant	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Tarris Reed Jr.	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jordan McLaughlin	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		112	37-95	5-36	33-39	61	20	10	6	10	22	39	20

Team shooting: FG 39% · 3PT 14% · FT 85%

Attendance 18,354 · Officials: Curtis Blair, Brent Barnaky, Simone Jelks

Recap: Wembanyama has career highs of 52 points, 24 rebounds as Spurs hold off Mavericks 112-111 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Victor Wembanyama elevates for flush (ESPN)
• Victor Wembanyama takes flight for alley-oop (ESPN)
• Dylan Harper gets up for a one-handed lob for the Spurs (ESPN)
• Wemby finishes through contact for a Spurs and-1 (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

Top Mavericks vs Spurs player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5	Projection
Naji Marshall DAL	Over 8.5 field goal attempts	-150 Fanatics	90% (9/10)	80%	–
Daniel Gafford DAL	Over 1.5 stls blks	-182 BetRivers	90% (9/10)	100%	–
Julian Champagnie SAS	Over 1.5 threes made	-194 Kalshi	90% (9/10)	100%	–
Morez Johnson DAL	Over 6.5 points + assists	-127 Cloudbet	85.7% (6/7)	80%	8.7
Zaccharie Risacher DAL	Over 3.5 rebounds	-138 Kalshi	80% (8/10)	100%	6

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 12:46 AM ET.

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Mavericks vs Spurs pre-game preview

The market has San Antonio as a 12.5-point favorite with a 226.5 total. The last meeting was October 24, when Dallas lost 106-122 at home. Dallas is 4-3 straight up and 4-3 ATS this season, 5-5 and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 100-115 to Sacramento. San Antonio is 5-2 and 3-4 ATS, 7-3 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, and most recently beat Utah 119-97. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings Dallas is 4-6 and 0-4 ATS.

The defensive ranks give San Antonio a modest edge, allowing 108.3 points (rank 8) to Dallas’s 112.3 (rank 14), while Dallas has limited threes better at 11.7 (rank 6) to San Antonio’s 12 (rank 10). Pace is close, Dallas 101 (rank 19) and San Antonio 102.2 (rank 12). On the prop side, Morez Johnson’s over 6.5 points plus assists has cleared in six of seven, with StatsBench projecting 8.7; Zaccharie Risacher’s over 3.5 rebounds has cleared in eight of 10, with a projection of 6.

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg SF25.2 PTS · 5.7 REB · 6.5 AST

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
11/2	vs SAC	39	17	4	6	0
10/30	vs HOU	38	33	9	6	0
10/28	vs OKC	32	26	5	8	2
10/26	@ MIA	39	29	6	11	2
10/23	@ IND	17	14	5	6	2

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs SA
PTS	25.2 (6)	25.0 (3)	21.0 (70)	22.3 (4) 33 · 14 · 32 · 10
REB	5.7 (6)	5.3 (3)	6.7 (70)	6.5 (4) 6 · 4 · 6 · 10
AST	6.5 (6)	6.3 (3)	4.5 (70)	3.3 (4) 5 · 4 · 4 · 0

Kyrie Irving PG21.4 PTS · 3.4 REB · 4.8 AST

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
10/30	vs HOU	34	35	4	9	5
10/28	vs OKC	26	15	2	4	3
10/26	@ MIA	32	18	6	6	2
10/23	@ IND	24	24	1	3	5
10/21	@ HOU	23	15	4	2	1

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs SA
PTS	21.4 (5)	19.0 (3)	–	–
REB	3.4 (5)	3.7 (3)	–	–
AST	4.8 (5)	3.7 (3)	–	–

Sergio De Larrea SF21.0 PTS · 5.0 REB · 4.0 AST

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
10/26	@ MIA	5	0	1	0	0
10/24	vs SAS	33	21	5	4	3
10/21	@ HOU	6	0	2	1	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs SA
PTS	7.0 (3)	0.0 (2)	–	21.0 (1) 21
REB	2.7 (3)	1.5 (2)	–	5.0 (1) 5
AST	1.7 (3)	0.5 (2)	–	4.0 (1) 4

San Antonio Spurs

Victor Wembanyama C25.7 PTS · 10.7 REB · 3.3 AST

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
11/2	vs UTA	24	12	11	5	0
10/31	vs MIN	33	43	7	4	3
10/28	@ UTA	38	36	14	5	4
10/27	vs SAC	26	29	10	2	0
10/24	@ DAL	28	23	7	2	2

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs DAL
PTS	25.7 (7)	24.2 (5)	24.6 (87)	29.6 (5) 23 · 40 · 16 · 29 · 40
REB	10.7 (7)	10.8 (5)	11.3 (87)	11.4 (5) 7 · 13 · 11 · 11 · 15
AST	3.3 (7)	3.2 (5)	3.0 (87)	3.0 (5) 2 · 5 · 1 · 6 · 1

Dylan Harper PG18.3 PTS · 5.7 REB · 5.3 AST

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
11/2	vs UTA	27	17	7	8	1
10/31	vs MIN	38	25	7	6	2
10/28	@ UTA	36	13	5	8	2
10/27	vs SAC	30	13	6	6	0
10/24	@ DAL	28	22	5	2	3

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs DAL
PTS	18.3 (7)	18.6 (5)	12.5 (93)	14.0 (5) 22 · 13 · 11 · 9 · 15
REB	5.7 (7)	6.0 (5)	4.0 (93)	4.4 (5) 5 · 4 · 4 · 5 · 4
AST	5.3 (7)	5.4 (5)	3.5 (93)	3.4 (5) 2 · 6 · 5 · 2 · 2

De’Aaron Fox PG15.9 PTS · 4.4 REB · 6.4 AST

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
11/2	vs UTA	21	12	2	3	1
10/31	vs MIN	34	22	8	7	0
10/28	@ UTA	39	14	3	4	1
10/27	vs SAC	25	11	4	6	2
10/24	@ DAL	27	19	3	9	2

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs DAL
PTS	15.9 (7)	15.6 (5)	17.9 (94)	17.3 (4) 19 · 18 · 15 · 17
REB	4.4 (7)	5.0 (5)	3.7 (94)	2.3 (4) 3 · 1 · 2 · 3
AST	6.4 (7)	6.4 (5)	6.2 (94)	7.8 (4) 9 · 10 · 5 · 7

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Mavericks	4-3	4-3	2-5	2-2	2-1
Spurs	5-2	3-4	2-5	3-2	2-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Mavericks vs Spurs head-to-head

Mavericks are 4-6, 0-4 ATS, O/U 3-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Mavericks lost 106-122 on October 24, 2026.

Recent form

Dallas Mavericks: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

San Antonio Spurs: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks

• Santi Aldama (PF): Out, Right Knee Surgery
• Dereck Lively II (C): Out, Right Foot Surgery
• Tarik Biberovic (SF): Out, Right Heel Bursitis
• Sergio De Larrea (SF): Out, Right Knee Sprain
• Max Christie (SG): Out, Right Hip Soreness / Tightness

San Antonio Spurs

• Jayden Quaintance (SF): Out, Right Knee Surgery
• Tobias Harris (PF): Out, Left Calf Strain

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Mavericks vs Spurs odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart